Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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November 29, 2004
By: Kevin Drum

CIVIL WAR?....Spencer Ackerman is depressed about the future of Iraq:

The January election is now itself on track to deliver what used to be considered the worst-case scenario (but which is now acceptable to some advocates of the war): civil war.

Bottom line: it's impossible to delay the elections because that would cause a decisive U.S. break with the Shia majority. On the other hand, the 20% of the population that's Sunni is now dead set against the elections and considers them illegitimate. That's more than enough people to keep a civil war in high gear.

I suppose the best hope now is that in the end the Sunni minority will back down and eventually take part in the elections if not in January, perhaps sometime down the road. It's a pretty thin hope, though.

Kevin Drum 1:34 PM Permalink | Trackbacks

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