Since I assume all 14 are Californians, a plurality of all Jeopardy contestants (or so I'd wager), its not as remarkable as it would be as if it were, say, 14 Philadelphia bloggers, or 14 Minnesota bloggers.

Not nearly as remarkable as the fact that one of those people left 6% of themselves at home the day they went to the studio.

I'd be more interested to know how many of them have had sex with an A-list model or movie star. Hmmmm??

On Sunday I had a small get-together at my house for some local bloggers.

That sucks. How come I wasn't invited? I could've brought in some macaroni and cheese for potluck.

Alas. Every time I read this blog, I think about how much fun it would be to be friends with Kevin. But maybe I just wouldn't fit in with his peeps.

I met a multiple-time jeopardy winner at a party last year. I'm from L.A. He's got to be one of those guys... Wish I could remember his name. Guess I'll never be on the show.

My name is Alex, and I would be more than happy to be paid $1000 to blog.

I've met a lot of Kevin's friends. To a one they are bright, erudite, talented, and incredibly good looking.

Three of 14? Ha. When I meet with my parole officer, our percentage of Jeopardy contestants is up to 50%.

So there.
--
HRlaughed

Is anyone else annoyed by that "HeadOn - Apply Directly to Forehead!" commercial at the end of the show?

enozinho: Perhaps it was Bob Harris? He's been on the show five times (five-time winner on regular Jeopardy plus four tournaments).

Nothing like blogging to bring out the smarties, eh?

Is Jeopardy the one where they eat bugs while wearing bikinis?

I'm going to be in the dunk tank at a college BBQ tomorrow, does that count?

Kevin: "On Sunday I had a small get-together at my house for some local bloggers. Today I realized that of the 14 people there, 21% of them have appeared on Jeopardy. That's a remarkably high proportion, no?"

I'd say those four bloggers-cum-Jeopardy contestants probably spend far too much time in front of various small screens, and probably need to get a life -- just like me.

I'm obviously in the minority here.

Who cares? Californian disconnection from real life.

So bloggers have a much higher chance of getting on Jeopardy -- or a higher desire to do so -- than the general population. More specifically, California bloggers. So you become a blogger but your main intention is to get on Jeopardy.

I swear. Western culture gets shallower by the minute!

You're starting to scare me...

Goddamn, Craigie.

You always see the humour.

I wish!

i'll take Kevin's Odd Coincidence for four hundred...

It IS high, but not perhaps as high as you might think.

For one thing, you're probably drawing from a biased sample. Just as you might expect very few "Jeopardy" contestants among a party of recently arrived Uzbek tourists, you might expect a rather higher percentage among well-educated, politically aware and active, upper-middle-to-upper-income residents of Orange County.

For another, calculating the probability of 3 such people at your party also requires factoring in the probability of 11 people NOT having appeared on "Jeopardy," a much more likely-seeming event. Moreover, one must consider all possible combinations of 11+3 among the 14 at your party, which makes things a little more complicated still.

As it turns out, it's still pretty high: having EXACTLY 3 out of 14 suggests that you are drawing from a population in which slightly more than 1-in-7 have been on "Jeopardy."

However, just to illustrate the weirdness of the numbers, among such a population, the probability of having AT LEAST 2 out of 14 is over 60%. And similarly, for the probability of having 2 OR 3 OR 4 out of your party having been on the show to be around 21% would require an underlying population frequency of only 1-in-16, which maybe is not so unreasonable.

It's a little like the shared-birthdays thing. If you have 30 people in a room, the odds of at least 2 of them having identical birthdays are almost 70%, and with 60 it's over 99%.

That's nothing.
I got thrown in jail once and met four long lost friends in the same cell block. I don't think that was a coincidence.

amongst commenters and/or readers on your blog kevin i am absolutely sure you would find several contestants--even ones who went on to play in the TOC...

Excuse me ... you can't drop a stat like that without answering the very obvious question ... at least here in the comments: Names, please!

(The jeoparsphere is dying to know!)

Curious: Sorry, I wasn't being coy. The three are Marc Danziger (Armed Liberal), Bob Harris, and Arianna Huffington.

The fallacy of small sample size, Kevin. Two out of 14 guests...an interesting coincidence but I wouldn't make much more than that.

Matt

After your sojuorn in the slammer
did you and your buddies hook up with kaiser soze
and some Hungarians?

I just realized my arithmetical error. Still a small sample, but having 3 of 14 is pretty remarkable. I guess.

WHAT IS: the question you'd ask after discovering that 21% of your houseguests guests were former Jeopardy contestants?

Was that a Daily Double?

Kevin. It wasn't Bob Harris. If I find the guy, I'll be sure to invite him to your next shindig.

So you become a blogger but your main intention is to get on Jeopardy.

Notthere:

I assume you're attempting humor, or something like it.

Seriously, dude, none of the 3 had primary intentions of getting on Jeopardy, well, maybe Bob Harris, but he's kinda weird. No, really, these people are bloggers, passionate about politics (being one of the 14 I can say that we did come up with a plan to save the world, and will unveil it at the appropriate time.)

The Jeopardy thing is, well, just a thing. Pay no attention. Hey, look over there!

I've met a lot of Kevin's friends. To a one they are bright, erudite, talented, and incredibly good looking.

Especially naked.

When are you going to be on?

For another, calculating the probability of 3 such people at your party also requires factoring in the probability of 11 people NOT having appeared on "Jeopardy," a much more likely-seeming event. Moreover, one must consider all possible combinations of 11+3 among the 14 at your party, which makes things a little more complicated still.

Arianna H made it to Irvine for a party? Im impressed.

I was on Family Feud once. Would that count?

Kevin must have quite a nice house.

a SMALL gathering of at least 65 people???

I wish my house was so small!!

Neil, he said there were 14 people there. Of those 14, 21% had been on Jeopardy. That translates to 3 people.

To be a successful game-show participant you need to be able to parse the questions (or answers) correctly.

I'll take stiffy pill in Third World countries for $1000.

21% of 14 is 2.94. That's two Jeopardy contestants and 94/100 of another. I guess part of that third guy was not on Jeopardy...

Our love's in jeopardy. Baby. Oooooooooo oooo ooo ooooooo.

Riddle me this, Ryan - why do you assume that we're not talking about three fractional (0.98) people? Or perhaps one person is actually 1.04 people, why another is only 0.92? Hmmmm? Gotcha!

I also assumed it was a guy. What an ass am I?

Shocking that a self selected group of 14 intelligent people who believe they know enough about almost everything to be bloggers would have 21% who believe they know enough about almost everything to appear on Jeopardy (so that they can either make some cash from it or show off what they know). Just shocking.

Talk about non-random sampling.

In other words, no, it's not so remarkably high a proportion.

Suck it, Trebek!

Sounds interesting

And think, if only you'd have invited this lowly, 100 hit-a-day blogger, you would have had 4 of 15!

There are Californians who, back when there were more game shows, made a career out of going on one and the next and the next.

If you assume that one ten thousandth of the general population has been on Jeopardy (which isn't far off), then the probability of getting three out of fourteen in a randomly selected group is .00000000036. It can be calculated as (14C11)(.0001^3)(.9999^11)

Some of the math in above posts is less accurate than Fox News.

吉祥三宝铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 免费铃声下载 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 吉祥三宝铃声 免费铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声 吉祥三宝铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声下载 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 吉祥三宝铃声 不得不爱铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声 吉祥三宝铃声 手机铃声 不得不爱铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 手机铃声下载 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 文秘写作 竞聘演讲稿 个人工作总结 八荣八耻演讲稿 手机铃声 免费歌曲铃声下载 免费手机铃声下载 搞笑手机铃声下载 免费铃声下载 铃声图片下载 手机铃声下载 手机铃声下载 手机铃声 手机铃声下载 免费铃声下载 中国文秘网 治疗牛皮癣,阴虱特效药 工作总结 工作汇报 牛皮癣治疗 脂溢性皮炎 斑秃脱发炎 白癜风,外阴白斑 鱼鳞病 脂溢性脱发 阴虱病 治疗疱疹 各类皮癣 湿疹,皮炎 青春痘,痤疮 螨虫性皮炎,酒渣鼻 烧伤烫伤 八荣八耻 开业开幕讲话 竞聘演讲稿 就职演讲 心得体会 工作汇报 2006年入党申请书 思想汇报 癌症肿瘤新药

我向大家推荐:北京 Google排名 厂向广大客户提供Google排名产品及Google排名服务。上海 Google排名 公司专业生产Google排名产品，欢迎选择Google排名。