Depends on what you think their "usual" party is. In states like Tenn and Mo, it's often usual to vote for one party locally and another nationally. Thus, it may not seem so strange for a lot of Tenn or Mo voters to vote Democratic, even if they went for Bush in '04.

I give more credence to the race lie. Unless Corker and the Republicans make the electorate sick with their disgusting ads (not likely, if history is any guide), Ford is really substantially behind.

In a world where any criticism of a politician darker than Casper is inexpliciably called racism, it's no surprise that white people fear saying they're not voting for the black candidate.

Example:
Democrat: I think Barack Obama should be president. If you disagree, you are racist.
Republican: I'm certainly willing to listen, but what the hell has he done that would make him qualified to be president?
Democrat 1: Why do you hate black people?? HATE CRIME!!

Fancy Ford is going to lose this election. The citizens of Tennessee are going to vote for a real Tennessean to represent them not some pampered rich boy who was raised in liberal Washington D.C. The values of Fancy Ford are not the values of Tennessee. Tennesseans are value voters and people of faith. They don't want someone who can't control his jungle fever around women as he did with the Playboy girls at the Super Bowl party. He's like a pimp selling prostitutes when he's around pretty women. Watch for Bob Corker to defeat Ford in a landslide.

Does the Wall Street Journal care to tell us which strategists and political scientists think 15% of white southerners are lying racists? I can't find a reference so I don't know whether this was a post-civil war rule of thumb or a MLK-era rule of thumb.

Wow the troll got out early on this thread.

Any charge of racism no matter how valid is false in wingnuttia. Who ever pays these foobs is getting ripped off.

American Hawk: so you're saying that conservatives are lily-livered cowards afraid of a little criticism? Interesting.

The dems will lose me if they outline a brokeback future for my kids however. This may be a onetime deal.

Why would we do that? We have no idea what your kids look like.

What David in NY said. I live in Tennessee, and Democratic Governor Phil Bredesen has cross-party support. There's a new ad out with Phil saying, "Harold will make us proud."

I think Corker's the one with soft numbers. He slimed his opponents in the primaries, both this year and in '94, so he pissed off their supporters. Also, he's been pro-choice in the past, so the state right-to-life folks aren't endorsing him.

Ford's supporters, on the other hand, are enthusiastic, even flaming libruls who disagree with him on social issues.

The dems will lose me if they outline a brokeback future for my kids however.

You lost me there. The dems might try to turn your kids gay?

Example:
Republican: I think all of our laws should be based on the dictates set forth in the Bible.
Democrat: Well, there are certainly some values set forth in the Bible that we can all agree on, but prohibitions on Pork and shrimp?
Republican: Why do you hate all Christians? Why do you want to persecute religious belief? Hate Crime!!!!

The Republicans are feeling a little desperate. So, they play the race card in both Virginia and Tennessee.

The way to overcome this issue, I hope, is to remind the voters of those states, and Missouri, of all the Republican scum in Washington D.C. Overcome their racist feelings with pure disgust at all the pedophilia (the page scandal), corruption (Abramoff), lying and lack of patriotism (Plame outing).

Let them know what's at stake, so their racism will pale by comparison.

The Democratic Party or the Dem Senate Campaign Committee should I suppose organize this ad campaign as it reaches across several states.

Al is obviously a card-carrying KKK member, as are most of his ilk. That said, Ford won't win Tennessee simply because the Republicans in that state will vote for the Republican candidate. For the same reasons, Democrats lose in Virginia and probably Missouri.

I'm just assuming the GOP will retain controll of both houses. The reason? They've proven to be experts at winning elections over the last 12 years. The structures they've grown of Limbaugh and FoxNews, the discipline with which they all repeat the slogans...the Dems aren't playing in the same league.

Example:
Republican: We need to support everything our President says at all times or the troops will suffer.
Democrat: Well, I want the troops supported, but maybe its incumbent on us to be critical if he wants to do something ridiculous like send them into battle naked and carrying squirt guns
Republican: Why do you hate America? Why do you want the terrorists to win? Treason!!!!

I suppose that "brokeback future" refers to "the gay agenda" or some such right wing fantasy. Guess what, dems did not invent homosexuality, either God or natural selection did that. So there are plenty of gays in your children's future.

Al didn't get the memo. The era of the values voter is sooooo over.

I bet another "lie" scenario in polling is when they ask about the economy. Some Democrats may answer the economic questions as if the economy is worse for them in reality and vice versa for Republicans.

Nightline stuck a fork in Ford yesterday.

In a piece about leveraging racial stereotypes in campaign ads, they brought up his Playboy club visit, and quoted him saying "So what? I like women." (approx).

It was either the new Nightline or Entertainment Tonight - can't tell the difference.

I think it's possibly that your hypothesis is correct, but I think that whatever votes Ford loses that way will be more than offset by lower Republican turnout (something which doesn't show up in the polls since they have difficulty forecasting who is going to actually show up and vote). If Republican turnout is even five percent lower than in 2004 (that's one out of every twenty voters deciding to stay home), and/or if five percent of Republican voters decide to vote for Ford (again one out of every twenty Republicans), Ford will win going away.

The major variable is not which candidate people are going to vote for, its who is going to bother to show up at the polls, and that, at least this year, favors the Democrats.

Dems probably regain control of the House but not the Senate simply because Republicans are better at getting out the vote and have more money. Too many races are within the margin of error. Races that close will be impacted by the Republican's advantages in GOTV and $$.

Also, Kevin, in the last SUSA poll, showing a 48-48 tie in Tenn, there were 37% R's, 38% D's, and the rest independents. And 87% of the R's were going for Corker. Face it, he's just not going to do much better than that under current circumstances. He's got to get more independents, and they don't have that hesitancy to pull the D lever. Your analysis sucks. In the latest SUSA, Corker was getting more independents, but Ford had before. We'll see how it swings. SUSA seems to think it depends on how strongly the African-American vote comes out.

sorry this is a reality in the south especially a high profile election

I think most point to Doug Wilder in VA -- he was hugely popular LT Gov against a very weak Republican he was leading by wide margin in the polls leading up to election and yet he only won by less than 8,000 votes.

Basically it was because whites reluctance to vote for what was the first black govenor of VA.

This year we have one of those "defense of marriage" amendments on the ballot in Tennessee, and it's the reason for the Corker campaign's confidence despite having done just about everything wrong that a campaign can do wrong. What they've been thinking all along, but won't say, is that the anti-gay marriage vote will have coattails long enough to carry Corker into office.

It also needs to be remembered that Harold Ford is a member of Tennessee's most notorious political family, and that there are thousands of voters in this state who will not vote for him for the simple reason that he is a Ford.

Another tip: Watch the performance of GOP gubernatorial candidate Jim Bryson. Bryson is as anonymous a candidate as you can find anywhere; the Tennessee GOP turned to the Williamson County backbencher after nearly all the state's better-known Republicans refused to run against trhe popular incumbent Phil Bredesen and his fortune. Nevertheless, there are those claiming that Bryson could receive 40% of the vote. Should Bryson manage to do that, it would point to problems that Tennessee Democrats have that are more serious than campaign ads.

Well I guess I could see one or two people doing that, but 15%, sorry, the polls won't be THAT wrong, people don't have that much trouble saying what they really feel to a poll taker, and Kevin, you are talking about the corporate pandering WSJ and slanted opinions. Sounds like just an excuse to let Diebold steal an election. You do know that Diebold are the only people that have the right to check the machines and declare the winner, not the state, nor any state officicals. State officials are not allowed to see any of the voting evidence. That's the right American gave up.

Dems are promising minimum wage increases if the house takes control, how long has it been since people had a raise in Bush's "for corporations only" administration?

Employment is up but only in the service industry? That type of employment doesn't pay anything and sure WSJ, not that the rich people cares.

oops: Employment is up but only in the service industry? That type of employment doesn't pay anything and I'm sure that WSJ doesn't care about the state of overall public. The WSJ is just a rich people rag.

"The dems will lose me if they outline a brokeback future for my kids however."

The republicans are the party who support the world of brokeback mountain. They want gay men closeted, in deceitful marriages, traveling to the dominican republic for clandestine gay sex tourism, beaten to death when found out... etc.

I think that the best way for Ford to deal with the "15% lie" is to confront it head-on, and the Republicans have given him the perfect opportunity with their "jungle drums" commercial.

The key is, don't accuse the other side of racism. Rather, accuse them of insulting Tennessee voters, by assuming that the voters are racists and will respond to this jungle-drum stuff. Embarrass the hell out of them. Ask them if they think that Tennessee voters go around in white sheets at night. Ask them why they have so little respect.

This is why I suspect, in the end, Democrats will gain Senate seats this year, but not quite enough seats to make Harry Reid majority leader.

That's the sense I get, reading the polls and commentaries at Real Clear Politics.

Another few percent: it was shown in the analyses of the polls and returns in Ohio in 2004 that conservative/Republican voters were less willing than liberal/Democrats to respond to pollsters. For the reasons that those analysts mentioned, I expect that to be generally true for a few years, until polling organizations find and test strategies to overcome the problem.

Whenever a crime is committed, everyone in the vicinity wants to sound convincing in saying, "It wasn't me."

They've started early.

Well, dr. sardonicus, in the latest SUSA poll, Bryson the R has all of 29% of the vote, or less than the 87% of the Republican share of the vote (37%) that Corker is getting, and nothing else. So at least in the polls, his showing is lagging far behind Corker's, getting him only that absolutely solid 30% Republican base, and no more. I don't think his showing means anything.

you folks are a real riot! why do you even bother....?

mfw13: The major variable is not which candidate people are going to vote for, its who is going to bother to show up at the polls, and that, at least this year, favors the Democrats.

I do not see how anyone can have an opinion on this. The polls fairly consistently underpredicted Republican turnout in 2004, and I think they have the same features in place to underpredict this year. Besides, Republicans know that confirmation of Bush appointees depends on keeping a Republican majority in the Senate; extending the tax cuts depends on majorites in both houses. I don't think that Republican disappointments on other issues are going to lead them to cede control of those issues.

I think that the idea of staying home because of discouragement is slightly more prominent among liberals and Democrats than among onservatives and Republicans. As you can read anywhere in the blogosphere: It's a fine idea to punish the Republicans, but it's self-defeating to reward the Democrats.

I think there is about 5% hidden racist vote that doesn't show up in the polls. Ford will have to be ahead 5+% in the polls to win in Tenn. I think there were studies showing this to be true in North Carolina when Jesse Helms used to run racist ads.

Like it or not racist ads are very effective. Most people's racist insticts are dormant. These ads awaken the hidden fear/hate in a lot of people who don't consider themselves racists.

I would go further and argue that Joe Liberman on the ticket probably cost Gore several close southern states, including Tenn. Anti-semitism works the same way as racism. There must have been at least 5% of voters who could not bring themselves to vote for a Jew on the ticket.

What Joe Buck @ 12:50 said...

I've never once believed Ford would win that race, for the reason mentioned in the WSJ article. He's going to find that his attempts to run away from every issue that could conceivably be associated with an urban black politican have been totally futile (his irrelevant criticism of the actions of a state court in New Jersey being the latest and most ridiculous example). You can be as me-too Republican as you want, but in the end, Tennessee is the south and Ford is black--end of story.

I have to agree with Kevin. Dems will pick up seats, but not enough to regain a majority. What happens if dems pick up 4 seats (not including LIEberman), and it ends up 49(R)-49(D)-2(I)? Would be an interesting Senate!

what the devil was all that blathering about

How does anyone know Ford is "black?"

He looks white to me. Light skin, green eyes.

Should Bryson manage to do that, it would point to problems that Tennessee Democrats have that are more serious than campaign ads.

Other than the fact that they have to live in
Tennessee ?

Another few percent: it was shown in the analyses of the polls and returns in Ohio in 2004 that conservative/Republican voters were less willing than liberal/Democrats to respond to pollsters.

They were probably at work when the pollsters called.

I've seen plenty of blog articles starting to make excuses for why Democrats won't win congress regardless of what the polls say. The concept of a "15% Lie" is a pretty interesting example.

More interesting anyway than posts like Cheryl upthread screaming Diebold, DIEBOLD! Don't forget your tinfoil hat, Cheryl.

Harold Ford is black?

I lived in Los Angeles when Tom Bradley was defeated for governor by that hoser Deukmejian. That's when I found out about the quiet racism of the voting booth. Ick.

Frankly, I've never heard of this phenomenon being linked to any specific percentage like 15%. As I've understood it, the problem is not that voters lie and say they'll vote for black candiddte A while fully intending to vote for white candidate B. It's that almost all of the people who say they're Undecided end up voting for the white candidate -- leading to speculation there's some embarrassment about not wanting to admit you're set agaisnt the black candidate. This was Doug Wilder's problem: he led polls by plenty, but got only the exact number (50-51%) he was polling; it turned out to be just enough, but looked paltry next to his (can't remember exactly, but let's say) 51-43% poll lead. So, that's Ford's problem: that he's not hitting 50%, and may not be able to expect any better than he's polling. Only possible saving grace: if turnout differential is truly dramatic and favors Dems (as many polls suggest); in that case, Ford getting 48% of a bigger pool could swing the election for him.

By the way, this is a case where ragging on the South is somewhat unfair. The first time analysts noted the "what voters say/how they vote" discepancy was in the Bradley/Deukmejian CA Governor race of 1982 -- Bradley had a strong lead in a very Dem year, but fell just short because Deukmejian took about 95% of undecideds.

The dems will lose me if they outline a brokeback future for my kids however.

Perhaps you would prefer your children become Congressional pages in a Republican controlled House.

The day a black man wins a Senate seat in Tennessee is the day ________________. (Insert words like "pigs fly", "Trojans don't cheat", etc. )

The WSJ is just a rich people rag.

The WSJ is the newpaper of record for the extremist faction of American right wing politics.

Harold Ford is black?

The entrenched bigotry of the US is demonstrated by our need to ethnically identify every person by their skin color. I am often taken aback when people like Tiger Woods are referred to as Black, when he is clearly half Asian. People like Mr. Ford are referred to as Black, even though he is almost certainly more a descendant of Europeans than Africans. The Old South had many different calculations and names, as well as lots of impolite gossip, for people who had even a hint of color in their complexions. Even if a person is only 1/1000th African, they are Black in America. I think it is shameful we continue to observe the institutionalized bigotry left over from our slave holding heritage.

I do not want to disparage taking pride in one's ethnicity. If Mr. Ford, for example, wants to identify with any of his descendants' origins, he should do it proudly, as I would hope all people would, but without the kind of exclusivity that usually defines European America's attitude about race.

Clifford is gay?

The dems will lose me if they outline a brokeback future for my kids however. This may be a onetime deal. Posted by: clifford

". . . brokeback future for my kids . . ."? Jesus. We don't want your vote if you're that fucking bigotted and stupid.

What the hell is wrong with people?

Even if a person is only 1/1000th African, they are Black in America. I think it is shameful we continue to observe the institutionalized bigotry left over from our slave holding heritage.

Well, Hostile, I agree with most of what you say. However, anyone with 1/1000th African ancestry would most likely not know it. As a matter of fact, it is estimated that over 40% of the "white" population in the U.S. has african ancestry and it is a fair bet that about 99% of them don't know it.

ddd,

It is pretty much a fact that every human being on the planet has African ancestors.

Bob is gay?

The problem is the sexual appetite and depravity of homosexual predation.... does no one understand the implications of Foley's confession that he was compromised by an older gay man when he was a child?

Hell, even in that film, one fellow preyed on the other. In my own family, one member still has horrible memories of being seduced by an older boy at school... and because he was brought to orgasm... he thinks he might be gay. Posted by: clifford

Clifford your pathologies are too big to be dealt with here. However, just because you got off with a male playmate does not mean you are gay (see Dan Savage's column in The Stranger). But, one can't discount the distinct possbility that you may be a repressed homosexual.

The silent racism of the voting booth still applies, so I don't think Ford is far enough ahead in Tennessee to win. Especially coupled with a gay marriage ballot measure. That will really get the wingnuts out to vote, unfortunately.

And it's not like I mind too much, as I never liked Ford's conservative positions in Congress. I would much rather have seen a different Dem. Senate candidate, but he's the one on the ballot.

If, however, there's a HUGH national landslide for Democrats, he might pull it out.

Well, it's beyond me how Mark Foley proved people aren't born gay, Bob. How does that go, exactly? Do you mean there's some proof somewhere that Foley wouldn't, but for the priest, have been oriented towards sex with men? That only his "recruiting" and not his innate orientation, was involved in his later homosexuality. And how do we know that, exactly?

I mean, if you've got a prejudice about this, I'm sure Foley's affair with the priest makes you happy. But proof, it isn't.

You might remember that in certain subcultures it was common for younger boys to be the sexual partners of older ones as rites of passage. The English public schools were notorious for this. And most of those involved did not turn out to be homosexual in orientation. In addition, most of those who have sued the Catholic church because of molestation by priests have not turned out to be homosexual in orientation. And so on. In short, a homosexual experience as a youth does not by itself cause homosexuality as an adult and never has. It takes an innate orientation in that direction as well.

David in NY,

Though I agree that Foley's claims prove nothing, I would point out that you are making pretty strong statements at the end which seem to imply that an innate orientation is a requirement for being homosexual as an adult. This may or may not be true, but it also has not been proven either way.

It is pretty much a fact that every human being on the planet has African ancestors.

You know that, but I will bet you that you will get some heated arguments from some less literate individuals if you told them their ancestry orignated in africa. But, in this sense, I was talking about recent history, i.e., in the last 300 years. Many "whites" in this country are descended from the africans brought to this country to serve as slaves and they have no idea of that fact.

It's really simple.

Republicans are racists.

No ifs, no ands, no buts.

Racists.

The new bigotry is a lot nastier than the old. When I worked for CORE during the Civil Rights Era (1955-1965) we almost had respect for those outright racists that we opposed: at least they didn't lie about it. A Klansman may be an ignorant asshole but he's up front about his hateful racism. The new bigotry hides behind a smarmy language-contorting veil of intolerance that denies its own existence. These bastards would have you believe that Red-State America is NOT about race hatred and resentment, when that's all that goddamned ex-slave society was ever about. I almost pine for the honesty of those rednecked peckerwoods. Of course these closet racists will tell you they'd vote for Ford or Obama, but they'd do nothing of the sort. They've learned how to lie to other white people about colored people because they know many white people are "liberals," which is their code word for "nigger-lovers."

America is about race. Whether liquidating Indians or stealing from Mexicans or enslaving Africans It has always been about race. And anybody who says otherwise blusters and lies.

America is about money.

Race is often just a convenient way to distract poor people (of not only the apparent target race but also the dominant race) from that.

Ditto with "culture war" issues.

I would go further and argue that Joe Liberman on the ticket probably cost Gore several close southern states, including Tenn.

Baloney. What costs Gore Tennessee was that he took it for granted and didn't bother to campaign here. And I say that as a life long Tennessean.

I'm sure the race issue will cost Ford a few points, and in a close race it might be enough to swing the result. But Tennessee isn't Mississippi, folks. Even East Tennessee, the most Republican part of the state, almost broke away from the Confederacy during the Civil War. I don't think race matters here as much as it does in the deep South.

And to be blunt, it helps that Ford is so light-skinned. The first thing that strikes you when you see him isn't "black guy."

Add this to the fact that many conservatives are really, really pissed at Corker over his behavior during the primary campaign (in which he beat two conservatives). Some of them are mad enough to stay home, and I've heard some well-known ones publicly state they're mad enough to vote for Ford (who is moderate enough not to scare them).

I think this race hinges on turnout. And I think it will be close. If I had to bet, I'd say Corker will eek it out, but I sure would have to bet.

That's supposed to read "I sure would hate to have to bet."

POed Lib at 4:08 and buddy66 at 4:33.

Black people are just people, pure and simple. You don't empower them by treating them like anything other than regular people.

One of the worst aspects of many left wing legislators is that they see black people as a vote, nothing more and nothing less. All their PC pandering is just a veiled attempt to keep minorities dependant on the system, and keep their vote intact. Pure garbage.

I live right in the middle of a large city, 1 block from a primarily black neighborhood. I interact with black people every day. All the liberals I know from work live out in the second tier suburbs. They need to practice what they preach.

All that nonsense about people being born gay?
The Foley scandal knocked the wind out of that one.
Posted by: Bob

there have been 4 studies looking at the genetic basis of human male sexuality. 3 of them found convincing evidence of moderately strong penetrance, 2 of them independantly localizing a region on the X chromosome (Xq28). Probably the best (and first) is Linkage between sexual orientation and chromosome Xq28 in males but not in females. Nat Genet. 1995 Nov;11(3):248.

A meta-analysis of the data in both humans and mammals strongly supports a genetic basis for male homosexuality (or male-male preference). Multiple human studies have repilicated the finding that later fraternal birth-order increases the likelihood of homosexuality.

Among pedophiles, multiple studies demonstrate that homosexuality, mental retardation, younger age at 1st sexual experience, and sexual abuse as a child are ALL over-represented. It is completely unknown, and little studied, whether the homosexual attraction that occurs in homosexual pedophiles is the same mechanism that defines healthy adult male homosexuality.

... equating homsexuality with pedophilia or predatory sexual behavior is the same as assuming that the mechanism that attracts some straight men to 18yo playboy bunnies is the same as that which attracts other straight men to 7yo little girls.

foley proves nothing, and scientific illiterates like yourself should refrain from making statements such as the above simply to justify your bigotry. anecdotes aren't data points ... jackass.

I live right in the middle of a large city, 1 block from a primarily black neighborhood. I interact with black people every day. All the liberals I know from work live out in the second tier suburbs. They need to practice what they preach.
Posted by: sportsfan79

assuming you aren't lying, you actually only live 1 block away from liberals.

Foley blamed his behavior on his experience when he was a child. Lots of studies have shown that children that are abused become abusers.

Now the stats get skewed when the perp says hes married... my best friend is a psychiatrist dealing with this subject and she told me the APA is so drenched in homosexual activism that when a perp is 'married' he is automatically entered in the data base as heterosexual.... why a married heterosexual is preying on little boys never occurs to the fags in the APA -- sez 60 year old therapist Dr. Otto...

SO -- Foley sez the predation made him do it.

Foley's excuse is early predation... and my point was that aging queens hit on small boys as they run out of boy toys with age.

MY pathologies? why do fags always tell us WE are the problem... lets all just fuck every thing and every body ... every day!! dogs cats, kids....

ejaculation is the ANSWER!!

way to win the hearts and minds of america...

"How does anyone know Ford is "black?"
He looks white to me. Light skin, green eyes."

Posted by: ddd on October 26, 2006 at 1:46 PM | PERMALINK

What's the matter with you? Can't you tell he's a gay, Black, Massachussetts Liberal, commie? Well, that's what all the Republicans say, and they couldn't be wrong could they? They wouldn't be lyin', would they?

I think the Republican political class uses race (and religion) to get votes and they're probably laughing their asses off at all those racists in the South who think Republicans care about them and their needs.

Meanwhile they're sending those poor White Southern kids who are soooo patriotic off to Baghdad to get their bodies blown apart.

I wonder if their body armor works these days. On days when I watch news programs where they list the dead and their ages it just shocks me to see the 35-40-year olds and the 19-year-olds. Somehow the thought of our career soldiers dying needlessly and the very young inexperienced children dying just makes me mad.

If Bush were patriotic he wouldn't keep our kids in a losing battle. We won't lose this war no matter what, but in the battle in Iraq we can lose a lot of kids and money for nothing, if the Republicans are re-elected.

Pick your battles where you can win. Bush is an idiot is keeping us in a losing battle.
.
.

性爱文学 偷拍走光 漂亮美眉 泳装写真 乳罩内裤 成人贴图 情趣内衣 性生活电影 作爱自拍 艳情图片性交电影 做爱视频 性福电影 人体艺术 明星合成裸照 裸女贴图 黄色小说 成人小说 乱伦故事 强暴图片 轮奸视频 性虐待电影 迷奸图片 妓女日记 强奸小电影 自拍裸体 美女床上自拍 黄色电影下载 在线色情电影 裸露美少女 av美女贴图 色情电影下载 同志图片 性爱视频 明星露点 激情写真 女性阴部 美女乳房 美女裸照 性激情图片 激情小电影 性感图片 妹妹贴图 美女做爱图片 汤加丽写真集 全裸美女 淫荡小说 淫乱小说 淫书金瓶梅 舒淇写真 美女脱衣视频 裸体女人图片 人体写真 美女手淫图片 波霸美女 淫水美女鲍鱼 阴户阴道阴毛屁股 美女图库 口交肛交图片 A片下载 毛片 偷窥图片 裸体视频聊天室 成人网站 成人论坛 性爱论坛网站 性变态图片 淫女图片 日本女学生 美女下阴图 女性生殖器 操逼图片 美女激情 搞笑手机铃声 个性铃声 dj铃声 唱得响亮铃声 手机铃声图片 高频铃声下载 手机铃声格式 搞怪铃声 比特铃声 自编铃声 adp铃声 七彩铃声 经典手机铃声 最新手机铃声 手机铃声制作 诺基亚手机铃声 小灵通铃声 移动手机铃声 手机动画 手机彩图 手机铃音 手机铃声论坛 短信铃声 来电铃声 音乐铃声 歌曲铃声 铃声试听 手机壁纸 彩色铃声 v3铃声下载 手机待机图片 免费手机图片 三星手机图片 手机mp3下载 手机主题 如何制作手机铃声 真人原唱和弦铃声 qd铃声下载 经典铃声 联通手机彩铃 神奇铃声 最新铃声 另类铃声 联通铃声下载联通手机铃声 联通炫铃 中国联通炫铃 联通彩铃 联通彩铃下载 中国联通铃声 联通免费铃声 联通用户铃声 联通cdma铃声 联通和弦铃声 联通mp3铃声 联通特效铃声 联通炫铃下载 联通炫铃网站 联通炫铃业务 联通cdma炫铃 联通手机图片 联通手机炫铃 中国联通彩铃 联通手机彩铃下载 联通彩铃业务 联通彩铃网站 联通免费彩铃 联通cdma彩铃 免费电影下载 免费在线电影 看免费电影 免费电影网站 韩国电影 两性生活 性教育片 两性健康 性爱图片 免费激情电影 免费黄色电影 最新电影 成人性爱电影 免费小电影 性电影下载 成人电影下载 免费电影在线看 宽带电影 经典电影 恐怖电影 免费影片 免费影院 最新大片 十八电影网 美女写真 人体艺术 美女图片 美女走光 美腿图片 三级片 强奸图片 美女祼体图片

most of the South is beyond Democrats' reach

So what happened after the civil war - di all the assholes in the country flock down there?