Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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December 5, 2006
By: Kevin Drum

SOLVING THE WORLD'S PROBLEMS....I've been waiting impatiently for Instapundit's promised "symposium" on Iraq, an ambitious attempt to see if the blogosphere can come up with better ideas than all those tired mainstream analysts. As it turns out, response was so overwhelming that we'll be getting multiple installments. Here are some of the suggestions from Part 1:

  • "Regime change. More of it."

  • Stop worrying about deeply held religious beliefs: "When we give those who follow this or that imam a bigger voice by doing things this way, we get in the way of what we need to be promoting: secularization."

  • Get Russia to put pressure on Iran. Somehow.

  • Better yet: put Iran's oil fields out of commission! (Does this mean bombing their oil facilities? Maybe, maybe not. The delicate phrase used here is that we should "disrupt Iranian oil export capacity.")

  • But don't forget Syria! If we draw down our forces in Iraq to a "30,000 or so ground troop advisory effort, we'd again have the forces for outright war with Syria."

  • Etc.

There are also a few pro forma proposals for redeploying troops, adopting a more effective counterinsurgency strategy, sharing oil wealth, and other versions of rearranging the deck chairs, but the main thread is pretty clear: the only problem with our Iraq strategy is that we haven't declared war on enough people. It's bracing stuff. Maybe they should write an official white paper to compete with the Baker-Hamilton report. I'll bet Bill Kristol would publish it.

UPDATE: A reader points out that the 5,000-word "Jacksonian Plan," which is linked at the bottom of the post and described neutrally as "rather involved," is, in fact, batshit insane. Basically, we take out Syria, Saudi Arabia, and Iran, and then create a "Unity Council" to oversee Mecca and Medina. It's terrific stuff. I can certainly see why Glenn linked it.

Kevin Drum 2:03 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (214)
 
Comments

We support your war of terror!

Posted by: Borat on December 5, 2006 at 2:05 PM | PERMALINK

They don't call him instaputz for nothing. And they let this guy teach future lawyers

Posted by: klyde on December 5, 2006 at 2:10 PM | PERMALINK

It is always interesting to watch the Christianists and their fellow travelers of USA promote the 'secularization' of the Muslim countries.

Posted by: gregor on December 5, 2006 at 2:10 PM | PERMALINK

It sounds as though these guys may have better ideas than the ISG. Surprise, surprise.

Posted by: b on December 5, 2006 at 2:13 PM | PERMALINK

So, the same supporters of Oedipus Wrecks who cheerled their way into Iraq are cheerleading for more war.

Didn't they notice that their boy's administration does war about as poorly as they do everything else?

I think that it's a devious plot to burden the next President with an insurmountable mess so that the Cardboard Cowboy won't look as bad as he is by comparison.

Posted by: Dennis on December 5, 2006 at 2:15 PM | PERMALINK

Here's a suggestion I'll bet they didn't get - Unconditional surrender by the United States. Just tell the Iraqis they won, pack up our gear and go home. What difference does it make? What do we lose? Our pride? It would be the Christian thing to do.

Posted by: The Conservative Deflator on December 5, 2006 at 2:15 PM | PERMALINK

It would be the Christian thing to do.

That is why the junta and it's enablers will have nothing to do with it.

Posted by: klyde on December 5, 2006 at 2:18 PM | PERMALINK

Check out Professor Glenn's brilliance!

Posted by: Al's Mommy on December 5, 2006 at 2:18 PM | PERMALINK

This is like hiring Larry, Moe, and Curly for a wallpapering job because they have past experience.

Posted by: Mornington Crescent on December 5, 2006 at 2:18 PM | PERMALINK

Holy cow. I clicked over to read the full Instapundit post. I suppose I shouldn't be surprised by what I saw, but that was flat-out the most insane thing I've read in a long time.

Posted by: Crabshack on December 5, 2006 at 2:19 PM | PERMALINK

Just more of the same neonut posturing. Things not going well? People not doing what you want them to do? Well, it's just because you haven't been enough. You need to show them who's in charge. What they need is a good whoopin. That will do the trick.

Of course, history has proven over and over again that the Eight Hundred Pound Gorilla theory of international relations doesn't work. It just makes all of those little ducks mad at you and they will eventually peck you to death.

aa

Posted by: aaron aardvarka on December 5, 2006 at 2:22 PM | PERMALINK

Background clown/circus "doo-doo-doodoodoodoo-doo-doo-doo-doo" music not included.

Posted by: norbizness on December 5, 2006 at 2:23 PM | PERMALINK

Crashback, read the link by Al's Mommy for something way better.

He is right about secularization. As long as we grant credence to those who "believe" their "God" commands them to kill "heathen," we aren't going to be safe. But, as pointed out, secularization and commitment to reason begins at home.

Posted by: Gore 08 on December 5, 2006 at 2:28 PM | PERMALINK

Wes Clark is right now in Dubai at an international conference including the heads of state of some middle eastern countries. They are discussing the future of the Middle East.

What qualifications does the blogosphere bring to this discussion? The same as the media? The same as the Bush Administration --- people who have never talked to anyone but Americans on this subject?

We all grew up in a school system that emphasized that it's more important to communicate how you feel about things than it is to actually study facts and base your opinions on actual data. Style over substance. It gives middle class kids an advantage, as the style that is promoted is the style of middle class parents.

Find some bloggers who live in the Middle East and get their opinions. Ask some experts who have been in the region. The rest of us should sit on the sidelines ....and learn from them.

Posted by: catherineD on December 5, 2006 at 2:31 PM | PERMALINK

Instanpundit did say on Dec 3rd-- outright war with Iran is unlikely and probably a bad idea. But the mullarchy that runs Iran is corrupt and unpopular. What about targeting the mullahs -- personally?
Maybe the CIA can steal some polonium-210 from the Russian FSB and lead a trail to Damascus?..That should help cause a full-blown regional war by 2010, but maybe that wouldn't be instant enough.

Posted by: Steve Crickmore on December 5, 2006 at 2:34 PM | PERMALINK

The only idea I can think of that would be worse than the ones listed would be making George Bush Commander In Chief.

Posted by: reino on December 5, 2006 at 2:35 PM | PERMALINK

I am surprised that no one in the blogosphere offered poverty reduction as an approach to cleaning up all our confused international relations in the Middle East. The Borgen Project lists multiple political leaders talking about development and poverty reduciton as a way to reinforce national security and global stability. The UN Millennium Development Goals are definately something to shoot for, ensuring that no human being lives on less than $1 a day...and from the White House National Security Strategy, I quote,"a world where some live in comfort and plenty, while half of the human race lives on less than $2 a day, is neither just nor stable."

Posted by: Amy1022 on December 5, 2006 at 2:38 PM | PERMALINK

Instead, we should be exporting Iraq to the rest of the region.

Unfortunately, I think that's exactly what we'll do.

Posted by: goethean on December 5, 2006 at 2:43 PM | PERMALINK

Amy1022;
Poverty reduction is fine and dandy.
But how to keep that money out of the hands of the mullahs, the terrorists, and the plutocrats?

When we shipped food-aid to Somalia in the 1990's, the militias stole it right off the truck, so we were essentially supplying terrorist militias.

So we had to send troops to guard the food to make sure it made it into the right hands.

Billions of dollars of aid that went to the Palestinians ended up in Arafat's swiss bank account.

Iraqi Oil for Food money ended up going to build lavish palaces for Hussein and his cronies.

After the invasion, US funds that were supposed to help the Iraqi people were funneled to Ahmed Chalabi through his cronies.

That's the challenge.

To make sure this aid gets to the people who need it, these countries would have to have their political and economic systems opened up. And as far as having open economic systems goes, the US has historically NOT been a champion on that front.

Worst yet; this issue was used as one (of many) bogus rationalizations for taking down the Hussein regime - to replace one thug with another set of thugs.

Worst of all: Wolfowitz, as head of the World Bank, is virtually guaranteeing that plutocrats and thugs will be able to get ahold of aid cash and loans, by his direct influence on World Bank policies. Talk about the fox guarding the henhouse - this is the fox running a worldwide chicken-enslavement industry.

I'm all for solving these problems - but FIRST, we need to recognize the criminals, stop them, and punish them, and then prevent them from ever gaining this kind of power again.

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 3:01 PM | PERMALINK

I have this funny feeling that the end game is going to be that we leave when we're not willing to kill enough people to be able to secure the Green Zone.

So in a weird sense, these guys are right on the money. We won't have 'lost' Iraq unless we balk at using the amount of force necessary to hold on there.

Posted by: Saam Barrager on December 5, 2006 at 3:05 PM | PERMALINK

if the Green Zone is so safe, why don't they just make the whole country the Green Zone ?

</Seinfeld>

Posted by: cleek on December 5, 2006 at 3:19 PM | PERMALINK

"When we give those who follow this or that imam a bigger voice by doing things this way, we get in the way of what we need to be promoting: secularization."

" ... but, um, we need to be promoting less of it in the U.S.!"

Posted by: Alek Hidell on December 5, 2006 at 3:23 PM | PERMALINK

The nation-building plan the Bush administration adopted from the neocons is a liberal poverty reduction program. They sent all those teenage Heritage Foundation applicants to Iraq to erect a bastion of laissez faire wealth and prosperity on the wreckage of a Stalinist state. It was going to be a beacon to the benighted peoples. Turns out the treatment, which spawned chaos and destitution, is worse than the disease, which was an authoritarian state that didn't cooperate.

But this is always what happens. The cover story is so good even the hucksters believe in it, as Mark Twain says:
LOVE,
LAW AND ORDER,
JUSTICE,
LIBERTY,
GENTLENESS,
EQUALITY,
HONORABLE DEALING,
PROTECTION TO THE WEAK,
MERCY,
TEMPERANCE,
EDUCATION,

and so on.

There. Is it good? Sir, it is pie. It will bring into camp any idiot that sits in darkness anywhere. But not if we adulterate it. It is proper to be emphatic upon that point. This brand is strictly for Export apparently. Apparently. Privately and confidentially, it is nothing of the kind. Privately and confidentially, it is merely an outside cover, gay and pretty and attractive, displaying the special patterns of our Civilization which we reserve for Home Consumption, while inside the bale is the Actual Thing that the Customer Sitting in Darkness buys with his blood and tears and land and liberty. That Actual Thing is, indeed, Civilization, but it is only for Export. Is there a difference between the two brands? In some of the details, yes.

Posted by: bellumregio on December 5, 2006 at 3:24 PM | PERMALINK

Stop worrying about deeply held religious beliefs: "When we give those who follow this or that imam a bigger voice by doing things this way, we get in the way of what we need to be promoting: secularization."

More secularization? Does Bill "Falafel" O'Reilly know about this???

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 3:25 PM | PERMALINK

But don't forget Syria! If we draw down our forces in Iraq to a "30,000 or so ground troop advisory effort, we'd again have the forces for outright war with Syria."

Jesus, if that isn't the craziest thing I've read all week (normally I'd say "all year," but these days one reads so many damn insane things that the bar has been set a bit higher). Yes indeed -- if we can do something that we so far have found it all but impossible to do, then we'll be able to do something else even more impossible. After all, why just lose to Iraq when we can lose to Iraq AND to Syria?

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 3:29 PM | PERMALINK

I refuse to read Ole Perfesser. Has anyone there advocated for "Shock and Awe II: Nuclear Bugaloo" yet? Or is that a little too LGF for his readership?

Posted by: de stijl on December 5, 2006 at 3:34 PM | PERMALINK

catherineD: Find some bloggers who live in the Middle East and get their opinions. Ask some experts who have been in the region. The rest of us should sit on the sidelines ....and learn from them.

I worked in the Middle East for three years, learned Arabic (now mostly gone, alas), and read a pile of books on the area while I was there. What would you like to know?

A few random thoughts: In the oilfields of the Persian Gulf (or, as the Arabs prefer, the Arabian Gulf), the Iraqis have the reputation as being the most corrupt and venal people in the region. (They won't compete in that respect with the Nigerians, but that's a whole 'nother league.)

Recommended reading: A Short History of the Arab Peoples, by Colonel John Glubb, who the Arab Legion in what is now Jordan from 1938 to 1956. He distinguishes four types of Arabs by personality type. Palestinians were said to be the most intellectual but the most rigid. They would fight for the last iota of their position and not compromise over anything. They remind me a lot of Grover Norquist.

Saudis were said to be the most practical. They would compromise to get an agreement but immediately begin working on negotiating an amendment to get some more. They also have the greatest sense of entitlement by virtue of being Saudis. If a Saudi crashes into a parked car owned by a foreigner, its the foreigners fault, because if the foreigner hadnt been there, the accident wouldnt have happened.

I don't remember the details of the other two types (Syrian and Egyptian), so I'll leave that as an exercise for the student. Glubb traces much of Middle Eastern conflict to urban-rural differences. In Lebanon, for example, foreign traders settled in the cities, which became ethnically and religiously different from rural folk. In other areas, it looks more like Ibn Khalduns cyclical theory, where a rural religious wacko whips up sentiment against the decadent city. Then they rebel, take over the city, and in 3 more generations become the people they rebelled against.

Never expect an Arab (speaking here of natives of that area, not people in the US of Arab extraction) to successfully do anything mechanical or industrial twice in a row. Sometimes they do, but then they decide to change the oil on a generator but forget to bring the oil, so they just take off the oil filter instead and duct tape over where the filter screws in. It's a hell of a mess and a dead generator. My first thought after the 9/11 plane crashed in Pennsylvania was that the guys flying it were probably just incompetent. Tales of Saudi pilots in US jets are funny but scary.

There is a greater reverence for truthiness than for facts. In the 1967 war, Nasser kept telling the King of Jordan that his troops were pushing back the Israelis, so the King disposed his troops accordingly, which turned out badly for the Jordanians. The King, educated at Sandhurst, had expected facts. An oil field worker will never tell you how something broke if it reflects badly on him. Cant be done.

Anything else you'd like to know?

Posted by: anandine on December 5, 2006 at 3:36 PM | PERMALINK

"When we give those who follow this or that imam a bigger voice by doing things this way, we get in the way of what we need to be promoting: secularization."

Alek Hidell " ... but, um, we need to be promoting less of it in the U.S.!"

I think you mean less sectarianism. We need more secularism.

And that should have been "Colonel John Glubb, who led the Arab Legion in what is now Jordan"

Posted by: anandine on December 5, 2006 at 3:40 PM | PERMALINK

In other areas, it looks more like Ibn Khalduns cyclical theory, where a rural religious wacko whips up sentiment against the decadent city. Then they rebel, take over the city, and in 3 more generations become the people they rebelled against.

Any resemblance to the Republican Party in the US is purely coincidental....

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 3:41 PM | PERMALINK

Anandine -- I think Alek Hidell was using sarcasm....

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 3:44 PM | PERMALINK

Better yet: put Iran's oil fields out of commission! (Does this mean bombing their oil facilities? Maybe, maybe not. The delicate phrase used here is that we should "disrupt Iranian oil export capacity.")

That'll do wonders for the price of a gallon of gas, I'm sure. American consumers will love it!

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 3:47 PM | PERMALINK

I think you mean less sectarianism. We need more secularism.

anandine, I agree that the Middle East needs more secularism, and a lot more. I was being sarcastic: the same people who here are advocating more secularism for the Middle East are continually bemoaning how secular the U.S. is. I think the irony is lost on them. They don't do irony well.

Posted by: Alek Hidell on December 5, 2006 at 3:49 PM | PERMALINK

They don't do irony well.

Its pronounced eye-ran-ey Iraq, Syria, then Irony.

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 3:57 PM | PERMALINK

They don't do irony well.

Or anything else, apparently....

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 3:59 PM | PERMALINK

compel the Shiite and Kurdish led government to declare a federal republic with a great deal of autonomy for each region with or without the consent of the Sunnis, offer relocation assistance and security to people wanting to relocate to ethnic and religious majority zones, refocus deployments on separating sects from one another, partitioning Baghdad and the three major regions with blockades and check points, at the end of the day partition the country if necessary

Posted by: Linus on December 5, 2006 at 4:07 PM | PERMALINK

The recommendations remind me of the joke about the kid digging through a pile of horse crap because "there has to be a pony in here somewhere". Except for the Instawankers crowd who are digging through a pile of dead bodies looking for victory.

Posted by: Col Bat Guano on December 5, 2006 at 4:07 PM | PERMALINK

"Regime change. More of it."

We're trying that now. That's what the Nov election was all about. Give it some time, ok?

Posted by: tomeck on December 5, 2006 at 4:09 PM | PERMALINK

That'll do wonders for the price of a gallon of gas, I'm sure. American consumers will love it!
Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 3:47 PM | PERMALINK

And for ExxonMobil's bottom line for the next 3 decades.

I can see it now;
"waaah! Iran is building WMD!"
"waaaaah! Our Israeli mast- er, I mean ALLIES, are getting nervous!"
"Waah! we don't have enough troops to invade!"
"waaah! the deficit from tax breaks and Iraq is driving up the cost of borrowing!"
"waaaah! all these expensive nuclear warheads just sitting around in our arsenal, wasted!"

...
one brief nuclear strike later. . .
. . .

"Expensive gasoline is just a result of the Free Market, stop whining!"

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 4:13 PM | PERMALINK

Stop worrying about deeply held religious beliefs: "When we give those who follow this or that imam a bigger voice by doing things this way, we get in the way of what we need to be promoting: secularization."

From the same voices who argue for more religion in American public life:

less religion for those swarthy Muslims.

What a bunch of bigots.

Posted by: Chuck on December 5, 2006 at 4:16 PM | PERMALINK

I don't know if everyone clicked through to read Glenn's comments, but following the suggestion of "disrupting" Iran's oil fields, he wrote, With the right futures-market positions, we could actually turn a profit on this approach . . . .

War profiteering is so much easier when you're the one starting and running the war. I think this counts as libertarian morality.

Posted by: RSA on December 5, 2006 at 4:22 PM | PERMALINK

Instapundit's ideas make my Operation Shakira look practical and feasible in comparison.

Posted by: Carnacki on December 5, 2006 at 4:22 PM | PERMALINK

The major reason I believe that the Republicans may never again find their way out of the electoral woods is that these comments represent the base that the Republicans have encouraged and molded over the decades. It's the talk radio crowd fatally combined with the Old Testament Right. All of geopolitics can be reduced to one cure: chronic and massive use of force as punishment for evil-doers.

Republican politicians and advisors may realize perfectly well that they can't advocate the sorts of policies that created the chaos in Iraq without losing all national elections. Yet they can't possibly satisfy their base with more moderate approaches without that base declaring them RINOs.

If you pull out all the stops to create a radical party, you get a radical party. The momentum it takes to turn that around will require decades to change, just as it took decades to get to where they are today.

Posted by: frankly0 on December 5, 2006 at 4:29 PM | PERMALINK

I don't understand why Instapundit thinks that he needs to solicit suggestions from the blogosphere for what to do in Iraq...why, goodness, there are plenty of wonderful ideas in Rumsfeld's (departing shot) memo to Bush. Like this one:

"Aggressively beef up the Iraqi MOD and MOI, and other Iraqi ministries critical to the success of the ISF the Iraqi Ministries of Finance, Planning, Health, Criminal Justice, Prisons, etc. by reaching out to U.S. military retirees and Reserve/National Guard volunteers (i.e., give up on trying to get other USG Departments to do it.)"

Now there's an idea! We could ask all of those who supplied helpful suggestions over at Instapundit to volunteer their time and efforts, on the ground in Iraq, to setting things right!

I'm sure they'll be welcomed with flowers and sweets.

Posted by: Wonderin on December 5, 2006 at 4:31 PM | PERMALINK

We all grew up in a school system that emphasized that it's more important to communicate how you feel about things than it is to actually study facts and base your opinions on actual data. Style over substance. It gives middle class kids an advantage, as the style that is promoted is the style of middle class parents.

Ummm... no, we "all" didn't. You might have. None of my teachers ever gave a rat's ass about how I "felt", all the way through a Master's Degree.

My current employers also do not give a crap about how I "feel".

Posted by: Yasonyacky on December 5, 2006 at 4:31 PM | PERMALINK

William H. Macy's character schrieking incoherently as the cops nab him at the end of Fargo.

Posted by: Boronx on December 5, 2006 at 4:35 PM | PERMALINK

After noting that blogger, John Engram, proposes "placing Iran's oil fields at risk" by "disrupt[ing] Iranian oil export capacity" Reynolds notes: "With the right futures-market positions, we could actually turn a profit on this approach . . . ." WTF?!?!?! This is so insane that I really think Reynolds had to be kidding around. Or is he seriously suggesting that the US take up a financial position in the futures market and then make foreign policy decisions in order to derive a benefit from that financial position? That would have no global consequences. Right? I mean no chance that would have an effect on the global markets or anything like that.

That's not to mention, of course, whether Engram has given any thought to whether that would effect the world's oil supply thereby effecting the US economy.

These people are nuts!

Posted by: Amit on December 5, 2006 at 4:38 PM | PERMALINK

Alek Hidell: anandine, I agree that the Middle East needs more secularism, and a lot more. I was being sarcastic: ... They don't do irony well.

Apparently I don't, either. I should have known you know what the words mean.

Posted by: anandine on December 5, 2006 at 4:39 PM | PERMALINK

Looking at the caliber of recommendations from that group of geniuses, I'm anticipating the clever suggestion that we build a gigantic wooden horse and roll it up the gates of some middle eastern country in the middle of the night....

Posted by: Windhorse on December 5, 2006 at 4:39 PM | PERMALINK

RSA: You beat me to it!

Posted by: Amit on December 5, 2006 at 4:40 PM | PERMALINK

Here's another "suggestion" by one of Reynolds' commentators:

Now that we have confirmed beyond reasonable doubt that Iran is supplying weapons to anti-American militias, and probably training them, too, we should cut transport lines between the two countries.

It's comments like these that reveal how bone-deep stupid, ill-informed, and just plain crazy these wingnuts are. If we could have controlled Iraq's borders, we would have done so over three years ago, but at this point, with only 150,000 or so US troops in the entire country, there's absolutely no way on earth this could be achieved (not to mention that you'd also have to cut off the borders with Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Syria).

It would be like me suggesting that the only way to control illegal immigration in the US is to police the border -- true in concept, but virtually impossible in execution. And if it's impossible in execution, why are we even wasting breath discussing it? (Except for the pleasure tha mockery brings, of course).

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 4:40 PM | PERMALINK

"With the right futures-market positions, we could actually turn a profit on this approach . . . ."

Obviously, this guy wasn't at Cheney's secret energy policy meeting.

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 4:42 PM | PERMALINK

With the right futures-market positions, we could actually turn a profit on this approach . . . .

Wouldn't that count as Insider Trading?

Posted by: tomeck on December 5, 2006 at 4:42 PM | PERMALINK

Here's another idea from the Reynolds brain trust:

But I think the best idea is what is already underway, according to some of CENTCOM's recent press releases,

Hey, if you can't believe CENTCOM's press releases whom can you trust?

i.e. converting the patrolling of the big American units into a relatively small advisory effort. Call it training for the Iraqi army, if you want,

Just don't call it cutting and running!

but it would mainly be about providing them with American officers on the ground with access to our artillery, air support and medevac.

Um, we already have access to our own artillery, air support and medevac, and it doesn't seem to be helping us any.

Which is what we were doing in Vietnam by 1972, with more success than previously.

Yeah? How'd that turn out for us?

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 4:44 PM | PERMALINK

And where's a solution other than "surrender to terrorists" from the left?

*crickets*

Posted by: American Hawk on December 5, 2006 at 4:46 PM | PERMALINK

Wouldn't that count as Insider Trading?

No.

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 4:46 PM | PERMALINK

More regime change, an aggressive secularization agenda, and cutting off the oil, thus bringing democracy, peace and prosperity to the region.

Not a bad plan for North America, but I thought the symposium was supposed to be about Iraq?

Posted by: derek on December 5, 2006 at 4:49 PM | PERMALINK

Wouldn't that count as Insider Trading?
Posted by: tomeck on December 5, 2006 at 4:42 PM | PERMALINK

Only if a Democrat does it.

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 4:50 PM | PERMALINK

So this is what it feels like to have no leadership at all.

Posted by: Kenji on December 5, 2006 at 4:51 PM | PERMALINK

Senate hearings on the Gates nomination are chilling, to say the least, though the Dumb Media loved his we're not winning statement.

Gates actually is saying U.S. troops must remain in Iraq at least another 10 years. That's the Cheney position, you might know.

Folks, it's time to take to the streets.

Posted by: Robert Dare on December 5, 2006 at 4:53 PM | PERMALINK

And where's a solution other than "surrender to terrorists" from the left?

Well, at DKOS we're deciding which terrorists to surrender to. The consensus right now is on the Tamil Tigers. They have the best swag, and we think they might be open to adopting the PETA platform.

*Kisses*

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 4:57 PM | PERMALINK

Gates actually is saying U.S. troops must remain in Iraq at least another 10 years. That's the Cheney position, you might know.

While I believe they'd like to, I don't believe it's possible to stay that long, as within a few more years the situation on the ground will become untenable for us (though I don't believe Bush will ever willingly withdraw, so barring outright catastrophe we're stuck there at least until 2009).

Or, to put it another way: how many permanent US military bases were there in Vietnam in 1976?

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 4:57 PM | PERMALINK

And where's a solution other than "surrender to terrorists" from the left?
Posted by: American Hawk on December 5, 2006 at 4:46 PM | PERMALINK

Levy a new War Tax of 90% (Capital Gains AND Income) on the upper quintile%.
Draft, Train, and Deploy 1 million Americans.
Go to War - for REAL. (not this fake Drive-thru war we've got going on now).

This is not overkill - this is the level of effort that is now required to achieve any meaningful goal in the Middle East. Thanks to Bush. (I'm talking about 41, and his removal of democratically-elected Mossedegh from Iran - this is the real cause of most of this).

Then ask the American Public if they approve.

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 4:57 PM | PERMALINK

You with me, American Hawk?

If you prefer, you can PROVE to me, how the current level of troops is "good enough". I suppose 3 years of disaster isn't long enough, so between you and me, let's let this infected wound fester another two years and call it an even 5.

See ya in '08, and then we'll discuss whose policy led to "Surrendering to Terrorists".

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 5:01 PM | PERMALINK

Thanks to Bush. (I'm talking about 41, and his removal of democratically-elected Mossedegh from Iran - this is the real cause of most of this).

Just a correction: Mossadegh was overthrown in 1953 through a CIA-supported coup, at the time of the Eisenhower Administration, at a time when Bush 41 was still a young man working in the oil fields in West Texas. He had nothing to do with it.

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 5:03 PM | PERMALINK

Actually, we on the left all got together to surrender to the terrorists (they're so much easier to find now, thanks to the chickenhawks), but you know what they said?

"Sorry, too late. But do please keep sending your American boys and girls."

Think how disappointed we were.

Posted by: Kenji on December 5, 2006 at 5:03 PM | PERMALINK

Earlier this year, I remember this little nugget of instalogic...

March 20, 2006
Glenn Reynolds
Via Belle Waring at Crooked Timber, I found these serious answers to serious questions by Glenn Instapundit Reynolds:

1. Did you support the invasion of Iraq?

Yes.

2. Have you changed your position?

No. Sanctions were failing and Saddam was a threat, making any other action in the region impossible.

3. What should the U.S. do in Iraq now?

Win

See? It's just that easy. Somewhere, a village is missing their idiot.

Posted by: NYNick on December 5, 2006 at 5:06 PM | PERMALINK

All this posturing, inc. Gates' ravings, has 2 motives, one of which I can't figure out, but the other is to set up a 'stabbed in the back myth'. When sanity finally prevails and the US withdraws, the nutters will start saying how we should've just shown more determination to follow through with their plans instead of 'giving up' Iraq.

Posted by: otherpaul on December 5, 2006 at 5:08 PM | PERMALINK

Why is the right so enamored of, er, ultimate solutions?

What we really need are ultimate processes.

Posted by: Model 62 on December 5, 2006 at 5:10 PM | PERMALINK

Kevin Drum wrote:

There are also a few pro forma proposals for redeploying troops, adopting a more effective counterinsurgency strategy, sharing oil wealth, and other versions of rearranging the deck chairs, but the main thread is pretty clear: the only problem with our Iraq strategy is that we haven't declared war on enough people.
_________________

Kevin, while it's true that many of the ideas were downright stupid, not to mention dangerous, there were many nuggets of ideas that should be given consideration in any plan. Unfortunately, your own intro did little to encourage anyone to actually read the ideas. Instead, what we've got is another thread of snarky comments from folks without any comparable discussion of their own ideas.

Is there some sort of particular antipathy to Instapundit that I'm unaware of here?

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 5, 2006 at 5:19 PM | PERMALINK

compel the Shiite and Kurdish led government to declare a federal republic with a great deal of autonomy for each region with or without the consent of the Sunnis

Why should the Shiites (60% of the population) give control of Kirkuk, the oil and the rest of the northern territory to the Kurds (20% of the population)? And, you know Turkey is just going to love that!

Posted by: bliekker on December 5, 2006 at 5:20 PM | PERMALINK

Is there some sort of particular antipathy to Instapundit that I'm unaware of here?

If you have to ask...

Posted by: bliekker on December 5, 2006 at 5:22 PM | PERMALINK
I believe Gates said we are neither winning, nor are we losing, in Iraq.

I believe he did.

I also believe that's insane; if we're sacrificing American lives to not-win, we are indeed losing.

Posted by: cmdicely on December 5, 2006 at 5:23 PM | PERMALINK

Do the words WAR REPARATIONS appear anywhere?

If not, go back and start over.

The US is not the victim here.

Posted by: tubino on December 5, 2006 at 5:26 PM | PERMALINK

Looking at the caliber of recommendations from that group of geniuses, I'm anticipating the clever suggestion that we build a gigantic wooden horse and roll it up the gates of some middle eastern country in the middle of the night....

Make sure it plays the song Slow Ride by Foghat really loud because the Arabs love classic rock, y'know. It's true! I read it on Powerline.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 5:36 PM | PERMALINK

Sooo, I was wondering...why can't we just leave Iraq...m'yeh...now?

Posted by: sheerahkahn on December 5, 2006 at 5:37 PM | PERMALINK

This is ALL about oil -- America's addiction to oil, and the ultra-rich, neo-fascist, corporate-feudalist ruling class of America's military-industrial-petroleum complex who are enriching themselves almost beyond conception through their control of America's oil supply, and their lust to gain complete control of the world's last, biggest, richest reserves of cheaply-extractable high-grade oil in the Middle East, and their willingness to use America's military might to murder tens of thousands of innocent people to that end.

That's what America's "strategic interests" in the Middle East are all about.

That's what America's designation of some Middle Eastern nations as "friends" and others as "enemies" is all about.

This discussion has NOTHING whatever to do with "solving the world's problems."

It has EVERYTHING to do with "how can America's ultra-rich corporate elites gain control of Middle Eastern oil and enrich themselves thereby for as long as there's any oil there to be pumped."

The only discussion related to America's policy towards the Middle East that has anything to do with "solving the world's problems" is the discussion about how America can phase out the burning of fossil fuels as completely and as rapidly as possible.

Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 5, 2006 at 5:38 PM | PERMALINK

Creeping Commercialization would have Westernized the ME anyway in time, so why not just send Wal Mart, Big Pharma, and Big Insurance to that part of the world. Viola! Commercialized Democracy, just like we have here.

Posted by: ann on December 5, 2006 at 5:39 PM | PERMALINK

I believe Gates said we are neither winning, nor are we losing, in Iraq.
Posted by: Spock on December 5, 2006 at 5:09 PM | PERMALINK

Wow - kinda weird hearing a statement like that come out of "False-Dilemma-Spock". I imagine you as a computer, rocking back and forth, smoke pouring out of your orifices. . . "does not com pute. does not com pute. err ror. err ror."

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 5:39 PM | PERMALINK

It doesn't matter--Gates just won unanimous recommendation by the committee.

So much for accountability. It sure would have been nice to see Jim Webb sitting across from Gates.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 5:41 PM | PERMALINK

Chuckles,

It doesn't matter what handle you use, I'm not going to play your game of irrelevant questions. Sorry.

Posted by: cmdicely on December 5, 2006 at 5:42 PM | PERMALINK

Spock,

We were winning in WWII when we removed an occupying force from France and Belgium. We were winning everyday there after. We did so at an enormous cost in lives and production but we were never really NOT winning from the time we stormed the beaches at Normandy. We were not conducting some grand experiment in nation biulding, we were part of an alliance that included the countries we liberated. WWII was not sold to the country as something it was not. FDR never sugar coated the costs or the enormity of the struggle ahead. He enlisted nearly every segment of this country to do their part. Bush and his enablers would like to compare this idiotic adventure to WWII but there is no comparison. Please stop it.

Posted by: NYNick on December 5, 2006 at 5:46 PM | PERMALINK

SecularAnimist:

Did you find Instapundit's comment on taking out Iran's oil infrastructure and going long on oil stocks interesting?

It's about CONTROL all right. But not of the oil. Of the infrastructure. The channel through which they fleece the American middle-class. If nobody else can provide the oil, and if oil speculators jack up the price of oil due to war, it BENEFITS the oligopoly of operators of US refineries and petroleum distribution, in the richest (not for long) market in the world.

Take out Iraq's infrastructure.
Take out Iran's infrastructure.
Yank supply and capacity off the market.

OWNING an oil reserve is hard, and very costly. You need to PAY all those troops to guard hundreds of thousands of square miles, and thousands of linear miles of pipeline, oil terminals, refineries, shipping, etc.

It's far more profitable to just kick over an anthill, and watch the ants scramble - because it's so much cheaper to destroy than to control, especially when you've got a "Free Market" and a resource that your customer can not live without.

It's not incompetence. It's malice.

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 5:47 PM | PERMALINK

It's not incompetence. It's malice.

Oh, I don't believe the two are mutually exclusive with this crew....

Posted by: Stefan on December 5, 2006 at 5:49 PM | PERMALINK

It's seems appropriate, on a day when Reynolds is putting forward solutions for Iraq, to ask the people who have been claiming the war was going swimingly a couple of questions:

1) If you believed the war was going just fine, don't you think your leader's owe you and explanation for misleading you?

2) If you believed the war wasn't going well, but chose to claim that is was, were you doing it for political purposes? If not, why were you doing it?

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 5:49 PM | PERMALINK

The United States was certainly NOT "winning" in the Pacific Theater of Opertations (PTO).

Sure they were, after Midway. Anyway, the Japanese generals knew they would lose before Pearl Harbor was bombed.

Posted by: bliekker on December 5, 2006 at 5:54 PM | PERMALINK

Spock,

Maybe you haven't heard, we won the war in the Pacific too. It was in all the papers. Look it up. But the larger point is that this war is not comparable to WWII. Here's another heavy dose of reality, Bush isn't exactly Churchill. Don't tell the boys at Powerline, they might not be able to handle that much reality.

Posted by: NYNick on December 5, 2006 at 6:02 PM | PERMALINK

Not tuff enuff. Bashing your head against the wall until you die brings to mind the answer, I am not tuff enuff. If only I was tuff enuff the wall would cave in, but, lo, my soft-headed skull has died and it is your fault because you shouldn't have been able to let me lock you out of the room and you should have joined in me in bashing our skulls into the wall and our combined will to bash in our own heads would have been tuff enuff to prevail, but you have failed.

But there is still Hope! There are more walls, more walls we may bash our skulls upon once yet before we die! And when we strike them all at once how can they stand the smashing of our brain containers? They will topple in shock and awe, like dominoes, for by the time they think they see solutions that emerge from their judicious study of discernible reality we will already have moved on for when we who are conservative act we create our own reality. And while you're studying that reality -- judiciously, as you will -- we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that's how things will sort out. We're history's actors . . . and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do.

Posted by: cld on December 5, 2006 at 6:06 PM | PERMALINK

>And where's a solution other than "surrender to terrorists" from the left?

We told you: regime change. We've been working on it since 2002. Unlike Bush, we have made great progress. The problem is that we only get to gain ground every 2 years.

If you want to help, just rate the House and Senate for us. We'll just invert your ratings of "best to worst" and it will give us a nice set of targets for '08.

It's about time you did *something* for your country rather than just stink it up.

Posted by: doesn't matter on December 5, 2006 at 6:08 PM | PERMALINK

Back to WWII...

Ooh goody. This analogy never gets old.

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 6:09 PM | PERMALINK

With the right futures-market positions, we could actually turn a profit on this approach . . . .

tomeck: Wouldn't that count as Insider Trading?

In this case it is what George Washington Plunkett called honest graft.

Posted by: anandine on December 5, 2006 at 6:11 PM | PERMALINK

Hmmm, on a serious note I think I've just figured out why these "how do we save Iraq" discussions don't get anywhere.

Iraq is not the problem. It is a symptom.

The problem is Inside The Beltway. Fix that (go Webb!) and the symptom will go away on it's own.

Posted by: doesn't matter on December 5, 2006 at 6:12 PM | PERMALINK

Spock, any similarities are superficial and provide no guide to action. The differences are substantial enough to make any comparisons irrelevant.

Posted by: Joel on December 5, 2006 at 6:14 PM | PERMALINK

"Spock" is Charlie.

The obsession with irrelevant and completely invalid comparisons of the war in Iraq with World War II are the giveaway.

Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 5, 2006 at 6:14 PM | PERMALINK

"Spock" wrote: Senator-Elect Webb has stated he wanted to punch the President in the face. Is that your "fix" too?

Yep, that's Charlie alright.

Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 5, 2006 at 6:16 PM | PERMALINK

SecularAnimist wrote:

"The only discussion related to America's policy towards the Middle East that has anything to do with "solving the world's problems" is the discussion about how America can phase out the burning of fossil fuels as completely and as rapidly as possible."
____________________

SA, assuming the problem is, indeed, "the ultra-rich, neo-fascist, corporate-feudalist ruling class of America's military-industrial-petroleum complex who are enriching themselves almost beyond conception," [ignoring the inherent contradictions therein] then there is no amount of discussion that is going to solve anything. If we are controlled by such evil forces, then there is no reason to believe those same evil forces won't control us if we should ever be weaned off oil.

Given your assumuptions, you don't need to end the war, you need a revolutionary solution - nothing less than the overthrow of our ruling elite, probably at the risk of a new American civil war. If you really believe what you say, then this war is small potatoes, a mere sideshow compared to what really needs to be done.

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 5, 2006 at 6:16 PM | PERMALINK

Yep, that's Charlie alright.

You could have just said yes. At which point he would warn you that it is against the law to urge or engage in violence against the President.

Oh, wait, that's Thomas1. Totally different guys. Totally.

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 6:18 PM | PERMALINK

Spock:
It is illogical to compare Yamamoto to bin Laden.

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 6:18 PM | PERMALINK

Uh, Spock/Charlie, yes necessarily. There is no chance that this country is going to engage in rationing, mobilize auto manufacturing plants to manufature war-related vehicles and institute a crash weapons program on the scale of the Manhattan project in order to rescue Iraq from civil war.

You are delusional.

Posted by: Joel on December 5, 2006 at 6:19 PM | PERMALINK

Hell, I knew Spock was Charlie from his first False Dilemma.

I'll be more vocal in cluing you guys in next time.

Posted by: Extradite Rumsfeld on December 5, 2006 at 6:24 PM | PERMALINK

Spock/Charlie: If three million die in an al Qaeda terror attack, which country should we bomb? Where is the analogy between Japan, which had a homeland and a military and al Qaeda, which has neither.

You are both delusional and historically illiterate.

Adults are talking here, Spock/Charlie. Please be quiet.

Posted by: Joel on December 5, 2006 at 6:27 PM | PERMALINK

"Not necessarily. I believe that the country should be on a much closer war-footing to WWII, for instance."

So, you were obviously not a supporter of this war since it was never sold or executed that way.
Or did you think strong rhetoric was a replacement for strong policies? Do you support a draft? Do you support eliminating the Bush cuts?

Posted by: NYNick on December 5, 2006 at 6:27 PM | PERMALINK

If three MILLION, instead of thousand, die in the next 9/11-type attack

Anyhoo, my question upthread was for you.

1) If you believed the war was going just fine, don't you think your leader's owe you and explanation for misleading you?

2) If you believed the war wasn't going well, but chose to claim that is was, were you doing it for political purposes? If not, why were you doing it?

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 6:28 PM | PERMALINK

Trashhauler wrote: "Kevin, while it's true that many of the ideas were downright stupid, not to mention dangerous, there were many nuggets of ideas that should be given consideration in any plan."

Were there? Then it should be trivially easy for you to bring a few of them to our attention. Frankly, I will be very surprised to find any that a) are not batshit insane or b) have not been discussed on this and other blogs, ad nauseam. Go ahead, surprise me.

"Unfortunately, your own intro did little to encourage anyone to actually read the ideas. Instead, what we've got is another thread of snarky comments from folks without any comparable discussion of their own ideas."

Most likely because most us here recognize that we have no good options for Iraq, so what's the point of revisiting material we've hashed over time and time again?

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 6:29 PM | PERMALINK

Why the heck are you guys talking to Charlie/Spock? Hasn't he demonstrated he's beneath contempt and not worth discussion a hundred times already?

Posted by: Neutral Observer on December 5, 2006 at 6:29 PM | PERMALINK

Sorry, Neutral Observer. You are correct. I'll stop feeding the troll now.

Mea culpa.

Posted by: Joel on December 5, 2006 at 6:30 PM | PERMALINK

Please tell us all which days before April 30, 1975 you think we were "winning" Vietnam?

Posted by: Evil Spock on December 5, 2006 at 6:32 PM | PERMALINK

"I was not a supporter of this war or tax cuts; I believe Bush and Cheney are guilty of war crimes and should be impeached; we probably do need the draft."

Then my work is done here...Via con dios!

Posted by: NYNick on December 5, 2006 at 6:36 PM | PERMALINK

Chuckles, our resident clown, wrote: "cmdicely was the one who maintains that we are not winning, therefore we must be losing -- I am the one pointing out that is not necessarily true."

Only because you're ignoring what cmdicely actually said, which is that if we are spending thousands of American lives (and hundreds of billions of dollars) and we are not making any progress, then by any rational measure, this cannot be called "winning," by any reasonable definition of that word.

As for your idiotic question about VJ day, the correct answer is that we knew we were winning well before VJ day. Any moron knows this. Among other things, we had all sorts of metrics that we were measuring our progress against, metrics that were clearly showing progress towards victory. The equivalent metrics in Iraq are mostly negative at this point. Certainly, there is no end, and no victory, in sight, even if we knew precisely what "victory" really was.

But then you knew all this and just wanted to play silly little games.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 6:39 PM | PERMALINK

Dear little Chuckles, just as amusingly obtuse as ever, writes: "You never answered my question to you"

That's mostly because it's a really stupid question. Ask a reasonable question and you'll get a reasonable answer.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 6:40 PM | PERMALINK

It scans better than IP's "sea of glass" idea ... but only incrementally better, and temporarily.

Posted by: RonK, Seattle on December 5, 2006 at 6:42 PM | PERMALINK

Trashhauler wrote: SA, assuming the problem is, indeed, "the ultra-rich, neo-fascist, corporate-feudalist ruling class of America's military-industrial-petroleum complex who are enriching themselves almost beyond conception," [ignoring the inherent contradictions therein]...

What "contradictions"?

... then there is no amount of discussion that is going to solve anything. If we are controlled by such evil forces, then there is no reason to believe those same evil forces won't control us if we should ever be weaned off oil.

Some energy technologies are inherently less centralized and less subject to centralized control than fossil fuel extraction. For example, electricity generation with wind turbines and rooftop photovoltaics, and agricultural biofuels, have the potential to distribute and democratize energy production.

Certainly, you may buy your PV panels from a big multinational corporation, but once you buy them, you own them, and you own your own means of energy production. And the technology for manufacturing PV panels and wind turbines, or for growing crops for biofuels, and the physical resources to do so, are themselves not as subject to centralized control as the extraction of oil and coal, or the building and operation of nuclear power plants.

There is a revolution in distributed, democratically controlled, individual, community and small-business based energy production that is already underway world wide, and it has the potential -- like other "disruptive" technologies -- to bring a social and economic revolution with it.

Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 5, 2006 at 6:43 PM | PERMALINK

Chuckles, our resident clown, writes: "Please point out even ONE time above where you believe I have demonstrated I am 'beneath contempt and not worth discussion'"

That's easy: when you asked "was the United States 'winning' on December 23, 1941?" The question is so mindbogglingly stupid, not to mention clearly intended to derail discussion into a fit of endless pointless pedantry, that it's quite clear that you are not worth discussion.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 6:44 PM | PERMALINK

PaulB wrote: Dear little Chuckles, just as amusingly obtuse as ever, writes: "You never answered my question to you"

That's Charlie alright, by "Spock" or any of his other names. Asking stupid, irrelevant questions that have no point whatever, usually having to do with some inane analogy that has no validity at all, and then spending the rest of the thread whining that no one will answer them.

Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 5, 2006 at 6:46 PM | PERMALINK

...come grow a beard with me :)

\m/ pwnd \m/

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 6:48 PM | PERMALINK

Poor Chuckles...loves to make an ass of himself in public.

Is this really a Purpose Driven Life, Chuckles?

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 7:05 PM | PERMALINK
For the record, though, just because we are not winning in Iraq does not necessarily mean we are losing. We were certainly not "winning" on December 7-8, 1941.

I disagree; in fact, we were only attacked at Pearl Harbor because both our entrance into the war and our subsequent victory were so clear in the minds of the Japanese planners that they knew that their only hope of success was to so cripple the United States by surprise that we would be unable or unwilling to enter the war effectively at all; when they failed that, which, bad as Pearl Harbor was, they clearly had, we were winning. (That is not to say we had won, which is a completely different thing.)

Just as we've been losing in Iraq since we failed to establish security rapidly on the fall of Hussein's regime.

Posted by: cmdicely on December 5, 2006 at 7:14 PM | PERMALINK

Aw, poor Chuckles. When did you turn your back on your church? Did you tell your friends at bareback, I mean, Saddleback church that you weren't going to read Pastor Warren's book?

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 7:15 PM | PERMALINK

Dear little Chuckles, ever bent on living up to his reputation, writes: "Once SOMEONE answers my question"

Dear heart, why would anyone care to answer a really stupid question, one that, moreover, is clearly intended to either a) derail the discussion with your usual pedantic irrelevant crap, or b) frame the discussion in a wholly inappropriate manner? Either way, it's a complete waste of time.

"then I can ask the next obvious question"

We're still waiting for you to ask the first "obvious" question, Chuckles.

"Then we can argue about metrics, etc."

Dear heart, we can discuss those right now, without wasting our time on stupid questions. We'll be right here waiting for you.

"I would maintain, however, that one such "metric" (the fall of Wake Island) did not mean the U.S. was "losing" either."

And were we talking about a time in Iraq when the war had just begun, you might have a point. Since we're more than three years into the war and since we're now in a war of occupation rather than a war of winning or losing territory, you, as usual, do not.

"I'm sure you will tell us all what is 'mindbogglingly stupid' about that though."

Any time, dear.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 7:16 PM | PERMALINK

Dear little Chuckles, still intent on amusing us, writes: "I've answered every question put to me though. Why the double standard?"

LOL.... If you're answering stupid questions, then it's your own fault, Chuckles. And if you're answering intelligent questions, then you'll find that your intelligent questions will get answered in return. Either way, no double standard.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 7:18 PM | PERMALINK

Of course, if we had some meaningful metric that could tell us whether we were making progress in Iraq, that would make it easier to measure whether we were winning or losing in Iraq.

Another example of how the Republicans abdicated their responsibility of oversight--a failure to force Rumsfeld and DoD to answer tough questions and report the situation in Iraq clearly and accurately to the Congress.

Case in point--how many Iraqi battalions can fight on their own?

Instead of making that information publicly available, they classified it--solely because it was too embarrassing.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 7:19 PM | PERMALINK
Now, I need to see how far you take this -- how about June 26, 1876? Did Custer win the battle of the Little Bighorn the day after he died?

Certainly, the US was winning the war against its recalcitrant aboriginal population from a date long before that, and continued winning long after that.

Winning wars isn't the same thing as winning individual, artificially isolated, military engagements within the context of that war.

Posted by: cmdicely on December 5, 2006 at 7:33 PM | PERMALINK

Chuckles, our resident clown, wrote: "I'd much rather continue the discussion with someone who is polite..."

ROFL.... Woohoo! I'm back on Chuckles' "ignore" list! Don't you just love his drama queen behavior?

Chuckles, do you really think I care whether you continue the discussion with me? You bring nothing to the discussion; you are incapable of learning. You're only here to amuse me, nothing more.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 7:36 PM | PERMALINK

Chuckles, our resident clown, wrote: "it was not so certain during WWII though.

Dear heart, here's a stupid question right back at you: Was it or was it not certain 3 1/2 years after the U.S. entered WWII that we were winning?

Here's a hint: It was and we were.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 7:42 PM | PERMALINK

Back on topic: so, did anyone find anything on that thread that a) wasn't batshit insane or b) hadn't already been discussed to death?

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 7:44 PM | PERMALINK

Evil Spock wrote: "Because even to me, this bears no relation to scrupulous logic or honesty in the slightest bit."

That's our Chuckles. His only goal is to derail the discussion; nothing more. Mock him, laugh at him, point out he's an idiot, counter his occasionally semi-sane point, but don't ever make the mistake of thinking you can have a serious discussion with him. We've had a lot of experience with him.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 7:50 PM | PERMALINK

Charlie/Spock's cut and pasted information about Firebase Ripcord has been brought to you by the good people at Wikipedia, assisting struggling trolls since 2005.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Firebase_Ripcord/

Posted by: Wikipedia on December 5, 2006 at 7:53 PM | PERMALINK

Dear little Chuckles, funny as ever, writes: "I am certainly not going to ignore you."

Frankly, my dear, I don't give a damn.

"I simply stated my preference to continue the discussion with someone who is polite. What is 'illogical' about that?"

LOL.... Dear heart, I never said it was "illogical." I said you were a drama queen and that you were not worth debating. And I love how you continue to confirm both of these judgments. I will, as always, continue to mock you and laugh at you; I will not make the mistake of taking you seriously. What you do matters to me not one whit.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 7:54 PM | PERMALINK

The Army was worried such an invasion would reach CHICAGO before we could stop them.

I was there. Spock/Thomas1/Charlie/Chuckles and I fought of the Japs with such ferocity, that the Japs went on to honor us everytime they eat. You know when you leave a Japanese restaurant, and they say that crazy Jap talk as you're walking out the door. Well, translated is means, "Look out for Spook/Thomas1/Charlie/Chuckles...He never quits until the job is done. Now have a nice day."

The only question is this... Will the nuclear bomb that Al-Qaeda detonates in a major city stand a chance against Spook/Thomas1/Charlie/Chuckles' will to win?

I have my doubts.

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 8:29 PM | PERMALINK

The examples of the U.S. taking precautions during WWII are not evidence that the U.S. didn't believe it would prevail againt Japan but simply precautions to save lives in the face of potential attacks.

I go inside when it hails, but that doesn't mean I think I've lost. I have no doubt I'll be outside again soon.

Posted by: jj on December 5, 2006 at 8:31 PM | PERMALINK

I simply stated my preference to continue the discussion with someone who is polite.

Who introduced Chuckles to the concept of being polite?

Ah, must have been that pastor of his...

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 8:34 PM | PERMALINK

I bet you play "Risk" a lot. I have never read a bigger piece of garbage in my life.

Posted by: SharedHumanity on December 5, 2006 at 8:37 PM | PERMALINK

This fellow is paid to carry on like this, why help him earn his salary?

Posted by: cld on December 5, 2006 at 8:38 PM | PERMALINK

My anal warts are really bothering me tonite

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 8:44 PM | PERMALINK

Dear dear dear. Honey honey honey. Any time, sweetie. Sweetums honey dear heart. Honey honey dear dear.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 8:47 PM | PERMALINK

Best suggestion for World Peace yet:

"Wipe Israel of the map." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of Iran.

Posted by: WipeIsrealOfTheMap on December 5, 2006 at 8:48 PM | PERMALINK

There's our little troll.

Charlie, did your personality snap? Did you finally look at yourself in the pale reflection of your computer monitor and see the evil that you've become?

Lash out, little man.

This is what your world has become.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 8:49 PM | PERMALINK

Best suggestion for World Peace yet:

"Wipe Israel off the map." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of Iran.

(fixed spelling)

Posted by: WipeIsraelOffTheMap on December 5, 2006 at 8:50 PM | PERMALINK

This is interesting--once Charlie snaps, he starts in the the obvious spoof posts that contain no originality or thought and then a whole other strain of anti-semitic rant posting shows up.

Well, too bad for you--tonight won't go the way last night went.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 8:52 PM | PERMALINK

This is becoming like clockwork. Pale Rider insults one of Charlie's alter-ego's. Pale Rider is spoofed. Then slim's bolded anti-semetic rants. All that's missing is the chinese link-fest.

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 8:52 PM | PERMALINK

Again,in 2005, the venerable Juan Cole said it best: "The U.S. military is bogged down in an intractable guerilla war in Iraq, which most Muslims view as an aggressive neo-imperialism."
And this similarly relates all too well--Paul Craig Roberts had proposed "the administration and its deluded sychophants must stop poking fun at reality based experts and listen to a reality based message. We are breeding more terrorists... there is no possiblity of the US imposing its will on the Muslim world." Further, he presents that GW's "insane policy is producing rising anger that endangers Israel and America's puppet regimes in Egypt, Jordan and Pakistan, along with the Saudi regime." Hmmmm.....
Even King Abdullah had wondered back then... "if our aim is to win against terrorism, we can't afford more instablity in the area. It's the potential Armageddon of Irag that worries all of us."
Why has so much time passed without a reality based orientation??
You know, I look back and I especially like what JFK said--"An error does not become a mistake until you refuse to correct it. Without debate, no administration and no country can succeed--and no republic can survive." Doesn't this say it all!!
Prescient??
Oh, listen to this--from 1944, no less, Vice President Henry Wallace,
"They claim to be super-patriots, but would destroy every liberty guaranteed by the Constitution. They demand free enterprise, but are the spokesmen for monopoly and vested interest. Their final objective toward which all their deceit is directed is to capture political power, so that, using the power of the state and the power of the market simultaneously, they may keep the common man in eternal subjection."
How relevant is this!!!! (I had to share...)

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 5, 2006 at 8:55 PM | PERMALINK

enozinho,

No flame war tonight. At least from me.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 8:56 PM | PERMALINK

By far the best suggestion for World Peace yet:

"Wipe Israel off the map." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of Iran.

Posted by: WipeIsraelOffTheMap on December 5, 2006 at 8:59 PM | PERMALINK

And Ken Starr turned up not one thing. Weird, weird, weird.

Posted by: cld on December 5, 2006 at 9:06 PM | PERMALINK

No flame war tonight.

Agreed. I'll say goodnight with a piece of Cheney's evidence:

16 - Paula Grober - Clinton's speech interpreter for the deaf from 1978 until her death December 9, 1992. She died in a one car accident.

Funniest murder ever.

Posted by: enozinho (wetorture.com) on December 5, 2006 at 9:06 PM | PERMALINK

And the other night on Fox Ollie North was pounding his pud all over again about how FDR was responsible for Pearl Harbor.

Posted by: cld on December 5, 2006 at 9:07 PM | PERMALINK

Best suggestion for World Peace yet:

"Wipe Israel off the map." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of Iran.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 9:11 PM | PERMALINK

'Night everybody...

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 9:12 PM | PERMALINK

(Not really)

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 9:13 PM | PERMALINK

"Wipe Israel off the map." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of Iran.

This is a simplistic mistranslation of what he actually said.

Posted by: bliekker on December 5, 2006 at 9:14 PM | PERMALINK

This is Charlie doing Pale Rider. Charlie's alter ego is now speaking. Charlie has mental problems and he compensates for them by making an ass out of himself in public.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 9:15 PM | PERMALINK

Never mind if he said it. I'm saying it.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 9:16 PM | PERMALINK

Oh, get real, Cheney-posting, annoymously posting/ probably Hannity, Limbaugh, or Ed Rogers minions postings, with all your irrelevant derailing of the conversation, when you have no relevant contributions to the discussion--ever-- too bad you get to take up so much irrelevant space.

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 5, 2006 at 9:18 PM | PERMALINK

Best suggestion for World Peace yet:

"Wipe Israel off the map." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, President of Iran.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 9:19 PM | PERMALINK

If you mean, by military victory, an Iraqi government that can be established and whose writ runs across the whole country, that gets the civil war under control and sectarian violence under control in a time period that the political processes of the democracies will support, I dont believe that is possible.

Posted by: Henry Kissinger on December 5, 2006 at 9:20 PM | PERMALINK

Here's a suggestion I'll bet they didn't get - Unconditional surrender by the United States. Just tell the Iraqis they won, pack up our gear and go home. What difference does it make? What do we lose? Our pride? It would be the Christian thing to do.

Martial at De Spectaculis had a variation on this last year: Surrender to Iran, say, "good job, you outfoxed us with your devious plans, Iraq is yours." Pull out. Let Iran deal with a Sunni insurgency and Kurdish unrest for the next 10 years.

Posted by: me2i81 on December 5, 2006 at 9:22 PM | PERMALINK

Come on chuckles, fight me. You know you want to, poor little man. Tell me I'm wrong about Israel.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 9:22 PM | PERMALINK

Stefan wrote:

"It would be like me suggesting that the only way to control illegal immigration in the US is to police the border -- true in concept, but virtually impossible in execution."
___________________

Stefan, why do you say that policing our border is virtually impossible in execution? Isn't it a simply a matter of assigning enough manpower and physical resources to it?

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 5, 2006 at 9:41 PM | PERMALINK

Pale, you are one sick dude.

Posted by: gionzone on December 5, 2006 at 9:43 PM | PERMALINK

So anyway, it's clear to all but the very retarded that we're not winning in Iraq; hence the point of Glenn Reynolds' quaint Ladie's Home Journal exercise ("ladies, send in your best recipes!") and hence the need for an Iraq Study Hall or whatever Baker's dog and pony show is called.

Given that we have no more troops to throw at this thing and that even if had another 200k at this point it probably wouldn't make a difference, the real questions now involve how best to organize our withdrawal to minimize American casualties while at the same time imparting any final stability to the situation, bearing in mind that we have virtually no influence on events on the ground any more.

As a footnote, it interesting how many of the wingnut proposals have built into them an a priori assumption that the government of Iraq is not sovereign, revealing the hypocrisy in all their previous bleating about democracy. The casual talk about controlling Iraq's borders, absorbing it's army, killing Sadr or deposing Maliki makes it crystal clear that the wingnuts don't even believe in honoring democratic results, much less democracy promotion.

Posted by: spn on December 5, 2006 at 9:55 PM | PERMALINK

the wingnut proposals have built into them an a priori assumption that the government of Iraq is not sovereign

Anyone else remember all that purple-finger nonsense?

Posted by: Davis X. Machina on December 5, 2006 at 10:01 PM | PERMALINK

PaulB wrote:

Trashhauler wrote: "Kevin, while it's true that many of the ideas were downright stupid, not to mention dangerous, there were many nuggets of ideas that should be given consideration in any plan."

Were there? Then it should be trivially easy for you to bring a few of them to our attention. Frankly, I will be very surprised to find any that a) are not batshit insane or b) have not been discussed on this and other blogs, ad nauseam. Go ahead, surprise me.
_________________

You don't honestly think I could not, do you, Paul? For that matter, you should be able to find them just as easily, if you're that tuned into things. In any case, the idea is to go looking rather than have them brought to you.

I haven't found a tremendous amount of theorizing here about what to do after the first step of "getting out," whatever that means. What not to do, now, folks here have quite a handle on that.

We're going to stay engaged in the Middle East and Iraq for a long time, very likely soon under a Democractic administration. I suppose we can at least look forward to more nuanced snarks when that happens.

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 5, 2006 at 10:05 PM | PERMALINK

Where are the stars in the "moon landing" photos?

The whole "moon landing" thing is an obvious HOAX.

Proof.

0) Go to moon.
1) Point your moon camera (Hasselblad) at a patch of "black" sky (in opposite direction to the Sun (do not include any foreground)).
2) Set exposure to half a second (less, if over-exposed).
3) Snap away.
4) Have these shots (of billions of stars) developed.
5) Show the snaps of billions of stars to your friends.

QED

Another Proof.

0) Go to moon.
1) Look up at the "black" sky (in opposite direction to the Sun (look above any foreground)).
2) Remember the billions of stars you see (alternatively, arrange to photograph them).
3) Describe the wondrous billions of stars to your friends (mention how you moon walkers, were the first people to ever see 90% of these stars, with your own eyes).

QED

Posted by: FakedMoonLandings on December 5, 2006 at 10:07 PM | PERMALINK

a good observtion by Frank Rich:

As Mr. Bush has ricocheted from Vietnam to Latvia to Jordan in recent weeks, we've witnessed the troubling behavior of a president who isn't merely in a state of denial but is completely untethered from reality. It's not that he can't handle the truth about Iraq. He doesn't know what the truth is.

The most startling example was his insistence that Al Qaeda is primarily responsible for the country's spiraling violence. Only a week before Mr. Bush said this, the American military spokesman on the scene, Maj. Gen. William Caldwell, called Al Qaeda "extremely disorganized" in Iraq, adding that "I would question at this point how effective they are at all at the state level." Military intelligence estimates that Al Qaeda makes up only 2 percent to 3 percent of the enemy forces in Iraq, according to Jim Miklaszewski of NBC News.

The bottom line: America has a commander in chief who can't even identify some 97 percent to 98 percent of the combatants in a war that has gone on longer than our involvement in World War II.

Posted by: bocarat on December 5, 2006 at 10:11 PM | PERMALINK

Instead, what we've got is another thread of snarky comments from folks without any comparable discussion of their own ideas.

TH, putting aside the deserved derision that some of the suggestions have ellicited, let me take a quick shot at it.

First, can I assume that unlike McCain you have the sense not to say that another 20,000 troops will make a difference? So that option is a non-starter.

Also for the sake of arguement I won't try to convince you that leaving now is an option; I'm pretty sure you believe that one's a non-starter.

The real limiting factor, as I think you know, is that the Army can't keep up the current operational tempo. The damage being done to personnel and equipment is considerable. Any solution put forward has to account for the fact that the Army is stretched to the breaking point. So even if we don't leave immediately, we are going to have reduce forces soon. The best (or least of all evils) seems to me to involve Iran and Syria in trying to stabilize the situation. I'm not saying that their involvement will suddenly fix all our problems, but it should help, at least a bit. As juan Cole has pointed out, Iran has a vested interest in keeping the situation in Iraq from devolving in total chaos. And preventing total chaos is about as good as things are going to get.

Of course there's the infamous "go big" option, but the president has long since expended the capital needed to make that fly.

Posted by: cyntax on December 5, 2006 at 10:25 PM | PERMALINK

Let's turn Iraq into a sadomasochistic Disneyland! You know, with whips and chains and stuff....

Posted by: Walt's Cancerous Left Nut on December 5, 2006 at 10:27 PM | PERMALINK
we can at least look forward to more nuanced snarks... Trashhauler at 10:05 PM
I note you passed up a second chance at point out a "good" idea.
a simply a matter of assigning enough manpower and physical resources to it Trashhauler at 9:41 PM
From Bush? Why would you expect that a simple matter can be accomplished by this administration?
This is what happens when you have dirt on a Clinton Cheney at 8:58 PM:
Here's the snopes on your tired old claim. If you are going to copy and paste large blocks of data, strive for relevancy and accuracy so you don't look like a moron. Posted by: Mike on December 5, 2006 at 10:32 PM | PERMALINK

Isn't it most haunting and disturbing that the World Monuments Fund placed the whole nation of Irag on its most endangered site--"widespread looting, military occupation, artillery fire, vandalism, other acts of violence...") Chalmers Johnson called it the smash of civilizations: Looted and smashed.
They had a record of culture going back more than 7,000 years! Please be advised that only two days later, after GW acknowledged they were the "heirs to a great civilization that contributes to all humanity," there was looting and burning, in 2003, of the National Museum in Bagdad, and the burning of the National Library and Archives, the Library of Korans, and here's Rummy, the absolute wrong choice for defense secretary, comparing the looting to a big nothing, saying, "freedom's untidy...free people are free to make mistakes and commit crimes." Did you know that on the eve of the invasion of Iraq, an American delgation of scholars specifically warned the Pentagon --to no avail...of the potential of the damage, of the crimes against history.

Oh Al, Cheney imposter, other trolls, any relevant comment?

Any opinion of ancient art objects, of clay tablets with cuneiform writing and inscriptions dating back to earliest discoveries of writing itself? Anything?

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 5, 2006 at 10:35 PM | PERMALINK

I'm all about invading Iran (in theory), their terrorism against our nation have been well documented, and evidence suggests they helped facilate 9/11 more than any other government. But to think, after the Iraq disaster, that our nation would accept more casulties, that the american people have enough trust in the leadership of this country, and that the world would tolerate another american invasion based on weapons of mass destruction and ties to Al Qeada, is certifibly batshit crazy.

Posted by: bjs on December 5, 2006 at 10:47 PM | PERMALINK

cwa --

This is one of the more easily forgortten crimes against humanity and civilization.

Honestly, the trolls just don't understand what you are fussing about; a few old scratched stones, broken pottery, weird statuary, piles of rocks, etc., etc. Scraping hardpads over ruins. Who cares?

That's why they can do really dumb, hugely destructive things and then stand around, all innocent, saying "What? WHAT?"

Asses. They actually believe that somehow, somewhere there is a rightwing solution for every dumb-ass situation.

Posted by: notthere on December 5, 2006 at 10:56 PM | PERMALINK

bjs: All we are saying, is give peace a chance. Are you saying, give war a chance? Are you using Iran to establish fear? The fear that served this administration so admirably, as it secured two elections and launched two ugly wars?

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 5, 2006 at 10:57 PM | PERMALINK

Well, I didn't vote for this stupid war and never supported it so I don't really have any suggestions to win it except that it never should have been fought.

As a disinterested bystander, I do find it humorous when people begin sentences with clauses such as ...

"We have to ..."

"We have no choice but to ..."

"Now that we are committed, we must ..."

Nobody can explain why doing X is a good thing, but can only explain why all other options are even worse than X.

What a great "solutions matrix."

See you in hell.

Posted by: Douglas Watts on December 5, 2006 at 10:57 PM | PERMALINK

Spock wrote:

"PS - Trashualer is a paid troll - probably of the DOD variety"
___________________

Please define "troll," Spock.

If there's a position description that fits my participation here, perhaps I'll apply. But DOD isn't likely to list it as a necessary occupation. ::grin::

Are there really such things as paid trolls? If so, why?

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 5, 2006 at 11:00 PM | PERMALINK

Any opinion of ancient art objects, of clay tablets with cuneiform writing and inscriptions dating back to earliest discoveries of writing itself? Anything?

Um...you have to break a few thousand priceless cultural artifacts to make a disastrous war omelette covered in bloodshed...or an order of huevos rancheros hold the WMD's...or something....?

Posted by: what trolls say on December 5, 2006 at 11:00 PM | PERMALINK

TH - "Spock" is really a longtime agitator named "Charlie" who is trying to throw up spoof posts to disrupt the thread and derail the conversation that has been going on since 10:15PM.

That's why I withdrew from the discussion--I refuse to give him fodder so that he can suck all the air out of the thread.

Disregard his post and all of his posts and you won't go wrong.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 5, 2006 at 11:02 PM | PERMALINK

Trashhauler wrote: "You don't honestly think I could not, do you, Paul?"

Yup, I honestly think you can not.

"For that matter, you should be able to find them just as easily, if you're that tuned into things."

But you see, I don't think they exist, and I'm not going to go wading through a sea of very predictable drivel for the one or two pearls that may not even be there.

"In any case, the idea is to go looking rather than have them brought to you."

Or, as in my case, to ignore them, since I've participated in plenty such discussions, both here and elsewhere.

"I haven't found a tremendous amount of theorizing here about what to do after the first step of "getting out," whatever that means. What not to do, now, folks here have quite a handle on that."

I would say that's a better start than the drivel that Kevin posted. At least we have a handle on reality.

"We're going to stay engaged in the Middle East and Iraq for a long time, very likely soon under a Democractic administration."

How long we will remain engaged in Iraq depends on the patience of the American people. I suspect that the patience is wearing thin and that we'll be out of there in a few years, regardless of the cost and regardless of the end results.

"I suppose we can at least look forward to more nuanced snarks when that happens."

Personally, I snark against idiots of all kinds. It's not my fault that the Republicans have given me far more fodder recently than have the Democrats.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 11:03 PM | PERMALINK

notthere: they literally robbed the cradle of civilization and did nothing to extinquish the flames, although I liked how you showed how they always will diminish it.

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 5, 2006 at 11:04 PM | PERMALINK

Trashhauler wrote: "Isn't it a simply a matter of assigning enough manpower and physical resources to it?"

Given the size of the border, "enough manpower and physical resources" is hardly a simple matter.

Posted by: PaulB on December 5, 2006 at 11:06 PM | PERMALINK

what trolls say: horribly bloody omlette, for sure. Instead they guarded the oil ministry in Bagdad. "Tell me again how it isn't about the oil," as they say..appreciate your astute post.

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 5, 2006 at 11:16 PM | PERMALINK

Is that a year old bloated corpse floating by in New Orleans? It was also after 2003 that the flow of dollars from the feds dribbled to nothingthingsville. Iraq spending and the ubiquitous homeland security funding took the money, along with the tax cuts for the privileged. It strained the Army Corps of Engineers. By 2004 they had even less, pleading for money for urgent levy needs. Then the Corps suffered a hiring freeze, no new jobs. And nothing to prepare for a category 4 or 5 hurricane. No money. It was the cost of the war in Iraq that killed the 2005 budget. Did you know that GW ordered that New Orleans not begin any new studies, and the budget no longer had $$...horribly, and predictably, the site of the main breach at the 17th street canal--that was the project the contractors hoped to complete but could not. It all ties in to a horrible fact of the catastophe of the last 6 years.

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 5, 2006 at 11:36 PM | PERMALINK

cyntax wrote:

"The real limiting factor, as I think you know, is that the Army can't keep up the current operational tempo. The damage being done to personnel and equipment is considerable. Any solution put forward has to account for the fact that the Army is stretched to the breaking point. So even if we don't leave immediately, we are going to have reduce forces soon. The best (or least of all evils) seems to me to involve Iran and Syria in trying to stabilize the situation. I'm not saying that their involvement will suddenly fix all our problems, but it should help, at least a bit. As juan Cole has pointed out, Iran has a vested interest in keeping the situation in Iraq from devolving in total chaos. And preventing total chaos is about as good as things are going to get."
_________________

I agree on the point about the current ops tempo. We can pull some tricks with the assignment process and continue transferring some of the load to the other Services, but that's just going to buy us some time. Likewise, even if we can keep the same number of shooters in the field, they're eventually going to run up against fatigue factors that cannot be rectified by rotating out for a year. Some of these units need a long break before they go back.

The thing is, none of the options look very good right now:

1. I consider "going big," or even Senator McCain's 20,000 more to be one shot deals. We can do them for about a year and then we begin to run into deep problems.

2. Shifting to advising and training will help some, so long as we don't get discouraged with uneven progress and even the occassional nasty war crime. But it's not a complete solution.

3. Redeployment within Iraq might help some, though we'll still have attacks on our resupply and the bases themselves.

4. Juan Cole's speculations notwithstanding, I don't know what vital interest Iran has in a stable Iraq. They are neither afraid of Al Qaeda, nor do they seem much bothered by Iraqis dying. Neither Iran nor Syria will have any trouble blocking their own borders.

5. We need to get an Iraqi logistics corps up and running - much of our logistics structure is in support of Iraqis. We won't just abandon them and can't pull out until they can get their own beans and bullets.

I tell ya, I don't envy Mr. Gates his job. He's not going to have any easier a time than did his predecessor.

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 5, 2006 at 11:41 PM | PERMALINK

"Given the size of the border, "enough manpower and physical resources" is hardly a simple matter."
_________________

Oh, hardly simple, Paul. Expensive and difficult. But not impossible, not even remotely so.

The thing is, unless we do so, then we simply invite the next wave of illegal immigration after we settle things for the current millions. Further, if we are to be consistent, we have no business setting barriers in the way of most of the world, yet closing our eyes to the South. And even under the most free immigration regimen, we should retain the right to screen those coming in for criminal background and such. That can only be done in a controlled situation, not one of totally free access.

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 5, 2006 at 11:51 PM | PERMALINK

We could remove the govenments of Syria, Saudi Arabia, and Iran, freeing those populaces to have civil wars of their own, like Lebanon and Iraq.

I don't see that as a step forward, but in the early stages of "brainstorming" it is sometimes recommended that we not be too judgemental. I am sure that the Baker commission has discussed this, and that the Defense Dept has operational plans.

Is "Jacksonian" just another word for imperialism? In this new "Jacksonian" plan, what corresponds to the Trail of Tears?

If there is to be an invasion of Syria, it should be debated and authorized by Congress, and it should be based on U.N.S.C. resolutions already issued, one goal being to remove Syrian influence from Lebanon. Even were it shown to be a good idea (I hope I sound skeptical enough), it could not possibly work without strong Congressional backing.

Posted by: MatthewRMarler on December 5, 2006 at 11:55 PM | PERMALINK

George Orwell, 1945: If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear."

Mark Twain: First get your facts, then you can distort them at your leisure."

Ben Ehrenreich, writing on Camp X-ray, Guantanamo Prison: "We do not know what is being done in our name. Worse, we do not ask."

James Madison, while a US Congressman: "If tyranny and oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy."

Ralph Waldo Emerson, 1843: "I hate quotations. Tell me what you know."

Posted by: consider wisely always, tiring on December 5, 2006 at 11:58 PM | PERMALINK

Trash makes some good points, which seem to me entirely rational if not for:

1) 75% of all Iraqi hate us and want us the fuck out.

and:

2) Iraq is exploding into civil war, which our forces are powerless to stop.

But don't let these massive, gaping holes in the hull of your Iraqi dream cruise stop you from rearranging the deck chairs!

Posted by: smedleybutler on December 6, 2006 at 12:03 AM | PERMALINK

Breaking: The Baker/Hamilton has no time table for exit, says the mission should evolve to a supporting role. There is no open-ended commitment in the report, it discusses the broader conflict in the mid-east. Suprisingly it mentions the importance of the thought processes of the American people. Kind of vague.
worst.president.ever

Posted by: consider wisely always on December 6, 2006 at 12:10 AM | PERMALINK

"At least we have a handle on reality."
_____________________

I'm not sure most of you do, Paul. Doing nothing is not a reality-based option, no matter how often that bumpersticker is read.

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 6, 2006 at 12:11 AM | PERMALINK

The Iraq Centre for Research and Strategic Studies has a new survey of Iraqis that has a bearing on this discussion.

19 of 20 Iraqis say they felt safer under Saddam.

9 of 10 say they feel unsafe around American soldiers.

Over 50% say they want American all troops out right now, and another 20% say they want a withdrawal to begin immediately.

2/3 say they will safer when U.S. troops leave.

You can watch the CNN video here.

Posted by: trex on December 6, 2006 at 12:41 AM | PERMALINK

Have the terrorists accepted our surrender yet? Just askin'.

Posted by: Kenji on December 6, 2006 at 12:43 AM | PERMALINK

coalition troop strength in Iraq today is at 95% of invasion levels when they faced major combat - yet when you factor in Iraqi troops there is two and a half times the military presence in Iraq today as there was in March 2003.

yet the average number of daily attacks has increased from 8 to 180, and the number of civilians killed monthly has increased by hundreds of percent since the months just after the invasion.

in short, while troop strength is gaining at a linear pace violence is increasing at a geometric pace. simple mathematics says that it is not impossible to control the violence with troop levels any longer.

not that it has worked so far.

Posted by: bocarat on December 6, 2006 at 1:11 AM | PERMALINK

If the early reports are correct, Baker's "A Wreck Study Group" will apparently call for the removal of all combat troops by 2008 while leaving behind tens of thousands of military "advisors" (hmmm, where have we heard that term before?)

So it's basically a cut and run proposal, with some window dressing like being nice to the Iranians, having a confab with Iraq's neighbors (maybe bring along some Texas barbeque?) and punishing the Iraqis whey they're baaaaad by holding back their allowance and making them eat dinner in their room.

http://www.thestate.com/mld/thestate/news/world/16172669.htm

Posted by: spn on December 6, 2006 at 1:27 AM | PERMALINK

1. I consider "going big," or even Senator McCain's 20,000 more to be one shot deals. We can do them for about a year and then we begin to run into deep problems.

We might be able to do the 20,000 for a year but going big will require some radical changes. And what for? At this point what military objectives are trying to achieve? I'm not even sure.


2. Shifting to advising and training will help some, so long as we don't get discouraged with uneven progress and even the occassional nasty war crime. But it's not a complete solution.

I'm sure we've got the expertise and the personnel to do this, but if the situation devolves much further, can we really expect the advisors (even if we pull out everyone but Special Forces) to accomplish much aside from dodging bullets?


3. Redeployment within Iraq might help some, though we'll still have attacks on our resupply and the bases themselves.

It would minimize casualties, but if you're talking about retreating to large bases, then we've given up mobility and at that point we might as well just leave.

4. Juan Cole's speculations notwithstanding, I don't know what vital interest Iran has in a stable Iraq. They are neither afraid of Al Qaeda, nor do they seem much bothered by Iraqis dying. Neither Iran nor Syria will have any trouble blocking their own borders.

What does Iraq have to do with al Qaeda? No, what Iran and Turkey are concerned about are there own Kurdish populations. If Iraq fractures into chaos, there's a good chance the Kurds are going to get there own state and most of Iraq's neighbors are not going to like that. Then there's the training of the Badr Brigade by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, so that's a strong avenue of influence.


5. We need to get an Iraqi logistics corps up and running - much of our logistics structure is in support of Iraqis. We won't just abandon them and can't pull out until they can get their own beans and bullets.

Very good point, but this might be a bit of a chicken and egg problem. Since we haven't been able to get the Iraqi combat forces up to snuff yet, who's going to defend their supply lines? And until we get the Iraqi comabt troops trained, will be able to much about training and equiping an Iraqi logistic corps (which I agree is badly needed).

I agree with you there are no good options at this point, but I gotta say that being the case, is it at all fair at this point to ask our military to stay in field? What military objective are we asking them to achieve now?


Posted by: cyntax on December 6, 2006 at 1:30 AM | PERMALINK

So it's basically a cut and run proposal, with some window dressing

The only question left on the table will be, 'who lost Iraq?'

We are cutting and we are running because we have no options left and no one to help bail us out. We have positioned ourselves like the British were positioned after Dunkirk. They needed someone to bail them out. There is no one to bail out the US as it has now been ground down to a hollow force.

Oh well, can't do much about it with any sleep. Back to bed....

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 6, 2006 at 2:01 AM | PERMALINK

Socratic Gadfly is too stupid to find any mistake in the proofs,... or maybe there are no mistakes,...

Posted by: FakedMoonLandings on December 6, 2006 at 2:14 AM | PERMALINK

cytax, redeployment further away from the hottest points of action (primarily Bagdad) will not limit our mobility. Instead, it will allow us to preserve our strength, avoid casualties, and strike at the enemy when they mass. While unspoken in public, the idea is linked with the thought of allowing the internecine fighting to burn itself out, clarifying the situation.

Posted by: Trashhauler on December 6, 2006 at 2:16 AM | PERMALINK

"The thing is, none of the options look very good right now ..."

No shit.

" ... allowing the internecine fighting to burn itself out, clarifying the situation."

Sounds like a lot of burned flesh of children.

"we have no options left and no one to help bail us out."

So we should definitely stay for years and years and years.

"so long as we don't get discouraged with uneven progress and even the occasional nasty war crime. But it's not a complete solution."

Didn't we invade Iraq to stop occasional nasty war crimes? Whatever.

"What does Iraq have to do with al Qaeda?"

Hard telling not knowing.

"It would minimize casualties, but ..."

Yeah, that should be a doggone shame. What about the floundering prosthetics industry and their stockholders?

"The thing is, unless we do so, then we simply invite the next wave of illegal immigration after we settle things for the current millions."

Of course, it's all the Mexicans' fault. Who knew?

So there you have it folks. The 60-second Iraq War Solutions Symposium. And the verdict? It's all because of those spics and wetbacks.

Posted by: Douglas Watts on December 6, 2006 at 2:37 AM | PERMALINK

See this post about similarities between a joke I made in 2002 and Jacksonian Democrat's plan:

here

It includes a map.

Posted by: Quiddity on December 6, 2006 at 4:10 AM | PERMALINK

Spock -

How was Yamamoto evil? The Imperial Navy had a strategy to knock out American naval power in order to pursue rapid expansion for the purpose of consolidation of natural resources and a strengthening of their global position. America was starving Japan of imports, preventing them from pursuing the Chinese nationalists who threatened their legitimate (insofar as Britain's/America's/France's/The Netherland's occupation of Hong Kong/The Philippines/Indochina/The East Indies) interests in Manchukoku. They attacked a military facility. They did the same thing against the Russians at Port Arthur in 1904, which was widely praised as a stroke of military genius in the American press.

How is any of that evil? I remind you that America killed far more civilians than the Japanese did in the Pacific War.

Posted by: American In Osaka on December 6, 2006 at 7:17 AM | PERMALINK

Enozhino,

What the Japanese say when you leave a restaurant of theirs is typically: Irasshyaimase! Doumo arigatou gozaimashita! Translated, it means, "we were glad to have you, thank you." It is known as keigo, or to the uninformed, polite speech. They say it to everybody because they are polite.

The Japanese surrendered to the US because they realized that the US was willing to indiscriminately slaughter anyone and everyone to achieve its ends. They realized the US was a monster.

Posted by: American in Osaka on December 6, 2006 at 7:23 AM | PERMALINK

NYNick - "WWII was not sold to the country as something it was not"

Except for the part where we convinced ourselves that our war with the Japanese was anything but a war of two Pacific empires who sought control of China's markets.

Posted by: American in Osaka on December 6, 2006 at 7:26 AM | PERMALINK

>>the site of the main breach at the 17th street canal-

17th Street is where the Metairie Outfall Relief Canal breached. There'd been recent work to widen the bridge at that location.

It's not and never has been the '17th Street Canal'. It runs parallel to the parish line between Jefferson Parish and Orleans Parish.

If there were a shred of justice in this wicked world it would have breached on the Jeff Parish side rather than the Orleans Parish side since the point of the drainage canals in the first place was to allow development of white flight suburbs in the marshland in Jeff Parish which drained New Orleans of much of its population and tax base.

And, of course, it was Jefferson Parish which shut down its pumping stations.

Posted by: CFShep on December 6, 2006 at 8:45 AM | PERMALINK

(maybe bring along some Texas barbeque?)

I'm hoping you mean brisket. Baby back ribs might be a problem.

Posted by: CFShep on December 6, 2006 at 9:09 AM | PERMALINK

Quiddity your map is hiliarious. How prescient of you that you were able to predict the Jacksonian plan with startling accuracy.

Better watch out or people are going to start calling you the "wingnut psychic."

Posted by: trex on December 6, 2006 at 10:32 AM | PERMALINK

I remind you that America killed far more civilians than the Japanese did in the Pacific War.

Oh, you're referring to this:

On the Japanese home islands alone, in the savage last months of the war, U.S. conventional bombs and nuclear bombs incinerated an estimated 600,000 to 900,000 noncombatants. Japanese civilians killed overseas bring that total to well over one million.

A tragedy, yes. But let's look at the facts, and I'll admit it right up front that the history is not kind in any way to the American decision to do such a thing as drop the Atomic bomb. I'll even use the timeline from NuclearFiles.org for you and show you how I believe things unfolded:

As early as May, 1945, overtures to Japan were being made to gain a surrender and a cessation of hostilities.

May 12
William Donovan , Director of the Office of Strategic Services, reports to President Truman that Japan's minister to Switzerland, Shunichi Kase, wished "to help arrange for a cessation of hostilities."

Why did it take so long?

June 19
James Forrestal 's diary describes top-secret "State-War-Navy Meeting" in which surrender terms are discussed. He writes, " Grew's proposal, in which Stimson most vigorously agrees, that something be done in the very near future to indicate to the Japanese what kind of surrender terms would be imposed upon them and particularly to indicate to them that they would be allowed to retain their own form of government and religious institutions while at the same time making it clear that we propose to eradicate completely all traces of Japanese militarism."

June 20
A meeting of the Supreme War Direction Council before Emperor Hirohito is held on the subject of ending the war. According to the U.S. Strategic Bombing Survey, "the Emperor, supported by the premier, foreign minister and Navy minister, declared for peace; the army minister and the two chiefs of staff did not concur."

The Japanese were warned:

July 26
Potsdam Declaration calls upon Japanese government "to proclaim now the unconditional surrender of all Japanese armed forces." The alternative, the Declaration states, is "prompt and utter destruction."

July 28
Japan rejects Potsdam Declaration.

What was the tragic consequence of the Japanese refusal to accept unconditional surrender? It was the deaths of those civilians. Instead of accepting peace, the Japanese pursued war and refused to surrender when they had the chance.

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 6, 2006 at 11:03 AM | PERMALINK

I remind you that America killed far more civilians than the Japanese did in the Pacific War.

While, as Pale Rider points out above, the number of Japanese civilians killed by Americans was about a million, the Japanese inflicted far greater and more savage casualties in the areas they held, particularly China (where estimates of total war deaths range around 10-38 million, of whom at least half were due to Japanese military action), Indochina (about a million) and Indonesia (about 3-4 million).

Posted by: Stefan on December 6, 2006 at 11:31 AM | PERMALINK

Stefan,

Shhh! Our little friends don't like to have their worldview shattered like that.

And don't bring up the Korean women who were forced to 'service' the Japanese Army...

And, um, we need to be really, really quiet about the fact that the Japanese don't do apologies well and like to build shrines to war criminals.

Shh!

Posted by: Pale Rider on December 6, 2006 at 11:37 AM | PERMALINK

When are these armchair geeks going to stop pushing their dungeons and dragons figures around the hex board and stop calling it strategy?

Just remember, when you send orders for your five pronged attack against the dark lord, remember not to cry, "for the elves". Its embarrassing frankly.

Posted by: bubba on December 6, 2006 at 12:11 PM | PERMALINK

I forgot Korea!

Posted by: Stefan on December 6, 2006 at 12:27 PM | PERMALINK

You mean this Instaputz' summit? Find the symposium way down...

Posted by: AnneJ on December 6, 2006 at 12:29 PM | PERMALINK

From the Iraq Study Group:

The situation in Iraq is grave and deteriorating. If the situation continues to deteriorate, the consequences could be severe. A slide toward chaos could trigger the collapse of Iraq's government and a humanitarian catastrophe. Neighboring countries could intervene. Sunni-Shia clashes could spread. Al-Qaida could win a propaganda victory and expand its base of operations. The global standing of the United States could be diminished. Americans could become more polarized.

The results of Operation Together Forward II are disheartening. Violence in Baghdad already at high levels jumped more than 43 percent between the summer and October 2006. U.S. forces continue to suffer high casualties. Perpetrators of violence leave neighborhoods in advance of security sweeps, only to filter back later. Iraqi police have been unable or unwilling to stop such infiltration and continuing violence. The Iraqi Army has provided only two out of the six battalions that it promised in August would join American forces in Baghdad.

After reading this summary of what a disaster Iraq has become, I have to ask:

How could Bush have let this happen? How could he have been so incompetent, inept, and perhaps criminally negligent to allow an occupied country that was his responsibility to fall into such ruin and potentially threaten the entire Middle East?

Perhaps impeachment hearings could shed some light on this.

What an abysmal example of a commander in chief.

Posted by: trex on December 6, 2006 at 12:36 PM | PERMALINK

More from the Baker report:

Current U.S. policy is not working, as the level of violence in Iraq is rising and the government is not advancing national reconciliation. Making no changes in policy would simply delay the day of reckoning at a high cost. Nearly 100 Americans are dying every month. The United States is spending $2 billion a week. Our ability to respond to other international crises is constrained. A majority of the American people are soured on the war. This level of expense is not sustainable over an extended period, especially when progress is not being made.

The longer the United States remains in Iraq without progress, the more resentment will grow among Iraqis who believe they are subjects of a repressive American occupation.

So to sum up:

1) Bush's policy is a failure

2) "Staying the course" with this failed policy will result in even further disaster

3) This disastrously failed policy has crippled our country's ability to defend itself against other potential threats

4) We cannot afford this failed policy either monetarily or in the cost of American lives

5) The people we were told we were "liberating" actually see the U.S. as repressive occupiers

The report makes it clear that Bush has failed in the prosecution of this war and in making our country safer. Serious charges such as these are grounds for drawing up articles of impeachment, particularly point number three. Perhaps that course of action can be pursued while Congress simultaneously negotiates with the White House about beginning troop withdrawals.

Posted by: trex on December 6, 2006 at 12:54 PM | PERMALINK

Look. We invaded Iraq to get back at The Arabs for 9/11.

We've done that.

So, it's time to pack up and go home.

In time for Christmas, Jingle Bells, Silent Night and that stuff. Okay?

Posted by: McMahon on December 6, 2006 at 1:06 PM | PERMALINK

From the ISG Report: "The longer the United States remains in Iraq without progress, the more resentment will grow among Iraqis who believe they are subjects of a repressive American occupation."

Interesting sentence in that it fails to consider the obvious and emerging fact that the U.S. presence in Iraq has become a key reason for the "lack of progress." If this is true (and I think it is), then staying in Iraq will -- by definition -- defeat the only plausible purpose for ... staying in Iraq.

Posted by: Douglas Watts on December 6, 2006 at 2:43 PM | PERMALINK

Kevin Drum: "an ambitious attempt to see if the blogosphere can come up with better ideas than all those tired mainstream analysts. As it turns out, response was so overwhelming that we'll be getting multiple installments."

For your Consideration: Ideas from 2005. Laugh, weep, vote for Best Ignored Ideas of 2005-7.

Posted by: Constant on December 6, 2006 at 7:16 PM | PERMALINK

A different idea? Try this:

Give half of Iraq to Syria and the other half to Iran. Get out quick and leave the two dysfunctional nations to fight each other instead of fighting us.

Variation: give a third of it to Turkey.

Variation: let ALL the adjacent nations bid for what they want. Think they don't want Iraq? Sure it's broken now, but greed and lust for power will rear their predictable heads.

Why it'll never work: "EXCUSE ME? We're gonna just GIVE all those oil wells to someone else?" (So is that what this war's been all about from the very beginning? Curious.) (Greed rears its predictable head :-)

Posted by: curious on December 6, 2006 at 10:05 PM | PERMALINK




 

 
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