Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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March 22, 2007
By: Kevin Drum

FAKE RAIDS....The Wall Street Journal reports today that Iraqi businessmen are in a tough situation: they need American funds to restart their businesses, but if anyone knows they're getting U.S. cash they run the risk of being shot or blown up. Capt. Dan Cederman came up with an answer to this dilemma last year while he was talking with the owner of a vocational school that was receiving U.S. reconstruction funds:

With the work well under way last fall, Dr. Noori asked Capt. Cederman to see the renovations for himself, both men say. But the Iraqi stressed the importance of keeping the U.S. role secret. "Can you come in without anyone seeing you come in?" Dr. Noori remembers asking...."I thought, 'Why don't we just raid the place?' " Capt. Cederman recalls.

....The U.S. raid took place last September. Dr. Noori, who had been alerted to the timing, stayed home the day of the strike to prevent his workers from finding out that he knew many of the soldiers....The ruse worked so well that Capt. Cederman decided to carry out a similar raid last month at the printing plant here that had been fixed up with U.S. funds.

....In recent days, meanwhile, U.S. forces staged a raid to solve a nettlesome -- and potentially life-threatening -- problem in the nearby city of Bayji.

An Iraqi who worked as a translator for U.S. forces there was getting death threats from insurgents and asked the U.S. for help. The Americans responded by raiding his house, publicly arresting him, and holding him in jail for two days.

"A lot of people there now think he's a bad guy," Capt. Cederman says. "It bought him a lot of street cred."

This is clever stuff. At the same time, it's a pretty stark reminder of just how unpopular we are in Iraq. Like so many things, it seems like an idea that might help us in the short term but will just end up making things even worse in the long term.

Kevin Drum 1:27 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (62)
 
Comments

Worse? The decider WILL show you worse. Much worse.

Posted by: repug on March 22, 2007 at 1:57 PM | PERMALINK

Yes, it's both disturbing and clever. But should Dr. Noori's name be published on the Internet for all the world to see?

Posted by: LAS on March 22, 2007 at 2:01 PM | PERMALINK

This is clever stuff. At the same time, it's a pretty stark reminder of just how unpopular we are in Iraq. Like so many things, it seems like an idea that might help us in the short term but will just end up making things even worse in the long term.

Maybe too clever by half. This is the Middle East, after all, where they have been playing these games longer than we have.

If the stories are true, then telling them endangers their subjects.

Whenever I hear an American explaining something about Iraq, I try to remind myself where he (or, occasionally, she) stands in the hierarchy of those who know what's really going on:

1. Leaders of the various factions
2. Active members of the various factions
3. Iraqis, including the kids
4. Non-Iraqis who are not members of the occupying forces
5. Members of the occupying forces

Every story we read about our misadventures in Iraq demonstrates that our on-the-ground intelligence is secondhand and often wrong. Any player who believes he's playing the Iraqis is being played.

Posted by: clem on March 22, 2007 at 2:01 PM | PERMALINK

Whereas, what happened to all those pallet loads of shrink wrapped Iraqi funds? $54B worth.

Guess the right answer and a duck will come down from the ceiling and give you a Medal of Freedom.

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 2:01 PM | PERMALINK

Kevin Drum wrote: At the same time, it's a pretty stark reminder of just how unpopular we are in Iraq.

Actually it's stark reminder of just how unpopular we are with Iraqi terrorists.

I should hope so! I would be disappointed in our policy if terrorists looked favorably upon the USA.

Posted by: ex-liberal on March 22, 2007 at 2:02 PM | PERMALINK

i'm glad the liberal media is finally paying attention to our success stories in iraq.

Posted by: mudwall jackson on March 22, 2007 at 2:03 PM | PERMALINK

This seems like a tactically clever but strategically devastating approach: it deals with the immediate problem facing a particular friend, sure, but making insurgents think they aren't on the side of the Americans.

OTOH, people who have enough contact with the target to believe that they are "good guys" are going to distrust the Americans even more when the see people they think of as "good guys" raided.

And, of course, whatever value the tactic has is eroded when it becomes known. The first law about fake raids for propaganda purposes is you don't talk about fake raids for propaganda purposes.

Posted by: cmdicely on March 22, 2007 at 2:13 PM | PERMALINK

So are the 51% of Iraqis who think attacks against occupation forces all terrorist?

Posted by: klyde on March 22, 2007 at 2:13 PM | PERMALINK

Even assuming for the sake of the discussion that this worked like a charm up until, say, yesterday, it is ceasing to work even as we read. This blog has readers all over, even aside from every other path by which this is getting out. Next brilliant idea, please.

Posted by: Ken D. on March 22, 2007 at 2:20 PM | PERMALINK

Guess the right answer and a duck will come down from the ceiling and give you a Medal of Freedom.

*Snort.*

Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State (aka Global Citizen) on March 22, 2007 at 2:26 PM | PERMALINK

If they invaded my country I would fight like hell, do a little dance when Bush and Cheney dropped through the floor, and then promptly resume blowing shit up. I would continue to do so until the last invader left my soil or the last breath left my body. Would I be a terrorist?

Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State (aka Global Citizen) on March 22, 2007 at 2:29 PM | PERMALINK

I heard a secondhand story that GIs try to avoid trouble with Iraqis by painting "Fuck Bush" on their vehicles in Arabic.

Posted by: Carl Nyberg on March 22, 2007 at 2:30 PM | PERMALINK

"Would I be a terrorist?"

That would depend entirely on whether you won or lost the war.

Posted by: jefff on March 22, 2007 at 2:31 PM | PERMALINK

It's only clever if you keep it a secret.

It's not a secret if you and I know about it.

Posted by: catherineD on March 22, 2007 at 2:33 PM | PERMALINK

Carl Nyberg >"...painting "Fuck Bush" on their vehicles in Arabic."

Truth in advertising

"Squeezing off a few rounds of automatic weapons fire here in Baghdad is the equivalent of honking your horn in America." - Borzou Daragahi

Posted by: daCascadian on March 22, 2007 at 2:37 PM | PERMALINK

"ex-liberal" wrote: Actually it's stark reminder of just how unpopular we are with Iraqi terrorists.

You still here, "ex-liberal"? And with the same old neocon bullshit, no less. Yuor sad attempts at spin in the midst of the implosion of the Republican Party is truly pathetic. Shame on you.

Posted by: Gregory on March 22, 2007 at 2:38 PM | PERMALINK

Invaders always leave, eventually.

Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State (aka Global Citizen) on March 22, 2007 at 2:38 PM | PERMALINK

great -- and now this story has been published far and wide and the brilliant idea will die along with the kidnapped to be iraqis.

Posted by: linda on March 22, 2007 at 2:40 PM | PERMALINK

Guess the right answer and a duck will come down from the ceiling and give you a Medal of Freedom.

*Snort.*
Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State (

*Quack*

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 2:40 PM | PERMALINK

The exception to "invaders always leave, eventually" would of course be the "new world" wheree guns, germs and steel - and horses - gave the invaders an insurmountable advantage.

Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State (aka Global Citizen) on March 22, 2007 at 2:40 PM | PERMALINK

"A lot of people there now think he's a bad guy," Capt. Cederman says. "It bought him a lot of street cred."

Damn, here I was thinking all you needed for street cred was some to wear some bling and to throw on some twenties on the escalade. Turns out you need to be thrown in the hole by the US Army too...

Posted by: The Eye of Ra on March 22, 2007 at 2:43 PM | PERMALINK

I endorse LAS above. I do hope businesses, names, towns, the number of days held, job functions, every piece of information that might identify anyone, has been fudged.

Yes, the "terrorists", mudwall jackson, do not want us there in Iraq, but they do not like Iraqis either.

Because more or less all of us go on calling it a WAR, we have it pretty well all ass-backwards.

We are an 'Occupying Power'; the WAR was over when Bush, correctly, declared "Mission Accomplished". ever since we have been unwanted Occupation Forces, something for which there is no institutional memory in the Pentagon nor at the bottom end.

Equally important in keeping peace is Hearts and Minds. We did nothing about showing we meant well, and in fact, by our arrogant military and adminisratrative (non)-actions, we showed we could not scare less about the Iraqi people.

Whaddya expect?

We do have lots of guys who are trying, and we do get some successes, but a successful Occupation would, by now, have a reverse proportion of 'trouble' against 'peace'.

Posted by: maunga on March 22, 2007 at 2:43 PM | PERMALINK

The exception to "invaders always leave, eventually" would of course be the "new world" where guns, germs and steel - and horses - gave the invaders an insurmountable advantage.
Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State

yeah, that didn't work out so well for my Choushtta ancestors...

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 3:02 PM | PERMALINK

But, Dear Mr. Jefferson included it in the Declaration.


The failure of the British to promptly exterminate the 'savages' who were daring to defend their lives and lands.

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 3:04 PM | PERMALINK

I hope the folks who derided Kevin for posting this on his blog "for the world to see" recognize that it was originally in THE WALL STREET JOURNAL! Those radical right-wing Bush-pansies (okay, that's just the editorial page staff) just spilled the beans.

Posted by: editor on March 22, 2007 at 3:05 PM | PERMALINK

Blue Girl, Red State (aka Global Citizen) and MsNThrope

Sad, isn't it, or indicative, that this quite important posting is getting so little interest.

And there in the House, the gutted bill will get passed, perhaps! If only the prohibition about Iran were there................

Posted by: maunga on March 22, 2007 at 3:35 PM | PERMALINK

Well, its good to know that after four years we're finally using the tactics that police in the US have used to give rides to their plainclothes / undercover officers for DECADES. Brilliant.

Posted by: Patrick on March 22, 2007 at 3:37 PM | PERMALINK

The first law about fake raids for propaganda purposes is you don't talk about fake raids for propaganda purposes.

That is what they want you to think.

Posted by: TomB on March 22, 2007 at 3:46 PM | PERMALINK

So, once again the WSJ puts our soldiers in jeopardy by revealing successful tactics?

I'll hold by breath while the Rightwing noise machine gears up for their denunciations of the liberal rag....

Posted by: Disputo on March 22, 2007 at 3:52 PM | PERMALINK

I heard a secondhand story that GIs try to avoid trouble with Iraqis by painting "Fuck Bush" on their vehicles in Arabic.

I hear that the State Dept is passing out "I'm Canandian" buttons to every USAmerican overseas....

Posted by: Disputo on March 22, 2007 at 3:54 PM | PERMALINK

although of course they spelled Canadian correctly....

Posted by: Disputo on March 22, 2007 at 3:54 PM | PERMALINK

Hey, we're already fighting a fake War on Terror (TM). Why not fake raids to go along with it?

Posted by: Stefan on March 22, 2007 at 3:59 PM | PERMALINK

Hey, we're already fighting a fake War on Terror (TM). Why not fake raids to go along with it?
Posted by: Stefan

"This is an eternal war against terrorism. It’s like a war against dandruff. There’s no such thing as a war against terrorism. It’s idiotic. These are slogans. These are lies. It’s advertising, which is the only art form we ever invented and developed." - Gore Vidal

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 4:03 PM | PERMALINK

I hear that the State Dept is passing out "I'm Canandian" buttons to every USAmerican overseas....

Discreet maple-leaf pins used to work, but now that every red stater blocking the pedestrian traffic in foreign cities has started sporting one, not so much. Last fall, I watched a Frenchman ask some scared-of-his-own-shadow Yank what city in Canada he was from, and the guy couldn't come up with anything. Oooooeeeeee.

Posted by: shortstop on March 22, 2007 at 4:05 PM | PERMALINK

Discreet maple-leaf pins used to work, but now that every red stater blocking the pedestrian traffic in foreign cities has started sporting one, not so much. Last fall, I watched a Frenchman ask some scared-of-his-own-shadow Yank what city in Canada he was from, and the guy couldn't come up with anything. Oooooeeeeee.

My girlfriend is Canadian, and she's furious with these false flag operations. Seriously, we're making it dangerous to be a Canadian these days.

Posted by: Stefan on March 22, 2007 at 4:12 PM | PERMALINK

SS: I hear that the State Dept is passing out "I'm Canandian" buttons to every USAmerican overseas....

But the vast majority of the consular and diplomatic people who were in point of fact passed through, and escaped the aftermath of the fall of the Shah did so because of the courage of their Canadian 'friends'.

So. Maybe not so funny.

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 4:15 PM | PERMALINK

Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State (aka Global Citizen) wrote: If they invaded my country I would fight like hell, do a little dance when Bush and Cheney dropped through the floor, and then promptly resume blowing shit up. I would continue to do so until the last invader left my soil or the last breath left my body. Would I be a terrorist?

If BGRSakaGC had been a German Jew in a concentration camp in Germany, would she have fought like hell against the allied troops who invaded her country? Of course not. She would have known that the foreign invaders were saving her from a domestic government that was fascistic.

Similarly, an Iraqi who was freed from Saddam's fascistic rule is unlikely to fight like hell against the democratic government and its western allies, unless this Iraqi wants a new fascistic government take over Iraq.

Posted by: ex-liberal on March 22, 2007 at 4:20 PM | PERMALINK

I have a close relative that has lived less than a mile from the Peace Bridge her entire life. I was trundled off there from my fathers overseas billet about a month before all hell broke loose.

I still have pictures of the billboard that read "Thank You, Canada" on one side and "Merci, Canada" on the other.

Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State (aka Global Citizen) on March 22, 2007 at 4:21 PM | PERMALINK

My girlfriend is Canadian, and she's furious with these false flag operations. Seriously, we're making it dangerous to be a Canadian these days.

I know! Honest injun, I last did it in 1986 when we were bombing Libya and I was trying to be an incognito student in a very angry Rome.

Posted by: shortstop on March 22, 2007 at 4:22 PM | PERMALINK

SS: Honest injun,

Say what?

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 4:27 PM | PERMALINK

Oh, hell, I never even thought of that as a slur. Honest to Pete, it's never been described to me as such and I never made the connection. I do beg everyone's pardon most sincerely.

Posted by: shortstop on March 22, 2007 at 4:33 PM | PERMALINK

SS: See mailbox.

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 4:35 PM | PERMALINK

Shortstop, is that your real email?

Posted by: Stefan on March 22, 2007 at 4:39 PM | PERMALINK

Wonder how popular US GI's were in post WWII Germany and Japan. Are we still in those countries?

Posted by: nikkolai on March 22, 2007 at 4:45 PM | PERMALINK
Wonder how popular US GI's were in post WWII Germany and Japan.

The absence of occupation-phase combat fatalities suggest they were considerably less unpopular than US GI's are in Iraq.

Posted by: cmdicely on March 22, 2007 at 4:52 PM | PERMALINK

The absence of occupation-phase combat fatalities suggest they were considerably less unpopular than US GI's are in Iraq.

It might have also help that all the Axis ammo dumps had been depleted, instead of looted....

Posted by: Disputo on March 22, 2007 at 4:59 PM | PERMALINK

I'm guessing I look sufficiently 'honest'. For an 'Injun' anyway.

Posted by: MsNThrope on March 22, 2007 at 5:01 PM | PERMALINK

The absence of occupation-phase combat fatalities suggest they were considerably less unpopular than US GI's are in Iraq.

Just to head the wingnuts off at the pass, the total number of Occupation combat fatalities in both Germany and Japan? Zero. Zero as in not one single solitary American soldier killed by insurgent or resistance activity in several years.

Posted by: Stefan on March 22, 2007 at 5:42 PM | PERMALINK

"Like so many things, it seems like an idea that might help us in the short term but will just end up making things even worse in the long term." - Drum

You mean we're actually helping re-build something in Iraq? But wouldn't that mean less money for the evil Bush?


The Democrats have a bill that's coming due very soon. The lunatic fringe is EXPECTING to be out of Iraq with Bush impeached in fairly short order, and they are not a patient bunch. It will be fun to watch Pelosi and Reid and Co. appease their "base" in the months to come, especially considering the 96-2 thumping last week.

Posted by: Jay on March 22, 2007 at 5:54 PM | PERMALINK

"Even assuming for the sake of the discussion that this worked like a charm up until, say, yesterday, it is ceasing to work even as we read. This blog has readers all over, even aside from every other path by which this is getting out. Next brilliant idea, pleas..(Ken D)"

That's just what I was thinking!

I was starting to believe that Military Intelligence was an oxymoron, but my faith is restored. It reads like a twisted movie plot.

Posted by: JerseyMissouri on March 22, 2007 at 7:02 PM | PERMALINK

Jay >"...But wouldn't that mean less money for the evil Bush?..."

Uhhh, no.

At least not until the Rev. Moon`s operations are shut down.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." - George Bernard Shaw

Posted by: daCascadian on March 22, 2007 at 7:08 PM | PERMALINK

That excerpt reads like something out of a Joseph Heller novel.

Posted by: Cyan on March 22, 2007 at 7:32 PM | PERMALINK

As catherineD already said: "...if it's a secret." Don't let me hear from the armed forces having information leaked by journalists endangering operations, unless they cynically mean only US soldiers, when they've decided to use the Wall Street Journal as a conduit for some "looking good" articles that presumably put at risk those they sought to protect. Even if they changed the names and the places, the suspicion has been raised.

Forget it. They're safe. Of course no Iraqis read the WSJ.

Right.

Posted by: notthere on March 22, 2007 at 7:41 PM | PERMALINK

Just a distraction.

Be reminded that Hamudi al-Sadun just confessed under torture to causing the Great Chicago Fire!

Posted by: absent observer on March 22, 2007 at 10:40 PM | PERMALINK

That excerpt reads like something out of a Joseph Heller novel.

Yes, it's from his latest work:

"Iraq: Clusterfuck-22."

"The Americans took to executing fake raids on Iraqis who were working with them in order to defuse any suspicions that they were complicit with the occupiers. Before long, before being raided by the Americans was seen as a de facto sign of complicity."

Posted by: trex on March 22, 2007 at 11:04 PM | PERMALINK

It appears that some of these beneficiaries of false raids will be in a better position to be a moderate voice in Iraq, which might help solve the unity problem in their country. Of course it will be bad press for the Americans, but one way or the other our troops will be ending the occupation, (if not leaving the country) in the reasonably near future. It would be worth the gamble if---

---some DUFUS had not printed it in the Wall Street Journal. It not only made these people targets, but others who may be under suspicion. Now who is the dumb ass that leaked THAT covert operation? Whoever it is should be tried & imprisoned. There would be no doubt about blowing the cover on this one.

Posted by: bob in fl on March 22, 2007 at 11:36 PM | PERMALINK

So, some guy in Iraq gets $300k to renovate a building to use for a textile school.

Why can't victims of Katrina get similar start up funds to rebuild their homes and businesses?

Posted by: KathyF on March 23, 2007 at 4:08 AM | PERMALINK

For an account of the desperate plight of Iraqis who have worked with Americans, see "Betrayed The Iraqis who trusted America the most" by George Packer in the current New Yorker.

Posted by: Neal Deesit on March 23, 2007 at 5:09 AM | PERMALINK


We need more Officers like this , who use common sense to solve problems.i speak from experience as a military advisor in VietNam.

Jim P

Posted by: james a phillips on March 23, 2007 at 7:47 AM | PERMALINK

We need more Officers like this , who use common sense to solve problems.I speak from experience as a military advisor in VietNam.

Jim P

Posted by: james a phillips on March 23, 2007 at 7:48 AM | PERMALINK

This is clever stuff. At the same time, it's a pretty stark reminder of just how unpopular we are in Iraq.

I think Benjamin Franklin said it best: Fish and visitors smell after 3 days and we've been there how many years?

Posted by: Ray Waldren on March 23, 2007 at 9:29 AM | PERMALINK

---some DUFUS had not printed it in the Wall Street Journal. It not only made these people targets, but others who may be under suspicion. Now who is the dumb ass that leaked THAT covert operation? Whoever it is should be tried & imprisoned. There would be no doubt about blowing the cover on this one.

Umm, if you'd read the article you'd realize that the people responsible for the story seem to be the US military themselves, in a pathetic effort to spin some good press for themselves. You may have noticed that the US Army Captain who came up with the idea, Capt. Dan Cederman, is quoted throughout the article -- -- "I thought, 'Why don't we just raid the place?' " Capt. Cederman recalls.

If he didn't want to make this public why did he explain it all in such loving detail to a reporter? So if you want to try and imprison the doofus who leaked this, by all means go after Captain Dan Cederman.

Posted by: Stefan on March 23, 2007 at 10:20 AM | PERMALINK




 

 
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