Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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April 30, 2008
By: Kevin Drum

IS IRAN FINALLY CHOOSING SIDES?....Hmmm. From Juan Cole, here's another tidbit of evidence that Iran has decided to abandon Muqtada al-Sadr and throw in completely with the Dawa/ISCI/Maliki government forces:

Sadr spokesman Salah al-Obeidi (al-Ubaydi) in Najaf bitterly attacked Iran, accusing it of seeking to share with the US in influence over Iraq. He pointed to the Iranian's regime's failure to condemn the long-term mutual security agreement being crafted by the Bush administration and the al-Maliki government. Al-Obeidi's angry denunciation suggests that Iran is backing PM Nuri al-Maliki and his current chief ally, the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq led by Abdul Aziz al-Hakim against the Sadr Movement of Muqtada al-Sadr.

As always, take this with a big grain of salt. It may mean everything or nothing.

Kevin Drum 1:13 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (19)

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Comments

Since Sadr isn't pro-Iranian as much as a nationalist, he might be right. Does anyone know if Sadr is getting money from the Iranians?

Posted by: Joe Klein's conscience on April 30, 2008 at 1:29 PM | PERMALINK

It would be fittingly ironic if one axis of evil helped us subdue another. But just cuz we're in the mix doesn't mean we're an axis. no siree. then someone might say GD America and that would be sad.

Posted by: on April 30, 2008 at 1:34 PM | PERMALINK

Nothing new -- ISCI and Maliki have long been Iran's representatives in Baghdad, and Sadr has long been against the US military occupation which props up ISCI and Maliki. What's the evidence that Iran ever backed Sadr? Who's to say the "Iranian weapons" found in Basra weren't planted there by the US?

Posted by: Don Bacon on April 30, 2008 at 1:36 PM | PERMALINK

So, how does "bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" fit into this again?

Posted by: phleabo on April 30, 2008 at 1:39 PM | PERMALINK

Buh...buh...but if the Iranians join up with Maliki, that means he's siding with the terrists, doesn't it?

Shoot. All that work and we're right back where we started.

Posted by: Quaker in a Basement on April 30, 2008 at 2:06 PM | PERMALINK

"Just ask the Axis,
he knows everything."

-- Jimi Hendrix

Posted by: thersites on April 30, 2008 at 2:06 PM | PERMALINK

welcome to the 100 year American/Iranian Reich in Iraq....

courtesy of Bush/Cheney/McCain and the Al-Hakim family and their underwriters in Tehran...

the slavish and clownish parroting by the MSM of Pentagon and White House talking points on Iraq is ridiculous.

Posted by: leftymn on April 30, 2008 at 2:32 PM | PERMALINK

It makes sense. Ahmadinejad visited Baghdad and got the red carpet treatment (literally). Despite what many say I don't think we really want to tangle with Iran. The Sadrist spokesman was probably fairly accurate. ISCI and Maliki want all the outside influence they can get. Iran is just another prop for their regime. They may end being THE prop, if we hightail it out of there, and that might suit us just fine, let the Sunni Arabs shoot it out with Iran and they can be our proxy army. But, that will only work out if we leave. Hell, maybe we will after all?

Posted by: Doc at the Radar Station on April 30, 2008 at 3:15 PM | PERMALINK

As the first commenter noted, Sadr is pretty much the only authentic Iraqi nationalist with any power. Even though it makes a great soundbite, Iran has little reason to support him.

Posted by: scarshapedstar on April 30, 2008 at 3:17 PM | PERMALINK

Maliki's government will be mighty pissed when we start bombing Iran. Probably won't be friends with Georgie anymore. Might even tell us to get our troops the hell out of the country.

Posted by: Speed on April 30, 2008 at 3:17 PM | PERMALINK

Is Kevin further backing off his claims last month(without any real fact information) that the Iraq offensive in Basra was a disaster? Just another example of why most pundits (certainly including Kevin) should be wise enough not to offer opinions about subjects related to Iraq regarding which they have little understanding or fact knowledge.

Posted by: brian on April 30, 2008 at 3:22 PM | PERMALINK

"Is Kevin further backing off his claims last month(without any real fact information) that the Iraq offensive in Basra was a disaster?"

No. Next stupid question?

Posted by: PaulB on April 30, 2008 at 3:45 PM | PERMALINK

47 troops killed in Iraq going into today.

Posted by: R.L. on April 30, 2008 at 4:27 PM | PERMALINK

IF this is real maybe we'll see results when the new (Dem) Pres takes office.... they did the same thing with the Hostages after all.

Posted by: MNPundit on April 30, 2008 at 5:48 PM | PERMALINK

Every major player in the Middle East wants to oppress the poorest Iraqis. The only way to make sense of it is to account for the oil wealth at stake.

Posted by: Brojo on April 30, 2008 at 6:04 PM | PERMALINK

Well, the Hakim and Sadr families have been traditional enemies since the days when Ayatollahs ran the Shiite show...

Posted by: Blue Girl, Red State on April 30, 2008 at 6:39 PM | PERMALINK

I'll take my margarita on the rocks with no salt, please.

McCain will be wanting to ¶¶ bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iraq againNnNnnN ¶¶

Posted by: Jet on April 30, 2008 at 7:16 PM | PERMALINK

Oh, the irony ...

Posted by: Neil B. on April 30, 2008 at 8:28 PM | PERMALINK

IMPEACHMENT would ruin Mccain's chances for the Presidency. Call Nan @1-202-225-0100 and DEMAND IMPEACHMENT.

Posted by: Mike Meyer on April 30, 2008 at 9:24 PM | PERMALINK




 

 

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