June 26, 2008
NORTH KOREA UPDATE....McClatchy and others report that we're making some fairly remarkable progress on the North Korea front:
North Korea on Thursday will provide a long-awaited declaration detailing its nuclear weapons programs, a potential breakthrough in a 17-year-long effort to rid the Stalinist state of nuclear arms, U.S. officials said.
North Korea's tally of its weapons work, which initially will be delivered to China, the chair of the six-nation nuclear talks, will trigger a rapid series of events in the normally slow-moving diplomacy that eventually could lead to the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and the isolated communist nation.
Also on Thursday, President Bush is expected to announce that he intends to remove North Korea from the U.S. government's list of nations that sponsor terrorism and waive it from the provisions of the Trading With the Enemy Act, which bars almost all commerce.
As early as Friday, North Korea plans to demolish the cooling tower at its Yongbyon nuclear reactor, with the head of the State Department's Korea desk, Sung Kim, on hand to witness.
In addition, Joe Klein reports that a source tells him "that there will be more encouraging developments from North Korea in the weeks to come." This progress started in earnest after North Korea's failed nuclear test in 2006, and I'm still a little mystified about exactly why that triggered it. Presumably the Chinese put their foot down in some way at the same time that Christopher Hill managed to convince George Bush to muzzle the Cheneyite dead-enders and let him engage in serious diplomacy. So far, it seems to be working.
—Kevin Drum 1:20 AM
Permalink
| Trackbacks
| Comments (30)
Thank jeebus Condoleeza wasn't in charge of the diplomatic efforts.
Posted by: Everyman on June 26, 2008 at 1:38 AM | PERMALINK
So, Bush has had success in North Korea . . . once he returned to Clinton's policy there. Interesting.
Posted by: Jon on June 26, 2008 at 1:52 AM | PERMALINK
"So, wait... I'm confused. Does this support or oppose the "Bush is an incompetent moron who is incapable of doing anything right" meme?"
See Jon's response right above yours.
Apparently, when Bush copies someone's competent behavior, he gets worthwhile results. When he goes with his incompetent moron gut, he buys a money pit in the Middle East.
Somewhat off topic, but only by one continent, I just finished watching an interesting show about China's various diplomatic/trade/loan efforts in tying up the various mineral resources in Africa. Gee, if we weren't spending all our money on invasions and lining the pockets of the military industrial complex, we might have the resources to get a hedge going for the future too. Unfortunately, by the time someone in the government figures out how to think long-term and uses the diplomatic skills required to get us there, China will have sewn everything up.
Posted by: Everyman on June 26, 2008 at 2:39 AM | PERMALINK
wasn't clinton's policy bilateral?
isn't it much different to have China and SKorea participate in the diplomacy? don't they have bigger sticks than the US?
Posted by: marks on June 26, 2008 at 5:46 AM | PERMALINK
Talking with our enemies - what a concept. It's too bad that Bush gets any credit whatsoever for this progress, since he really had so little to do with it.
Kinda like the fall of the Berlin Wall and Ronald Reagan....
Posted by: The Conservative Deflator on June 26, 2008 at 5:58 AM | PERMALINK
It's Bush's fault.
Posted by: Orwell on June 26, 2008 at 7:02 AM | PERMALINK
" . . . . convince George Bush to muzzle the Cheneyite dead-enders and let him engage in serious *appeasment*."
Fixed it.
Posted by: Joel on June 26, 2008 at 7:08 AM | PERMALINK
No J.C. It is the blind hog occasionally finds an acorn principle.
Posted by: Captain Dan on June 26, 2008 at 7:16 AM | PERMALINK
Whoa, wait a minute. You mean the President's refusal to deal with North Korea until they stepped back in line actually worked?
Well that is interesting.
Kinda lucky isn't he? Same dumb luck that has kept us from having a domestic terrorist attack since 9/11.
Posted by: Orwell on June 26, 2008 at 8:03 AM | PERMALINK
"Orwell" wrote (while his namesake once more rolled over in his grave): Same dumb luck that has kept us from having a domestic terrorist attack since 9/11.
Liar.
Posted by: Gregory on June 26, 2008 at 8:19 AM | PERMALINK
Whoa, wait a minute. You mean the President's refusal to deal with North Korea until they stepped back in line actually worked?
No, he means that N. Korea's refusal to deal with Bush until he stepped back in line actually worked.
Posted by: rea on June 26, 2008 at 8:51 AM | PERMALINK
There was speculation all along that North Korea was using its nuke program for economic leverage. Now they are reaping the maximum possible benefit from a clearly failed president, desperate for a legacy. But I ask, what has changed about North Korea? Are they not as dangerous as before? Are they not postured still to strike South Korea and American interests? It sure looks like the only change came in our "negotiating with the enemy" Bush Administration position. Looking at this diplomatic "success," why shouldn't Cuba build a cooling tower or two?
Concessions were made. Brinksmanship was rewarded.
We live in Bizzarro World under Bush. Fox Noise is trumpeting this like we just won the Cold War again.
Posted by: Sparko on June 26, 2008 at 9:18 AM | PERMALINK
Even with crazies in the white house I'm pretty sure North Korea feels pretty safe from attack at the moment.
A lame duck president with an over-extended military grasping for a legacy. The timing is most consistent with the US backing down. Maybe they got a non-aggression treaty or a billion bushels of corn.
Posted by: B on June 26, 2008 at 9:35 AM | PERMALINK
But -- but-- I thought you weren't supposed to talk to adversaries until they had already given you what you wanted. I'm waiting for McCain to blast this example of irresponsible naivete.
Posted by: CJColucci on June 26, 2008 at 9:48 AM | PERMALINK
So are the Chinese appeasers now? It's all so confusing...
Posted by: thersites on June 26, 2008 at 10:25 AM | PERMALINK
This progress started in earnest after North Korea's failed nuclear test in 2006, and I'm still a little mystified about exactly why that triggered it.
Maybe the Norks decided that the dud nuclear bomb made their nuke program worth more as a bargaining chip than a deterrent?
Notice how the wingnut / neocon fearmongering -- going all the way back to Iraq, if not before -- depends on casting the enemy du jour as not just evil, but crazy ("Mad Mullahs!"). Of course, to the neocons and their idiot fellow travelers, simply placing their own perceived self-interest above American interests seems to be evidence of insanity.
And in a way this perception is evidence of insanity, but not in our rivals, if you get my drift.
Posted by: Gregory on June 26, 2008 at 10:33 AM | PERMALINK
J.C.: Yeah. Right. We are lifting trade sanctions and declaring victory. They get to disband a program that wasn't viable. They get that coveted "cred." Diplomatic status. The whole bundle. And they still have exportable knowledge. Big win. For them. We still have dolts in charge, but a new starving trading partner. At a time when there are food riots in Milwaukee. . ..
Posted by: Sparko on June 26, 2008 at 11:29 AM | PERMALINK
"North Korea's failed nuclear test in 2006" ?!?!
IIRC that attempted bomb had a yield of 1 kiloton. Now by the standards of nuclear bombs that is a dud, but I sure wouldn't want one of those to blow up in my back yard. I mean a kilo of TNT makes a very large explosion a million kilos would be the kind of thing that we would accept a whole lot to prevent it from blowing up in downtown seoul (or hey why not smuggle it in to New York).
I mean if that's a failure, I sure don't want to deal with a success.
Anyway aside from the single world "failed" I have no objections to your post.
Posted by: Robert Waldmann on June 26, 2008 at 11:31 AM | PERMALINK
That refusal (to give DPRK cred by engaging in direct bilateral talks) was something Bush was hit on mercilessly by the left, but appears to have been the right decision after all.
Thank you for linking to a post in the conservative Wall Street Journal, by Condoleezza Rice no less, showing that diplomacy is effective in dealing with our enemies.
That's something the "left" hits on all the time as well, and is routinely derided for by the "right." If only we had a nickel for every time that we got one right.
Also: why do developments in this area have any necessary relationship to Bush or America? There are other countries in the world. Like, say, Japan -- who's been engaging in...what?
Bilateral talks with North Korea for a year.
Posted by: trex on June 26, 2008 at 11:41 AM | PERMALINK
A lot of people seem to be ignoring the history of North Korea. Even money says this is an attempt to establish a position to negotiate with the next president. Kim is likely practicing rug pulling as we speak.
Posted by: nonheroicvet on June 26, 2008 at 11:46 AM | PERMALINK
hm. The US's gravest security threat is getting removed, no terrorist attacks in five-odd years.
These are large successes on the national security front, and they've been viciously attacked and derided by you guys at every step.
Posted by: a on June 26, 2008 at 12:29 PM | PERMALINK
Orwell - 2008: It's Bush's fault.
Orwell 1992 - 2007: It's Clinton's fault.
Posted by: mr. irony on June 26, 2008 at 12:37 PM | PERMALINK
a,
The nuclear program was restarted and resulted in a successful nuclear weapons test during Bush's tenure. This is ~ 7 years overdue. The "US's gravest security threat" never needed to exist.
Posted by: asdf on June 26, 2008 at 1:13 PM | PERMALINK
This means we're going in. Saddam's voluminous listing of weapons and weapons programs was all lies, lies, lies, and presaged invasion. You expect the North Koreans to tell the truth about their nuclear weapons programs?
Posted by: Luther on June 26, 2008 at 1:52 PM | PERMALINK
"muzzle the Cheneyite dead-enders and let him engage in serious diplomacy."
YES! Exactly! If someone would have asked the Iraqi farmers what THEY needed, instead of the oil companies, perhaps serious diplomacy would have taken place with Saddam Hussein , and Iran, etc etc etc.
Muzzle ALL of the fanatics. Terrorism has always only been a threat to the status quo of the rich. Since the economy is now a bigger threat due to their policies of protecting the status quo, perhaps it's time to do more serious diplomacy, starting with the Central Planning of Iowa caucus agriculture policies. Buy less, buy local, support your neighbor's garden, and perhaps we can all spend a little more time at home with our families, instead of shipping them off to wars for oil to fight wars.
The economy is NOT our country.
Posted by: auntiegrav on June 26, 2008 at 3:26 PM | PERMALINK
Gee, if we weren't spending all our money on invasions and lining the pockets of the military industrial complex, we might have the resources to get a hedge going for the future too. Unfortunately, by the time someone in the government figures out how to think long-term and uses the diplomatic skills required to get us there, China will have sewn everything up. Posted by: Everyman
Not likely. First, we still have some morals and are likely to gain more once Obama is elected. The Chinese still have none (see Darfur). So they will succeed where we fail. That being said, Africa is an unmitigated political and social mess. Getting anything out of the country that you can't fit into your pocket will remain sporadic and problematic for the foreseeable future. Furthermore, the mineral market, like oil, is international. Very few countries have monopolies on any materials.
Posted by: Jeff II on June 26, 2008 at 4:26 PM | PERMALINK
So with two of the three axis of evil now wiped out does this mean that we now live in a one dimensional world?
Posted by: optical weenie on June 26, 2008 at 5:14 PM | PERMALINK
So basically, after 8 years, we're back where Clinton left us except the Koreans have enriched plutonium and probably a bomb of some sort.
George Bush has accomplished a miracle.
Posted by: Paul Camp on June 26, 2008 at 11:42 PM | PERMALINK