Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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September 19, 2008
By: Hilzoy

Two Obama Ads

Surveying a couple of recent stories about Obama's ads:

(1) Obama's "Dos Caras" ad: I don't have access to Rush Limbaugh's paid archives -- I signed up once (the sacrifices I make!), but it was incredibly difficult to un-subscribe, and I have no desire to send any of my perfectly good money to Rush Limbaugh. That means that I cannot check this story out for myself, and see whether, as Jake Tapper says, the Limbaugh quotes that Obama's ad cites are completely out of context.

I take Jonathan Zasloff's points:

"McCain has been running perhaps the most right-wing campaign since Robert Taft. He has cozied up to the GOP's Taliban wing for several months now. He has acknowledged that he would not vote for his own immigration bill if it came up for a vote. Whom do you think he will appoint to key positions that concern immigration?

We know that the one time he had to make an appointment--his running mate--he caved to the social conservative base. One might even call Palin a dittohead.

Tapper seems to acknowledge this, but nevertheless insists that all McCain is saying that the country "has to secure its borders" before embarking on a more comprehensive bill.

This is a cop-out: given the enormous push factors on immigration, to say that he will not move toward a comprehensive solution until illegal immigration is reduced to a trickle is saying that he will never do it."

But that doesn't mean the ad itself is not deceptive. If Tapper is right, then Obama should do the right thing and pull it down.

(2) Michael Scherer thinks that Obama's Social Security ad is deceptive:

"Obama says that McCain voted three times to privatize Social Security, and that he is willing to risk the nation's retirement program on the risky stock market. Now, it is true that McCain did support President Bush's effort to privatize a portion of Social Security. But it is not true that McCain is running for president on a platform of turning Social Security over to Wall Street."

There are several things wrong with what Scherer says. First, the ad does not say that McCain is "running for president on a platform of turning Social Security over to Wall Street." It just doesn't. It says that McCain voted for privatization three times, which he did, and that he told the WSJ that he campaigned for Bush's plan, which he also did.

Second: I would think that the ad were deceptive had John McCain clearly renounced the idea of privatizing Social Security. But he hasn't. Just a couple of months ago, he said (in response to a question about Social Security):

"I want young workers to be able to, if they choose, to take part of their own money, which is their taxes, and put it in an account which has their name on it."

That is what is normally referred to as partial privatization. McCain doesn't always seem to grasp this terminological point. Thus, in this speech from last June, McCain said:

"My friends, I do not and will not privatize Social Security. It is a government program, and it's necessary, but it's broken, and we got to tell the American people that we've got to fix it, and we've got to sit down together the way that Ronald Reagan and Tip O'Neill did back in 1983 and fix Social Security. But my friends, I will not privatize Social Security, and it's not true when I'm accused of that. But I would like for younger workers -- younger workers only -- to have an opportunity to take a few of their tax dollars -- a few of theirs -- and maybe put it into an account with their name on it."

Which is to say: I support what everyone has always referred to as "privatizing Social Security", but I either don't like that term or don't know what it means.

Scherer notes that the plan on John McCain's website does not support privatization. Last time I checked, this was true. However, while that would normally settle the matter, in McCain's case it does not. McCain has often said things that are at odds with his web site, things the campaign has had to walk back, but that he has then gone on to repeat. He has done this on a number of issues -- the AMT, taxes more generally, kicking Russia out of the G-8, and -- you guessed it -- Social Security. From the WSJ, last March:

"On Social Security, the Arizona senator says he still backs a system of private retirement accounts that President Bush pushed unsuccessfully, and disowned details of a Social Security proposal on his campaign Web site."

When a campaign's website says things that its candidate explicitly disavows, it's hard to know what the candidate actually thinks. Personally, I would go with the candidate: he knows his own mind better than his advisors do. I certainly don't think it's "dodgy" to take the candidate's word for his own beliefs over his website's.

Hilzoy 1:36 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (21)

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Comments

The Republican Party Platform (Which McCain could have changed if he were willing to Straight Talk the platform committee) says:

We believe the solution should give workers control over, and a fair return on, their contributions. No changes in the system should adversely affect any current or near-retiree. Comprehensive reform should include the opportunity to freely choose to create your own per-sonal investment accounts which are distinct from and supplemental to the overall Social Security system.

Sure sounds like privatization to me.

Or perhaps McCain wants to tell us why he, as head of the Republican Party, wasted time and money writing up a document that he doesn't agree with on central issues.

http://www.gop.com/2008Platform/

Posted by: riffle on September 19, 2008 at 2:18 PM | PERMALINK

Give Michael Scherer a break! He just got confused and thought he was still writing for Salon.

Posted by: The Answer Is Green on September 19, 2008 at 2:23 PM | PERMALINK

It's long been established that John McCain does not speak for his campaign. Just the other day his spokesman had to explain why who would not agree to meet the Prime Minister of Spain, using a form of logic normally reserved for 3 year olds.

At least once a week McCain says something that has to be clarified by a campaign spokesperson the next day (in the case of the Fundementals comment from earlier this week McCain himself did the 'clarifying).

Posted by: thorin-1 on September 19, 2008 at 2:23 PM | PERMALINK

riffle: actually, I don't think so. Personal accounts that are supplemental to SS are fine: SS works just the way it always has, but you get to contribute extra money that goes into a retirement account somewhere. It's not clear to me why this would be some sort of advantage over an IRA, but it's not a threat to SS.

Diverting SS taxes out of the SS trust fund and into private accounts is the thing to watch for. And it's what McCain has called for within the past couple of months, when his advisors aren't keeping him n line.

Posted by: hilzoy on September 19, 2008 at 2:25 PM | PERMALINK

"Personal accounts that are supplemental to SS are fine: SS works just the way it always has, but you get to contribute extra money that goes into a retirement account somewhere"

I'd agree. Maybe we could call those accounts "Individual Retirement Accounts." Too bad nobody's thought of such a thing before. Oh, wait....

Posted by: fostert on September 19, 2008 at 2:30 PM | PERMALINK

When a campaign's website says things that its candidate explicitly disavows, it's hard to know what the candidate actually thinks. Personally, I would go with the candidate: he knows his own mind better than his advisors do. I certainly don't think it's "dodgy" to take the candidate's word for his own beliefs over his website's.

Let's not forget that there were five and half years of Vietnmase captivity when McCain couldn't even have a website to contradict....

Posted by: Stefan on September 19, 2008 at 2:48 PM | PERMALINK

actually, I don't think so. Personal accounts that are supplemental to SS are fine: SS works just the way it always has, but you get to contribute extra money that goes into a retirement account somewhere. It's not clear to me why this would be some sort of advantage over an IRA, but it's not a threat to SS.

But then what is the Republican platform talking about? The "opportunity to freely choose to create your own per-sonal investment accounts which are distinct from and supplemental to the overall Social Security system" already exists and no "reform" is needed to create it -- after all, we already have IRAs, 401Ks and the ability to maintain indivdual brokerage and savings accounts.

Posted by: Stefan on September 19, 2008 at 2:51 PM | PERMALINK

reminds me of charles barkley a few years ago claiming he was misquoted in his "autobiography."

Posted by: mudwall jackson on September 19, 2008 at 2:57 PM | PERMALINK

McCain can always disavow his website's posting but it's more difficult to disavow his own words. I he believes what is posted on his web site he should say so otherwise we should go by what he has said.

Posted by: bjobotts on September 19, 2008 at 3:01 PM | PERMALINK

McCain can always disavow his website's posting but it's more difficult to disavow his own words.

Not for a maverick it's not!

Posted by: Stefan on September 19, 2008 at 3:05 PM | PERMALINK

The GOP officially purged the word "privatization" in the spring of 2005. Almost overnight. One day, they advocated privatization, the next, they abhorred privatization but continued to insist that young workers should be allowed to turn their FICA contributions over to Lehmann Brothers to be invested wisely.

Posted by: Stuart Eugene Thiel on September 19, 2008 at 3:12 PM | PERMALINK

Because this issue seems too complicated for most of you to understand, allow me to provide a simple explanation. What Bush and McCain wanted to do was allow workers to allocate a small portion of their compulsory FICA taxes to a private account. This is called "partial" privatization. As opposed to "complete" privatization, which would never be politically viable. To illustrate just how "partial" the proposal was, Bush floated the idea of letting workers put up to 4% of income into a private account, with a ceiling of $1,000. To put that in perspective, a worker with income over the social security wage base ($102,000 for 2008) could elect to have $1,000 placed into a private account. That would be $1,000 out of their total FICA taxes of $12,648 (12.4% of taxable income), or a meager 8% of their contribution to social security. This would have been great for younger workers, since they at least would see that money (plus returns) when they retired. Whereas under the current system, they will probably never see anywhere near their contributions ever again.

Posted by: Doom on September 19, 2008 at 3:26 PM | PERMALINK

Because this issue seems too complicated for most of you to understand, allow me to provide a simple explanation.

Yes, as a Wall Street private equity attorney I'm afraid this is all just beyond me.....

Posted by: Stefan on September 19, 2008 at 3:28 PM | PERMALINK

This is the second time I've seen someone on the Left saying that Obama should take the Rush ad down if it's deceptive, the deception primarily being a charge that it quotes Rush out of context.

Rush Limbaugh has spent almost a quarter of a century smearing, demonizing and belittling every liberal and every Democrat he could find, using every cheap and deceptive debating trick he could come up with. Yet, the idea of taking that guy's comments out of context STILL sends some on the Left into a tizzy.

Mike

Posted by: MBunge on September 19, 2008 at 3:50 PM | PERMALINK

This would have been great for younger workers, since they at least would see that money (plus returns) when they retired.

Especially if they had invested in GM, Ford, Enron, Bear Stearns, Lehman, AIG or similar blue-chip pillars of the American economy.

Whereas under the current system, they will probably never see anywhere near their contributions ever again.

Nonsense, of course they will. There's absolutely no reason (other than a Republican attempt to destroy the system) why younger workers won't receive their SS benefits.

Posted by: Stefan on September 19, 2008 at 3:56 PM | PERMALINK

Mike, I'm with you. It thrills me to see a Democrat throw stuff like this right back in Limbaugh's face.

Posted by: BigRiverBandido on September 19, 2008 at 3:58 PM | PERMALINK

The Rush comments are *not* out-of-context for the purposes of that ad. The ad basically characterizes the comments as "the insults we've had to put up with", and they are indeed insults. Whether Rush was talking at a certain time, or about McCain or any specific policy is irrelevant, the ad is about linking McCain to the rest of the garbage spewed by surrogates of the republican party, and it works. It's about tone.

Posted by: Bob R. on September 19, 2008 at 4:00 PM | PERMALINK

Tapper provides the full context of Limbaugh's remarks. I don't think it's even close to exculpatory. It may not be fair for Obama to associate McCain to Limbaugh on this issue, but it's not even a question of giving Limbaugh a taste of his own medicine; the quotation is arguably harsh but fair.

Posted by: Matt Weiner on September 19, 2008 at 4:02 PM | PERMALINK

What Mike said.

We're at a gunfight, and some liberals are trying to figure out whether it'd be mean to sharpen our knives beforehand?

Seriously, taking two statements of your opponent, which are arguably inconsistent, and attacking him for the one that puts him in the worse light for voters is Politics 101. The fact that anyone on the left is willing to get sucked into a discussion over the morality or wisdom of such a standard political strategy is somewhat scary.

Posted by: Chris on September 19, 2008 at 4:06 PM | PERMALINK

Don't even think of comparing Taft to McCain. That's blasphemous to the great Ohio Senator and actual real conservative unlike the right-wing social democrat McCain.

There is a difference.

Posted by: Sean Scallon on September 19, 2008 at 6:13 PM | PERMALINK

Since you did not take the liberty into entertaining what Tapper really said, I broke it down rather nicely.

http://www.davidortez.com/2008/09/19/how-make-jake-tapper-look-like-a-fool

Posted by: David Ortez on September 19, 2008 at 6:18 PM | PERMALINK




 

 

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