September 22, 2008
MONDAY'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP....Today's installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn't generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
* McCain campaign spokesperson Tucker Bounds was on MSNBC yesterday, and was pressed on whether McCain could rule out Phil Gramm as a possible Treasury Secretary. Bounds refused to give a straight answer.
* Hillary Clinton is launching a new outreach project called, "Hillary Sent Me." It's part of a renewed effort on Clinton's part to help the Obama campaign, both with more fundraising and more volunteers for the Obama campaign's ground game. The effort is slated to formally get underway this week in New Hampshire.
* The Obama campaign had high hopes about competing in South Dakota, but has since concluded the state is out of reach. The campaign's 50 staffers in South North Dakota will now be sent to Minnesota and Wisconsin.
* A new NBC News/Mason Dixon poll shows Obama leading in Pennsylvania by two, 46% to 44%.
* A new Miami Herald poll shows McCain leading Obama in Florida by two, 47% to 45%.
* A Suffolk University poll shows McCain with a very narrow lead over Obama in Nevada, 45.8% to 45.3%.
* Rasmussen shows Obama leading McCain in Minnesota by eight, 52% to 44%.
* A Research 2000 poll shows McCain leading Obama in Missouri by four, 49% to 45%.
* EPIC-MRA shows Obama leading McCain in Michigan by one, 43% to 42%.
* In North Carolina, Rasmussen shows McCain leading Obama by three, 50% to 47%, while Public Policy Polling shows the two tied at 46% each.
* A University of Cincinnati poll shows McCain leading Obama in Ohio by six, 48% to 42%.
* A Research 2000 poll shows Obama leading McCain in Maine by 14, 52% to 38%.
* Rasmussen shows McCain leading Obama in South Carolina by six, 51% to 45%.
—Steve Benen 12:00 PM
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Purleeeeze stop showing the polls all the time. They're casino, just like Wallstreet.
Posted by: Hoi Polloi on September 22, 2008 at 12:03 PM | PERMALINK
That was North Dakota, Steve.
Posted by: The Fabulous Mr. Toad on September 22, 2008 at 12:09 PM | PERMALINK
Obama pulled his staff from North Dakota, not South Dakota.
Posted by: MLJ on September 22, 2008 at 12:10 PM | PERMALINK
I think you mean North Dakota.
Posted by: douglasfactors on September 22, 2008 at 12:11 PM | PERMALINK
Bounds refused to give a straight answer.
Isn't it illegal to discuss cabinet picks before the election? Of course, that shouldn't prevent anyone from saying who won't be on the cabinet.
Posted by: Grumpy on September 22, 2008 at 12:11 PM | PERMALINK
Dem Senators counterproposal for bailout:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080922/ts_nm/financial_bailout_congress_dc
Senate Democrats want pay limits, equity in bailout
Am still reading it...
Posted by: Hannah on September 22, 2008 at 12:12 PM | PERMALINK
The confederacy lives on.
Ohio is a surprise though... I thought it was a 'free state'.
Posted by: Buford on September 22, 2008 at 12:18 PM | PERMALINK
I agree with others. The polls are not interesting to read. Not to mention, I think we can all agree that they don't account for a lot of voters, who don't have landlines.
people who want to check the numbers can just visit: fivethirtyeight.com
Posted by: drew on September 22, 2008 at 12:19 PM | PERMALINK
McCain by 6 in Ohio? Obama by only 1 in Michigan? Those numbers are worse than a week ago. What gives?
Posted by: Daryl McCullough on September 22, 2008 at 12:21 PM | PERMALINK
Al Franken admits he's a comedian, but his opponent, Norm Coleman, says the government could make a huge profit from the bail out - in fact, 10-20 times its cost. Now that's rich.
Posted by: Danp on September 22, 2008 at 12:23 PM | PERMALINK
McCain by 6 in Ohio? Obama by only 1 in Michigan? Those numbers are worse than a week ago. What gives?
I don't know about the Michigan poll, but the Ohio poll was conducted between September 12th and 16th, so these numbers are already fairly old (the Columbus Dispatch was reporting on this same poll last Thursday, I think).
That said, expect Ohio to suck. A lot. We're full of stupid racist crackers here and I'm hearing smatterings of "can't vote for a black man" any time I venture outside the major cities. I'm hoping that the influx of students from all over the country to OSU will help with the votes in November, but we won't know that for a few weeks.
Posted by: NonyNony on September 22, 2008 at 12:28 PM | PERMALINK
http://www.pbs.org:80/now/polls/poll-435.html PBS is doing a poll - Do you think Sara Palin is qualified to be VP?
Posted by: Dorothy on September 22, 2008 at 12:30 PM | PERMALINK
Juan Cole accurately describes the paradox that is this current presidential election.
Posted by: AJB on September 22, 2008 at 1:03 PM | PERMALINK
Seems the majority of white folks would rather have a dangerously incompetent white man than a very competent black man. From Mother Jones:
AP Poll: Obama Loses 6 Points Due to Race
http://www.motherjones.com/mojoblog/archives/2008/09/9830_ap_poll_obama_loses_six_percent_due_to_race.html
Posted by: Greg Worley on September 22, 2008 at 1:22 PM | PERMALINK
Polling has its place but I share people's uncertainty about how valid it is given the differences in sampling size, demographics, etc.
It might be better to do a running tally of how many electoral votes a candidate could expect if the election was held on any given day instead. That would be a more significant and easily digestible number for a lot of people (me, for one) even though it would certainly have to be based on current polling results anyway.
Posted by: Curmudgeon on September 22, 2008 at 1:29 PM | PERMALINK
Once more for the Republican-impaired like Joanne:
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not the *cause* of this disaster. For some reason they worked fine as private corporations for over 30 years without issue, including 8 years with Bill Clinton in office.
Posted by: OhNoNotAgain on September 22, 2008 at 2:27 PM | PERMALINK
Again, please correct - you meant North Dakota. Each state deserves its own respect.
Posted by: sfrefugee on September 22, 2008 at 2:40 PM | PERMALINK
as someone who lives in Maine, I'll walk with my head held a little higher today.
Posted by: ledsabbath on September 22, 2008 at 6:24 PM | PERMALINK