Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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October 7, 2008

THE IRANIAN OPPORTUNITY.... U.S. policy towards Iran has been a fairly significant element of the presidential campaign, both during the primaries and the general election. Last week, John McCain went so far as to insist that the Bush administration policy isn't nearly hard-line enough, telling the editorial board of the Denver Post, "Let's cut off all kinds of credit to 'em, all kinds -- diplomatic, trade, you name it. Basically isolate them."

Where some see a crisis, others see an opportunity. In the upcoming issue of the Washington Monthly, Flynt Leverett, senior fellow and director of the New America Foundation's Geopolitics of Energy Initiative, and Hillary Mann Leverett, CEO of STRATEGA, a political risk consultancy, explain how and why the next presidential administration will have a unique opportunity to reorient U.S. policy towards Iran, a shift as significant as the one implemented by the Nixon administration towards China. It's a very compelling case.

...Iran's growing strategic importance and confidence in its role in the region mean it is no longer just a threat to be managed. More than ever, it is now an international actor that can profoundly undermine, or help advance, many of the United States's most vital strategic objectives.

That is why the next U.S. president, whether it is John McCain or Barack Obama, should reorient American policy toward Iran as fundamentally as President Nixon reoriented American policy toward the People's Republic of China in the early 1970s. Nearly three decades of U.S. policy toward Iran emphasizing diplomatic isolation, escalating economic pressure, and thinly veiled support for regime change have damaged the interests of the United States and its allies in the Middle East. U.S.-Iranian tensions have been a constant source of regional instability and are increasingly dangerous for global energy security. Our dysfunctional Iran policy, among other foreign policy blunders, has placed the American position in the region under greater strain than at any point since the end of the Cold War. It is clearly time for a fundamental change of course in the U.S. approach to the Islamic Republic.

By fundamental change, we do not mean incremental, step-by-step engagement with Tehran, or simply trying to manage the Iranian challenge in the region more adroitly than the Bush administration has done. Rather, we mean the pursuit of thoroughgoing strategic rapprochement between the United States and Iran: the negotiation of a U.S.-Iranian "grand bargain." This would mean putting all of the principal bilateral differences between the United States and Iran on the table at the same time and agreeing to resolve them as a package.

In addition, The Washington Note's Steve Clemons, director of the New America Foundation's American Strategy Program, will moderate a forum tomorrow stemming from the article with both Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett. For those readers in the D.C. area, here's a link to the schedule for Tuesday's event. If you're outside the beltway and want to tune in, there will be a live webcast.

Steve Benen 1:00 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (11)
 
Comments

Iran and the USA have a common enemy, Arab belt bombers.

Posted by: MattYoung on October 6, 2008 at 11:42 PM | PERMALINK

man that would be some shift. can we do that after we have spent the last 8 years claiming that they are evil? this is not a reorientation this is a 180 degree about face. I think we line up a lot better with Iran than saudi arabia but too many people have too much invested in keeping the status quo that if obama tried that the gop would riot.

Posted by: Gaucho Politico on October 6, 2008 at 11:59 PM | PERMALINK

It's a distraction to bring this up now. Concentrate on Iraq and the economy.

Posted by: bear on October 7, 2008 at 12:05 AM | PERMALINK

Also, Iran and Russia have a historical rivalry that goes back to the days of the czar. This used to be the basis of the Iran-US alliance back in the days of the shah, but there's no reason why it can't be a point of common interest again today. I'm sure they're looking over their shoulder at China as well. How we treat Iran and India will determine what kind of influence the US has in Eurasia over the next generation.

Posted by: jonas on October 7, 2008 at 12:06 AM | PERMALINK

Iran's control over the Shia militias is responsible for the reduction in violence in Iraq. No matter what McCain says about the surge.

Iran is the most stable country in the region.

We should be negotiating with them now. Not with Ahmadinejad. He's not a popular figure in his country, but more importantly he isn't the real leader.

Posted by: doubtful on October 7, 2008 at 12:06 AM | PERMALINK

We share common enemies with Iran, which could be the basis of friendship: Bush, Cheney, the Neocons, and the Democrats and Republicans.

Posted by: Luther on October 7, 2008 at 12:21 AM | PERMALINK

@doubtful

That's a key point, I think. Ahmedinejad is not the supreme leader in Iran, nor does he have any direct control over Iran's military or security services. Thus his overheated invectives about decimating Israel or the US are just that: rhetoric. Now, he does represent an not insignificant bloc of radicals in the government, but utitmately Supreme Ayatollah Kahmeni calls the shots and he seems far less given to Ahmedinejad's apocalyptic pronouncements. I wonder what kind of back channel communications or diplomatic efforts might be possible with Khameni or the Supreme Islamic Council, bypassing the idiot Ahmedinijad altogether?

Posted by: jonas on October 7, 2008 at 12:27 AM | PERMALINK

Off topic a bit: Palin backers getting publicly racist and ugly. She’s getting OC and Schmuck Talk doesn’t know how to ramp her down, even if he wants to.

Posted by: SocraticGadfly on October 7, 2008 at 1:03 AM | PERMALINK

Iran is also, apart from Israel, the most democratic of Middle Eastern states. Rapprochement (after some no doubt very hard bargaining) may even revitalise the great missed opportunity ignored by Bush and company after 9/11.

Downside, of course, is some less than gruntled Saudis, Pakistanis, and (possibly/probably) Israelis.

Posted by: brettc on October 7, 2008 at 6:35 AM | PERMALINK

The price for a stable Iraq under a Shiite-majority government is better US relations with Iran. If we didn't want to improve our relations with Iran, we ought to have left Saddam in charge in Iraq. We've got to get our priorities straight.

The Soviet Union under Stalin was an evil place indeed, but how much sense would it have made on December 8, 1941 to seek a declaration of war against Japan, Germany, Italy and the Soviet Union? McCain and his neocon friends seem just that silly.

Posted by: rea on October 7, 2008 at 10:48 AM | PERMALINK

The U.S.-Iranian "Grand Bargain" enunciated by Flynt and Hillary Mann Leverett seems reasonable and level-headed enough to be applauded. Where I take exception to their proposal, however, is in the comparison they draw with Nixon's sell-out to the PRC (so-called 'People's' Republic of China). In that little misguided exercise, the U.S. was obliged to completely abandon its active support for the people of Tibet and the consequent atrocious mistreatment of the Tibetan people combined with a systematic and deplorable destruction of their culture and religion. As a precedent, therefore, I think the analogy of Nixon's surrender to China is both ill-chosen and inauspicious.

Posted by: Goldilocks on October 7, 2008 at 3:00 PM | PERMALINK




 

 
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