Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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November 3, 2008

MONDAY'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP....Today's installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn't generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers.

* After McCain's poorly attended rally this morning in Tampa, Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) was supposed to stick around and do interviews with CNN and local affiliated. Instead he "bolted right after the rally with no explanation."

* Most modern presidential candidates refrain from campaigning on Election Day. McCain, however, will hit the trail in Colorado and New Mexico on Tuesday afternoon.

* Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens (R), a convicted felon, will air a two-minute advertisement tonight on seven television stations across his home state.

* Gay-baiting in a campaign is wrong, no matter who the target is.

* The last national Marist Poll of the year shows Obama leading McCain by nine (53% to 44%).

* In Florida, Quinnipiac shows Obama leading McCain by two (47% to 45%), while Public Policy Polling also has Obama up by two (50% to 48%).

* In Ohio, Quinnipiac shows Obama leading McCain by seven (50% to 43%), while Public Policy Polling has Obama up by two (50% to 48%), and a University of Cincinnati poll shows Obama by six (52% to 46%).

* In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac shows Obama leading McCain by 10 (52% to 42%), while Public Policy Polling has Obama up by eight (53% to 45%), and Rasmussen shows Obama by six (52% to 46%).

* In Virginia, Public Policy Polling shows Obama leading McCain by six (52% to 46%).

* In North Carolina, Public Policy Polling shows Obama leading McCain by one (48% to 47%).

* In Montana, Public Policy Polling shows Obama leading McCain by one (48% to 47%).

Steve Benen 12:00 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (23)
 
Comments

The end is near!

Posted by: jhm on November 3, 2008 at 12:07 PM | PERMALINK

Montana? Wow!

Posted by: brent on November 3, 2008 at 12:08 PM | PERMALINK

Oh Dear--McCain is rallying in Tennessee, yet he has already said twice: "We need to keep Virginia red, we need to win Virginia!"
===========================================
He also said that Tina Fey and Sarah Palin were likely separated at birth (referring to their uncanny likeness he witnessed while on SNL).

If this is true, sure is a good thing for Tina they were separated and that Tina ran as fast as she could from Palin!! :-)

Posted by: Katie, I'd like to use a lifeline on November 3, 2008 at 12:09 PM | PERMALINK

NM and CO? WTF?

Posted by: John McCain: Worse than Bush on November 3, 2008 at 12:15 PM | PERMALINK

NM and CO? WTF?

Both states near enough to Arizona that he can go out and stump a bit, both states where some kind of miracle might give him a few electoral votes.

My guess is that McCain is one of those guys who is better off out doing something than pacing and waiting. Having a few rallies on election day means that his staff doesn't have to sit around and listen to him scream at them all day. Probably for the best.

And that gay-baiting in Kentucky is just stupid - what kind of idiots does AFSCME have running their political stuff? Just plain wrong - and those folks should be fired.

Posted by: NonyNony on November 3, 2008 at 12:19 PM | PERMALINK

Huh, I wasn't aware that campaigning on election day was legal...I can see why people don't do it though, I'm pretty sure that voting would be a far better use of your supporter's time than listening to another stump speech is.

Posted by: neilt on November 3, 2008 at 12:24 PM | PERMALINK

Does anyone else suspect that something is going on between Crist and McCain besides just politics?

Crist isn't even doing half a Lieberman to support McCain. Maybe Crist was promised the VP slot and it was withdrawn at the 11th hour.

Posted by: g. powell on November 3, 2008 at 12:30 PM | PERMALINK

Gay-baiting in a campaign is wrong, no matter who the target is.

Indeed. I contributed to Lunsford's campaign back in September; that's the sort of thing that makes me wish I could ask for my money back. I want to see Mitch McConnell's sorry ass kicked out of the Senate - but if that's what it takes to make it happen, then no thanks.

Posted by: on November 3, 2008 at 12:33 PM | PERMALINK

Montana would just be the cherry on top of a landslide sundae. I hope it happens. Of course, even if Obama gets >350 electoral votes the Repubs are still going to say that he doesn't have a mandate. Heck, look at what Jon Meacham wrote in Newsweek.

Posted by: Ben on November 3, 2008 at 12:35 PM | PERMALINK

oh, my bad--guess McCain was close enough to the Virginia border to keep referring to the same in his last stump speech.

Posted by: on November 3, 2008 at 12:36 PM | PERMALINK

RE: Post #1, the "END" is near.

I've heard this a lot too. A good friend's wife (from Ohio, imagine that), believes all this end time hocus pocus.

Not that I believe in all that, but I have always been fascinated by prophecy, biblical and otherwise. There are 2 common threads in most prophecies (not necessarily biblical, I'm thinking Edgar Cayce, the Mayans, Nostradamus): One is that they all seem to culminate around the year 2012, and two, mankind's destiny is not preordained; we CAN change it through our actions.

Right now it's obvious to most rational people that the last 8 years have proven to be disastrous. McCain would represent 4 more years of the same. The end of McCain's 1st term? The year 2012. Obama is a stark reversal of the current course. By voting for Obama, we are changing the course of our history.

I presented her this argument, and she had absolutely nothing to say.

Posted by: citizen_pain on November 3, 2008 at 12:36 PM | PERMALINK

I'm no expert on body language, but there was something about McCain's appearance on SNL that convinced me he's already accepted losing, and is maybe even a little relieved he lost.

It wasn't just, as Chris Matthews said, that his jokes didn't just sound self-deprecatory, they sounded like a concession speech. (Particularly the 'campaign tactics' bit later in the show.)

But he was so visibly more relaxed in this role of 'reminiscent loser' than i'd seen him at any of his previous 'entertainment show guest-star' appearances -- ELLEN, LETTERMAN (at last), or the Al Smith Roast. There was always a visible tension in his body, even when he was 'being funny' but there was none of that on SNL.

Posted by: Prup (Jim Benton) on November 3, 2008 at 12:36 PM | PERMALINK

Nov4Suprise.com

Posted by: Rob on November 3, 2008 at 12:47 PM | PERMALINK

Nov4Surprise.com

Posted by: Rob on November 3, 2008 at 12:49 PM | PERMALINK

Steve, you're wrong on gay-baiting, starting with use of the word.

If it's true (and I don't have any clue if it is or not), given that McConnell has signed up on the bottom line for three decades of making antiprivacy a GOP campaign plank, if he needs to be outed (the correct word), then that's what needs to happen.

And, speaking of such issues...

If David Dreier loses re-election in California and Prop. 8 also fails, will we see some honesty from him?

Posted by: SocraticGadfly on November 3, 2008 at 12:53 PM | PERMALINK

Why bother gay "baiting" when it's so much more honest to scream "We hate fags and Mitch McConnell secretly is one"? There wouldn't be any consequences for it.

/is very angry over Obama's "one man one woman my Jesus" crap.

Posted by: Keori on November 3, 2008 at 12:55 PM | PERMALINK

I suppose there are reasons for the final day schedules for McCain and Palin. Someone help me. McCain is making an appearance in TN. He leads BIG in TN. Palin is making an appearance in Iowa. Her ticket is down BIG in Iowa. The Republicans are going to lose Iowa's electoral votes and win TN's. Why are McCain and Palin spending precious time and resources in either state at this stage of the game?

Posted by: steve duncan on November 3, 2008 at 1:02 PM | PERMALINK

Obama's numbers are rising fast on Yahoo's Dashboard prediction markets, from 87.8 to 92.6 in just 24 hours - http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashboard

Meanwhile, after the release of the Mason Dixon poll numbers yesterday morning, which were mildly encouraging for McCain, the national poll numbers have shown a widening lead for Obama. In particular, Gallup was up to 11%, just released, from 9% yesterday.

Posted by: hark on November 3, 2008 at 1:11 PM | PERMALINK

I've had just about enough of Public Policy Polling's wet dreams. Obama is NOT winning Montana.

I'd love for it to be true but they're the only ones that think so.

I dislike shills, even friendly ones.
Truth is our only friend in the long haul.

Posted by: toowearyforoutrage on November 3, 2008 at 1:32 PM | PERMALINK

Steve, big fan here!

Disagree with you on the McConnell outing. If it's true that he's a self-hating homosexual, wrapped in an American flag and carrying water for the religious right, his behavior is far more despicable than that flier.

He's hiding something. Let's just lift the rock and shed some light on the truth. That would end the speculation.

He should release his military records. End of story.

Posted by: mamased on November 3, 2008 at 1:58 PM | PERMALINK

I've had just about enough of Public Policy Polling's wet dreams. Obama is NOT winning Montana. I doubt he will either but every poll in the last 10 days has Montana being pretty close. U Montana actually polled with Obama having a 4 point lead, although with a large number of undecided. PPP pegs it as slightly closer than a few other recent pollsters, but I would hardly call that "shilling." I think, based upon the poll composites and the movement since the middle of the month, that Obama really may end up with about 47-48 percent of the vote which is right about what they predict.

Posted by: brent on November 3, 2008 at 2:18 PM | PERMALINK

The circumstances revolving around McConnell's discharge in 1967 from the Army Reserve are quite sketchy.
One unofficial account, from a man named Alan Lynch who was in the same unit, says this:


"In the summer of 1967 Lynch reported for his summer active duty in the 100th Training Unit Army Reserve. The Unit did their summer active duty at Ft. Jackson, South Carolina. Lynch worked for S-1, the administrative arm of any army unit. Lynch worked for a Major, who was the assistant Adjutant and new to the unit. During his active duty in August of 1967 Lynch remembers coming into the office and noticed that the Major was upset. He asked him what was going on and the Major told him the following:

A new member of the 100th Army Reserve Unit in Basic Training at Ft. Knox was arrested in the barracks for sodomy. The guy is getting out of the military and the excuse will be due to an illness an eye disorder. The Major then told a joke about it saying I guess the guy couldnt see the difference between guys and girls.

Lynch asked him how this guy could accomplish this and get a release from the army. The Major told him that the soldier had served as an intern to Senator John Sherman Cooper and Senator Cooper called the Commanding General of Ft. Knox to arrange the discharge.

At the time the Major told Lynch the name of the soldier but the name didnt stick to his brain. Lynch said frankly it was not important at the time because the name McConnell meant nothing to him. It was not until the issue was raised in McConnells senate race of 1990 that he remembered the incident. Lynch provided the information to reporters with the Courier Journal and Herald Leader but they did nothing with it because they didnt have any real evidence. They only have the story of Lynch."

Hmmm... if this WASN'T the case, wouldn't Mitch be little more forthcoming about his military records?

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Posted by: rupert on November 4, 2008 at 3:53 AM | PERMALINK




 

 
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