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   Memo: The way forward on health care reform in 2010.
 A dark legacy of the Vietnam War is creating a whole new set of problems.
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November 4, 2008
DIXVILLE NOTCH WEIGHS IN.... In terms of predictive value, these early results don't mean much of anything. But in terms of political trivia, it's a fun little indulgence.
Voters in nearby Hart's Location reported 17 votes for Obama, 10 for McCain and two for write-in Ron Paul. What does this tell us? Not much. But I suppose it's worth noting that Dixville Notch has only backed the Democrat once in the half-century they've hosted this local tradition. Indeed, Bush won the small town easily in 2000 and 2004. Take it for what you will. —Steve Benen 7:30 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (18)Comments
What it means is the economy has negatively impacted their quaint way of life, and they hold out hope that Obama can help. I've changed my guess from 320 EV's for Obama to 350 as a result. This is a true harbinger. Posted by: JoeKool on November 4, 2008 at 7:36 AM | PERMALINKIndulgence my . . . Let's extrapolate and compare later. Obama: 17/29 = 58.6% It's a good day in Ohio---and to the east of us, in PA. Seeing McFool and his hench-moose garnering less than 30% of the vote (only about 24% in Hart's) is a good way to wake up. Breakfast ran a bit late, though, as it takes time to fire up the charcoal grill, sizzle the steaks, fry the potatoes, scramble the eggs, bake the biscuits, and fix the OJ for the kids. And this Carnivore Dem is going to have an ice-cold beer or two after voting, by the way, just to give the first of many "good riddances" to the Bushylvanians.... Posted by: Steve W. on November 4, 2008 at 7:40 AM | PERMALINKI was 10 in 1968 when Hubert Humphrey won Dixville Notch. Somehow, I just hope things turn out for the better this time. Posted by: Tom Nicholson on November 4, 2008 at 7:43 AM | PERMALINK"Now these points of data make a beautiful line..." -- GlaDOS, "Still Alive" It's only one data point, but it's an excellent one from which to start! Maybe it means that mavericks don't want to be led by mavericks. They are mavericks, after all. Posted by: Danp on November 4, 2008 at 7:45 AM | PERMALINKrick 7:40 am Does this give Obama momentum of tsunami proportions? Posted by: Ted76 on November 4, 2008 at 7:50 AM | PERMALINKPresident Bartlett won there, too! Posted by: John McCain: Worse than Bush on November 4, 2008 at 7:57 AM | PERMALINKTed76---might we dare to coin the term "Tsu-Bama-nami"? Posted by: Steve W. on November 4, 2008 at 8:05 AM | PERMALINKTake it for what you will. New Hampshire will be an entirely blue state by Nov 6, 2010. Posted by: PeakVT on November 4, 2008 at 8:06 AM | PERMALINKJust to say to our American friends out there. We will be praying for you and your Illinois Senator this day, of all days. American prestige is at stake in this election in a much greater extent than maybe your media can convey. The world has lined up behind one candidate to a degree I have never seen before in my life. (Poland and Israel excepted). So I shall light a candle in my local church, St. James's Picaddilly, and pray for you on this day. If Fate is with us this day, then America is about to elect its first Kenyan-American president. Ndio Tunawezi -- Swahili for 'yes, we can' Not to rain on anybody's parade, but Nate Silver points out that Dixville notch isn't predictive. Of course, FiveThirtyEight is predicting a staggering 98.1% Obama win percentage, the highest I've seen there. So I shall light a candle in my local church, St. James's Picaddilly, and pray for you on this day. That beautiful Wren church! Thank you, John! This time, we won't let the world down. Posted by: shortstop on November 4, 2008 at 9:19 AM | PERMALINKIf I'm McCain, I would not be feeling good right now. Posted by: Sean Scallon on November 4, 2008 at 10:04 AM | PERMALINKDeep breath, people. Can you say 'small sample size?' I knew you could. Encouraging, but c'mon, And we can all take smug satisfaction that Ralph Nader won exactly 'zero' votes in Dixville Notch. Not this time, Ralphie boy. Not this time. Posted by: Curmudgeon on November 4, 2008 at 12:33 PM | PERMALINKIt's a small sample yes, but Dixville Notch is what "rock-ribbed Republican" means, and 17 out of 21 for Obama means CHANGE!. Believe it. Posted by: jprfrog on November 4, 2008 at 1:32 PM | PERMALINK
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