Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

Email Newsletter icon, E-mail Newsletter icon, Email List icon, E-mail List icon Sign up for Free News & Updates

November 7, 2008

OBAMA ALREADY AFFECTING IRAQ POLICY.... Barack Obama's victory this week generated international acclaim, but the impact in Iraq was of a more practical nature.

As recently as last week, Iraqi officials were reluctant to sign a security agreement with the Bush administration, even with a troop withdrawal timeline, because they knew Bush would be gone soon, and weren't sure what kind of commitment they could count on from the next president.

Then Iraqi officials saw what happened on Tuesday. Now, they're feeling better.

Barack Obama may have been elected only three days ago, but his victory is already beginning to shift the political ground in Iraq and the region.

Iraqi Shiite politicians are indicating that they will move faster toward a new security agreement about American troops, and a Bush administration official said he believed that Iraqis could ratify the agreement as early as the middle of this month.

"Before, the Iraqis were thinking that if they sign the pact, there will be no respect for the schedule of troop withdrawal by Dec. 31, 2011," said Hadi al-Ameri, a powerful member of the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq, a major Shiite party. "If Republicans were still there, there would be no respect for this timetable. This is a positive step to have the same theory about the timetable as Mr. Obama."

Jabeer Habeeb, an independent Shiite lawmaker and a political scientist at Baghdad University, put it simply: "Obama's election shifts Iraq into a new position."

Spencer Ackerman added:

[T]he agreement really does guarantee U.S. troop withdrawal by 2011 and U.S. withdrawal from Iraqi cities and towns by next spring. In other words, it ends the war, and ends it in stages.

Obama won't be able to enter office with the Iraq problem solved. But it will be well on its way to being solved. The strategic framework for his desired withdrawal will be in place. And since he and the Iraqi government see eye to eye on the issue, Obama will have the credibility in place to work toward a political compact among the different Iraqi factions -- something the Bush administration hasn't ever had and a McCain administration wouldn't ever have had.

That's not to say Obama will achieve it, just that the stars are better aligned now.


Steve Benen 10:45 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (10)
 
Comments

Gee, electing non-insane presidents is good for foreign policy. Who knew?

Posted by: jimBOB on November 7, 2008 at 11:05 AM | PERMALINK

I don't think the Shia would want a withdrawal unless they felt confident that they would reach political solutions with the Sunni. If the Sunni were worried that the Shia would ask Iran to replace us, I doubt they would approve. The only real losers in this game are the US oil companies and Halliburton.

Posted by: Danp on November 7, 2008 at 11:08 AM | PERMALINK

Things work better when the adults are in charge. Who'd a-thunk.

Posted by: Steve LaBonne on November 7, 2008 at 11:10 AM | PERMALINK

This agreement will help to tie President-elect Obama to his 16 month timeline. IIRC, w said that we wouldn't stay in Iraq if the Iraq government asked us to leave. So why was the SOFA so hard to get done?

Posted by: Michael on November 7, 2008 at 11:14 AM | PERMALINK

And the dividends are already starting to materialize. I for one thought that if Americans elected Obama, that would send a 'shot heard round the world' so to speak; that Bu$h and the neocons DO NOT represent the majority of Americans. That we REJECT Bu$h and his policies and have chosen to reverse course and rejoin the international community.

Posted by: citizen_pain on November 7, 2008 at 11:30 AM | PERMALINK

We don't want or need a security agreement with Iraq. We need to simply get out of the ME and stay out of the ME. The sooner the better.

As I posted yesterday, everyone, Obama especially, needs to heed Chalmers Johnson's advice about reducing our unsupportable commitments and quasi-occupations and bring the troops home. I have no idea why the S. Koreans or even the Japanese put up with us. The former don't need us, and we aren't there in any real force to "protect" the latter. Then there are all our unnecessary bases in Europe, Central Asia, and the rest of the Pacific.

Posted by: Jeff II on November 7, 2008 at 11:43 AM | PERMALINK

Thanks for this important thread.

Just before the election, Doonesbury scripted a questioning of his intrepid newsman - When asked about the most important topic in the election, he replied, "The economy", When asked about any other important matter, he paused and, finally, said "Bill Ayers?" - The last bloc showed four US soldiers in Iraq, all saying "Ahem, ahem".

Posted by: berttheclock on November 7, 2008 at 11:43 AM | PERMALINK

danp said I don't think the Shia would want a withdrawal unless they felt confident that they would reach political solutions with the Sunni.

Or they felt they had enough of a military advantage (with Iran's backing) to keep the Sunnis under control.

Posted by: thorin-1 on November 7, 2008 at 1:10 PM | PERMALINK

Obama's election is having ripples everywhere. Apparently radical jihadists, Al Qaeda and the like, are dumbfounded by Obama's election, which they did not expect, and can't agree on how to react. Some propose a truce, some say he's just like Bush and Clinton. So says the NY Daily News.

Posted by: David in NY on November 7, 2008 at 2:44 PM | PERMALINK

I doubt Obama had a lot to do with this. At the same time, the U.S. now says it's done negotiating, period.

Posted by: SocraticGadfly on November 7, 2008 at 5:05 PM | PERMALINK




 

 
Email Newsletter icon, E-mail Newsletter icon, Email List icon, E-mail List icon Sign up for Free News & Updates

Advertise in WM

Advertise in College Guide






Search Now:
In Association with Amazon.com


Place Your Link Here

---Paid Advertisements---

Payday Loans

Personal Loans

Addiction Treatment

Phone Cards

Less Debt = Financial Freedom

Addiction Treatment Programs

Credit Cards & Debt Consolidation

Bad Credit Loans

Vacation Rentals