Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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December 5, 2008
By: Hilzoy

Zimbabwe Is Dying

Every time I write about Zimbabwe, the news is even worse than before. Every time, I cannot imagine how Robert Mugabe could possibly stay in power when things are so bad. And every time, I remember all the previous times and think: things have gotten so much worse than I ever thought possible that I have no idea whether there is a bottom to Zimbabwe's misery, and if so, where it might be.

The latest catastrophe is a cholera epidemic:

"In recent months, cholera has killed more than 570 people and infected more than 12,700 others in Zimbabwe. The disease has since surfaced in Botswana and Mozambique. Zambia, to the north, is screening for symptoms at border posts. (...)"

"The outbreak is worst in Harare, much of which has no running water because the bankrupt government cannot buy purifying chemicals and pipes are broken. In the packed townships, sewage runs freely.

The start of the rainy season is threatening to spread bacteria, while the summer heat is increasing the need to drink -- though many people are too poor to buy wood to build fires for boiling what little water they can find.

Making matters worse, a health-care system that was once one of Africa's finest has fully collapsed after years of deterioration, Western diplomats and local health-care workers say. Government hospitals have shut down, in part because hyperinflation has left employees unable to pay for transportation to work on their salaries.

"Our central hospitals are literally not functioning," Health Minister David Parirenyatwa said at a meeting of government and international aid officials Wednesday, according to the state-run Herald newspaper.

Western diplomats and health-care workers say emergency services are nonexistent because of shortages of supplies and staff. Power outages mean surgeries are performed by the light of cellphones. A scarcity of coal means medical waste is incinerated only sporadically."

The cholera epidemic is due to a lack of clean water, garbage collection, and functioning sewage systems:

"Most of Zimbabwe's urban areas have gone for several months without water. Many urban households are unable to use their toilets, which are completely blocked by overflowing sewage. Last month, key institutions such as the High Court and Parliament buildings in Harare had to be closed because of the acute lack of water.

Zimbabwean cities have battled to provide water and refuse collection services while the country is subject to frequent power cuts, a result of a severe foreign currency squeeze. The current cholera outbreak is blamed on broken down sewers, uncollected garbage and a shortage of clean drinking water in Zimbabwe's cities."

And that is due to the fact that Zimbabwe's water company took over providing (and charging money for) water, but didn't bother to maintain the water system. In other words, they used it to get cash as long as they could, and let it collapse.

Meanwhile, Oxfam's Country Director for Zimbabwe says that "almost half of Zimbabwe's 13 million population have been weakened by serious food shortages and indications were that more than 5 million people will urgently need food aid by January." As of Nov. 14th, Zimbabwe's inflation rate was estimated at 89,700,000,000,000,000,000,000%. (And no, my finger didn't just get stuck on the zero key: that is 89.7 sextillion percent.) A lot of transactions are now carried out in foreign currencies, which leaves people who don't have a ready way of getting dollars or rand out in the cold.

The one possible sign of hope is that the Army is rioting (more background here and here):

"Starting Nov. 27 and continuing until Monday, Army soldiers rampaged through the capital, Harare, after hearing that the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe would be unable to print enough currency to pay their daily wages. Hundreds of soldiers took their anger out on street vendors, looting the markets for food and other goods. (...)

The looting by members of the armed forces is the beginning of an end to Mr. Mugabe's regime, says University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer John Makumbe. "It might look or sound small, but it is an indication of the dissatisfaction that is in the Army and the general public of Zimbabwe," he says."

The riots are, of course, horrible for the shopkeepers, forex traders, and other civilians who are harmed in them. But they are the only sign so far that Mugabe's hold on power might possibly be weakening.

Hilzoy 9:19 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (19)
 
Comments

I've wondered the same things, Hilzoy. Just like I wonder how my conservative friends can actually take pleasure in the misery of Zimbabwe.

Posted by: little ole jim on December 5, 2008 at 9:56 PM | PERMALINK

Zimbabwe is being murdered by its government.

If it were merely dying we might be able to help it.

Posted by: MatthewRMarler on December 5, 2008 at 10:15 PM | PERMALINK

[...] the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe would be unable to print enough currency to pay their (the army's) daily wages [...]

You know something is *seriously* screwed, when it's not worth the govt's time to print more money to shut its people up. Even if it means they have to learn the names for numbers which, previously, were known only to mathematics professors...

Even though I was here by then, all of my family and friends were in Poland, when inflation began to gallop faster than tuberculosis ever did and everyone became a multimillionaire almost overnight. When I went to visit, I had to learn to, mentally, slash oodles of zeros to estimate what the price of a loaf of bread was. And the zeros on te prices grew, daily, like mushrooms after a good rain...

That situation lasted for about a year. And then the regime flipped, from red (communist) to black (Roman Catholic) under the pressure. So, perhaps, Zimbabwe isn't dying either; perhaps it's on he cusp of flipping.

Posted by: exlibra on December 5, 2008 at 10:17 PM | PERMALINK

My first trip to Africa was to Harare, back in '92 or '93. I was struck by its bustle and apparent prosperity, its cleanliness and relative safety. Great people. Great beer.

A major cholera outbreak in Harare. Soldiers taking out their frustrations on street vendors. Those who know the place from back in the day can scarcely fathom or believe what has happened to the former southern engine of Africa.

Posted by: JM on December 5, 2008 at 10:21 PM | PERMALINK

Hate to say it, but the place was run better when it was called "Rhodesia."

Posted by: furple on December 5, 2008 at 10:56 PM | PERMALINK

There are some obvious analogies to the U.S.-- Corruption and mismanagement for eight years. New Orleans, the banks, the environment, the justice system--all were like Zimbabwe's water system. You must be able to check the power of a tyrant. Impeachement here was "off the table." Surely one of the more stupid utterances ever.

Posted by: Sparko on December 5, 2008 at 10:58 PM | PERMALINK

don't get me started, furple.

Posted by: karen marie on December 5, 2008 at 11:21 PM | PERMALINK

Hate to say it, but the place was run better when it was called "Rhodesia."

When I was there in the early 90s, the place was "run" just fine. Mugabe was always a ruthless character, and probably crazy - old hands will remember the atrocities committed in Matabeleland in the early 80s - but public services and economic activity were about as good as they get in Africa well into the 90s.

But, hey, things were definitely better for the whites when the place was Rhodesia.

Posted by: JM on December 5, 2008 at 11:59 PM | PERMALINK

If Jacob "showers prevent AIDS" Zuma takes power in South Africa next year as expected, Zimbabwe may fade into insignificance by comparison.

Posted by: Peter on December 6, 2008 at 12:27 AM | PERMALINK

If Jacob "showers prevent AIDS" Zuma takes power in South Africa next year as expected, Zimbabwe may fade into insignificance by comparison.

Unlikely. Where HIV is concerned, at least, South Africa has already trudged through many years of official AIDS denial at the hands of Mbeki and his loony minister of health, Tshabalala-Msimang.

It's hard to imagine that conditions re HIV/AIDS under Zuma could be any worse.

Posted by: JM on December 6, 2008 at 12:58 AM | PERMALINK

Sparko, I'm with you on this one.

I remember just earlier this year when Ahmadinejad said it was going to take 30 years to recover from the mess Boy George created.

Why is it that other countries know what is happening here and to us before we do?

Example, when the illegal immigration issues were heated, the illegal immigrants knew they were going to be able to stay and get amnesty.

Maybe we need to start listening to foreign leaders when it comes to our welfare and well-being!!!!!!

Posted by: Annjell on December 6, 2008 at 2:12 AM | PERMALINK

The end of Mugabe is likely going to come as the result of a violent public uprising which overwhelms his armed thugs and sends them fleeing. It won't be pretty.

Unfortunately, neighboring African nations, especially South Africa, have done far too little to force things to resolution and instead have sat by and allowed this slow-motion disaster to unfold in a mass wave of disease, starvations and corruption.

Posted by: dweb on December 6, 2008 at 2:20 AM | PERMALINK

Sometimes, leaders come to hate that which they lead, and their ultimate act becomes one of auto-destruction, to leave nothing behind.

The case could be made that Bush has been on this path for a while ...

Posted by: SteinL on December 6, 2008 at 2:35 AM | PERMALINK

One simply must ask the question: Why were we willing to cry havoc, and let slip the dogs of war down onto the heads of a Serbian thugfest in Yugoslavia that wrought far less damage than is now being done by Mugabe and his ilk?

Posted by: Steve W. on December 6, 2008 at 5:49 AM | PERMALINK

Steve W: one of the clinching arguments at the time, made quite openly, was that we couldn't let the old horrors of genocide return to Europe.

There was a certain logic to that at the time, in an era when the U.S. military all but refused to heed the President of the United States in many ways. Clinton couldn't get them to do very much, but he could at least shame them into this one thing.

Now that we're in an era where our leaders can apparently send the military anywhere they want, you'd think the least we could do is helicopter a special-ops team into Zimbabwe and take Mugabe out, or drop a bomb on wherever he's holed up. Such an intervention could hardly make things worse, and it's impossible to see how things in Zimbabwe can get any better until Mugabe's removed.

Posted by: low-tech cyclist on December 6, 2008 at 6:20 AM | PERMALINK

Low-tech cyc,

there's a difference between removing a sitting leader and disarming them.

Posted by: Annjell on December 6, 2008 at 7:19 AM | PERMALINK

Hate to say it, but the place was run better when it was called "Rhodesia."

It is a horrible thing to say, but it is a necessary thing to say. Unfortunately people will hear it wrong. It is not that Ian Smith and his regime were beautiful and good, what is important to learn here is that there is no color guarantee of goodness. Just because you put someone who looks like you in charge is no guarantee of goodness. America has just climbed over that wall. Africa is only starting down this road, and it is the division between the black tribes that is the real hurdle here. Once democracy came to town, the Europeans were always going to become secondary characters to the drama.

Posted by: Northern Observer on December 6, 2008 at 8:32 AM | PERMALINK

Now that we're in an era where our leaders can apparently send the military anywhere they want, you'd think the least we could do is helicopter a special-ops team into Zimbabwe and take Mugabe out, or drop a bomb on wherever he's holed up.

You need to review your geography. No NATO nation is even close to Zimbabwe.

Also review the word "apparently" -- it's not as it appears to you, and not all these special ops can actually be done. Perhaps if Mugabe were taken out the resulting civil war, eventually won by a Mugabe associate, would be even worse than what is now in Zimbabwe.

Mugabe has been running the place into the grave for more than 10 years now, whatever his initial governance may have been. A more important question: when will it be useful/advisable/necessary/etc. to intervene in South Africa? S.A. is at least not landlocked. If decay continues or accelerates, it could begin to look like the earlier Mugabe years in Z.

Posted by: MatthewRMarler on December 6, 2008 at 11:06 AM | PERMALINK

Where are all the bleeding heart do gooders now, the ones who kicked Ian Smith & his Government out of what was once one of the Richest countries in Africa. Their silence is deafening. Name me an African Nation that is now as the financial would say 'In The Black'. You can teach Monkey's how to eat Bananas but you can't teach them how to grow them.
Lets hope Obama does a better job than Magabe

Posted by: Richard M on December 7, 2008 at 3:47 AM | PERMALINK




 

 
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