January 14, 2009
Over One In Eight
Brandon Friedman has a scary article in the Military Times (h/t):
"The Army is in the midst of a disturbing trend that threatens not only our immediate goals in the current conflicts, but, more importantly, the long term health of the organization. The fact is, while the Army has been lowering its entrance standards with regard to education, physical fitness, and crime since the end of the Cold War, that process has accelerated since the invasion of Iraq. And this is something that the incoming Army Secretary should address.
The numbers are shocking when you actually see the scope of the issue:
Dr. Andrew Krepinevich, a retired Army officer, points out that in 1992 98 percent of recruits had a high school diploma. By 2004, that number had fallen to 86 percent. In 2007, only 79 percent of Army recruits had completed high school. Whereas nearly everyone in the Army had a diploma 15 years earlier, by 2007, fewer than four out five soldiers did.
In terms of maintaining a professional force, the numbers of "conduct" waivers are even more troubling. For felonies or serious misdemeanors (or three minor misdemeanors), the Army granted entrance waivers to 4.6 percent of its recruits in 2004. That number had more than doubled to 11 percent at the end of 2007. And in the first half of 2008, the number ballooned to 13 percent. To put it starkly, this means that one out of every eight Army recruits now has a criminal record."
Actually, it's probably higher than that: recruits with fewer than three misdemeanors don't need a waiver, and so aren't included in that 13%.
The idea that over one in eight Army recruits has a criminal record is really scary. But hey: at least they aren't lesbian, gay, bisexual, or transgender!
—Hilzoy 1:24 AM
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I'm very sorry about the formatting. TypePad stripped it off, I didn't notice (*kicks self*), and now I can't seem to get in to edit my post. The article this is from is here:
http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,182930,00.html
Via VetVoice.
Posted by: hilzoy on January 14, 2009 at 1:39 AM | PERMALINK
I should add: there are four paragraphs in there that should be blockquoted, since they're from the article. ("The Army" through "criminal record.") There are quotes around them, but hopefully this will clarify, until I can get in and edit.
Posted by: hilzoy on January 14, 2009 at 1:45 AM | PERMALINK
Isn't this bound to happen when you're badly prosecuting an unpopular war? Who wants to sign up for lousy pay, multiple extended tours, and risk of death? And if you want to work in a war zone, you can find work as a contractor and have more freedom and better pay.
But I'm guessing 2008 is going to be the nadir of recruitment. With the economy in the crapper, and Iraq winding down, the military will be more attractive to more people. Unless Afghanistan blows up.
Posted by: inkadu on January 14, 2009 at 1:46 AM | PERMALINK
It's worse than that. That is just the moral waivers. All told, the Army is closing in on 20% total wavered troops if you count the waivers for medical conditions and weight and piss-poor PTs.
Posted by: Blue Girl on January 14, 2009 at 2:08 AM | PERMALINK
"felonies or serious misdemeanors (or three minor misdemeanors)"
Does possession of marijuana count here? If so, I would want to know what percentage of Army recruits committed a "real" crime, i.e., something different than what a pile of politicians and tens of millions of other Americans freely admit they did--but didn't get caught doing.
Posted by: GWillikers on January 14, 2009 at 2:16 AM | PERMALINK
There is nothing I hate more than individuals that trash us. First, it is amazing how out of the blue a story wrote in May 2008 is being posted and circulated again as if the information in the blog you linked to was recent. I find it very ironic that the day the transition team writes about there * new civilian ground force* that will be as *funded* as our military comes out the same day as a article bashing us and our leadership. As if to give justification for this new little *civilian troops* on ground they are initiating. But by all means continue.
Posted by: soldier4hillary on January 14, 2009 at 4:21 AM | PERMALINK
Don't know how much this still happens. Used to be young people arrested for some crime were sometimes given the choice of joining up or facing prosecution.
Posted by: JohnK on January 14, 2009 at 5:23 AM | PERMALINK
A friend's stepson joined up about 5 years ago. The kid had been a troubled high school drop-out, but he was taken by the army anyway and eventually stationed out in Texas. He and some of his buddies decided they were shortly bound for Iraq so the bought some pot and proceeded to party, but were caught. The step-son took off for Mexico where stayed for a couple of months before eventually deciding to turn himself back in. The story is actually much longer and more interesting, but the upshot is that the army gave him minimal punishment, he pulled one tour in Iraq, and is now awaiting a medical discharge due to PTSD.
Oh year, all of the other pot smoking soldiers were discharged right after the incident.
Posted by: tommyharper on January 14, 2009 at 5:29 AM | PERMALINK
The idea that over one in eight Army recruits has a criminal record is really scary. But hey: at least they aren't lesbian, gay, bisexual, or transgender!
Wanna bet?
Posted by: dr sardonicus on January 14, 2009 at 6:28 AM | PERMALINK
GWillikers and tommyharper got to my point about the "criminal" population involved in non-violent drug possession, but it could be stated differently; Given that the numbers of people being held in prisons in this country continue to grow, it is hardly surprising that the numbers needing waivers are also increasing, I'm sure that the statistics you cite would still be alarming, but I would be more concerned if the data were adjusted for increasing prison populations in the general population and if non-violent drug convictions were ignored.
Posted by: jhm on January 14, 2009 at 7:38 AM | PERMALINK
Don't know how much this still happens. Used to be young people arrested for some crime were sometimes given the choice of joining up or facing prosecution.
This used to be common. A guy could avoid a criminal conviction and serve his country. I personally don't see the big deal. It's not as if you need some kind of degree to go out and kill the enemy. We're not recruiting engineers and doctors here. Most of these waivers, I suspect, are for things like drug possession.
Let's face it. People who are young and foolish do a lot of foolish things. Sometimes the Army is the best thing to straighten them out.
Posted by: Pug on January 14, 2009 at 8:05 AM | PERMALINK
The Army is not responsible for societal failures but it is responsible for putting the most fit, intelligent and motivated force possible in the field. Rest assured that those who cannot adapt will be identified and removed from service. A more useful study would indicate how many of those granted "waivers" turn their lives around and honorably serve our country. For many the Army is the only institution which gives them a chance to actually be useful members of our society.
Posted by: fred t on January 14, 2009 at 8:30 AM | PERMALINK
Since my step-son is in the non-high school diploma category, I'm certain you have to have at least a GED to be in the Army. Perhaps that is something else they can waive, or its not the same as a High School Diploma so it doesn't count, but its worth mentioning.
Posted by: Mowaca on January 14, 2009 at 8:59 AM | PERMALINK
I think this says a lot more about American society as a whole. More drop-outs, more unhealthy lifestyles, more people with criminal records [whether deserved or not] indicate a culture that has given up on personal accountability and self-motivation.
I blame TV and George Bush.
Posted by: chrenson on January 14, 2009 at 9:21 AM | PERMALINK
Felonies, disdemeanors, low GT scores - Well, something had to be done to entice and bring out the best of the RepuG youth and the YAF members.
Posted by: berttheclock on January 14, 2009 at 9:35 AM | PERMALINK
Rest assured that those who cannot adapt will be identified and removed from service.
Because there are so many other more adaptable types standing ready to replace them?
Posted by: shortstop on January 14, 2009 at 9:41 AM | PERMALINK
What disturbs me is that these same veterans will recieve hiring preference when they are discharged. I knew several guys who were knuckleheads that were given the option of the military or jail by a judge. They needed discipline and maturity and the military was a good choice.
But as a result over guilt about how Vietnam veterans were supposedly treated, all military are now heroes. In Illinois State government they are given an absolute preference for employment. If they meet the minimum requirements they get the job, even if someone else is far more qualified. This was even one of the reasons for impeaching Gov. Blagojevich; he dared to work around the veteran's preference.
Besides having good people passed over, I wonder what the impact is on the increased number of ex-military in government agencies. It has made a difference in my office. I remember one incompetent vet who didn't follow through on an important task because I asked him directly, instead of having my boss ask his boss to ask him.
I also work with a number of intelligent and competent veterans. I believe they would have received their jobs without any preference.
Posted by: nonveteran on January 14, 2009 at 10:29 AM | PERMALINK
There is nothing new here, the very same thing happened after Viet Nam in which a very high percentage of Category Four (no diploma, criminal records, low IQ) recruits were brought in and the Armed forces, especially the Army, suffered. The Marines learned this lesson and have been recruiting the best candidates strongly, the Army not so much.
What bothers me the most is not the fact that it is happening as much as the fact that nothing was learned from the 1972-1985 (or so) debacle.
Posted by: mikeyes on January 14, 2009 at 10:43 AM | PERMALINK
What bothers me the most is not the fact that it is happening as much as the fact that nothing was learned from the 1972-1985 (or so) debacle.
I don't think it's the fact that nothing was learned so much as that it's a stretched-to-the-limits Army and they're doing what they have to to get recruits. There just isn't a supply of better candidates to choose from. At least, that's what I'm hearing from military people I trust; I'm sure we'll now hear from some I don't.
Posted by: shortstop on January 14, 2009 at 11:04 AM | PERMALINK
Rick Atkinson writes of the problems incurred by the US Army in West Germany in the late '70s in his book "The Long Grey Line". As that title refers to the USMA graduating class of 1966, he mentions the problems of 'Nam trained officers encountering major drug problems involving personnel in kasernes across Germany.
Posted by: berttheclock on January 14, 2009 at 11:07 AM | PERMALINK
This comes from not having a draft- from "privatizing" the armed forces.
A draft, ( if it is properly done- not as what happened during the Vietnam era), is the best protection against idiotic wars.
Nothing like having sons/daughters of the rich placed in harm's way to prevent pre-emptive war.
Posted by: evagrius on January 14, 2009 at 11:09 AM | PERMALINK
They're hitting up GameStop for the Call of Duty player base...don't laugh...it's practically true.
Posted by: RememberNovember on January 14, 2009 at 11:58 AM | PERMALINK
evagrius
You beat me to it. The draft is a great equalizer.
Posted by: EC Sedgwick on January 14, 2009 at 12:34 PM | PERMALINK
shortstop said:
"I don't think it's the fact that nothing was learned so much as that it's a stretched-to-the-limits Army and they're doing what they have to to get recruits. There just isn't a supply of better candidates to choose from. At least, that's what I'm hearing from military people I trust; I'm sure we'll now hear from some I don't."
What you say is true, but two or three years ago, when the supply was clearly diminishing, the Army kept gaming the system instead of facing reality. They moved the recruitment goalposts in order to say that they were meeting their goals when it was clear that they were not. It was 1975 all over again.
The Marine Corps, on the other hand, stuck to their standards and made the Corps more enticing. Of course they had a leg up to start (and this from a retired Army officer) and have from the beginning because they are seen as an "elite" force and are much smaller with fewer support needs.
Posted by: mikeyes on January 14, 2009 at 12:38 PM | PERMALINK
What wasn't mentioned in the article is that the various white supremacist hate groups are encouraging their people to join to get weapons and combat training and to recruit more converts to their cause. Remember Timothy McVeigh? The army is well aware of it but aren't about to do anything to reduce their already low recruitment rates. What happens when these sickos return home with or without discharge papers? Especially with PTDS acquired during their service?
Posted by: Texas Aggie on January 14, 2009 at 12:48 PM | PERMALINK
What you say is true, but two or three years ago, when the supply was clearly diminishing, the Army kept gaming the system instead of facing reality. They moved the recruitment goalposts in order to say that they were meeting their goals when it was clear that they were not. It was 1975 all over again.
The Marine Corps, on the other hand, stuck to their standards and made the Corps more enticing. Of course they had a leg up to start (and this from a retired Army officer) and have from the beginning because they are seen as an "elite" force and are much smaller with fewer support needs.
I'm sure this is the case, but since the USMC is smaller and more elite and has fewer support needs, what is the solution for the Army when the supply just isn't there to meet the demand? I'm not looking to argue with you or to defend the Army, just wondering what "facing reality" means in terms of boosting Army recruitment. How do you make an overstretched, underequipped Army in the middle of two endless wars more attractive?
Posted by: shortstop on January 14, 2009 at 12:59 PM | PERMALINK
*nods to Blue Girl, shortstop, and Texas Aggie*
All good points. I can only add that Hawaii's Schofield Barracks, home to the Tropic Lightning, the 25th Infantry Division, has had more than its share of gang problems and prostitution rings in the last decade. Those problems have become less immediately evident, but only because the brigades have been deployed on a rotating basis.
Posted by: Keori on January 14, 2009 at 1:03 PM | PERMALINK
I can only add that Hawaii's Schofield Barracks, home to the Tropic Lightning, the 25th Infantry Division
...and the most beautiful barracks I've ever seen...but I digress.
Posted by: shortstop on January 14, 2009 at 1:22 PM | PERMALINK
What would the proportion of ex-offenders be if private contractors' mercenaries were counted? Very, very scary, I suspect.
Posted by: allbetsareoff on January 14, 2009 at 2:11 PM | PERMALINK
By the way, the last stats I saw showed that nearly half of military academy grads were leaving the services after their minimum-required terms (four years, I think). Anecdotally, I've heard the NCO departure rate is the same or perhaps higher.
A shortage of experienced junior officers and NCOs compounds the problem of bad-actor recruits.
Anybody got timely numbers on this?
Posted by: allbetsareoff on January 14, 2009 at 2:18 PM | PERMALINK
"How do you make an overstretched, underequipped Army in the middle of two endless wars more attractive?"
It's simple enough - just report you're at the end of your rope and can barely fight with what you have. Let the politicians and public make the appropriate decision. In the past, overstretched armies meant an end to war. In fact that is the only thing that ever meant an end to war. The idea that the institutional role of the Army is to degrade itself and its performance rather than to admit it's outmatched is completely insane on every level.
Posted by: Jason on January 14, 2009 at 3:53 PM | PERMALINK
To expand on hilzoy's last point, the criticism of allowing LGBT people into the armed forces is that it will degrade unit cohesion (or some such).
What does the presence of criminals in the ranks do for unit cohesion?
Posted by: TG Chicago on January 14, 2009 at 4:03 PM | PERMALINK