January 25, 2009
AL QAEDA'S LOSING HAND.... Richard Clarke, the former counterterrorism coordinator for the National Security Council, explained in October that the last thing al Qaeda would want is an Obama presidency, in large part because the terrorist network wouldn't want a U.S. president who enjoys respect and support on the world stage.
Three months later, Obama is the president, and as predicted, the terrorist network is feeling a little panicky.
Soon after the November election, al-Qaeda's No. 2 leader took stock of America's new president-elect and dismissed him with an insulting epithet. "A house Negro," Ayman al-Zawahiri said.
That was just a warm-up. In the weeks since, the terrorist group has unleashed a stream of verbal tirades against Barack Obama, each more venomous than the last. Obama has been called a "hypocrite," a "killer" of innocents, an "enemy of Muslims." He was even blamed for the Israeli military assault on Gaza, which began and ended before he took office.
"He kills your brothers and sisters in Gaza mercilessly and without affection," an al-Qaeda spokesman declared in a grainy Internet video this month.
The torrent of hateful words is part of what terrorism experts now believe is a deliberate, even desperate, propaganda campaign against a president who appears to have gotten under al-Qaeda's skin. The departure of George W. Bush deprived al-Qaeda of a polarizing American leader who reliably drove recruits and donations to the terrorist group.
"They're highly uncertain about what they're getting in this new adversary," said Paul Pillar, a former CIA counterterrorism official. "For al-Qaeda, as a matter of image and tone, George W. Bush had been a near-perfect foil."
And now Obama's messing up their plans in a big way. Not only do polls show widespread support for the new U.S. president throughout the Muslim world, but Obama has taken additional steps in office that generate even more support, including beginning the process of closing the military detention facility at Guantanamo Bay and ending the war in Iraq.
The more Obama makes decisions that curry favor in the Middle East, the more al Qaeda feels desperate to shift public opinion. The Post noted that the "verbal attacks have become sharper, more frequent and more clearly aimed at Muslim audiences," as Obama moves away from Bush's policies.
Rita Katz, who created the Site Intelligence Group, a private company that monitors jihadist communications, said the terrorist's hysterical rants against the president show "just how much al-Qaeda is intimidated by Obama."
—Steve Benen 7:55 AM
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Nice post, Steve, but I don't think Obama's decisions were meant to 'curry favor' in the Middle East. The term means to try to win someone over through flattery. I think he made them based on his campaign promises, which stem from his personal philosophy.
Posted by: RZ on January 25, 2009 at 8:20 AM | PERMALINK
As I read this post, I can't help but think that if you substitute "Republican" for "al Qaeda" and Boehner for Zawahiri, the argument still holds. They both rely on a fear/hate based following. I picture them both sweating a bit when Obama said we would extend an arm to those willing to unclench their fist.
Meanwhile, Medvedev is willing to let Nato move supplies through Russia to Afghanistan. This isn't what either the Republicans or al Qaeda wanted to hear.
Posted by: Danp on January 25, 2009 at 8:25 AM | PERMALINK
Umm, how the hell does anyone from Al Qaeda know what a "house negro" is? This term is fairly unique to American slave culture, though the root concept of house slave vs field slave is obviously older. But it was Malcolm X who raised this specific phrase to the level of cultural visibility.
Now, I'm not trying to tarnish the reputations of those most esteemed Al Qaeda training camps, but I doubt they cover Malcolm X in this depth. I'm more inclined to believe that they're getting their talking points from Rush Limbaugh, or others in the US who are sympathetic to their goals.
Posted by: Govt Skeptic on January 25, 2009 at 8:41 AM | PERMALINK
The more hysterical al qaeda gets, the less likely they are to attract sympathisers. People who may have seen them as brave fighters will instead come to see them as hysterical screaming mimis. If you can undermine their recruiting, you've reduced their threat. Getting them to do that themselves is all the better.
Posted by: JoeW on January 25, 2009 at 8:48 AM | PERMALINK
The torrent of hateful words is part of what [political] experts now believe is a deliberate, even desperate, propaganda campaign against a president who appears to have gotten under [Limbaugh's] skin.
Posted by: Will Divide on January 25, 2009 at 8:48 AM | PERMALINK
Moral authority...
Mr. Benen reports the turning of an international tide. What about domestically? Do we see any sea changes here? Yes. In fact the very same thing. The Obama effect is driving the Limbaughs of the world into increasing hostile and isolated enclaves.
Put more analytically:
The temperature of hate-speech increases as the relevancy of the cause decreases.
Put more folksy:
Cockroaches will behave far more animated when they are all swept into the same corner.
Posted by: koreyel on January 25, 2009 at 9:08 AM | PERMALINK
And finally, a journalist is able to state conclusively - and factually - what a gift Bush was to al Quaeda. He not only played right into their hands, but also swelled their ranks considerably.
Heckuva job, Bushie!
Posted by: John S. on January 25, 2009 at 9:09 AM | PERMALINK
Ayman al-Zawahiri couldn't properly interpret a single page of the Q'uran if a life-sized cartoon of the Prophet jumped off the front page of the Washington Times and smacked him on the ass with it.
Posted by: Steve W. on January 25, 2009 at 9:12 AM | PERMALINK
Obviously, since Obama is a Muslim who pals around with terrorists, al Queda's anti-Obama diatribes are totally bogus, and designed to provide cover for his nefarious jihadism about to be unleashed on us all.
(That's about as ludicrous a yarn as I could come up with but I betcha there are already wingnuts spinning it.)
Posted by: R. Porrofatto on January 25, 2009 at 9:13 AM | PERMALINK
What Damp said. Have you looked at some Repub blogs lately? Even more unhinged than normal.
Posted by: JohnN on January 25, 2009 at 10:20 AM | PERMALINK
Yes, it's more fun than ever to mess with their heads now.
Posted by: little voice on January 25, 2009 at 10:47 AM | PERMALINK
Getting them to do that themselves is all the better.
Ironically, this was their strategy for us too -- scare us into abandoning our ideals, cower in a corner, and do all the things they needed for sustenance. But now the adults are back at the wheel, and it's time to put away childish things... like being taunted into doing dumb things just to prove machismo.
Posted by: Bernard HP Gilroy on January 25, 2009 at 10:48 AM | PERMALINK
Hmm. And Rush Limbaugh wants an Obama Presidency to fail. Wasn't this the guy that spent the last few years castigating "liberals" for supporting terrorists by not supporting Bush? Sounds like Rush is now in bed with al Qaeda. Why does this drug-addicted pedophile hate America?
Posted by: josef on January 25, 2009 at 11:50 AM | PERMALINK
Obama election helping against Al Qaeda ... just the opposite of what Repubs told us, no surprise.
Posted by: Neil B ☼ on January 25, 2009 at 12:08 PM | PERMALINK
Wow, what a change. I haven't stopped by here for a year or two. What ever happened to that mild-mannered, middle-aged guy from Orange County who used to manage this site?
After Vietnam the Army assigned a colonel, Harry G. Summers, jr., to write a history of the war, not for the general public, but for the military. The ideas was the Army might actually learn from history and not make the same mistakes.
One surprising finding was there never was a "Viet Cong." The name was coined by the U.S. State Department so that those fighting the rotten, U.S.-backed S. Vietnam government wouldn't be seen as the "Viet Minh," which the Vietnamese looked on much as Americans do the patriots of the American Revolution.
The Army's official history states quite openly there never was a "Viet Cong," — that it was a proganda term — yet 30-some years later most Americans still believe we were fighting something called the "Viet Cong," not the forces of a national army.
I post the following from time to time, just so down the road I can have bragging rights as to how smart I am, and also how clairvoyant: There is not now, nor has there ever been an Al Qaeda.
Lots of others have said this too, but even "experts" like Juan Cole continue to use "Al Qaeda" because it's useful.
I've heard lots of origins for the name, the more believable being it was the database (Al Qaeda can be a database as well as any other kind of base.) kept by the U.S. embassy in Saudi Arabia with info on possible fire-brands who might be recruited to fight the Russians in Afghanistan.
Obviously some people now known as terrorists were then on the Al Qaeda database as possible freedom fighters.
As Glenn Greenwald has said, the spoon-fed media pretend Al Qaeda is a multinational corporation with organizational charts, branch offices and business cards, not a thousand different groups with some goals in common.
Posted by: GollyGee on January 25, 2009 at 12:12 PM | PERMALINK
And business cards - don't forget those. How do you think they found out about that second in command of Al Queda in Yemen?
Posted by: Butch on January 25, 2009 at 12:45 PM | PERMALINK
This is one reason Obama must be doubly vigilent. bin Laden would gain a great deal if he could stage another major event inside the U.S.
Posted by: CDW on January 25, 2009 at 12:57 PM | PERMALINK
What ever happened to that mild-mannered, middle-aged guy from Orange County who used to manage this site?
He's over here.
Posted by: Thlayli on January 25, 2009 at 2:07 PM | PERMALINK
It's not that Obama is trying much at all to counteract or foil AQ, it's that for reasons many of us could never fathom, Bush did almost exactly what AQ wanted him to do.
Bush must have been getting terrible advice on this, and we know that Richard Clarke was not only alarmed by Bush's inaction in 2001 prior to 911, but astonished by what he decided to do after 911. He equated invading Iraq after 911 to the US invading Mexico after Pearl Harbor. It was just completely the wrong thing to do, and exactly what AQ said Bush would do.
Obama is returning us to our more historical position where we are generally admired and respected by much of the world. This makes the attack propaganda put out by AQ look like the scribbling from nut jobs. It's difficult to convince people to do terrorists attacks on the US when people are actually much more interested in moving themselves and their family to the US to live.
I'm not implying that the are not a whole lot of hard working people who protected us from terrorists attacks, there are, and they have been for the most part, very successful at keeping us safe, but Bush created MANY MORE terrorists than he ever caught (think orders of magnitude on this number), and this had made the job of protecting our country MUCH more difficult.
Posted by: Glen on January 25, 2009 at 3:43 PM | PERMALINK
Al Qaida's business model has always been a week one - it's success is predicated on there being an idiot inside the White House.
Sooner or later there easy glide of a ride would come to an end. Worse still for them is a very bright guy is possibly the most appealing person possible to the Muslim world, short of being a Muslim himself.
So, yeah, they've got reason to panic.
5 years from now Al Qaida will be a faint memory.
It will be remembered as a phenomina of the Bush age, as a protege of the Bush Administration to which they held a mutually supporting symbiotic relationship.
A few adjustments are all that are necessary to normalizing the relationship between the Muslim World and the Modern World - and Obama is as well placed as anyone to figure out what those adjustments are and fixing them.
Posted by: Bub on January 25, 2009 at 5:44 PM | PERMALINK
Can we get Richard Clarke a job in the new administration?
Posted by: Marc on January 26, 2009 at 8:03 AM | PERMALINK