Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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February 10, 2009

LIEBERMAN'S FUTURE.... A whole lot can happen between now and the 2012 elections. But if Joe Lieberman plans to seek re-election, he's going to have to make some significant changes.

By a narrow 48 - 45 percent margin, voters disapprove of the job Sen. Joseph Lieberman is doing and give him a negative 43 - 49 percent favorability. Republicans approve 75 - 20 percent. Democrats disapprove 70 - 21 percent and independent voters split 48 - 46 percent.

By contrast, State Attorney General Richard Blumenthal gets a 79 - 12 percent approval rating and 71 - 13 percent favorability rating. Republicans approve of the Democrat 66 - 25 percent. Democrats approve 85 - 6 percent and independent voters approve 81 - 10 percent.

If Sen. Lieberman faces Blumenthal in 2012, the Democratic challenger has an early 58 - 30 percent lead. Republicans go with Lieberman 67 - 23 percent while Blumenthal leads 83 - 9 percent among Democrats and 55 - 29 percent among independent voters.

"Sen. Lieberman's approval is negative, but up slightly. It's a long time until 2012, but this poll shows that if Connecticut's popular Democratic Attorney General Richard Blumenthal takes on Lieberman, as the buzz suggests, Lieberman would get crushed," [Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz] said.

It'll be interesting to see how (and whether) Lieberman tries to position himself for the future. He won't be able to run as a Republican in Connecticut without losing. He won't be able to run as a Democrat; the party won't have him.

So, he'll have to run as an independent again, after spending the next three and a half years being very nice to President Obama. And even that might not be enough.

Steve Benen 2:30 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (11)
 
Comments

It'll be interesting to see how (and whether) Lieberman tries to position himself for the future.

He already did. Unfortunately, Bush, the Republicans and the neocons don't happen to be a part of that future. If Holy Joe is out of luck as a result, good riddance.

Posted by: Gregory on February 10, 2009 at 2:43 PM | PERMALINK

Time to start kissing up, Joe. I don't think Connecticut voters are going to be fooled twice unless they forget Joe was McCain's wingman.

Posted by: Cal Gal on February 10, 2009 at 2:50 PM | PERMALINK

Connecticut? I thought it was Lieberman (Likud)

Posted by: BuzzMon on February 10, 2009 at 3:28 PM | PERMALINK

So, he'll have to run as an independent again...

No, assuming he wins the primary, he'll run as a Connecticut-for-Liebermanian.

Posted by: Dwight on February 10, 2009 at 3:30 PM | PERMALINK

In a classic case of Ignoring the Elephant, ABC's The Note is, like Fox, apparently replaying Republican talking points as news in asserting that Chris Dodd is in trouble for 2010. Dodd's ratings are similar to Lieberman's, not for what he's done in the Senate but because of his involvement in the Countrywide scandal. Congressional record apart, the big difference is that Dodd has no opponent with a 79% approval rating -- in fact, he has no opponent at all. The last two (now-ex) Connecticut Republican Congressmen have been asked and apparently said no. Even The Note can't escape this kiss-of-death sentence: "Despite the extraordinarily popular Republican Gov. Jodi Rell, Connecticut, like many Northeastern states, has become solidly Democratic territory in recent years which bodes well for Sen. Dodd." And this: "In each of his last two Senate races, he beat his Republican opponent by a 2 to 1 margin and he has never had a margin of victory less than 10 points." And this: "...during the 2007-8 presidential cycle he got to develop some political muscles that he hadn't been utilizing of late -- fundraising, debating, etc. . .." So where's the story? In the minds of the RSCC, and on the keyboards of the hacks who quote them.

Posted by: ericfree on February 10, 2009 at 3:44 PM | PERMALINK

Lieberman isn't going to run for Senator again. He was hoping for a position in the McCain administration. He'll become a "liberal" commentator on FOX.

Posted by: coldhotel on February 10, 2009 at 4:16 PM | PERMALINK

Most neo-conservatives have taken up a lower profile, slinking back off to their sinecures at benefactor think tanks, occasionally firing off a forlorn and defensive op-ed to the NYT or WashPost. (Max Boot and Micheal Ledeen, we miss you!)...

I believe future Republicans will disassociate themselves with the neo-cons, becoming more Patrick Buchananesque isolationists. (In practice, this will mean lots of bombings, but fewer invasions - no "nation building" IOW, no good American lives for those foreigners).

But will the Democrats disassociate themselves from the neo-cons? What about our foreign policy institutions? What about our media for freak's sake - TNR endorsed Lieberman for President(!) in 2003. Yet we smart liberals still link to and read all the neo-cons. The liberal NYT has "suck-on-this" Thomas Friedman as their most liberal foreign policy commentator.

What's up with that?

Posted by: flubber on February 10, 2009 at 4:27 PM | PERMALINK

More to the point is Sen. Dodd's falling popularity, especially since he comes up for re-election first. He polls below Sen. Lieberman currently and he is likely to keep going down because, frankly, he refuses to own up his misdeeds. What did he do? He took two sweetheart below-market loans from Countrywide Financial, the biggest seller of subprime loans to Fannie and Freddie, and failed to disclose the $50-75,000 benefit that he received on his Senate financial forms (note that Sen. Stevens was convicted for the exact same crime of failing to disclose a gift).

The Dems could easily lose this seat if Sen. Dodd persists in his coverrup.

Posted by: DBL on February 10, 2009 at 5:02 PM | PERMALINK

Can't happen soon enough or to a nicer guy. Too bad it's four years away.

I understand the Knesset is looking for a few good men (they don't like women).

Posted by: rich on February 10, 2009 at 6:13 PM | PERMALINK

I hear the Connecticut for Lieberman party won't have him, either.

Posted by: Cap'n Phealy on February 10, 2009 at 6:15 PM | PERMALINK

Emigrate already, Joe. You've shown your first loyalty is to your people, your second to the most AIPAC influenced party, and your third to the United States.

Posted by: Luther on February 10, 2009 at 10:04 PM | PERMALINK




 

 
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