Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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February 15, 2009

OBAMA AND CONGRESSIONAL DEMOCRATS.... After the House and Senate had passed their respective economic stimulus bills, and negotiators sat down to work out a deal, Democratic lawmakers were inclined to follow the White House's lead. One House staffer told the Politico, "Basically it is whatever Obama wants."

A day later, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told reporters, "The American people know, and historians are judging, that this is one remarkable president."

Democratic presidents have not always gotten along quite so well with Democratic lawmakers. Carter and congressional Dems repeatedly clashed, and Clinton, at least early on, occasionally struggled with his own party's caucuses, even on his prosperity-setting economic agenda in 1993. Obama is enjoying the kind of support a Democratic president hasn't seen since LBJ.

Ron Brownstein pondered why this is, and comes up with some compelling reasons.

Democratic lobbyist Steve Elmendorf, formerly chief of staff for House Democratic Leader Richard Gephardt, offers several reasons why Democrats united more effectively for Obama's economic plan than Clinton's. For one thing, Obama won a stronger victory than Clinton, who managed just 43% of the vote in 1992's three way race. [...]

[Another] is the evolving nature of the Democratic caucus, especially in the House, as the electorate has ideologically resorted over the past generation. That "great sorting-out" has reduced the number of conservative Southern Democrats most likely to vote against the party majority during the Clinton era and added more Democrats from centrist non-Southern suburban districts more in tune with the party's overall thrust. [...]

Tom Bonier, targeting director at the liberal National Committee for an Effective Congress notes that while the House Democratic caucus is almost as exactly as large now (257) as it was in 1993 (259), over that intervening period the party has lost 22 Southern and Border state seats and gained 21 everywhere else. "You had a lot more Democrats representing very Republican districts in conservative Southern and border state regions then and you don't have that now to the same extent," he says. Likewise, Democrats hold about the same number of Senate seats now (58 or 59, depending on Minnesota's final outcome) as they did in 1993 (57), but fewer are in the South. All of that suggests the party is more cohesive partly because more of its members are representing comparable constituencies and operating with common electoral incentives.

All of this sounds right, but I'd go a little further. The president is the first sitting senator since JFK to win the White House, so he's more attuned to the expectations of lawmakers. What's more, the West Wing is filled with aides who have extensive ties to Congress, who were hired specifically for their Hill work. Perhaps most importantly, Obama, far from barking orders, has invited lawmakers to be partners in governing (Obey, for example, helped write the stimulus bill).

Whatever the reasoning, modern Democratic presidents have butted heads with Democratic leaders on the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue, adding a governing complication for both Carter and Clinton. It's a problem that Obama, at this point, doesn't have to worry about.

Steve Benen 9:45 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (11)
 
Comments

What's more, the West Wing is filled with aides who have extensive ties to Congress, who were hired specifically for their Hill work.

Not to mention Biden, Clinton, Salazar, Solis, LaHood, and almost Daschle and Gregg. Does Chief of Staff count as an aide? If not, add Rahm. Obama designed his White House to work with Congress rather than against it. After eight years of Bush, that is not nuance.

Posted by: Danp on February 15, 2009 at 9:56 AM | PERMALINK

Linsday Graham hates the stimulus bill, says it will not help his state. Since South Carolina does not need the stimulus, could this money be shared amongst the other states who badly need it? I am sure Lindsay - patriot that he is won't object to that!!!!

Posted by: JS on February 15, 2009 at 9:56 AM | PERMALINK

And, to point out the obvious: Obama is a natural leader. People want to follow him.

Posted by: Jake on February 15, 2009 at 9:59 AM | PERMALINK

I think you have to add the Congressional years in the wilderness of 1992 to 2006. When Clinton came in, the Congress (the House, mostly) had enjoyed long years of majority.

The Contract with America years I think profoundly changed the Democratic Congressional mindset.

Knowing how fragile governing majorities are, I think Congress would have been favorably inclined to work closely with any Democratic President, in the interest of mutual continued success.

I will say that Obama' Administration is probably coming in as the best possible crowd to take advantage of the Comgressional mood.

Posted by: kevmor on February 15, 2009 at 10:13 AM | PERMALINK

Perhaps also, today's Democratic leader realize (and with help from bloggers etc.) that Obama is up against a coordinated attack campaign from a right-wing political/economic/media/cultural complex that would rather have the nation fail in order to "protect conservatism" (and their assets and dominance) than to have a Democratic President succeed.

Posted by: Neil B ◙ on February 15, 2009 at 10:17 AM | PERMALINK

Yes, as the first sitting Senator - Perhaps, Dole's problem was "setting", as in, his sun had set.

Now, get back to work, nationalize the banks, weed out the Zombies, and re-sell the surviving ones, and get out new bill on building schools and our infrastructure This was NOT a center right election result. Do not waste the momentum.

Posted by: berttheclock on February 15, 2009 at 10:32 AM | PERMALINK

Perhaps also, today's Democratic leader realize (and with help from bloggers etc.) that Obama is up against a coordinated attack campaign from a right-wing political/economic/media/cultural complex . . .

Ah! The "elephant in the room" that so many have had trouble seeing, particularly congressional Democrats, for ten years or so, although the "coordination" is less political than cultural.

The Beltway and the Republicans have closed ranks against the Democrats so completely that even the Democrats have noticed that they are second-class citizens in Washington.

Yeah, when you are in the majority and pushing an all-important program and for three weeks you are effectively outnumbered by your opponents about 4 to 1 in every national forum, it might finally dawn on you that the networks are not your friends!


Posted by: Midland on February 15, 2009 at 10:45 AM | PERMALINK

I'd add 2 more explanations, although I think the 2 explanations in the post are more important.

1) in 77 and 93 Democrats in Congress assumed that they were the majority for life. The idea that Republicans could actually gain a majority in the House was strange to bizarre. This matters to Senator too as they have to vote on conference committee reports. 1994 helped unite the Democratic party by showing Democrats in congress that they could be punished too if Democrats failed to deliver.

2) Stimulus is fun. So far Obama has managed to convince congressional Democrats to cut taxs and raise spending. This is what the economy needs right now, but it is also pleasant. We'll see how things go when he gets around to trying to raise taxes on the rich and force firms to provide health insurance (rich guys your paying more it will take 60 votes to extend the Bush tax cuts).

Posted by: Robert Waldmann on February 15, 2009 at 10:54 AM | PERMALINK

In'77, they were a majority in name only. There was still a deep division between the anti-war faction and the moderate to conservatives of the party. This rift, began in '68, remained for many years. In addition, Carter brought a staff to DC which did not understand how to work with Congress.

Posted by: berttheclock on February 15, 2009 at 11:09 AM | PERMALINK

What Robert Waldmann said.

I don't doubt that the other explanations have weight, but it's a little easier to get Democrats to love the President when he's asking them to spend $780 billion in their districts and states.

But it actually goes beyond that. They love him because he's a popular President who gave them cover to spend $780 billion by explaining to the American people why it was OK to add to the debt.

That's all great and I'm in favor of it. But let's not pop the champagne until we see how much they love him on the tough bills. Like rescuing the financial industry.

Posted by: santamonicamr on February 15, 2009 at 11:56 AM | PERMALINK

There might also be an element of "lessons learned" going on here. The Democrats saw how the Congressional GOP completely rolled over for W from 2001 to 2007 and all the epic failures and disasters (political, economic, military, government, etc.) that followed. I think Obama, Pelosi, Reid, et al are seeking a much more collegial and collaborative relationship between the two branches that first and foremost places a premium on competent executive and legislative governance.

Posted by: TT on February 15, 2009 at 12:19 PM | PERMALINK




 

 
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