February 25, 2009
EARLY REVIEWS.... Most of the reactions to President Obama's speech last night and this morning seem pretty positive, but there's often a disconnect between the observations of political observers and the public in general. How did the address play nationwide?
A CNN poll found a combined 92% of the country had a positive response to the president's remarks.
A new national poll indicates that two-thirds of those who watched President Obama's address to a joint session of Congress reacted favorably to his speech.
Sixty-eight percent of speech-watchers questioned in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey Tuesday night had a very positive reaction to the president's address, with 24 percent suggesting they had a somewhat positive response and 8 percent indicating they had a negative reaction.
CNN acknowledged that the sample was "8 to 10 points more Democratic than the general public." However, when the majorities are this overwhelming -- 85% said Obama made them more optimistic, 82% said they back Obama's economic plan -- the lean doesn't matter as much. Subtract 8 to 10 points and the support is still very strong.
A CBS poll also offered encouraging numbers for the White House.
CBS News and Knowledge Networks held a nationally representative poll of 534 people who watched President Obama give his address to Congress to gauge their reaction in the minutes after the president's speech.
Eighty percent of speech watchers approve of President Obama's plans for dealing with the economic crisis. Before the speech, 63 percent approved.
All the usual caveats apply, of course. Polling immediately after a speech, with modest sample sizes, is tricky. But given Obama's popularity going into last night, and the traditional bounce that comes with a State of the Union address*, the poll results sound about right.
* I know it wasn't literally a State of the Union, but for all intents and purposes....
—Steve Benen 9:20 AM
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Clever people post here. Can someone explain why this isn't considered a "State of the Union" address? What's the determining factor?
Posted by: Bernard HP Gilroy on February 25, 2009 at 9:22 AM | PERMALINK
Bernard, I offer that a SOTU address is announced as such, but please check Google before asking such questions or believing my answer! ;-)
Posted by: Neil B McCain on February 25, 2009 at 9:32 AM | PERMALINK
In a State of the Union speech, the President includes a review of the past accomplishments of his administration. For a newly inaugurated President, the type, as given so marvelously last everning, is one of laying out his legislation plans for the coming year.
Posted by: berttheclock on February 25, 2009 at 9:34 AM | PERMALINK
NPR had a pretty good discussion about it that might satisfy you. But I Googled it like anyone else would.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2009/02/why_isnt_obamas_speech_to_cong.html
Back on topic. What did you think of the speeches by both Obama and Jindal?
Posted by: QuestionEverything on February 25, 2009 at 9:44 AM | PERMALINK
One of the things that struck me about the speech is that for a long time into it, it seemed to lack that pie-in-the-sky/Christmas-list quality. As I thought about it, I realized that was mostly because he had already started us on many of the optimistic paths he spoke about. By the time he got to the education part, which to me does sound wishful, I was thinking that's not entirely absurd. If Bush had said that, I would have thrown a shoe. And while I don't think it is realistic to ever expect 100%, what a great goal.
Posted by: Danp on February 25, 2009 at 9:46 AM | PERMALINK
The first paragraph of the CNN post contradicts the second and is inconsistent with the facts. 92% > 2/3. Paul Steinhauser made a plainly false claim contradicted by the data presented in his post. Clearly the facts had a pro-Obama bias which he had to correct in order to be fair and Ballanced.
Posted by: Robert Waldmann on February 25, 2009 at 9:54 AM | PERMALINK
I heard a bit on NPR this morning. Some have commented that Obama talked over the applause more than presidents usually do, and that sure made for jubilant sound bites this morning.
Posted by: Mo MacArbie on February 25, 2009 at 9:58 AM | PERMALINK
I expected him to end his speech with, "Vote for Pedro"
Posted by: James on February 25, 2009 at 10:10 AM | PERMALINK
Robert Waldman, I'm not sure what you're saying, but here's some basic math that might help you out:
68%: very positive
24%: somewhat positive
equals: 92% very or somewhat positive.
Any questions?
Posted by: JD on February 25, 2009 at 10:33 AM | PERMALINK
Clever people post here. Can someone explain why this isn't considered a "State of the Union" address?
I'd be interested to know, since all a State of the Union address is any time when the President chooses to fulfill his Constitutional duty to report, "from time to time", to Congress on the state of the union via an address to a joint session of Congress, rather than, as Bush did earlier this year, in a written report without an in-person address to a joint session.
Posted by: cmdicely on February 25, 2009 at 11:10 AM | PERMALINK
I'd be interested to know, since all a State of the Union address is any time when the President chooses to fulfill his Constitutional duty to report, "from time to time", to Congress on the state of the union via an address to a joint session of Congress, rather than, as Bush did earlier this year, in a written report without an in-person address to a joint session.
...which makes me think that this was indeed a SOTU address, but that, as bert points out, we have become accustomed to thinking of these as, in part, reporting on the administration's accomplishments since the last SOTU. The distinction isn't Constitutional; it's just a matter of recent habit, it seems.
Posted by: shortstop on February 25, 2009 at 11:17 AM | PERMALINK
Steve, and Berttheclock, and others:
It's traditionally been called SOTU for first-year presidents in the past. There's no requirement to review the past year, if that was the work of a previous administration, to meet the constitutional requirements of what we normally label SOTU.
Frankly, I wonder if MSLBs haven't been doing an attempt at a bit of deliberate slack-cutting for The One by trying to say this wasn't a SOTU. I e-mailed Josh Marshall to that effect when he did it.
Posted by: SocraticGadfly on February 25, 2009 at 1:29 PM | PERMALINK