Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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May 5, 2009

'WHATEVER IT IS'.... Tom Schaller caught Fox News' Neil Cavuto yesterday commenting on the recent upswing on Wall Street. Cavuto told viewers:

"I want you to take a look at this, because if Wall Street's worried about all the crosscurrents in Washington right now, it has a funny way of showing it: the Dow up better than 214 points, 8,426. We are very close to being even on the year, when for a while we down 20 more than percent on the year, the Dow storming back to levels we've not seen since early January.

"So on the year now we are effectively at a wash, a year that had us cascading better than 20 percent, well, well, well into bear territory. Like I said, Wall Street climbed a wall of worry. Whatever it is, it's climbing through this."

Yep, "whatever it is" that's pushing up the major indexes, Cavuto's pleased. If only it weren't a total mystery.

Of course, Fox News wasn't nearly this confused when Wall Street was in a tailspin. At that point, it was irrefutable evidence of the failure of President Obama's economic policies. Several on-air Fox News figures -- as recently as March, less than two months after the president's inauguration -- labeled the steep decline the "Obama bear market."

It's not just Fox News. The Wall Street Journal ran a very foolish editorial in March.

As 2009 opened, three weeks before Barack Obama took office, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 9034 on January 2, its highest level since the autumn panic. Yesterday the Dow fell another 4.24% to 6763, for an overall decline of 25% in two months and to its lowest level since 1997. The dismaying message here is that President Obama's policies have become part of the economy's problem.

Americans have welcomed the Obama era in the same spirit of hope the President campaigned on. But after five weeks in office, it's become clear that Mr. Obama's policies are slowing, if not stopping, what would otherwise be the normal process of economic recovery. [...]

So what has happened in the last two months? The economy has received no great new outside shock.... What is new is the unveiling of Mr. Obama's agenda and his approach to governance.

The WSJ editorial board was hardly subtle. Wall Street declines didn't reflect the economic downturn; they were evidence of Obama's shortcomings.

To be clear, this entire approach is just silly. Using the Dow as some kind of financial approval rating for the president doesn't make any sense, no matter which direction the indexes are headed.

The result, though, is conservative pundits who end up looking pretty foolish, not only for exaggerating the significance of short-term Dow fluctuations, but also for doing so in a nakedly partisan way. When the market goes down, it's proof that Obama is the fool to blame; but when the market goes up, conservatives can't even begin to know who or what deserves credit? Please.

Steve Benen 10:05 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (15)
 
Comments

They are the Pod-people, pointing and screaming.

Posted by: jcricket on May 5, 2009 at 10:04 AM | PERMALINK

Well, they are likely to come out bashing again as we'll definitely see another drop before too long.

Posted by: ComradeAnon on May 5, 2009 at 10:08 AM | PERMALINK

Repigs at their best. KKKarl is smiling as we speak at the brash temerity to truth and propoganda pushing of the Faux Republican Network. With "reporting" like this, I hope the President and Congress undue the Murdoch Empire's media consolidation and over-representation exemptions post-haste. Isn't the media supposed to serve the 'public interest', not just the ruling class? If so, then the exemptions have got to go. Speaking of media, truth in media needs your help. I have a small plea. Any amount is fine. Please visit www.freespeech.org (FSTV)to help if you can. Progressive media needs you. Seriously, the station is hurting (as many of us are) and could use a few friends right now. Thanks.

Posted by: In what respect, Charlie? on May 5, 2009 at 10:14 AM | PERMALINK

Because for so many years, the stock market has been such a reliable indicator of economic reality. It hasn't? Tech bubble, Enron, 2008? Well then what does it indicate? Tell us, Neil.

Posted by: Greg Worley on May 5, 2009 at 10:19 AM | PERMALINK

You don't have to go back that far in the archives to get examples of FoxNews leading the cheers for Bush economic policy success as reflected in the Dow. Just last summer they were bleating that nobody else was covering the great news about the economy, all due to the wisdom of George W. Bush.

Nakedly partisan? Well, um, yeah . . .

Posted by: Lifelong Dem on May 5, 2009 at 10:28 AM | PERMALINK

when the market goes up, conservatives can't even begin to know who or what deserves credit?

That's easy, Ronald Reagan.

Posted by: Killjoy on May 5, 2009 at 10:29 AM | PERMALINK

When, plane is in a tailspin, blame pilot.

When, plane levels out, laud that God type Co-Pilot.

Posted by: berttheclock on May 5, 2009 at 10:29 AM | PERMALINK

You have post after post on stupid things the Republicans say. Who cares what they say? They are the past. It's like worrying about what Walter Cronkeit would make of something. Much more important than the stragglers to Obama's right are the people to his left. Why not look in that direction from time to time?

Posted by: ebbolles on May 5, 2009 at 10:32 AM | PERMALINK

dammit, killjoy beat me to it;>

Posted by: martin on May 5, 2009 at 10:32 AM | PERMALINK

Ah, yes, zeeee patient has exhibited to signs of zeee flu and is considered normal in every way. Zis reflects the sound Bush created environment of total health.

Now, reading zeee thermometer, the patient's temperature has risen, my god, this patient is in grave danger!!! Temperature now at 101 degrees and rising, zis must be zeee effect of Obama!!!

Posted by: Dr. Fox on May 5, 2009 at 10:36 AM | PERMALINK

This post is a little bit misguided. In the short run, Obama should neither get neither the credit nor the blame.

Unfortunately, the media like to use the stock market indices as a report card on the economy, as if the stock traders themselves are expert pundits and the market's fluctuations are their utterances. It's wrong-headed but not surprising, given that most Americans have a stake in the market.

Investors (long-term) do not "rate" the economy. They're stuck with it, for good or for bad. They anticipate various companies' and industries' future performance, given a number of current facts and trends, the economy being only one of them.

With traders, it's even more removed. They're anticipating what the investors and other traders will do with the information. They don't give a whit about reality. What they care about is other peoples' perceptions of reality.

Posted by: bob5540 on May 5, 2009 at 10:44 AM | PERMALINK

To be clear, this entire approach is just silly. Using the Dow as some kind of financial approval rating for the president doesn't make any sense, no matter which direction the indexes are headed.

Bob5540 - Did you read these two sententces?

Posted by: Danp on May 5, 2009 at 10:52 AM | PERMALINK

I love watching smart people take down Cavuto on his own show.

Yesterday it was Austan Goolsbee, who smacked him down... wonder if anyone has video.

Posted by: Ohioan on May 5, 2009 at 12:08 PM | PERMALINK

They won't be clueless long.
I expect this rally to tank again.

Stock prices are based on future earnings.
Nothing I've seen suggests to me that substantial amounts of buying power have been discovered or developed. I see weak sales for everyone for some time to come. Sure, loans are available... but only to good credit risks. These same people don't see a market ready to buy anything they might be inclined to produce so there's no need to take advantage of loans even at great rates.

They'd rather wait for signs of a recovery that doesn't come because everyone's waiting for the recovery to come....

Posted by: toowearyforoutrage on May 5, 2009 at 1:12 PM | PERMALINK

The classic example of this was Republicans pointing to the Dow drop on Inaguration Day as some sort of market statement on the nnew President. This ignores economics. We knew since the election that Obama would be sworn in on January 20. If that was not priced into the market by January 20 such that it was somehow a surprise to market participants who in a panic sold (or acted contrary to their economic self-interest in some sort of coordinated political protest), then the "market" really is pretty stupid...

Posted by: Bryce on May 5, 2009 at 1:27 PM | PERMALINK




 

 
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