June 13, 2009
'IRREGULARITIES' IN IRAN.... With the eyes of much of the world on Iran yesterday, the closely watched presidential election seems to have been won by incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, though the legitimacy of his victory remains very much in doubt.
Iran's state-run news agency said Mahmoud Ahmadinejad had won Iran's presidential election in a landslide just two hours after the polls closed Friday night. But his main rival, Mir Hussein Moussavi, announced defiantly that he had won and charged that there had been voting "irregularities."
"I am the absolute winner of the election by a very large margin," Mr. Moussavi said during a news conference with reporters just after 11 p.m. Friday, adding: "It is our duty to defend people's votes. There is no turning back."
The conflicting claims, coming after an extraordinary campaign that saw vast street demonstrations and vitriolic televised debates, seemed to undermine the public legitimacy of the vote and to threaten unrest.
As of this morning, Iran's election commission claims that Ahmadinejad won 65% of the vote, while Moussavi had won 32%. The election commission, however, is part of Iran's Interior Ministry, which happens to be under the control of Ahmadinejad.
Casting further doubts on the process, there were reportedly polling stations in Moussavi strongholds with an insufficient number of ballots, polling stations that closed earlier than they were supposed to, blocked text messages, which the Moussavi campaign team expected to utilize as part of its GOTV operation.
This morning, the LA Times reported that "security forces" have "shut down Mousavi's offices."
For the West, an Ahmadinejad victory would be another Iranian disappointment. Moussavi is not a liberal, but he's voiced support for stepping back from confrontation with the West. What's more, the "results" notwithstanding, there was recent evidence suggesting Moussavi's message had connected with most of the country.
What happens next? Moussavi can't go to the courts seeking a just resolution, but he has called on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the country's supreme leader, to intervene. Khamenei did not endorse a candidate, but he appears to be the only official in Iran who could assist Moussavi.
Whether Moussavi supporters take to the streets today remains to be seen, but there are some early reports of violence between police and protestors.
—Steve Benen 8:00 AM
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I suspect Liz Cheney will be on one of the talk shows tomorrow to say that the elections were fair and accurate, but also proof that Obama's apology tour was a complete failure.
Posted by: Danp on June 13, 2009 at 8:15 AM | PERMALINK
Iran's G. W.
Posted by: ericfree on June 13, 2009 at 8:26 AM | PERMALINK
heh... and there's not much the u.s. can protest re the election should the country's supreme authority rule in favor of ahmadinejad in a disputed election.
Posted by: linda on June 13, 2009 at 8:27 AM | PERMALINK
The difference between Moussavi and the RNC is that we have twitter.
Posted by: MC Steele on June 13, 2009 at 8:28 AM | PERMALINK
Given the large percentage of Iran's population is under 35, and given how much that demographic has supported Moussavi from what I have seen/read, and if the 'results' were indeed as skewed as they appear to be, maybe this will push the country to the edge? These are young people who want progress, who may not sit tight if the election was rigged as it appears. Watching this one closely.
Posted by: terraformer on June 13, 2009 at 9:12 AM | PERMALINK
Casting further doubts on the process, there were reportedly polling stations in Moussavi strongholds with an insufficient number of ballots, polling stations that closed earlier than they were supposed to, blocked text messages, which the Moussavi campaign team expected to utilize as part of its GOTV operation.
looks like Ahmadinejad's group have been closely watching, and learning from republican anti-voter tactics.
Posted by: pluege on June 13, 2009 at 9:54 AM | PERMALINK
I'm not sure how to read this, there are two very different possibilities here. One is that the theocrats are preparing to negotiate with the US and so are preparing the hardest line in advance of those negotiations. The other is that they're doubling down on confrontation.
So I guess I think this means we aren't going to be able to just muddle through. Either we're going to be able to negotiate something or we're going to end up in open conflict with these guys.
Posted by: larry birnbaum on June 13, 2009 at 10:05 AM | PERMALINK
He's Amabushejad!
Posted by: Neil B ☺ on June 13, 2009 at 10:08 AM | PERMALINK
Ahmadinejad won years ago on a wave of anti-American/Western/Bush sentiment. I don't think the wounds have healed quite yet and I believe Ahmadinejad truly did win in a landslide. Remember, the American 'free' press is the best money can buy and they've had the American people believing all week that the Iranian opposition party had an overwhelming support of the majority of Iranian citizens. Well they didn't, but mission accomplished around here as the American sheeple all believe Ahmadinejad's re-election is illegit and a) be more likely to support a military first strike against Iran, and b) pay even less attention or disregard all together what he has to say regarding American's incessant interventions in the Middle East - things/atrocities that our msm won't report.
Posted by: Heraclitus on June 13, 2009 at 10:18 AM | PERMALINK
It'll be interesting to see what Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei does with this situation.
Posted by: bic on June 13, 2009 at 10:18 AM | PERMALINK
Casting further doubts on the process, there were reportedly polling stations in Moussavi strongholds with an insufficient number of ballots, polling stations that closed earlier than they were supposed to, blocked text messages, which the Moussavi campaign team expected to utilize as part of its GOTV operation.
If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor. If an elephant has its foot on the tail of a mouse and you say that you are neutral, the mouse will not appreciate your neutrality.
- Bishop Desmond Tutu
Power to the People!
Posted by: In what respect, Charlie? on June 13, 2009 at 10:43 AM | PERMALINK
Of course Ahmadinejad won! There is always massive voter turnout when they want to maintain the status quo of a government led by a failed incompetent.
How do you spell "George W. Bush" in Farsi? "Ahmadinejad."
Posted by: TCinLA on June 13, 2009 at 10:59 AM | PERMALINK
I can accept that that Moussavi didn't win because it seemed like it was close, but 65% or so for Ahmadinejad? Seems a bit high. If Ahmadinejad supporters were using various techniques to keep their boy in power they should have tried to make it look a little less like someone or someones were into massive levels of fraud.
Posted by: ET on June 13, 2009 at 11:28 AM | PERMALINK
How much does the president of Iran impact U.S. policy? How much difference would it have made if Moussavi had won? Ayatollah Ali Khamene'i is the real power and the decider. The president is just a figurehead as I understand it.
Posted by: CDW on June 13, 2009 at 11:35 AM | PERMALINK
Is Kenneth Blackwell running this election?
Posted by: Baldrick on June 13, 2009 at 12:12 PM | PERMALINK
We want to believe the election was a fraud and the people are clamoring for democracy.
That's the kind of wishful thinking that led to the Iraq war.
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