Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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June 16, 2009
By: Hilzoy

Each Country Is What It Is, And Not Another Country

There's an Eastern European theme developing on the right. Here's one version:

"Someday a future president may have to apologize to Iranians for Mr. Obama's nonfeasance, just as Mr. Obama apologized for the Eisenhower administration's meddling. But the better Eisenhower parallel is with Hungary in 1956. Then as now a popular uprising coalesced around a figure (Imre Nagy in Hungary; Mir Hossein Mousavi in Iran), who had once been a creature of the system. Then as now it was buoyed by inspiring American rhetoric about freedom and democracy coming over Voice of America airwaves. And then as now the administration effectively turned its back on the uprising when U.S. support could have made a difference."

Here's another, contrasting Reagan's statements about the USSR with Obama's statements on Iran. And here's AllahPundit contrasting Obama with Reagan on Poland:

"Reagan took a stand on freedom, where Obama sounds desperate for engagement with the forces of oppression. Germany's Angela Merkel took a much tougher stand than Obama did, calling the oppression "totally unacceptable," while all Obama can say is that it's "deeply troubling".

It's the difference between leadership and management. Reagan led, and he inspired the Poles to continue the struggle that eventually helped free half of Europe from iron-fisted domination by the Soviet Union. Obama wants to manage the crisis to keep from having to lead. Big, big difference."

This parallel only works if you don't think about the details at all. In the 1980s, we had been opposed to the USSR for decades. The people of Eastern Europe were opposed to it too: the USSR was, after all, occupying their countries. While we might not have taken up their cause as clearly as some people would have liked, we had never oppressed them; our adversary had. Our support was therefore generally welcomed.

Iran is, of course, a different story entirely. We can debate whether we or the British played the biggest role in toppling the Mossadegh government, but it is beyond debate that we played a crucial role in the overthrow of Iran's last fully democratic government. We then kept in power a dictator who terrorized the Iranian people and squandered their resources for over a quarter of a century, and who maintained a secret police, which we helped train, that killed thousands, and used torture methods including "electric shock, whipping, beating, inserting broken glass and pouring boiling water into the rectum, tying weights to the testicles, and the extraction of teeth and nails."

Since the Iranian revolution in 1979, we have been consistently hostile to the Iranian government. We have maintained economic sanctions against them, and now have troops more or less surrounding their country. We spent the last few years threatening to bomb them, and saying ludicrous things about real men going to Tehran.

I am not saying any of this because I want to get into the pros and cons of our Iran policy. That's not relevant to my point, which is just this: we are not very popular in Iran.

And that is why comparisons to Reagan and Eastern Europe are ludicrous. We can debate how important Reagan's various pronouncements about Eastern Europe were, but I do not recall anyone suggesting that they would not be welcomed by Eastern European dissidents, or would harm their cause. In this case, they could do real harm, which is why no Iranian human rights activists and opposition leaders that I'm aware of have called on Obama to speak out.

Question: do the people who make these arguments not know this? If they don't -- if they really believe that the question how Obama should respond is in any way like the question how Reagan should have responded to Eastern Europe -- then they are completely ignorant of Iran's history, and have no business commenting at all.

If they do know this, then either they genuinely believe that Obama ought to come out in favor of the protesters or they don't. In the first case, I think they are deeply unwise. (Matt Yglesias on McCain: "a dangerous madman whose ideas would risk incredibly suffering and destruction around the world.") In the second, they are advocating a policy that they know would harm the demonstrators they claim to support, demonstrators who are risking their lives. That would be deeply cynical, and vile beyond belief.

Hilzoy 10:39 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (13)
 
Comments

"...demonstrators who are risking their lives. That would be deeply cynical, and vile beyond belief."

There's some room there for pundits who don't really consider Iranians to possess human lives.

Posted by: Ben JB on June 16, 2009 at 10:53 PM | PERMALINK

It has nothing to do with the history of Iran, Hilzoy, and everything to do with the conservative belief that deep down, all people are the same.

Posted by: dr sardonicus on June 16, 2009 at 11:15 PM | PERMALINK

Each Country Is What It Is, And Not Another Country

And this is why the Allahpundit et al fingerpointing is not about Iran at all. It is as American as Apple Pie. Right v Left, dem-repub, with an added component of some lefties signing up for different reasons. IE underdog support.

Both without knowledge of what they are protesting for, or against and what it means as Americans to the peoples of Iran. And apparently not caring to find out. It's the contest that counts. a decidedly American contest.

Posted by: Comrade Stuck on June 16, 2009 at 11:21 PM | PERMALINK

I've been glued to Twitter for days. Right wingers pop up here and there with "Obama is weak," or "Obama is betraying protesters," usually with a #tcot (top conservative on twitter) hashtag. I've asked several what it is they think Obama should do.

One guy said -- not kidding -- send in the CIA. When I told him that this isn't our revolution, he told me to read the Declaration of Independence and I'd see that it is our revolution, because the there ideals are universal.

A #tcot woman told me that we had to agree that Iran's path to freedom means no more Mullahs and no more of their decrees. While I agree in the abstract, in practice I believe very strongly that if these protesters topple their government and institute a new order in Iran, it's up to them to make those decisions. Not us.

There's a very American idea that we can shape all these things, and more importantly that we should. We have to learn to let that idea go. There are good, decent, brave people who are right now, at 8am in Tehran, trading their safety for a chance at a freedom they may not fully understand in practice. This is their moment and their movement and there's something profoundly immoral in wanting to steal that from them and make it all about us.

Posted by: stacieboschma on June 16, 2009 at 11:22 PM | PERMALINK

Riiiight: Hungary, 1956. Historically, the lesson was that US rhetoric leading up to the uprising could not match the relatively constrained possibilities the US faced during it.

Leaving aside the fact that Britain, France and Israel managed to kill any forward US motion in Hungary by unwisely choosing to invade Egypt at the same time, Eisenhower had no options to support Hungarian revolutionaries; as he later wrote, "Sending United States troops alone into Hungary through hostile or neutral territory would have involved [America] in general war" -- possibly leading to a full-scale nuclear conflict.

Although Iran is no Soviet Union, the constraints are the same: strong rhetoric from America cannot be backed by equally strong action, a problem that the Lebanese now know all too well. Those politicians demanding stronger talk are asking the Iranians to bet their lives on our words. That's a bad bargain.

In the meantime, the Russians managed to disband UNOMIG. Another example where fine words were matched by impotent action.

Posted by: tWB on June 16, 2009 at 11:36 PM | PERMALINK

It seems to me the White House is doing exactly what it should: listening to the actual reformists and what they want.

Too often this country has acted how it believed it should regardless of our potential benefactors' desires. Sort of like Charles Foster Kane in Citizen Kane.

Posted by: JWK on June 16, 2009 at 11:36 PM | PERMALINK

The same Neocons who scream we should be 'supporting' the protestors in Iran were the ones who 'supported' the Shiite insurgents in Iraq in 1991...
... right up until Saudi Arabia told us if we kept this up the price of oil would go to $100 a barrel because of the unrest it would invoke in SA's own Shiite population in their north.

With a record like that, it takes a lot of gall to say America should support the Iranian Protestors. How much does support mean? Going to war for them or in the end leaving them to die in the tens of thousands because we don't want to disrupt oil shipments in the Gulf?

McCain et al should just SHUT THE F**K UP!

Posted by: Lance on June 17, 2009 at 4:43 PM | PERMALINK

So which is it?

Well, they're Republicans, so I am going with "...deeply cynical, and vile beyond belief."

Posted by: marty on June 17, 2009 at 5:11 PM | PERMALINK

As a second-generation Hungarian emigrant with first-hand knowledge of Imre Nagy, I must say the comparison between him and Mr Mousavi in no way holds.

Much as I disagree with Mr Ahmedinejad, and with admittedly little knowledge of the technicalities of elections in Iran, it seems to me that the gap between him and his closest opponents (11m votes or thereabouts) is wide enough to lend credibility to Mr Ahmedinejad's election.

I also would have preferred the other candidate, but let's respect the vote of the Iranian people.

Posted by: Frank on June 17, 2009 at 6:29 PM | PERMALINK

a lot of the iranian people seem to be saying that their votes were *not* respected.

and for peacefully protesting they are being harrassed, injured, and in a few cases, murdered by their own government. which is desperately trying to shut down any witness by the outside world.

why would a government do all this over protests to an election that was actually legitimate?

I love Obama, but his reserve about this is baffling to me.

Posted by: mitzi on June 17, 2009 at 6:50 PM | PERMALINK

I love Obama, but his reserve about this is baffling to me.

It would do more harm than good. The hard liners are already screaming that the United States is meddling because Twitter rescheduled a maintenance update. President Obama is walking a tightrope here and so far he hasn't faltered. He is playing this one exactly right.

Posted by: Blue Girl on June 17, 2009 at 7:39 PM | PERMALINK

@ Frank: Do you really believe that the Iranian government finished counting 30 million paper ballots by hand within two hours of the polls closing? That is when the results were announced.

If so, we need to send our election people over there to learn how to do it.

Posted by: Alan on June 18, 2009 at 12:49 AM | PERMALINK

Can no one else see the strong resemblance between the style and substance of Ahmadinejad and the rightwing Republicans? Doesn't it suggest that they feel a sort of camaraderie with him? Why else would they be pushing policies that would result in supporting him?

Posted by: Texas Aggie on June 18, 2009 at 1:41 AM | PERMALINK




 

 
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