Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

Email Newsletter icon, E-mail Newsletter icon, Email List icon, E-mail List icon Sign up for Free News & Updates

June 23, 2009

ANOTHER DEMOGRAPHIC DOWNWARD SPIRAL.... Occasionally, we'll hear prominent Republican leaders argue that the GOP has to do better in broadening its appeal in minority communities if the party expects to compete effectively in the future. In general, those arguments are ignored by the party's rank and file.

The results, then, aren't surprising.

New poll numbers really seem to bear out the fears of some Republicans: The GOP's quasi-opposition to Sotomayor seems to be hurting the party among Latinos in a big way.

The latest numbers from the nonpartisan Research 2000 for Daily Kos find that only eight percent of Latinos view the party favorably, while an astonishing 86 percent view it unfavorably.

That's a real shift from what were already pretty bad numbers from before the Sotomayor nomination, when 11% of Latinos viewed the GOP favorably, and 79% viewed it unfavorably.

For a while, when some of the conservative attacks against Sotomayor were especially offensive, Republican leaders tried to keep the ugliness at arm's length. GOP officials would remind folks that Gingrich, Limbaugh, et al, were not actually Republican officeholders.

It appears these distinctions have been inconsequential.

What's more, Josh Marshall notes that the Republican Party may have structural impediments in place that will make progress difficult.

The only problem is that the modern Republican party's panic switch, or at least one of them, is rancid jingoism and more or less open anti-Hispanic (though often specifically targeted at Mexicans) prejudice. Or, to put it more bluntly, as with African-Americans, it's tough to be the party of the blacks and the racists at the same time. (Not that the Dems didn't try it for a few decades in the middle of the 20th century -- but it didn't end up panning out.)

One might imagine an alternative universe in which gays were not only an increasingly open and powerful political constituency but also one that was growing rapidly in population terms. And you'd have Republicans wanting to cultivate support among this growing group but also episodically bashing them to consolidate support among base conservative voters.

In other words, it's not a mistake or incompetence or any lack of planning that has Republicans in such a bad position with Hispanics, America's fastest growing ethnic group. It's just that people who are hostile to Hispanic immigration and just Hispanics in general are one of the GOP's key constituencies. That puts some real obstacles in the way of becoming the party of Hispanics.

Quite a conundrum.

Steve Benen 11:15 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (23)
 
Comments

when your party platform is Hate and Fear... yer really not going to get communities -- ethnic, regional, religious, fields of endeavor, etc.

yer gonna get psychopaths...

The Republican Party: the real acid test for sanity in 21st century american society...

Posted by: neill on June 23, 2009 at 11:20 AM | PERMALINK

Continuing good news. The best thing for the future of this country would be for the Republican party to disappear competely from the face of the earth.

Posted by: Lee Gibson on June 23, 2009 at 11:26 AM | PERMALINK

Given the economic demographic of minorities having the GOP be so adamantly against a Public Option for health care is also killing them. Why do you suppose no high falunten pundits are asking this type of question to Linsey and Co,? Nauseating...

Posted by: stevio on June 23, 2009 at 11:26 AM | PERMALINK

No, no more popcorn, thank you. I couldn't possibly eat another bite.

Posted by: shortstop on June 23, 2009 at 11:28 AM | PERMALINK

The GOP needs to root around in their toolchest, maybe they forgot that lying has shown a short term bump on occasion.

Ummmm, good popcorn.

Posted by: Kevin on June 23, 2009 at 11:30 AM | PERMALINK

The last presidential election clearly demonstrated that the GOP has become the party of old, white racists. This may sound harsh, but that doesn't make it any less true.

Posted by: Simon on June 23, 2009 at 11:30 AM | PERMALINK

Also, large numbers of Hispanics used to work construction jobs. Those jobs have dried up due to Bush economic mismanagement.
Another reason why Republicans are in the tank- the stupid economy.

Posted by: bakho on June 23, 2009 at 11:31 AM | PERMALINK

And as the Republican primary age demographic (i.e., 65 and older), unfortunately largely comprising entrenched phobias regarding race, ethnicity, sexuality, and general 'glasnost', their numbers will dwindle even further.

Yet they refuse to recognize this eventuality, and cling to their outdated model. I'd almost feel sorry for them if they hadn't played such a commanding role in recent decades in most of what is wrong with this country.

Posted by: terraformer on June 23, 2009 at 11:33 AM | PERMALINK

It's hard to think that the Obama team didn't predict this, and it may have been a reason for nominating this particular judge in the first place. Pretty neat. They are using Lou Dobbs against the GOP.

Posted by: davidp on June 23, 2009 at 11:33 AM | PERMALINK

wow! that 11% approval number is amazing considering that,in november, mccain got 33% of the hispanic vote...and sotomayor is from puerto rico...what would these numbers look like if she'd been from mexico???? single digits?? negative??

Posted by: dj spellchecka on June 23, 2009 at 11:39 AM | PERMALINK

The racist, sexist response of the GOP (official or unofficial) will drive away not only Hispanics, but all other "minorities", women, young people, rational White men...

Posted by: CParis on June 23, 2009 at 12:07 PM | PERMALINK

Now, if only we could get Dems to seize this opportunity to prove they can lead, they could shut the door on modern conservatism. I know, but one can dream...

Posted by: beep52 on June 23, 2009 at 12:11 PM | PERMALINK

Republicans are losing among minorities (and women, still?) but gaining among someone. Rasmussen polls (grain of salt? but still) show weakening general support for Obama and Democrats:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll &
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/trust_on_issues/trust_on_issues
Obama's positives and negatives are now claimed equal, and Republicans gained on Democrats on many issues. There are many causes, including dextrohack and MSM collusion and Wurlitzerization and confusion about our continuing problems.

But I'll say again, I bet a lot of loss of support for Obama is from progressives who think he sold out on wars, torture accountability, transparency, blowing off mountain tops, non-ideological issues like appointing donors to posts, etc. However, we still need to work on why and what to do about these trends. We can't maintain dominance through minorities alone.

Posted by: Neil B ♪ on June 23, 2009 at 12:21 PM | PERMALINK

The GOP's *quasi*-opposition? There didn't seem to be anything "quasi" about it to me. It appears to have died down a lot since they realized it wasn't working, but it seemed full-throated and enthusiastic at the time (not to mention racist, dishonest, mean-spirited, etc.).

Posted by: Shade Tail on June 23, 2009 at 12:26 PM | PERMALINK

No, no more popcorn, thank you. I couldn't possibly eat another bite. - shortstop

But, it's wafer-thin...
/monty python

Posted by: Marko on June 23, 2009 at 12:31 PM | PERMALINK

Hey wait just a gosh darned minute! Alberto Gonzales is a Messican. We rethuglicants like him just fine.

Posted by: Trollkiller on June 23, 2009 at 12:51 PM | PERMALINK

Sad part, the GOP actually believe the crap coming out of their mouths.

I would like to know about the lady from Missouri who said, "We should raise taxes to give free lunch programs to kids. Hunger is a motivator, they should get a job at McDonald's. McDonald's will feed you for free."

Sad part, she's on a childrens committee. If it's hard for an adult, recent college grads to get a job, how can a kid get a job.

Even more, wasn't fast food to blame for obesity and diabetes in children, as well as a host of medical conditions.

Come on lady, we are talking about kids. In many parts of the country, the only decent meals some kids receive is when they go to school. Sad but true, sometimes it's the only meal kids get.

Posted by: annjell on June 23, 2009 at 1:16 PM | PERMALINK

**correction**

the state rep said, "We shouldn't raise taxes to have free lunch programs in school."

Posted by: annjell on June 23, 2009 at 1:18 PM | PERMALINK

Neil B -- I haven't read anything about the internals of this poll, but in most of the other recent ones, the loss of support has been from declining favorability among Republicans, and Democrats have pretty much held steady. You might think it's because of various issues where there's been action (or conspicuous lack of it) lately, but apparently people who pay attention as much as we do are a pretty tiny part of the population.

Posted by: Redshift on June 23, 2009 at 1:32 PM | PERMALINK

I am African American. The republicans have turned me off to any message they want to convey, even if it is delivered by Michael Steele. I will not support a political party that constantly pushes racism, war, divisiveness, hate, etc on anyone. They just don't know the effect of turning on the teevee or logging onto the internet and seeing/hearing/reading a constant diatribe based on hate. I truly believe that at this point in time they are unwilling to stop cultivating the hate, or maybe they just don't care. I lean toward the latter category.
They never stop to think about how they would feel if they were the nation's "racial football" because they are devoid of empathy. I also think that if they were really concerned about saving their party, one of their members of Congress would step up and make a bold statement urging them to stop hating everyone who is not a member of their party. On the other hand, it seems that their politics of fear is working well for them because they are too afraid to stand up to Hannity, Limbaugh, Beck, O'Reilly, Savage, Jones, Coulter, Krauthammer, Buchanan, and the other fear-mongerers.

Posted by: majii on June 23, 2009 at 1:43 PM | PERMALINK

... [the republicans] are too afraid to stand up to Hannity, Limbaugh, Beck, O'Reilly, Savage, Jones, Coulter, Krauthammer, Buchanan, and the other fear-mongerers.

majii, if they disavowed those people they wouldn't have anyone at all left in the party.

Posted by: Carol on June 23, 2009 at 2:16 PM | PERMALINK

Let's see: the R2K poll shows the GOP with:

3% favorability among blacks
8% among Latinos
9% among other nonwhites
9% among under-30s
16% among women
8% among Northeasterners
18% among Midwesterners
20% among Westerners

On the other hand, they've got:

45% favorability among Southerners
32% among men
31% among whites

They're the party of Southern white males over 30. Not much of a future there.

Posted by: low-tech cyclist on June 23, 2009 at 3:21 PM | PERMALINK

They're the party of Southern white males over 30. Not much of a future there.

They can always join UNPO like the Afrikaaners.

Posted by: Davis X. Machina on June 23, 2009 at 9:40 PM | PERMALINK
Post a comment









Remember personal info?










 

 
Email Newsletter icon, E-mail Newsletter icon, Email List icon, E-mail List icon Sign up for Free News & Updates

Advertise in WM

Advertise in College Guide






Search Now:
In Association with Amazon.com


Place Your Link Here

---Paid Advertisements---

Payday Loans

Personal Loans

Addiction Treatment

Phone Cards

Less Debt = Financial Freedom

Addiction Treatment Programs

Credit Cards & Debt Consolidation

Bad Credit Loans

Vacation Rentals