FRIDAY'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP....Today's installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn't generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers.
* In a bit of a surprise, former President Bill Clinton will headline a fundraiser for Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) later this month. Maloney is planning a primary challenge to Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.), and it's the incumbent who enjoys the support of the party establishment, including many of Hillary Clinton's former advisers. A spokesperson said the fundraiser was arranged "some time ago" and isn't an endorsement of Maloney's Senate campaign.
* On Tuesday, Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Pa.) said he will run against Sen. Arlen Specter in a Democratic primary. On Wednesday, his spokesperson said no official decision had been made. On Thursday, Sestak once again said, "I am going to get in this race."
* Economic difficulties are taking their toll on Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland's approval rating, which has slipped to 46% in a new Quinnipiac poll. Strickland is seeking a second term next year.
* If New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte (R) enters the Senate race against Rep. Paul Hodes (D) next year, she'll apparently enter as the likely favorite. A poll released yesterday showed Ayotte leading Hodes by four, 39% to 35%, including a seven-point lead among New Hampshire independents.
* In related news, Hodes' fundraising is off to a good start, with the House Democrat raising $725,000 in the second quarter.
* The DNC has begun airing ads in Kentucky going after Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) for his obstruction of the Obama agenda. McConnell, however, isn't seeking re-election until 2014. A DNC spokesperson explained, "He should still care about what his constituents think -- and hopefully it'll send a message to others."
* Will North Dakota Gov. John Hoeven (R) take on Sen. Byron Dorgan (D) next year? The North Dakota Republican Party certainly hopes so.
* And Les Otten, a Republican gubernatorial candidate in Maine, is catching flack for using a campaign logo that looks very similar to that of the Obama presidential campaign. The Otten Exploratory Campaign denies having copied the Democratic president's logo.
—Steve Benen 12:00 PM
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When reading these campaign round-up posts, I find it interesting that for all the talk about the GOP being in decline nationally, many individual Republican candidates in the states seem to be doing quite well.
2010 is not going to be the cake walk Democrats are expecting. If the economy continues as it is (And I'll lay good odds that it does) the ADD public will blame current office holders (most of whom are Dems). Republican obstruction (combined with the Dems internal divisions) is slowing down, watering down and just plain stopping a lot key legislation which will leave congress with few big wins to point to in 2010.
In that environment Congressional Democrats will be vulnerable.
The Dems will almost certainly retain control of the House but the Senate is a different matter. I honestly would not be surprised to see the Democrats actually LOSE 1-3 seats in 2010. I will be suprised if Dems pick up more than one seat.
Posted by: thorin-1 on July 3, 2009 at 2:01 PM | PERMALINK
Regarding the Hodes/Ayotte poll: according to Blue Hampshire, here's the party ID of the respondents:
Registered Democrat: 119
Registered Undeclared: 208
Registered Republican: 153
Considering recent voting trends in NH, that's heavily skewed to the right. That sample would have been accurate in the heyday of Meldrim Thomson, but NH is no longer a Republican state. It's center to center-left. Given a fair sampling, Hodes would undoubtedly hold a significant lead over Ayotte or any other prospective Republican challenger.
Posted by: jvwalt on July 3, 2009 at 4:05 PM | PERMALINK
On Tuesday, Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Pa.) said he will run against Sen. Arlen Specter in a Democratic primary. On Wednesday, his spokesperson said no official decision had been made. On Thursday, Sestak once again said, "I am going to get in this race."
Come on, Admiral, make up your mind. As Admiral Nelson said, "audacity, always audacity." As Admiral David Farragut memorably put it, "Damn the torpedoes! Full speed ahead!!" You know how this stuff works, sir, and there are a large number of us ready to "stand to battle stations."
Posted by: TCinLA on July 3, 2009 at 11:19 PM | PERMALINK