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Tilting at Windmills

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September 20, 2009

GATES MAKES THE CASE FOR SHIFT IN MISSILE-DEFENSE POLICY.... When President Obama scrapped Bush's plans for ground-based interceptors in Poland and an advanced radar in the Czech Republic, the decision was the culmination of a six-month review process. Defense Secretary Robert Gates and all of the Joint Chiefs of Staff agreed that a shift in America's missile-defense plans made sense.

The right, of course, isn't happy. Some of the pushback is coming from neo-cons, upset about the "signal" it sends when the U.S. bases foreign policy decisions on common sense, and some is coming from partisans who find it entertaining to throw around the word "appeasement" for no apparent reason.

As part of an effort to set the record straight, Gates has an op-ed in the NYT today, which does a nice job of setting the record straight.

For one thing, conservative criticism makes it seem as if strategic missile defense in Europe is somehow being gutted. In reality, it's currently non-existent. Bush's plan was to introduce missile defense to region, probably by 2017, perhaps later. Under Obama's plan, the U.S. will bring missile defense technology to Europe by 2011

In the first phase, to be completed by 2011, we will deploy proven, sea-based SM-3 interceptor missiles -- weapons that are growing in capability -- in the areas where we see the greatest threat to Europe.

The second phase, which will become operational around 2015, will involve putting upgraded SM-3s on the ground in Southern and Central Europe. All told, every phase of this plan will include scores of SM-3 missiles, as opposed to the old plan of just 10 ground-based interceptors. This will be a far more effective defense should an enemy fire many missiles simultaneously -- the kind of attack most likely to occur as Iran continues to build and deploy numerous short- and medium-range weapons. At the same time, plans to defend virtually all of Europe and enhance the missile defense of the United States will continue on about the same schedule as the earlier plan as we build this system over time, creating an increasingly greater zone of protection.

Steady technological advances in our missile defense program -- from kill vehicles to the abilities to network radars and sensors -- give us confidence in this plan. The SM-3 has had eight successful tests since 2007, and we will continue to develop it to give it the capacity to intercept long-range missiles like ICBMs. It is now more than able to deal with the threat from multiple short- and medium-range missiles -- a very real threat to our allies and some 80,000 American troops based in Europe that was not addressed by the previous plan. Even so, our military will continue research and development on a two-stage ground-based interceptor, the kind that was planned to be put in Poland, as a back-up.

Moreover, a fixed radar site like the one previously envisioned for the Czech Republic would be far less adaptable than the airborne, space- and ground-based sensors we now plan to use. These systems provide much more accurate data, offer more early warning and tracking options, and have stronger networking capacity -- a key factor in any system that relies on partner countries. This system can also better use radars that are already operating across the globe, like updated cold war-era installations, our newer arrays based on high-powered X-band radar, allied systems and possibly even Russian radars.

A more effective anti-missile technology, with a better track record, and more flexibility, implemented sooner.

"Those who say we are scrapping missile defense in Europe are either misinformed or misrepresenting what we are doing," Gates added.

It need not be an either/or situation.

Steve Benen 9:35 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (16)

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Comments

I've seen no substantial criticism of this - just Obama Derangement Syndrome

Posted by: Krowe on September 20, 2009 at 9:50 AM | PERMALINK

In just what geopolitical scenario does Iran attack Europe with missiles?

Posted by: SqueakyRat on September 20, 2009 at 9:59 AM | PERMALINK

pity gates has to undo BushCo's little european adventure under his new boss. my first thoughts on it are that it sure is a great distraction from all the killin' and dyin' in af-pak...

NEEDLESS and a fucking idiotic continuation of disaster.

Posted by: neill on September 20, 2009 at 9:59 AM | PERMALINK

Something I still don't get about this: we're scrapping the Czech and Polish defense systems. Yet we will still be putting these SM-3 defenses somewhere in southern or central Europe.

Setting aside the technical considerations, what's the big difference?

Posted by: garnash on September 20, 2009 at 10:06 AM | PERMALINK

The sad part is that even with this 'readjustment', we keep pouring more money into the blackhole of armaments. No cutbacks, not even a reduction in the rate of increase.

It's not like there is no need for better radars in the states. Seems like air traffic control has been trying their radar for 10 or 20 years.

We need to scrap a lot of defense in a lot of places. The only thing being defended are the profits for the defense contractors, and our pretensions of being the biggest dog on the block.

Posted by: TulsaTime on September 20, 2009 at 10:09 AM | PERMALINK

Why does anyone think The U.S. needs to protect Europe from Iran?

Posted by: par4 on September 20, 2009 at 10:22 AM | PERMALINK

I've seen no substantial criticism of this - just Obama Derangement Syndrome

I don't need to substantiate anything. I never do. My constituents love my huckleberry persona. Oh, and John McCain Rocks.

Posted by: Lindsey Graham on September 20, 2009 at 10:40 AM | PERMALINK

Setting aside the technical considerations, what's the big difference?

SM-3's are essentially the ballistic missile defense missile used by the Aegis combat system on Navy ships. Unlike the Star Wars missile defense systems - this one actually works most of the time. The Star Wars missile defense is pretty much a HUGE, non-functional, Reagan era, defense boondoggle. From a purely technical point of view, the Star Wars missile system was nothing but pissing money down a black hole (or to defense contractors). This system repeatedly FAILED it's performance testing.

The Aegis system and the SM-3 missile has been around a while and is widely shared with our allies (i.e. everybody knows range/payload envelope, etc).

This goes a bit of a way towards explaining WHY Russia and others were very concerned about ground base, long range missile defense missiles - because these missiles had the lift capacity and range to carry nukes. We'd be pretty pissed if Russia tried to put SRBM's in a very close country, say like Cuba. And the Cuban missile crisis was just about as close as this country and world have ever come to a nuclear holocaust.

I will make no pretense about understanding WHY the US is concerned about an Iranian missile attack. I honestly don't think they are - they're much more concerned about a resurgent and belligerent Russia.

Posted by: Glen on September 20, 2009 at 11:15 AM | PERMALINK

Garnash - you need to read more closely - you can't scrap what doesn't exist. We're changing the PROPOSAL for placing missile defense systems in Poland and the Czech Republic. In fact, according to Gates the result is missile defenses sooner than the original plan.

Still kind of stupid as noted by others - but since it's all mobile, if silly season ends we can ship it elsewhere.

Posted by: Butch on September 20, 2009 at 11:53 AM | PERMALINK

why are we protecting Europe?
Are they paying for the full cost of the missile deployment?
They have universal health care; we don't!!!
Stupid America.

Posted by: pluege on September 20, 2009 at 12:10 PM | PERMALINK

As a resident in Central Europe, I don't find the prospect of scores of American SM-3 missiles arriving in my vicinity particularly attractive. Have the European people been asked if they want this kind of intrusion? It seems that the American establishment assumes it has some preordained right to stomp all over other people's countries plonking their provocative military hardware wherever they choose. I, and many of my fellows, consider this offensive and ill-mannered.

If Iran really is the threat that Mr Gates claims, then surely the appropriate policy is to find a way to disarm Iran. Why should other peaceable people be held hostage to a third party's megalomaniac expansionism? Deal with Iran - don't intrude upon and compromise other people's independence and self-respect.

Posted by: Goldilocks on September 20, 2009 at 12:27 PM | PERMALINK

The Orwellian audacity of this column is breathtaking. There is no missile threat to Europe!

Iran is not going to attack Europe! They would be obliterated!
Russia is not going to attack Europe! Mutually assured destruction is still in place!
As both Iraq and Afghanistan have conclusively proven, military force has little effect deterring terrorism!
If you are concerned about the 80,000 American troops based in Europe, bring them home. We certainly would never allow foreign military bases on our soil, and we might want to start considering that people in other nations resent them as must as we would.
The casual contempt that this column demonstrates toward the American people, and its complete disregard for the practice of democracy is disturbing. However, I the see the defense industry is lavishly praised for their latest contributions to world peace.
In actual fact, every bomb or tank that is built, every provocative military deployment, is, in an already nuclear armed world that is accelerating its nuclear proliferation, a dangerous threat our future. This is not naive pacifism, it is simply the observation that violence and even threats of violence tend to beget violence in return. We need to recognize that US foreign policy is largley based on precisely this threat, and it scares the crap out of people. What would we do in their place? We would take what steps we needed to protect our nation's interest. I.e., we would arm ourselves with the largest and most dangerous weapons we could find. Realize that we are the ones driving this situation by the global deployment of our military. Other nations, including Iran, are behaving perfectly rationally in their own self-interest when they seek some deterrence capacity. And all of this increases the probability of catastrophe.
The adjustments described by Gates and by Clinton are just that, tactical adjustments. The strategy of military domination, i.e., persausion through force and the threat of force, remains in place.
To defend this just because it is the position of the administration is not only dishonest and craven, it may ultimately turn out to be suicidal.

Posted by: Jason on September 20, 2009 at 1:43 PM | PERMALINK

I especially enjoy the cognitive disconnect here. One right-winger is screaming about how we don't want to turn the US healthcare system into a commie-fascist-European-style nightmare, while another right-winger is screaming about how we can't let down our commie-fascist-European allies.

I guess the Republican party is a bigger tent than I thought. Pstt.

Posted by: oh my on September 20, 2009 at 1:58 PM | PERMALINK

I'm also wondering why 'we', America, is paying for a missle defense shield for Europe. Why wouldn't the European nation that would be protected by such a thing not establish it on their own? Or at least contract such work out to America or American contractors is such a thing can't be provided by "domestic" agents. It feels a lot like we're protecting our Empire. I'm not a fan.

Posted by: David Caddock on September 20, 2009 at 5:27 PM | PERMALINK

Glen,

"SM-3's are essentially the ballistic missile defense missile used by the Aegis combat system on Navy ships. Unlike the Star Wars missile defense systems - this one actually works most of the time."

Yes it does. Against PLANES.

America does not posses the technology to hit a missile with a missile without a rigged test. Nobody on the planet has the technology to hit a missile with a missile without a rigged test.


"The Aegis system and the SM-3 missile has been around a while and is widely shared with our allies"

Think Patriot missiles.

Posted by: Joe Friday on September 20, 2009 at 7:56 PM | PERMALINK

There was once an anti-ABM treaty signed with the Soviets. Bush unilaterally abrogated it as part of the Republican catechism. What Obama is doing here is returning the US to its treaty obligations.

Posted by: bob h on September 21, 2009 at 7:52 AM | PERMALINK
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