Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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September 23, 2009

PELOSI'S BEHIND-THE-SCENES MOVES.... There's a sizable portion of the House Democratic caucus that won't support reform if they consider it too liberal. There's another contingent, which is at least as big, that won't support reform if they consider it insufficiently liberal.

The Hill reports that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is reaching a conclusion as to how best to proceed.

Speaker Pelosi is backing away from a deal she cut with centrists to advance health reform, said a source familiar with talks.

Pelosi's decision to move away from the agreement that was made with a group of Blue Dogs to get the bill out of committee would steer the healthcare legislation back to the left as she prepares for a floor vote.... But a Pelosi aide said nothing is final, and the proposal to revert to the more left-leaning version of the language would be vetted before the entire Democratic Caucus.

It doesn't seem quite right to say that Pelosi is "moving away" from the leadership's deal with Blue Dogs. In July, in order to get a reform bill out of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Rep. Henry Waxman (D-Calif.) and the leadership negotiated with Rep. Mike Ross (D) of Arkansas, the Blue Dog caucus' point-man on health care, and other center-right Dems. They agreed to a fairly progressive bill, which included a public option, and Ross and other Blue Dogs voted to send the measure to the floor.

Two months later, Ross returned from the August recess, scrapped the agreement, and said he would not vote for a reform bill with a public option -- despite the fact that he already had at the committee level, and had endorsed a public option just two weeks prior.

In other words, Pelosi didn't "move away" from the agreement, Ross did. Now, the Speaker is left to pursue a different course, because Ross hasn't left her with much of a choice.

In some circles, House passage of reform is a foregone conclusion, but it's worth remembering that Pelosi's task is far from easy. To pass reform with no Republican votes, the Democratic caucus can afford to lose no more than 38 votes. There are more than 38 Blue Dogs looking for a more conservative bill, and there are more than 38 progressives looking for a more liberal bill.

Brian Beutler reported this morning, "[B]ehind the scenes and in public, Pelosi continues to make the case that health care reform should include a public option, and that the public option should be more robust. And according to Roll Call, she'd like the bill the House votes on to be completed and ready for a CBO score by the end of this week, ahead, she hopes, of a mid-October vote. Pelosi has a tough needle to thread particularly given the Senate's aversion to endorsing a public option. And though her public adamancy has softened, she's clearly working the inside game."

Steve Benen 10:55 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (22)
 
Comments

i think what they usually do after the standard "tit for tat" trades are made is the arm-twisting...

and the blue dog -- there being quite a few corrupt ones who are simply insurance company puppets, hacks and scum-suckers -- need to be threatened: first, with losing their seat in Congress; and then with prison time.

there's your formula for health care reform without ever having to be coherent and explaining why we need insurance companies. (and the only reason we need insurance companies is because they pay congresscritters so well...)

Posted by: neill on September 23, 2009 at 11:10 AM | PERMALINK

I would hope Ross' corruption is trumpeted on every blog and by every progressive group.

Posted by: Phuck Ross on September 23, 2009 at 11:10 AM | PERMALINK

The conservative democrats who continue with smoke and mirrors to decieve americans about health care reform, have not really figured out there is an election next year and the majority Democrats will become the minority because the democrats only listened to lobbyists, and corporation and not the American people.Americans want the Public Option. Extend Medicare to all and use Supplemental private insurance to cover what M'Care does not pay. Simple , efficient, cost effective. Congress cannot relate to those three adjectives. Confusion must reign so Congress can get corporate $$ for election.

Posted by: ml johnston on September 23, 2009 at 11:10 AM | PERMALINK

It's becoming apparent that the Democratic coalition may not actually have enough in common to be a coalition. Some people think government exists to purely to serve corporate interests but don't hate gay people. A lot of us think that's not enough to build common cause on.

Posted by: soullite on September 23, 2009 at 11:10 AM | PERMALINK

she may not be perfect, but Pelosi sure seems to at least try a lot harder than Reid does.

Posted by: zeitgeist on September 23, 2009 at 11:20 AM | PERMALINK

Does this mean that there will be an organized progressive group to which Democrats must bow and scrape to get legislation passed?

If not, it's time to get one started.

Blue Dogs are a threat to the party.Blue Dogs have been killing all votes on important, party-defining issues (any vote that Republican en bloc vote against). And worse, they betray an implicit promise made by the party to the nation when they give one party a resounding victory over another. They are hornets that flit around our heads and sting us repeatedly, but we are never allowed to swat at them.

Would I really rather have a Republican than a Democrat in there? You betcha.

Posted by: inkadu on September 23, 2009 at 11:27 AM | PERMALINK

The Blue Dogs need to be muzzled on occasion, but we shouldn't assume Blue Dog = conservative = industry hacks. Some Blue Dogs are liberals that favor fiscal responsility and will vote for a progressive bill that is funded without budgetary sleight of hand. Mike Ross does not speak for the votes of every Blue Dog Democrat.

Posted by: danimal on September 23, 2009 at 11:35 AM | PERMALINK

Pelosi will get 218 votes for a health care bill. The real issue is what that bill will look like, not whether it will pass.

Posted by: John on September 23, 2009 at 12:11 PM | PERMALINK

There's a sizable portion of the House Democratic caucus that won't support reform if they consider it too liberal.

I do not think this is true. I do not think that when it comes to actually voting on a bill, the House Democrats who have been trying to gut the bill will vote against a good bill with a strong public option. The Blue Dogs are the MOST vulnerable if they vote against reform.

Posted by: jayackroyd on September 23, 2009 at 12:13 PM | PERMALINK

My Congressman, Dennis Moore, a Blue Dog from the red state of Kansas, sent me an email yesterday reiterating his support for the public option and detailing the number of people in his district who've gone bankrupt in the last year because of medical expenses, been forclosed on, become unemployed, etc. The Blue Dogs aren't a homogenous group either.

Posted by: Peggy on September 23, 2009 at 12:43 PM | PERMALINK

I wonder if part of the discussion is the realization of the politics (as opposed to the policy) dance that Republicans are engaged in. Meaning that Blue Dogs may have philosophical problems with the bill and/or may have electoral issues (i.e face "retribution" at the polls) but that them opposing this too forcefully may not be in the long-term interests of themselves or Democratic control of the House.

Posted by: ET on September 23, 2009 at 12:45 PM | PERMALINK

I believe it is absolutely necessary to focus our efforts as citizens on pressuring the democrats to pass quality reform including a robust public option available to everyone. I get frustrated sometimes by all the attention paid to the stupid corrupt things republicans are saying. This is sometimes entertaining and I understand it is important to offer a rebuttal, but at this point the republicans are almost irrelevant. The only way to pressure professional politicians is to convince them that you will not vote for them if they don't represent your interests in this matter. Those people who support reform and who live in states with blue dog democrats have to apply this pressure. And blogs such as this need to pressure the democratic leadership in general to turn the screws on members of their own party who are leaning conservative.

Posted by: Jason on September 23, 2009 at 12:49 PM | PERMALINK

just FYI - the 'Blue Dogs' are a MUCH smaller group than the Progressive caucus in the House. much smaller.

Posted by: onceler on September 23, 2009 at 1:08 PM | PERMALINK

When analyzing the motivations and actions of "Blue Dogs" realize that many of them have a very precarious hold on their seats and represent areas that are fairly conservative by liberal standards.

Don't remember where I read it, but upwards of 40 Democrats represent districts that voted for McCain in 2008, and even more than that represent districts that were in GOP hands at some point during the last decade.

When you have a caucus as large the Democratic caucus currently is, you are going to have wide range of viewpoints among your members that need to be accomodated.

Posted by: mfw13 on September 23, 2009 at 1:17 PM | PERMALINK

Pelosi has a tough needle to thread particularly given the Senate's aversion to endorsing a public option.

Oh good effing God. Pelosi should (and I am sure *is*) just working to get the most progressive piece of lege out of the House without any regard for what the Senate is doing. All the horse trading between chambers will take place in the conference committee.

Posted by: Disputo on September 23, 2009 at 2:03 PM | PERMALINK

Pelosi, Reid, and Obama are tacking hard left now. They think they have the muscle to push through their bills using parliamentary procedures.

In the meantime Obama is like a hyperactive teenager tipping over trash cans. LUN.

Posted by: matt on September 23, 2009 at 5:36 PM | PERMALINK

It's appropriate that matt ends all his posts with the south Asian slang for penis.

Posted by: Disputo on September 23, 2009 at 8:49 PM | PERMALINK
Simple , efficient, cost effective. Congress cannot relate to those three adjectives. Confusion must reign so Congress can get corporate $$ for election. Posted by: ml johnston on September 23, 2009

Tut tut, now don't go giving away the game. Heh.

Posted by: MarkH on September 23, 2009 at 11:11 PM | PERMALINK

Thinking about it, it's all a bit of political theater on the part of the Blue Dogs, isn't it? But it's exactly the kind we political theater we hope to see replayed in a week or two when the Senate version of the bill comes to the floor, right? After all, the Senate Democrats have to stand together at 60 votes to push back a Republican filibuster, but then the 6 or 7 most conservative Dems (Nelson, Landrieu, and so forth) will have to scream bloody murder and vote against the final bill, meaning the legislation passes with 53 or 54 votes, yet allowing said conservative Dems to return to their conservative districts and convince their constituents they really, really didn't want healthcare reform. See how it works? (Whether they're right about what their constituents really want is a whole 'nother discussion.)

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