WEDNESDAY'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP....Today's installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn't generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers.
* In New Jersey's gubernatorial race, a new Rasmussen poll shows Gov. Jon Corzine (D) leading Chris Christie (R) by one, 37% to 36%. However, when independent Chris Daggett's supporters were pushed further, Christie led Corzine, 41% to 39%.
* Two new polls show Bob McDonnell (R) pulling away in Virginia's gubernatorial race. A SurveyUSA poll shows McDonnell leading Creigh Deeds (D) by a whopping 19 points, 59% to 40%, while a Public Policy Polling survey shows McDonnell up by 12, 52% to 40%.
* Though Deeds has kept his distance from President Obama, the Democratic gubernatorial hopeful's new ad relies entirely on a recent endorsement speech from the president.
* Florida's Senate race is getting more interesting all the time. A new Quinnipiac poll shows Gov. Charlie Crist's lead over Marco Rubio dropping quickly in the Republican primary. Crist still leads by 15, 50% to 35%, but Crist led by 29 in the last Quinnipiac poll. For what it's worth, the same poll showed Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) leading Rubio in a hypothetical match-up, 36% to 33%, while Crist led Meek by 20.
* Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner's (D) Senate campaign has been struggling of late, but reports of financial difficulties may doom her bid. Brunner is facing Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher in a Democratic primary, and the party establishment has largely rallied behind Fisher.
* Despite his scandals, Sen. David Vitter (R) still maintains strong re-election numbers in Louisiana. The latest poll from the Times-Picayune shows the far-right Republican leading Rep. Charlie Melancon (D) by 12, 48% to 36%.
* In Michigan, a Detroit News poll shows Rep. Pete Hoekstra and state Attorney General Mike Cox as the leading contenders for the Republican nomination in next year's gubernatorial race. Lt. Gov. John Cherry is the leading Democratic candidate, though most Michigan Dems remain undecided. In hypothetical match-ups, Cherry maintains small leads over both Hoekstra and Cox.
—Steve Benen 12:00 PM
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"Despite his scandals, Sen. David Vitter (R) still maintains strong re-election numbers in Louisiana. The latest poll from the Times-Picayune shows the far-right Republican leading Rep. Charlie Melancon (D) by 12, 48% to 36%."
The good citizens of Louisiana never let a good scandal (or three) get in the way of picking the wrong candidate.
If I ever visit, I'm making sure I've gotten all my shots.
Posted by: bdop4 on October 21, 2009 at 12:32 PM | PERMALINK
"Brunner is facing Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher in a Democratic primary, and the party establishment has largely rallied behind Fisher."
That's to bad. After Ken 'Coat Hanger' Blackwell spent 4 years politicizing Ohio's votinf process, Secretary of State Brunner bought integrity back to the Ohio voting process. She'd be a great progressive and relatively independent voice in the Senate.
Lee Fisher...party hack...
Posted by: Jeff In Ohio on October 21, 2009 at 12:44 PM | PERMALINK
The exasperating thing about the Ohio race: Fisher, who has absolutely everyone on his side, has a pathetic $1.6 million on hand-- nearly 4 million less than Republican Rob Portman ($5.4).
I've worked on two of Fisher's campaigns (in both cases, because I was ordered to), and he is one of the worst campaigners I've ever seen. He can't raise money, he's a terrible speaker and his instincts (what to say, when to say it) are godawful. Portman will crush him.
Jennifer is bright and capable (she worked for Sherrod Brown when he was SoS), and could probably win if she got the nomination. But because she's being systematically starved of money, she won't get nominated, and the D's will blow this show to pick up a seat.
Posted by: Woodrow L. Goode, IV on October 21, 2009 at 1:02 PM | PERMALINK
And in another kind of campaign, the latest polls show that the question of whether to repeal the Maine legislature's enactment of marriage equality for same-sex couples is a dead heat at 48% for repeal, 48% against, and 5% undecided (overage due to rounding).
Conventional wisdom says that whichever side gets more of its voters to the polls will win, and the margin may be incredibly slim. The state's major dailies have come out against repeal.
Posted by: Euan Bear on October 21, 2009 at 2:27 PM | PERMALINK