October 28, 2009
PUBLIC OPTION, STILL POPULAR.... Some interesting results in the new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, most notably on health care. While the public remains skeptical about the larger initiative, the most contentious point on the Hill seems to be doing pretty well with the public.
[A] key flash point in the health-care debate is showing steadily increasing support.
A government-run insurance plan that competes with private insurance plans -- the so-called public option -- is now backed by 48%, compared with 42% who oppose it. In September, 48% opposed it while 46% supported it. In the rough month of August, when noisy town-hall meetings were tarnishing the president's health-care push, 47% opposed the public option and only 43% favored it.
Asked specifically if it is "important" to give American consumers "a choice" between "a public plan administered by the federal government and a private plan for their health insurance," a combined 72% said it was either "extremely" important (45%) or "quite" important (27%).
On other points, some of the poll results were unexpected, but there was precious little in the way of good news for Republicans.
* The public remains in a sour mood, and 52% believe the country is on the wrong track -- the highest number since January.
* Obama's approval rating remains at 51% in the poll, exactly where's it's been for the last few months.
* 43% approve of the president's handling of health care. For Republicans, it's 23%.
* 42% have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party. For the Republican Party, it's 25%. (Update: The GOP's rating is even worse now than it was during Bush's two terms.)
* On the generic ballot test, respondents favored a Democratic candidate over a GOP candidate, 46% to 38%. A month ago, the margin was only three points in Dems' favor.
* 63% believe the economic problems the White House is dealing with were inherited from the Bush era. That's down from 72% in June, but it's still quite high.
* In a bit of a surprise, support for sending additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan has gone up, and Dick Cheney's whining notwithstanding, a clear majority support President Obama's delays until after the Afghan election.
* Support for gay marriage is up considerably from a few years ago, but it's still a 41% minority.
—Steve Benen 9:30 AM
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Could we get a graph of the poll, please? The American people are in need of a simple visual as to their likes and dislikes, rather than all those words and numbers... thank you very much...
Posted by: neill on October 28, 2009 at 9:35 AM | PERMALINK
The most frigging thing about this entire fiasco over health care reform is that our legislators and our media think it's an ENTERTAINMENT for their benefit alone. This is beyond serious for REAL PEOPLE and yet they play it like a game! AND, we sit by whining and complaining and keep all of them right where they are! Believe me if Reid thinks "Joe is the least of his problems" it's because he knows he has tons more! I probably won't live to see the day when their behaviors are generated by the actual needs of THE PEOPLE...
Posted by: Dancer on October 28, 2009 at 9:38 AM | PERMALINK
Asked specifically if it is "important" to give American consumers "a choice" between "a public plan administered by the federal government and a private plan for their health insurance," a combined 72% said it was either "extremely" important (45%) or "quite" important (27%).
When one googles "fierce urgency of now," this is what they should read.
Posted by: Econobuzz on October 28, 2009 at 9:51 AM | PERMALINK
* 63% believe the economic problems the White House is dealing with were inherited from the Bush era. That's down from 72% in June, but it's still quite high.
Let me get this straight, 37% of Americans "believe" the White House did not inherit the current economic situation? WTF? Are there really that many mind numbingly stupid amnesiacs in this country? Because we have a serious shortage of medical facilities if that's the case.
Posted by: wtf on October 28, 2009 at 9:51 AM | PERMALINK
For all the progressive obsession with the public option and its popularity, though, polls have persistently shown the public to be on balance *opposed* to current proposals since well before the town-hall circus. Doesn't this merit a red flag? What's going on there? Is it the individual mandate? Is it concern among seniors that the proposed medicare cuts will be passed on to them? I worry that "success" in health-care reform may yet blow up in our faces, and for reasons quite apart from the public option.
Posted by: Daivd in Nashville on October 28, 2009 at 9:51 AM | PERMALINK
51%, huh? Yeah, no way he's going to need his liberal base with numbers like that!
Posted by: soullite on October 28, 2009 at 9:53 AM | PERMALINK
All of us are watching the cost of health care spiral ever upwards.
Yet there are voices that want to dither, delay, obfuscate and dismantle any sort of meaningful reform, regardless of the political cost, or the lives lost to mounting debt, denial of care, etc.
When Wall Street was at it's precipice last year, our legislators acted with alarming speed, and yet we see little real reform in the financial sector.
Don't buy the argument that a public option costs too much. We can't afford not to.
Without real reform, all of us will see our wages diminish as more and more and more of our bucks go to the insanity that is
health insurance.
Posted by: Tom Nicholson on October 28, 2009 at 9:55 AM | PERMALINK
To many, the "current economic situation" now includes the ill-advised bank bailout, falling home prices, rising defaults, and increasing unemployment. Like it or not, as the weeks go by, this is BHO's economy.
And his political stand against further stimulus is a very, very risky bet.
Posted by: Econobuzz on October 28, 2009 at 9:55 AM | PERMALINK
David, it will. That's why most of us want a public option. We know full well a $5000 fine won't actually end rescission, Obama is basically just flat-out lying when he claims his bill will end rescission. We know that there is no actual guaranteed issue in this bill either. Basically, we know this bill doesn't do anything but force people to buy health insurance. It doesn't even really offer subsidies, it offers tax credits. This will be a massively unpopular bill.
With a public option, at least there will be a program that it will be easy to force Congress to open up once the failure of this reform bill becomes obvious to everyone else.
Posted by: soullite on October 28, 2009 at 10:01 AM | PERMALINK
'Scuse me, Econobuzz, but the "ill-advised bank bailout" -- TARP -- was passed on Dubya's watch.
Posted by: SqueakyRat on October 28, 2009 at 10:03 AM | PERMALINK
43% approve of the president's handling of health care
Those numbers are low because many progressives are unhappy Obama is negotiating away good policy and getting nothing in return. Once he signs healthcare reform into law in the Rose Garden, his numbers will skyrocket.
Posted by: Ohioan on October 28, 2009 at 10:15 AM | PERMALINK
SqueakyRat: Please don't become upset when trolls let perceptions get in the way of facts. They operate on the premise "believing causes seeing" instead of the other way 'round. They only see what they believe they'll see.
Posted by: anomaly on October 28, 2009 at 10:15 AM | PERMALINK
I stumbled on an interesting comparison the other day
It was a proportion of spending !
European spending on healthcare !
Bad old , old European oldies
only spend half of what we spend on healthcare
With arguably better results . Ha !
Declare war ?
War on , Poverty , Drugs , Immigration
Now a war on stupid comparisons with stupid OLD smelly Europe
Perhaps interesting overstates the stumble
Let me think ....
Crazy ?
But for the bright shiny narrators
I might get lost in simple facts staring from fixed places
There to see for anyone
Aside from those so blind
They think paying twice the price for half the product
can possibly be beat (such fantasy !)
The bright shiny guarantee brought to you by the pockets of
from those who price healthcare 2x higher
Than dirty old fogey , yucky old Europe
Special thanks to
Joe (mentum , Non compos) Lieberman for protecting my innocence
Posted by: FRP on October 28, 2009 at 10:24 AM | PERMALINK
I suspect that the GOP's numbers are worse now than they were under Bush because now people realize that they're all idiots, and he was just the Idiot-in-Chief. The Dems aren't doing much better right now, however. . .
Posted by: Michigoose on October 28, 2009 at 10:31 AM | PERMALINK
"In a bit of a surprise, support for sending additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan has gone up.'.
Unsurprisingly, support for the reinstitution of a military draft remains at low ebb.
Posted by: JW on October 28, 2009 at 10:35 AM | PERMALINK
steve: "On the generic ballot test, respondents favored a Democratic candidate over a GOP candidate, 46% to 38%. A month ago, the margin was only three points in Dems' favor."
over at pollster the lead is still three points, but that's because they include rasmussen in the average. throw them out and the average dem lead is 8.
another thought: since the democratic brand is poison among southern whites, the average is a bit misleading. i estimate that if the generic ballot was a tie, outside the south the democrats would have a double digit lead.
Posted by: dj spellchecka on October 28, 2009 at 2:48 PM | PERMALINK
We are getting close! We need to continue to push for real reform! Found out today that people aren't really going to get the coverage they need until 2014! Can this be? Not acceptable, let's speak up to rev up the action on this! http://cli.gs/BMABst
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