November 19, 2009
GIVING CENTRISTS VERY LITTLE TO COMPLAIN ABOUT.... A Senate Democratic aide emailed me yesterday with some of the top-line numbers for the new health care bill: $848 billion over 10 years; $127 billion in deficit reduction in the first decade; $650 billion in deficit reduction in the second decade.
Literally, the very first thought that came to my mind was, "Well, that ought to shut the 'centrists' up."
While the wonks and assorted policy analysts pore over the legislation and CBO study, it's worth taking a moment to remember that center-right Democrats, who've been complaining about this initiative all year, have very little to complain about right now. Indeed, they should be thrilled -- Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) has put together a reform package custom made to give the so-called "moderates" just about everything they said they wanted.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid unveiled his $848 billion health reform bill Wednesday to broad support from fellow Democrats -- and the move quickly turned up the pressure on the last few wavering moderates to support the plan, which includes a sizable chunk of deficit cutting. [...]
Democrats on Wednesday were clearly hoping that the deficit figures -- the biggest deficit reduction of any health bill to date, Reid's office noted -- would knock down one of the last remaining obstacles to winning the votes of key centrists, at least to go ahead with debate on the bill as early as this weekend.
At this point, they've run out of excuses. The center-right Democrats said they wanted a reform bill that didn't cost too much, lowered the deficit, restricted funding of abortion, restricted aid to immigrants who entered the United States illegally, and didn't raise taxes on the middle class.
Are Nelson, Landrieu, Lincoln, and Lieberman really going to refuse to take "yes" for an answer? After Reid crafted a bill to address practically of their concerns, are these center-right members of the caucus really going to endorse a Republican filibuster of this landmark legislation?
Yes, there's still a public option, and the conservative Dems don't like the idea of public-private competition. But a little perspective is helpful -- Reid's version of the public option is a compromise of a compromise of a compromise. States that don't want to give residents a choice won't have to, and according to the CBO, only about 3 million to 4 million American consumers will end up choosing the public plan.
In other words, the center-right Dems have to decide: is it worth killing the entire health care reform initiative -- which otherwise meets all of their concerns -- because about 1% of the population may voluntarily choose to enroll in a public plan.
The notion that conservative Dems would filibuster their reform package is ridiculous. The notion that conservative Dems wouldn't even allow a debate on this bill is insane.
—Steve Benen 8:40 AM
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Don't let's forget that the upcoming cloture vote is to limit debate on whether to allow debate on the bill; not whether to limit debate on the bill itself, which comes later.
Posted by: jhm on November 19, 2009 at 8:55 AM | PERMALINK
"Literally, the very first thought that came to my mind was, "Well, that ought to shut the 'centrists' up.""
You've not been paying attention, have you?
Posted by: Obama Won on Change on November 19, 2009 at 8:56 AM | PERMALINK
"to address practically [all] of their concerns"
Posted by: proof reader on November 19, 2009 at 9:07 AM | PERMALINK
I think all the posturing by the "centrists" is just to be able to claim victory later. When they get attacked as socialist Nazi communists, they can point to all their courageous public bucking of the leadership and of Obama, and they can claim credit for all the compromises (which arguably they deserve, good or bad).
Of course, that's not to say they won't vote the thing down if the tide goes the other way, but if it passes -- as seems likely, IF the pressure from progressives continues -- they'll have given themselves a lot of insulation. And there's nothing a pol likes more than lots of squishy stuff between him/herself and any consequences for any actions.
Posted by: bleh on November 19, 2009 at 9:10 AM | PERMALINK
Insane? You are assuming that they are not whores, bought and paid for by the insurance industry.
Posted by: SW on November 19, 2009 at 9:13 AM | PERMALINK
For some reason, this:
At this point, they've run out of excuses. The center-right Democrats said they wanted a reform bill that didn't cost too much, lowered the deficit, restricted funding of abortion, restricted aid to immigrants who entered the United States illegally, and didn't raise taxes on the middle class.
Reminds me of this:
King Arthur: O Knights of Ni, you are just and fair, and we will return with a shrubbery.
Leader of The Knights who say NI!: One that looks nice.
King Arthur: Of course.
Leader of The Knights who say NI!: And not too expensive.
King Arthur: Yes.
With Harry Reid as King Arthur, and the Business Dog Centrists as the Knights of Ni, of course.
Posted by: low-tech cyclist on November 19, 2009 at 9:14 AM | PERMALINK
my apologies to sex workers everywhere.
Posted by: SW on November 19, 2009 at 9:16 AM | PERMALINK
From the desk of Evan Bayh:
It is unfortunate that Senator Reid has unveiled a monstrosity of a plan that is completely unacceptable.
However, it is possible to salvage some hope for this plan. If Senator Reid would follow the great example set by the republicans when they passed Medicare Part D, some hope is possible. Just as the republicans wrote billions of dollars of payments into Medicare Part D for the Pharmaceutical and HMO industries, it is possible to add billions of dollars of subsidies into this package for Wellpoint.
If this small action could be taken, which would assure that my wife's role as a director of Wellpoint is protected and which would assure my family's future financial well being, I could support this plan.
Otherwise, I will continue to plan to vote with my forward thinking republican colleagues to prevent this bill from coming to the floor for debate.
Posted by: Evan (I wish he would go) Bye on November 19, 2009 at 9:22 AM | PERMALINK
One thing I'm not clear on. Can employers/employees choose a public option plan? If not, I don't see where there is competition when only the unemployed have access to the PO.
Posted by: bdop4 on November 19, 2009 at 9:29 AM | PERMALINK
Well, Lieberman was on NPR just last night and still saying he'd filibuster a bill with a public option.
Of course he tried to turn things upside down and blamed the majority for insisting on it. Go figure, a majority of elected representatives want something, and they're the ones being unreasonable.
Posted by: Allan Snyder on November 19, 2009 at 9:49 AM | PERMALINK
"Are Nelson, Landrieu, Lincoln, and Lieberman really going to refuse to take "yes" for an answer?"
Yes.
This has been another edition of Simple Answers To Simple Questions.
Posted by: somethingblue on November 19, 2009 at 10:10 AM | PERMALINK
Literally, the very first thought that came to my mind was, "Well, that ought to shut the 'centrists' up."
Literally, the very first thought that came to my mind was, "Well, that ought to make the 'centrists' ask for an arbitrary $100 billion in cuts again."
Posted by: Gregory on November 19, 2009 at 10:13 AM | PERMALINK
My first thought was- it gives the public very little of what it needs. All i ask is please, please, please find a way to lower my premiums. Sure if I become unemployed and my Cobra runs out,then it helps. Unfortunately, that is no way to win an election or hearts and minds. I can hear the bitchin' now, damn gov made taxes and premiums go up! Awful bill.
Posted by: JM on November 19, 2009 at 10:18 AM | PERMALINK
Literally, the very first thought that came to my mind was, "Well, that ought to make the 'centrists' ask for an arbitrary $100 billion in cuts again."
Oh, god, me, too. Or inspire them to follow Lieberman and Grassley in picking a totally different Item of the Week to suddenly hold fast against.
Posted by: shortstop on November 19, 2009 at 10:27 AM | PERMALINK
Get this bill passed. This bill isn't perfect, no bill is. The problems with it can be fixed a little bit at a time by adding (sneaking) the changes to other appropriations bills.
Although I understand that it would take time to get organized, papers printed, people hired and trained, I don't see why some aspects of the bill couldn't be phased in as they are ready.
Posted by: wbn on November 19, 2009 at 10:44 AM | PERMALINK
The notion that conservative Dems would filibuster their reform package is ridiculous. The notion that conservative Dems wouldn't even allow a debate on this bill is insane.
Given that the Democratic Party is the incarnation of Murphy's Law ("if something can go wrong, it will, at the worst possible moment"), I for one would not go around saying things like that, Steve. Landrieu, Lincoln, Nelson and Kapo Joe are in fact what you describe: ridiculous and insane.
Posted by: TCinLA on November 19, 2009 at 11:57 AM | PERMALINK
Everyone who's disappointed in this bill should revisit the legislative history of Social Security and Medicare. Both programs were very limited at the start (SS in particular) and both have evolved into the near-universal programs we have now. That's why the Right and the insurance industry are apoplectic- they know what's going to happen down the road.
Really, let's get real. This is wonderful, if more for my descendants than for me.
Posted by: nyc on November 19, 2009 at 1:28 PM | PERMALINK
(Based on what I'm reading in the comments) Good job Harry.
Posted by: MarkH on November 19, 2009 at 5:53 PM | PERMALINK