Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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November 20, 2009

NO APPETITE FOR PROCEDURAL HURDLES.... It's not especially realistic to think voters will appreciate the nuances of congressional procedures. Words like "filibuster," "cloture," and "motion to proceed" are not well understood.

That said, when one breaks down the concepts for the public, voters' instincts tend to be pretty sound.

New polling in Nebraska, Louisiana and Arkansas commissioned by Health Care for America Now (HCAN), a liberal interest group pushing President Obama's plan, and obtained by [Chris Cillizza] shows huge majorities of voters in all three states favor the bill being debated on the floor.

Eighty-eight percent of likely 2010 Nebraska voters, 84 percent of likely Arkansas voters and 82 percent of likely voters in Louisiana told Democratic pollster John Anzalone that regardless of whether they supported the health care legislation, they believed it should get a full floor debate. (Those numbers include more than two-third support among Republican and independent voters.)

This is encouraging, and not particularly surprising. The poll described the motion to proceed, for example, and asked respondents, "In the Senate, before a bill can be voted on, there must be a vote to allow it to be debated. Regardless of whether you support or oppose the health insurance reform plan itself, do you believe that it should be debated on the floor of the Senate?"

Support was overwhelming in all three conservative "red" states -- 88% of Nebraskans, 82% of Louisianans, and 84% of Arkansans all agreed that health care reform should be debated. (It makes one wonder how voters in, say, Maine might feel if they knew that both of their "moderate" Republican senators are opposed to even letting the bill comes to the floor for a debate.)

The poll then asked about cloture: "Once a bill has been debated in the Senate, senators must then vote on whether to allow the bill itself to be voted on. Regardless of whether you support or oppose the health insurance reform plan, do you believe that senators should allow it to be voted on?"

The numbers weren't quite as strong, but again, support was largely one-sided -- 80% of Nebraskans, 77% of Louisianans, and 77% of Arkansans agreed that senators should let health care reform come up for a vote.

I suspect that for most typical Americans, this is a no-brainer. Should the Senate be allowed to debate health care reform on the floor? Should senators be allowed to vote yea or nay on the health bill? Of course they should.

There's been a behind-the-scenes debate in recent months about whether to separate policy votes from procedural votes. But a report like this one suggests the public already makes the distinction just fine.

It also suggests senators panicky about their standing back home should take comfort -- support cloture, let the bill come up for a vote, and then come down on whatever side you want. Their constituents already expect health care reform to come up for a vote, so there's no reason to side with Republicans in blocking one.

Steve Benen 11:05 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (11)
 
Comments

Well of course there is a reason to side with Repugnants!

It is because the people are not the principle constituents of these Clown Car Senators! It's the corporations. And they don't want to stop feeding these folks into the firey maw of Moloch, er, Profit.

Or, to quote the last preznit: "Who cares what you think."

Posted by: neill on November 20, 2009 at 11:15 AM | PERMALINK

Do the people who favor cloture but oppose the bill itself realize that it's easier to block the bill at cloture than to defeat it in a straight-up majority vote? I'm skeptical that they do.

See, if e.g. Blanche Lincoln votes against cloture and that kills the bill, she can go home to Arkansas and say "I fought and beat the health-care bill" and people who opposed the bill are going to like that. They aren't going to say "But I wanted to allow a vote on it!"

Posted by: Adam Smith on November 20, 2009 at 11:19 AM | PERMALINK

The obstructing senators aren't playing to the public, they're playing for specific organizations that have done them favors. These organizations and their lobbyists understand the game, and when they've paid for a "No" vote, they want that vote used to obtain the result they paid for.

It amazes me that it costs so little for corporations to lobby for laws that earn them enormous sums in return. $200k can buy a vote that's ultimately worth millions or billions. Companies would be stupid or even negligent not to try.

Posted by: ElegantFowl on November 20, 2009 at 11:32 AM | PERMALINK

This will only work if there's an actual media strategy during any filibuster.

But how likely are they to have that?

Posted by: MNPundit on November 20, 2009 at 11:50 AM | PERMALINK

To me, voting against debating is truly un-American/democratic. They are so narrow minded that they don't want to even want to talk about it ??

It would be nice if Reid would play to the media a little more and since it pols nicely, let's do what MNPundit mentions, get a media strategy.

Posted by: ScottW on November 20, 2009 at 12:22 PM | PERMALINK

As neill and ElegantFowl have already said, the Business Dog Dems aren't trying to please the voters in their states; they're trying to please the corporations that contribute to their campaign chests.

Those guys won't be fooled at all by voting 'yea' on cloture and 'nay' on passage of the bill.

Posted by: low-tech cyclist on November 20, 2009 at 12:27 PM | PERMALINK

See, if e.g. Blanche Lincoln votes against cloture and that kills the bill, she can go home to Arkansas and say "I fought and beat the health-care bill" and people who opposed the bill are going to like that. They aren't going to say "But I wanted to allow a vote on it!"

If Blanche Lincoln does any of those things, she's toast regardless. But you're missing the larger point about obstructionism.

Posted by: Christophe on November 20, 2009 at 12:51 PM | PERMALINK

I can't imagine Blanche Lincoln is worried about the impact of her cloture vote on her election prospects. How many average voters follow the procedural nuances of the Senate?

Any democratic senator threatening to join a republican filibuster is doing so because they are being pressured by the health insurance industry, not their constituents. It's not the voters of Arkansas who are going to be angry if Lincoln votes for cloture.

Posted by: mercurino on November 20, 2009 at 1:05 PM | PERMALINK

Gee, I'm trying to remember if this writer was all for cloture when Bush was president and Republicans controlled Congress. Err, Steve wasn't for cloture on judges and many other issue back then, was he? Back then, he probably wrote about how wonderful the movie, "Mr. Smith Goes to Washington" was, with the famous Jimmy Stewart filibuster.

Any Republican who falls for this editorial piece is stupid. The moment Democrats lose their majority, this writer will go back loving the filibuster and hoping everyone forgot he ever wrote this piece.

Posted by: Bill Carson on November 20, 2009 at 1:23 PM | PERMALINK

Who gives a @#%$ whether it is debated on the Senate floor or not? It is being debated on every network, every talk radio show, in every office and home in America - against the wishes of Democrats, I should add, who are so impatient to get this done, they would have preferred to vote for a bill even they hadn't had time to read (most still haven't). Once the bill goes to the Senate floor, these jokers will have already made up their minds one way or another. The important thing is to have a debate when it matters, when things can still be changed, and that's already happening.

What the author actually wants, of course, is not debate, but a chance for the Democratic majority to ram the bill through before it loses any more support. When put that way, it doesn't really sound quite as noble, does it?

Posted by: INTJ on November 20, 2009 at 6:05 PM | PERMALINK

"Who give a *#%$ whether it is debated on the Senate floor or not?"

Apparently a supermajority of the citizens of Arkansas, Nebraska and Lousiana at a minimum. I fully understand your repugnance at the thought of any democratic (note the small "d") action being taken on the floor of the Senate as it might imperil your desired outcome and I wish I could say I sympathize. I can't, though.
Oh, and I hope I quoted you accurately...

"It is being debated...against the wishes of the Democrats..."
I can only hope that the level of the HCR debate has reached a higher plane in those places you mentioned, because it certainly hasn't in the MSM, what with "death panels", "pulling the plug on granny", "cutting Medicare by $500 billion" and other lies too numerous to mention getting all the headlines. And that bit about debate being against the wishes of the Democrats? You wish! Those who understand what is in the bill support it, those who don't understand what it contains are the ones who don't support the bill. That should tell you something, but I don't think you'll like the answer.

Your third and fourth sentences make no sense at all. One the major reasons FOR any debate is to present arguments for and against the proposed legislation and, hopefully, change the minds of some of those who have already "made up their minds". There are actually times when words DO have a power to change men's positions. Perhaps this debate will be one of those times.
As for having a debate "when it matters, when things can still be changed, and that's already happening"; haven't you been reading (or watching) the news? The HCR debate will be BEFORE the vote, so it does matter. Amendments can be introduced and voted on, sections of the bill can be deleted, all sorts of things may occur. I am at a loss to make any sense out of that last phrase: "and that's already happening", perhaps you could?

"What the author wants is not debate..."
Has the CIA contacted you concerning your ability to read minds? I thought not...

"...the Democratic majority to ram the bill through..."
In parliamentian-speak that is known as "passing" legislation. It is a concept that was held near and dear, I understand, by those who wrote the Constitution that established the Senate that is going to debate the bill that will probably cause many bitter tears to be shed by you. Whew!

"When put that way, it doesn't really sound quite as noble..."
Noble, smoble, It's not as if liberals actually cared about anything, you know. We're just here to make life miserable for Republicans. Seems to be working, too!

Posted by: Doug on November 20, 2009 at 7:38 PM | PERMALINK
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