Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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December 4, 2009

THE DISCONNECT.... The economy is still struggling. Encouraging developments of late -- positive growth, an improved job market -- point to a fragile recovery, with fits and starts of its own. It's pointless to celebrate when the unemployment rate is 10%.

That said, the signs of slow, gradual improvements are obvious and hard to spin away. After enduring a devastating recession that began two full years ago, the light at the end of the tunnel is getting bigger. This, obviously, will have significant political implications. NBC News' Mark Murray had this report earlier:

During President Obama's first 10-plus months in office, most of the economic news hasn't been positive. The unemployment rate is in double digits for the first time since the early 1980s. Critics have argued that the $787 billion stimulus hasn't worked the way some hoped it would. And Republicans, not surprisingly, have pounced on these shortcomings.

But as the economic news begins to get better -- positive growth in the 3rd quarter, the CBO estimating that between 600,000 and 1.6 million jobs in the 3rd quarter were created or saved by the stimulus, and today's best monthly jobs report in nearly two years -- Democrats are now pointing to what they see as the GOP's disconnect on the economy.

"There is a real disconnect," said Doug Thornell, a top Democratic congressional spokesman. "At what point are they going to acknowledge the positive steps taken that have pulled us away from the brink?"

Well, probably never. But given the developments, it's not too soon for the rest of us to acknowledge the Republicans' track record of uninterrupted failure.

The GOP said the stimulus package would fail to create jobs. We now know the Republicans were wrong.

The GOP said the recovery efforts would fail to generate economic growth. We now know the Republicans were wrong.

The GOP said the stimulus "failed." We now know the Republicans were wrong.

The GOP said the government should cancel unspent recovery funds. We now know the Republicans were wrong.

The GOP said tax cuts are more effective at stimulating the economy than government spending. We now know the Republicans were wrong.

Every step of the way, facing an economic catastrophe, Republicans claimed to know the best way forward. And every step of the way, they were pointed in the wrong direction. The strength of the recovery remains to be seen, but the only reason we're even able to talk about the possibility of a recovery is that Republicans had no control over the levers of power when decisions were made at the height of the crisis. America has been through a lot this decade, but the country can take some solace in the fact that when the economy was on the brink of wholesale collapse, Republicans were in the minority.

And let's not forget that the track record of uninterrupted failure goes back quite a while. The GOP said Bush/Cheney economic policies would work wonders for the country, create millions of jobs, prevent a recession, and keep the budget balanced. The GOP also said Clinton/Gore economic policies would be a disaster.

I realize there are plenty of well-intentioned people who sincerely believe Republicans are credible on economic matters. I just don't know why.

Steve Benen 4:30 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (30)

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Comments

And yet there is talk of Obama not winning a second term and republicans gaining ground in 2012. Never overestimate the American public!

Posted by: ComradeAnon on December 4, 2009 at 4:33 PM | PERMALINK

Bush sucked away a surplus towards obscene tax-cuts for the rich which were then used to fuel the housing bubble and the Wall Street un-regulated greed.

The perpetuwars are also making brazillions of bucks for the Repugncan war-hores.

Posted by: Tom Nicholson on December 4, 2009 at 4:33 PM | PERMALINK

Great stuff from Benen today. If we could figure out how to get every American to tune in to the Washington Monthly home page every hour on the hour, then we could turn this country around in no time.

Posted by: Chris on December 4, 2009 at 4:36 PM | PERMALINK

1.Things are still pretty sucky for an awful lot of people.

2. A considerable amount of voters get turned on by the frank "you deserve more, others deserve nothing" attitude of the Republican party. This is a nation minus an ever-growing percentage of its common decency.-

Posted by: JMG on December 4, 2009 at 4:37 PM | PERMALINK

Before declaring victory, Steve, you might wait till the unemployment rate drops below 10%.

Posted by: RZ on December 4, 2009 at 4:37 PM | PERMALINK
I realize there are plenty of well-intentioned people who sincerely believe Republicans are credible on economic matters. I just don't know why.

Because lots of people are idiots who put political ideology ahead of their country?

Posted by: Al Swearengen on December 4, 2009 at 4:38 PM | PERMALINK

steve benen: The GOP also said Clinton/Gore economic policies would be a disaster.

FLASHBACK:

this is a mental recession...(gramm july-2008)

iraq would pay for the war....(wolfowitz march 2003)

we would be greeted as liberators..(cheney)

saddam had nukes....(cheney)..

obama is a muslim...(rush)..

etc...

etc...

gop predictions: any suckers left?

Posted by: mr. irony on December 4, 2009 at 4:45 PM | PERMALINK

"America has been through a lot this decade, but the country can take some solace in the fact that when the economy was on the brink of wholesale collapse, Republicans were in the minority."

Amen to that. This site has some excellent info on why Dems are better for the economy than Reps:

eriposte.com

Posted by: JPS on December 4, 2009 at 4:56 PM | PERMALINK

Steve Benen wrote: "I realize there are plenty of well-intentioned people who sincerely believe Republicans are credible on economic matters."

The Republican Party has a solid, proven track record of implementing economic policies that enrich and empower the rich and powerful, that concentrate wealth and power in the hands of a tiny, increasingly hereditary, ultra-rich corporate aristocracy, at the expense of and to the detriment of everyone else. The Republicans have proved themselves again and again to be highly successful at accomplishing that agenda, whenever and wherever they have been in power.

So, for people who desire that economic outcome, the Republicans indeed have a great deal of well-earned credibility.

Whether people who desire that outcome should be regarded as "well-intentioned" is another story.

And of course, since the overwhelming majority of Americans do NOT desire that outcome, the Republicans have no choice but to try to hide their true agenda behind a load of BS (which Steve has concisely summarized) which has no credibility at all, because everybody except the most abjectly stupid, ignorant and gullible Ditto-Heads knows they are flat-out lying.

Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 4, 2009 at 5:02 PM | PERMALINK

The only time any Republican has ever been right about anything was when they were very very very far right.

Posted by: TCinLA on December 4, 2009 at 5:14 PM | PERMALINK

And, of course, the CORPORATE MEDIA, help them hide who they really are because the CORPORATE MEDIA is REPIGLICANS ..........

Posted by: stormskies on December 4, 2009 at 5:15 PM | PERMALINK

Secular Animist skrev :

The Republican Party has a solid, proven track record of implementing economic policies that enrich and empower the rich and powerful, that concentrate wealth and power in the hands of a tiny, increasingly hereditary, ultra-rich corporate aristocracy, at the expense of and to the detriment of everyone else.

If this is the rubric, then Dianne Feinstein is and has long been a Republican.

It's not just the Republican Party; there's a wing of the Dems that votes for these same policies.

Posted by: joel hanes on December 4, 2009 at 5:15 PM | PERMALINK

When has the Right Wing acknowledged FDR's ending the Great Depression?

Posted by: MobiusKlein on December 4, 2009 at 5:46 PM | PERMALINK

What has to be added to the points Steve has listed is that following the GOP economic "solution" would have resulted in a depression worse than the Great One.

With the small initial size of the stimulus package, plus all the subsequent compromises, put the final stimulus at about 50% of what it should have been. If official unemployment is now at 10%, the GOP's tax cuts and spending freezes would have at least doubled it to 20+%.

This IS the party of Herbert Hoover. That needs to be repeated constantly.

Posted by: bdop4 on December 4, 2009 at 5:57 PM | PERMALINK

Secular I knew it was your post a few words in. And you're right. There is and always has been an aristocracy in America, represented at one time or another by different political front groups, in our age the republicans, who feel it is their inherent right to rule.

Posted by: citizen_pain on December 4, 2009 at 6:03 PM | PERMALINK

This from somebody who has a job.

Posted by: ericfree on December 4, 2009 at 6:48 PM | PERMALINK

"I realize there are plenty of well-intentioned people who sincerely believe Republicans are credible on economic matters. I just don't know why."

stormskies nails it in one.
As the cyberneticists say, "Garbage in, garbage out." With the mass media being not just figuratively but literally the propaganda arm of the same corporatocracy that owns and operates the Publican party, it's a minor miracle that any Americans at all actually know and understand the reality in which we're operating.
Consider that well over 60% of the public still believes that Saddam Hussein and/or Iraq was behind 9/11; that over 40% believe that reports of AGW are "exaggerated;" and that the percentage of Americans who hold Republicans responsible for the recession dropped from 53 to 38 between May and November.
Policies that really favor the vast majority of Americans without significant wealth are going to be very difficult to attain until and unless, at a minimum, control of mass media is wrested from the ownership class. (And no, the internet is nowhere near where it needs to be to take over the media's news functions.) It will probably also take real campaign finance reform as well.

Posted by: smartalek on December 4, 2009 at 6:55 PM | PERMALINK

OT, but I won't rest until I know :)

Joel Hanes, @17:15,
"skrev"? I know what it means ("wrote"; from the same Latin root as the English "scribe") but what language is it in? Danish?

Posted by: exlibra on December 4, 2009 at 7:11 PM | PERMALINK

An irony that escapes today's Party of No - putting fiscally sound policies in place and practice, Bill Clinton was the best Republican president of this entire era, dating back to the Great Prevaricator! -Kevo

Posted by: kevo on December 4, 2009 at 7:30 PM | PERMALINK

Benen - the worst of the recession occurred LAST FALL, accelerating after Lehman's collapse in September. As I seem to recall, a Republican was president, and that Republican president made the most consequential decisions as to how to respond to the collapsing economy. Obama has largely continued the same policies Paulson set in place.

What on earth are you talking about?

Posted by: aaa on December 4, 2009 at 7:35 PM | PERMALINK

exlibra @ 7:11

I'm embarassed to admit that I don't know for sure.

I picked that up on Usenet, back in the late stone age of the Net, and have used it for fun ever since.

Let's consult Google ... yes. I see numerous Usenet posts with this usage. Looks like it might be Danish -- here it is used in a Danish site.

Posted by: joel hanes on December 4, 2009 at 8:10 PM | PERMALINK
As I seem to recall, a Republican was president, and that Republican president made the most consequential decisions as to how to respond to the collapsing economy. Obama has largely continued the same policies Paulson set in place.

The only thing you got right in this paragraph is that a Republican was president. Otherwise, you are wrong on all counts. Nice try at revisionism, though.

Posted by: PaulB on December 4, 2009 at 8:32 PM | PERMALINK

I'm looking forward to the ever-so-creative ways in which the GOP will blame and demonize Obama for doing anything that might have helped turn things around. (ie., aaa's comments.) Anything good that happens? GOP did it. Anything bad? Dems fault. Rinse, wash, repeat.

I suppose they might have to fall back on their old stupid culture war crap-- abortion, gays, guns, immigrants, etc.

Posted by: zoe kentucky on December 4, 2009 at 8:34 PM | PERMALINK
Benen - the worst of the recession occurred LAST FALL, accelerating after Lehman's collapse in September. As I seem to recall, a Republican was president, and that Republican president made the most consequential decisions as to how to respond to the collapsing economy. Obama has largely continued the same policies Paulson set in place.

Does that mean that you're blaming Bush for the whole thing falling apart in the first place? Because by your own logic you'd have to considering that the GOP was in charge long before and during the collapse.

Posted by: zoe kentucky on December 4, 2009 at 8:38 PM | PERMALINK

Oh boy! Ka-ching!! $$$$$$$!!! Don't spend it all in one place!!!!! Because now it's time for the corporate overlords who bought your president to suck it back out of your carotid with payments on hopeless underwater mortgages, monopoly health insurance rents, and consumer-credit predation!!! And they're going to take your future wages home as bonuses right now.

Your stimulus will buy you a whoppin' two quarters of not knowing you're getting fucked. Until you fix what's really wrong, your pecuniary prostate is going to get pummeled into mush. Your stimulus will not get at corruption. You people must have studied econ in Equatorial Guinea or someplace.

Posted by: stimulate this on December 4, 2009 at 10:33 PM | PERMALINK

Conservatives have been wrong about everything, not just the recent economy. Civil rights, women's suffrage, minimum wage, health care, the depression, terrorism, the environment...

You name it, they don't understand it.

Posted by: craigie on December 4, 2009 at 10:53 PM | PERMALINK

Paul - You are the one engaging in revisionism - nice...love watching projection in action.

If things are so different now, tell me:

How exactly has Obama's/Geithner's/Summers' approach to the financial crisis differed from Bush's/Paulson's? Please enlighten me as to what Obama has done differently. Have the bailouts been structured differently? Has the money been disbursed differently? Has there been more accountability? Have there been no more lavish bonuses bestowed upon executives receiving TARP funds? Please point me to specific differences between Obama's and Bush's approach vis-a-vis TARP.

Oh...yeah....that's right..

Posted by: aaa on December 5, 2009 at 12:11 AM | PERMALINK

Thanks a lot for the very nice post. It is really very nice.I like to know about political issues. I am passionate about this. It is really cool.

Posted by: xmas gifts on December 5, 2009 at 2:11 AM | PERMALINK

Shorter aaa:

If the economy recovers, it's Bush's recovery.
If the economy falters, it's Obama's failure.

Got it.

Posted by: zoe kentucky on December 5, 2009 at 3:07 AM | PERMALINK

Uh...we have a bit of a problem here. You say the Bush Administration "Not only was it cutting taxes in the face of a war, which had never
happened before"

JFK cut taxes significantly in 1963, at the same time he had TRIPLED troops in Vietnam the past two years.

And the most ironic part of your argument is that President Obama has instituted the LARGEST TAX CUT in American history, at the same time as escalating the war in Afghanistan.

YOU ARE BUSTED my friend.

Posted by: Melvin on December 6, 2009 at 11:28 PM | PERMALINK




 

 

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