December 7, 2009
EPA RAISES THE STAKES ON EMISSIONS.... As expected, the Environmental Protection Agency is poised to formally declare that greenhouse gases are a dangerous public-health hazard and must be regulated by the government. The "endangerment finding" is the result of a study ordered by the U.S. Supreme Court in 2007 on the effects of greenhouse gas pollution on human health and welfare.
Whether Congress approves a cap-and-trade measure or not, the conclusion raises the specter of combating global warming through the regulatory process of the Clean Air Act. As you may have heard, business groups, to put it mildly, aren't fond of that idea.
An EPA endangerment finding "could result in a top-down command-and-control regime that will choke off growth by adding new mandates to virtually every major construction and renovation project," U.S. Chamber of Commerce President Thomas Donohue said in a statement. "The devil will be in the details, and we look forward to working with the government to ensure we don't stifle our economic recovery," he said, noting that the group supports federal legislation.
EPA action won't do much to combat climate change, and "is certain to come at a huge cost to the economy," said the National Association of Manufacturers, a trade group that stands as a proxy for U.S. industry.
As far as I can tell, the Clean Air Act probably isn't ideal in regulating carbon emissions, but here's the thing: they're going to have to be regulated somehow. Businesses are worried about the EPA tackling the task? Fine, no problem. There's a preferable, more efficient, approach available anyway -- it's called cap and trade; it's enjoyed bipartisan support; and it's based on a model that's proven effective in the recent past.
Of course, businesses aren't impressed with this option, either. As Matt Yglesias noted, groups like the Chamber of Commerce and the National Association of Manufacturers "just want to somehow sweep the whole problem under the rug and leave it up to their grandkids to suffer the consequences. There are a wide range of policy approaches that are consistent with the goal of averting catastrophic climate change, but this do nothing stance is not acceptable."
Today's EPA declaration should help crystallize the near-future for polluters: back cap and trade or the EPA won't have much of a choice. It's your call.
—Steve Benen 12:35 PM
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As far as I can tell, the Clean Air Act probably isn't ideal in regulating carbon emissions, but here's the thing: they're going to have to be regulated somehow. Businesses are worried about the EPA tackling the task? Fine, no problem. There's a preferable, more efficient, approach available anyway
Except that the business lobby's position seem to be that there is no problem to begin with, or perhaps there is a problem, but it's entirely beyond humans' control to do anything about. You cannot expect your neighbor to help put out a house fire when his official position is, "Fire? What fire?"
Posted by: Snarky Bastard on December 7, 2009 at 1:00 PM | PERMALINK
How about the "pretend the problem doesn't exist" option?
Posted by: leoguy on December 7, 2009 at 1:01 PM | PERMALINK
Oh, goody, another climate change thread! Cue Marler's dishonest skepticism in 3..2..
Posted by: Gregory on December 7, 2009 at 1:03 PM | PERMALINK
... U.S. Chamber of Commerce President Thomas Donohue.
Why is it that all these guys are named Donahue? ie: president of the Catholic League, Bill Donahue. Any more of them out there?
Posted by: kanopsis on December 7, 2009 at 1:04 PM | PERMALINK
American corporations are quite proud of the American peeps and the Clown Car Congress of the United States who consistently express their democratic freedoms by insistently and consistently voting against the laws of physics. Yahoo, whatta country!
Posted by: neill on December 7, 2009 at 1:05 PM | PERMALINK
I'm with Kanopsis - I can remember when the name Donahue evoked respect because Phil was the highest profile member of the clan. Now, with Bill, Thomas, and occasionally even Nora... it just means I'm about to be creeped out.
Posted by: Larry McD on December 7, 2009 at 1:17 PM | PERMALINK
The deniers, delayers and obstructors have already won: cumulative anthropogenic GHG emissions have already pushed the Earth into irreversible, irrevocable, catastrophic warming and consequent climate change.
The time for action was a generation ago, when the seriousness of the problem was first recognized. Now it is too late. It is certainly far too late for meager actions such as those that are at the outer limits of what is being discussed as "politically possible" at Copenhagen to make any significant difference.
The time has come to accept the absence of a future for the human species, which will most likely be extinct by the end of the 21st century.
This is the great achievement of the deniers, delayers and obstructors. From the most powerful oil company executive, to the phony pseudoscientists of the "conservative" propaganda mills (a.k.a. "think tanks"), down to the most humble Ditto-Head drone, all of them have played an important role in ensuring the collapse of human civilization.
Posted by: The Sad Truth on December 7, 2009 at 1:32 PM | PERMALINK
Irony alert: Richard Nixon created the EPA.
Posted by: Racer X on December 7, 2009 at 2:03 PM | PERMALINK
For policy, it doesn't matter if Climate data is true or not.
Going Green still reduces the trade deficit in Oil & cleans the air.
Posted by: granted on December 7, 2009 at 2:07 PM | PERMALINK
Usually when asked about your nests proximity to one of the other eightish or so planets sharing the Suns orbit , it is fully waxed with a waggish patrician humour . A subtle dig that being concerned with minutia beyond the latest hilarious rant from grotesque RNC chair , Lord Limbaugh , is just a bit Tooo to much . The thought that soon these complacent sneers may become a wail of pain with a wild hope of rescue , "Too late ? For What Planet !" . The resignation one feels at the loss of footsie PJ's projects most of the deadly seriousness possible with the privileged , doomed by a heartless rescission . This naturally follows from an idea cultured with a course of malign neglect into an assumption of personal privilege and a practiced loss of memory . These necessities honed at the stone of the all too wet , sharply hedged for the testilying before those presumptuous twits encroaching into the precious hours of feathered luxury , composed with dulcet voiced Lord Limbaugh , directing the chosen ones to please ignore their lying eyes .
Posted by: FRP on December 7, 2009 at 2:25 PM | PERMALINK
This is a good place to offer the following for rebuttals if anyone bugs you about "Climategate." (Sadly, appreciating rebuttals takes intelligence and admitting to them takes honesty ...):
1. The modern theory of AGW (increasing CO2 absorbs more IR and leads to warmer temperatures) was laid out way back in 1896 in a seminal paper by future Nobel Prize winner Svante Arrhenius. He wasn't trying to promote socialism or be a flunky for Al Gore, indeed SA thought the warming would be beneficial - so he didn't promote the theory to scare people.
2. Even in a case of actual cheating and cover-up, or even fabrication don't disprove an idea itself. Look at prosecutors "framing guilty men" by "improving" evidence to ensure conviction, look at the Piltdown hoax which sure doesn't mean evolution is false and other evidence couldn't be rounded up. (BTW what CRU did wasn't even that bad anyway, this just emphasizes the irrelevancy of ad hominem issues to the material point. In my bitter experience conservatives are very into projecting from personal factors onto imagined objective ones.)
3. CO2 is a stimulus similar to lowering interest rates are for an economy: the effect is not direct and linear, there are variations and other influences. Tell someone who says, "how come it got cooler during the last ten years" (it may not have, but play along here): How come we had a cool spell e.g. during April, before summer came along? Does that make you doubt the idea that changing axis angle causes seasons?!
4. Most of the things we would do to lower CO2 are good for the economy and national interest anyway: save money on gas and other non-renewables, reduce dependency on other nations (including Muslim ones!), it will run out anyway in decades to centuries, etc.
5. An effect doesn't have to be "certain" or uniformly and highly damaging to be worth trying to avoid - what about terrorist threats, the irony of Cheney et al's "One percent doctrine" etc.
6. The skeptics and doubters are way more dishonest and controlled by money interests. (You need to dig for the evidence there.)
(Similar to what I posted earlier, but was lost near the nod off of a tangential thread.)
Posted by: Neil B ♪ on December 7, 2009 at 2:34 PM | PERMALINK
I'd much rather EPA regulate than we have toothless cap-and-trade, assuming EPA doesn't get Congress stripping it of powers.
Posted by: SocraticGadfly on December 7, 2009 at 2:46 PM | PERMALINK
C02 lasts for 100s of years in the atmosphere.
We started pumping vast quantities of it when the Industrial Revolution discovered coal.
Then came natural gas.
Then came oil.
Add it all up, and we have altered the atmosphere for centuries to come.
Since we have altered the planet's atmosphere it will take a planet-wide engineering miracle to mitigate global warming.
We aren't going to switch to a carbon-free society any time soon
and few people even understand what "carbon-neutral" means.
We maybe able to slow global warming at some point in the future, but we can't magically wish it away.
It's real.
The most important thing to do is prepare for it.
Nobody alive today will see a decline in atmospheric C02.
Posted by: Tom Nicholson on December 7, 2009 at 3:56 PM | PERMALINK
As far as I can tell, the Clean Air Act probably isn't ideal in regulating carbon emissions, but here's the thing: they're going to have to be regulated somehow.
The Chinese government has announced that by 2020 it intends for China to be getting 15% of its energy from renewable sources. They also have (or are building) the world's largest demonstration CCS facility.
Meanwhile,
href="http://www.news.wisc.edu/17436">
aspen like more CO2.
As do food crops. CO2 improves growth, drought resistance, or both. Don't forget, it's peer-reviewed. The author claims that the process will plateau, but cites no evidence for the claim.
The EPA ruling will allow companies to litigate the proposition that CO2 increases are harmful, which in turn will provide the CoC to try the evidence in open court, complete with introductions of counter-evidence and cross-examination of expert witnesses. Should be exciting.
Neil B: 6. The skeptics and doubters are way more dishonest and controlled by money interests. (You need to dig for the evidence there.)
There is a lot of money backing AGW remediation: ADM, Cargill, Siemens, GE, Sharp (and other manufacturers of PV cells), Generation Capital Management (Al Gore), to name just a few. Even the petroleum companies are using tax credits to invest in biofuels. FWIW, Phil Jones and Michael Mann get more direct support than Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick.
Posted by: MatthewRMarler on December 7, 2009 at 4:01 PM | PERMALINK
Carbon Dioxide can be removed from the atmosphere by trees .
Posted by: FRP on December 7, 2009 at 4:05 PM | PERMALINK
So, once again MatthewRMarler proudly parades the fact that he is a deliberate, cynical, conscienceless liar.
Same old, same old.
Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 7, 2009 at 4:05 PM | PERMALINK
Tom Nicholson wrote: "The most important thing to do is prepare for it."
I'm interested to know how you plan to prepare to starve to death when global warming causes a worldwide failure of agriculture.
Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 7, 2009 at 4:08 PM | PERMALINK
SA:
The first step is to stop denying the reality of global warming.
Whose to say we can't adapt? We will. Yes, many will die, but humanity is tenacious.
Posted by: Tom Nicholson on December 7, 2009 at 4:12 PM | PERMALINK
Ah, nuts, forgot preview again. How embarrassing.
Neil b: 4. Most of the things we would do to lower CO2 are good for the economy and national interest anyway: save money on gas and other non-renewables, reduce dependency on other nations (including Muslim ones!), it will run out anyway in decades to centuries, etc.
So subsidize those things that are good for the economy and national interest. That's what I support. That's basically the Chinese strategy, though they also have CCS projects, jointly funded by the US and EU. And if you feel strongly, then buy CO2 offsets, much of which can go for Equatorial reforestation. That's something else that I do. Not that I am exemplary, but the opportunity is there for everyone.
Posted by: MatthewRMarler on December 7, 2009 at 4:12 PM | PERMALINK
Prepare for all manufacturing to go offshore.
Posted by: Neo on December 7, 2009 at 5:12 PM | PERMALINK
More progress in algae-based fuels.
SecularAnimist: So, once again MatthewRMarler proudly parades the fact that he is a deliberate, cynical, conscienceless liar.
You should at least quote one purported lie.
Posted by: MatthewRMarler on December 7, 2009 at 5:25 PM | PERMALINK
You should at least quote one purported lie.
Oh, that's rich, Marler, considering the number of times you've been busted, and how familiar regulars like me, SA, trex and others are with your bullshit; so much so that it's predictable.
And yet you express embarrassment over bad formatting, but not your years of bad faith commenting here.
Get bent, Marler.
Posted by: Gregory on December 7, 2009 at 6:26 PM | PERMALINK
Neil B: 5. An effect doesn't have to be "certain" or uniformly and highly damaging to be worth trying to avoid - what about terrorist threats, the irony of Cheney et al's "One percent doctrine" etc.
AGG isn't the only proposed mechanism, or even the mechanism whose effects most highly correlate with temperature changes. If we spend "too much, too soon" on the wrong threat (as critics of Bush/Cheney say the US did in Iraq), then we shall have less capacity to adjust to or prevent the changes caused by the real mechanism.
Posted by: MatthewRMarler on December 7, 2009 at 7:15 PM | PERMALINK
Nice Barack Obama and the democrats paying back the trial lawyers with business. Who would have thought it.
Now we will have EPA Czars.
Posted by: dude on December 7, 2009 at 11:09 PM | PERMALINK