December 24, 2009
POLLING THE PARTIES' VISIONS.... There have been plenty of polls of late, many of which show Republicans gaining strength. But a CNN poll released yesterday offered some discouraging news to the minority party: people still don't think Republican policies are good for the country.
Despite the bruising battle over their health care reform proposals, congressional Democrats have maintained an advantage over their Republican counterparts on one key measure, according to a new national poll.
A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Wednesday indicates that a bare majority of Americans, 51 percent, believe that the Democrats' policies are good for the country, with 46 percent saying that those policies would take the country in the wrong direction.
By contrast, 53 percent of people questioned in the poll say that the GOP's polices would move the nation in the wrong direction, with 42 percent saying Republican policies are good for the country.
That's a tough nut to crack, and it's no doubt a consequence of the failures of the Bush era, which will should take quite a while to live down. That Republicans' preferred policies haven't changed at all -- if given power, they'd go right back to the Bush policies that didn't work -- doesn't help.
But looking at the internals (pdf) suggest the GOP isn't even moving in the right direction. The poll found a 53% majority believing that Republican policies would move the country in the wrong direction. CNN and Gallup polls have been asking this question for a while, and going back over the last 15 years, it's never been higher than 53%.
"This advantage on policy could be an important edge for the Democrats heading into the 2010 midterm elections," said CNN polling director Keating Holland.
Maybe, maybe not. Elections rarely seem to come down to policy or substantive merit, but it's an edge that may count for at least something.
—Steve Benen 10:40 AM
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Keep hoping.
The margin of error was plus or minus three percent in that poll. While there is some possible movement, it looks like the country is split pretty evenly.
Posted by: mikeyes on December 24, 2009 at 10:51 AM | PERMALINK
The Democratic approval ratings would be higher if they actually managed to implement their policies, instead of just talking about them.
Posted by: qwerty on December 24, 2009 at 10:52 AM | PERMALINK
Bingo, qwerty: the Dems' approval numbers would be much higher if they were able to implement their programs, which is precisely why the GOP's main strategy is to say 'no!' to everything.
-Z
Posted by: Zorro on December 24, 2009 at 11:05 AM | PERMALINK
people still don't think Republican policies are good for the country
Well, no shit. What policies do they have, other than less taxes, more war, and reflexive opposition to anything Obama says or thinks?
8 years of corruption and incompetence doesn't fade from the public memory that quickly. Give it another 6 months.
Posted by: DelCapslock on December 24, 2009 at 11:09 AM | PERMALINK
Oh my. The stupid. It hurts. The memory is sooo short. Who are the pollies? I've got a five year old with a better sense of right and wrong.
Posted by: pokeybob on December 24, 2009 at 11:22 AM | PERMALINK
Elections rarely seem to come down to policy or substantive merit, but it's an edge that may count for at least something.
It'll be the state of the economy, full stop. Fix it or get voted out. Which was why it was (and is) imperative they do something about it, deficit hawks be damned.
max
['Also why I wish they had put this off a bit more.']
Posted by: max on December 24, 2009 at 11:24 AM | PERMALINK
But it doesn't mean that much because it's generic, and all politics is local, fought one to one. And a lot of those conservative Dem districts are in danger of switching to GOP. In some cases, where the Dem votes against his party most of the time, it may not matter much, but if Dems lose control in either house, or have the party margin shaved down to nearly nothing, then the game is lost.
Posted by: Bat of Moon on December 24, 2009 at 11:41 AM | PERMALINK
The Republicans have policies? Who knew?
Posted by: sue on December 24, 2009 at 11:52 AM | PERMALINK
People go up and down on the Dems depending on whether they seem effective on that day.
A solid majority have had it with the GOP, as presently existing, and are not going to change their opinions any time soon.
The harder that the GOP works to define itself as an ideologically - based party, the harder they make it for people to turn to it if they are dissatisfied with Democratic performance.
Posted by: tom in ma on December 24, 2009 at 11:59 AM | PERMALINK
CNN produced a propaganda poll showing 51% in favor of Dems with 22% of the participants African-American. Wow! Dems will be in real trouble come Nov 2010!
Posted by: hstad on December 24, 2009 at 12:30 PM | PERMALINK
good cop bad cop.
vote third party.
Posted by: grinning cat on December 24, 2009 at 2:50 PM | PERMALINK
...53% majority believing that Republican policies would move the country in the wrong direction
The policies are difficult to preen out of the "NO". If less taxes is a policy (it is), then this poll is thin soup and 3% is far to conservative.
Posted by: Kevin on December 24, 2009 at 7:49 PM | PERMALINK