December 24, 2009
CRAPO CONCEDES REFORM REPEAL UNLIKELY.... Sen. Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) conceded that if/when health care reform becomes law, it's not going anywhere.
"Technically it could be peeled back if the circumstances were right," Crapo said during an appearance on a conservative news radio syndicate. "But we would have to have a president who would sign such a bill, and we would have to have 60 votes in the Senate -- not just 50."
"So it would be a very tall order, and frankly, the likelihood's that that's not going to develop in the near future," he added.
That's true, but it's incomplete. Crapo's right that the legislative circumstances are almost certainly not going to materialize to facilitate a repeal, but there's also the political problem Republicans are reluctant to acknowledge.
Josh Marshall had this item this morning.
Sen. Hatch is on TV getting cornered by a host on just what in this bill he'd be for -- if he supports health care reform but just doesn't like this version of it. It was pretty comical. The host asks him whether he's in favor of barring health insurers from denying coverage for pre-existing conditions. Oh, yeah, oh, we all agree on that, blah blah blah. No explanation of how you do that without dramatically broadening the risk pools.
It's not surprise. But it's worth noting once again that the Republican opposition on this whole issue is a sham.
It certainly is. It's exactly why GOP senators have ended up opposing provisions they support -- it's about blind, reflexive, reactionary opposition. Listening to the floor debate over the last several weeks has only reinforced the notion that Republican opposition is a sham -- their rationales boil down to lies or trivia (and occasionally lies about trivia). This week, there have been more than a few instances in which it seemed Republicans no longer remembered why, exactly, they thought this was a bad idea.
And any attempt at repeal would be met by awkward questions like those Hatch couldn't answer this morning. Are they going to repeal the consumer protections? The caps on families' medical expenses? The cost-containment measures? The subsidies for families who can't afford coverage?
It's not exactly a compelling message over the next couple of cycles: "Know that health coverage you and your family will finally be able to afford? Vote for me and I'll take it away."
—Steve Benen 12:40 PM
Permalink
| Trackbacks
| Comments (23)
Great post, Steve. This is a benefit the passage of the bill allows: Republicans will now, hopefully, have to answer SPECIFIC questions about provisions contained there. Their only recourse is to say that they are against HCR, period. Let's hope reporters dig into the issues with them and that come election time this sticks.
Posted by: BGinCHI on December 24, 2009 at 12:43 PM | PERMALINK
All I've heard from them recently is, We can't afford it.
Funny how most of the rest of the world can.
Basically, they're telling Americans they think we're too stupid and/or incompetent to accomplish what the rest of the world accomplished decades ago.
Posted by: Gummo on December 24, 2009 at 12:51 PM | PERMALINK
Palin 2012: Our Long National Nightmare of Affordable Health Care Is Finally Over!
h/t Onion
http://www.theonion.com/content/node/28784
Posted by: anonymoose on December 24, 2009 at 12:52 PM | PERMALINK
The Republican meme for the next three years: "(Political) Death to the Black Man."
They have withered to being a largely southern white party, and the senate is mostly old, OLD, white men. (With a touch of Strom Thurmond in their jeans, er, genes. . .)
Posted by: DAY on December 24, 2009 at 12:55 PM | PERMALINK
Steve Benen quoted Josh Marshall: "But it's worth noting once again that the Republican opposition on this whole issue is a sham."
Of course the Republican opposition is a sham.
The Republicans have simply been playing "bad cop" to the Democrats' "good cop" as they browbeat the American people into accepting the "plea deal" that the district attorney (the insurance corporations) is willing to offer.
The insurance companies got everything they wanted in the Senate bill -- and they got all of it from the Senate Democrats.
They didn't need the Republicans for that. They just need the Republicans to put on a big show of opposition so this bill can be touted as a victory for partisan Democrats and "sensible" (i.e. corporatist) "liberals".
And the Republicans are happy to play along, since the charade helps them with their Ditto-Head Palin worshipping base, who they are still counting on to help them regain power in 2010 and 2012.
And when the Republicans regain power -- particularly if they regain control of the Executive Branch -- they won't need to legislatively roll back this "reform". They will be in a position to use the very mechanisms that the Senate bill creates, to enrich the insurance corporations at the public's expense.
Posted by: SecularAnimist on December 24, 2009 at 12:58 PM | PERMALINK
Steve, I love your enthusisam that the Republicans will be forced to actually defend their positions, but I suspect they'll focus group it to find some small portion of any aspect of the final bill someone doesn't like, then have their owners spend billions to saturate the airwaves with someone who didn't get every service they wanted. (But didn't need)
The nut-job base will respond by screaming that Obamacare is killing them and the media will take whatever their talking points handout says as literal truth and the Republicans will just say "See we tried to stop all that"
It won't end the HCR program, but every attempt to improve it will be met with the "Can't allow change, it will kill grandma" response.
It is cynical, but we've aeen it too many times to think it won't happen.
Enjoy your Holidays and time with friends and family.
Posted by: madstork123 on December 24, 2009 at 1:00 PM | PERMALINK
Oh please. Tell me there is video of this interview. It will be exhibit A for the Democrats to use in their campaign ads. I hope someone can find a link to this.
Posted by: Ladyhawke on December 24, 2009 at 1:01 PM | PERMALINK
"'Technically it could be peeled back if the circumstances were right,' Crapo said during an appearance on a conservative news radio syndicate. 'But we would have to have a president who would sign such a bill, and we would have to have 60 votes in the Senate -- not just 50'."
Nope.
They could repeal ANY part of the legislation with 50 votes.
Posted by: Joe Friday on December 24, 2009 at 1:07 PM | PERMALINK
My guess is that's once it's passed we'll see Republicans from congress go back to their states and districts and claim credit for passing healthcare reform...we've seen that before, haven't we?
Posted by: SaintZak on December 24, 2009 at 1:11 PM | PERMALINK
I do believe the GOP may have just arrived at their Waterloo.
Posted by: sue on December 24, 2009 at 1:26 PM | PERMALINK
Crapo? Talk about suitable names! Perhaps his entire world view was determined by playground teasing.
Posted by: NEskeptic on December 24, 2009 at 1:36 PM | PERMALINK
Crapo? Seriously? I'd change my name, especially if I was going into politics.
I think the chances of repeal of a great deal of the legislation is somewhat higher, for the reasons I've stated already, though one hopes that the subsidies and money for, say, clinics continue and are left untouched, as those would be politically radioactive.
Posted by: squiggleslash on December 24, 2009 at 2:00 PM | PERMALINK
It is comical because in this instance they can't hide, simply by spinning it, what they are really all about.
They *know* what kind of victory this is for Obama and the Dems. They knew that if they could bring it down their chances in 2010 go way up. Its was always a pure political calculation.
Problem is none of them was smart enough to realize how much *real* support they would gain from constituents if they jumped on board.
They are beholden to the boorish Tea Baggers now. Its fun to watch them twist.
Posted by: Simp on December 24, 2009 at 2:47 PM | PERMALINK
"All I've heard from them recently is, We can't afford it.
Funny how most of the rest of the world can."
The rest of the world by and large uses something akin to the public option, single payer, or a government run heath care. This bill on the other hand keeps the private insurers in place, entrenches and enriches them massively. Nobody else is that stupid. The Swiss use a system that includes private insurers but they are massively and strictly regulated and the Swiss still have the second most expensive system after us, as I recall.
Senate dems chose the worst of all worlds, and yeah I don;t see the republicans having a problem finding that a target rich environment. The Senate Dems decided to provoke a fight with the base (or at least with the left wing of the base) and that's unbelievably stupid given that the one advantage dems had going into next year was that the GOP was fighting with it's base.
The handling of healthcare has been feckless and idiotic and the dems deserve the damage they've done to themselves. We don't deserve the damage they've done, and are going to do, to us and to the idea of reform.
Posted by: Tlaloc on December 24, 2009 at 3:25 PM | PERMALINK
Ladyhawke - Sen. Hatch was on MSMBC this morning and it was Contessa Brewer that asked him twice what was it that was in the bill that he could agree with. He never gave a real anwser to her question. Just more BS. The question that I would like the GnOP to anwser is "When the GnOP presented its health bill where was the 80% that they said they agree with in the Dems bill ?"
Posted by: Timbertom on December 24, 2009 at 3:27 PM | PERMALINK
"They *know* what kind of victory this is for Obama and the Dems."
I bet they do. What's that word for a victory that's not worth the cost? One that's a victory in name only and is really a loss?
Oh yeah. "Pyrrhic."
"The armies separated; and, it is said, Pyrrhus replied to one that gave him joy of his victory that one more such victory would utterly undo him. For he had lost a great part of the forces he brought with him, and almost all his particular friends and principal commanders; there were no others there to make recruits"
Yeah it does seem like exactly that kind of victory. Cheerleader exhortations aside.
Posted by: Tlaloc on December 24, 2009 at 3:38 PM | PERMALINK
"It's not going anywhere" - yeah ... but that's what most of us are worried too, in a different sense.
Posted by: neil b, on December 24, 2009 at 4:14 PM | PERMALINK
"reactionary"
There's that word again. I'll never understand why it fell out of favor. Calling reactionary Republicans *conservatives* dignifies them beyond their worth. They're just a bunch of witless reactionaries.
Posted by: buddy66 on December 24, 2009 at 4:16 PM | PERMALINK
You see, it's not pronounced "Crap-oh" it's "cray-po." Kinda like Boner's name is actually pronounced "baner."
Posted by: Banana-Eating Jungle Monkey on December 24, 2009 at 5:28 PM | PERMALINK
You know, the more I read about it, the more convinced I am that the pessimism amongst Republicans and the optimism amongst Democrats is misplaced. Here's a poll quoted by Glenn Greenwald today:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1408
Essentially the only parts of the bill that the public actually supports are the ones that were dropped. The overwhelming consensus is that the public wants the government to create a non-profit Health Insurance company to compete with the commercial insurers, and/or to expand Medicare. They don't want the mandate, subsidies, or the majority of other aspects of this bill.
The public has, by and large, been interested in the pros and cons of a British-style NHS vs the status quo, and neither wanted nor were interested in the rather peculiar Rube Goldberg thing that emerged that's not really like either. The bill made sense to the wonks, because the Washington establishment are obsessed with free markets and limited government. But it didn't make sense outside of Washington.
I'm finding it increasingly hard to believe the public is going to be attached to the majority of provisions in the bill. To the contrary, I think there will be call for much of it to be repealed. The subsidies may end up staying, but I suspect that unless there's a successful attempt to put a public option or something similar in the bill before it becomes law, then an incoming Republican congress will have no problems at all rolling back the mandate, even at the expense of also rolling back the rules against restrictions on pre-existing conditions.
If you doubt that, if you think the Republicans would never roll back laws aimed at unscrupulous, damaging, behavior that the poorest can least afford, you haven't been awake for the last fifteen years.
Posted by: squiggleslash on December 24, 2009 at 5:39 PM | PERMALINK
If the Republicans gain the executive and both Houses again, how long do you think they'll allow the filibuster to remain? We'll see reactionary not seen since Czar Nicolas I in December 1825.
Posted by: E L on December 24, 2009 at 7:16 PM | PERMALINK
Why should the Republicans want to repeal the Senate bill? It's exactly what they wanted - a massive handout to health care companies.
But they will block real reform. (So will the Democrats.)
Posted by: Glen on December 24, 2009 at 10:17 PM | PERMALINK
Good morning. Nice original site. Help me! I can not find sites on the: Table pads in shelby mi. I found only this - vinyl dining table pads. The contacts' sharp chance is to blot the panel's period in sofa successfully to avoid their football to the group, table pads. In an material, he won that he has accordingly placed the validity, table pads. Thank :mad: Quentin from Vietnam.
Posted by: Quentin on March 14, 2010 at 11:20 AM | PERMALINK