Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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March 10, 2010

WEDNESDAY'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP.... Today's installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn't generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers.

* A new national AP poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by six, 44% to 38%, on the generic congressional ballot.

* Scandal-plagued right-wing activist Ralph Reed (R) considered running for Congress in Georgia this year, but announced this morning he will remain in the private sector.

* In Nevada, Jon Scott Ashjian is running for the Senate as a Tea Party candidate, and it's not entirely surprising that Republicans are attacking him as a phony. Both of the leading GOP candidates are accusing Ashjian of being a Democratic plant, intended to split the right.

* In Michigan, Connie Saltonstall, a former teacher and county commissioner, announced yesterday she will take on Rep. Bart Stupak in a Democratic primary. The election will be in early August. (thanks to reader K.B.)

* Speaking of primaries, Rep. Mike Castle (R) was expected to cruise to his party's Senate nomination in Delaware this year, but conservative activist Christine O'Donnell is poised to take him on in a GOP primary. O'Donnell was the Republican nominee against Joe Biden in 2008. Castle remains the odds-on favorite.

* Florida Senate candidate Marco Rubio is launching his first television ad today. It will run on Fox News stations across the state.

* And in Arkansas, Republicans had high hopes of picking up Rep. Marion Berry's (D) seat after the incumbent announced his retirement, but with the filing deadline having come and gone, and with no credible GOP candidates getting into the race, independent observers now believe Dems will likely keep the seat.

Steve Benen 12:00 PM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (8)
 
Comments

...Republicans are attacking him as a phony.

Don't vote for him! He's only pretending to be bat crazy! He's really sane! We're the ones who are certifiable!

Posted by: howie on March 10, 2010 at 12:05 PM | PERMALINK

The generic ballot poll doesn't mean anything...unless the Republicans are ahead, in which case it is proof that the American public has rejected the socialist takeover of America by Obama and the Democrats.

Posted by: Daryl McCullough on March 10, 2010 at 12:06 PM | PERMALINK

howie,

In the Florida Senate race, the Rubio camp leaked a psychiatric evaluation showing Crist to be perfectly sane. That's why Crist's poll numbers have plummeted.

Posted by: Daryl McCullough on March 10, 2010 at 12:13 PM | PERMALINK

Daryl,

Good one!

Posted by: howie on March 10, 2010 at 12:38 PM | PERMALINK

Smart non-move there, Ralph...eat shit and die...

This just in from Nick Cave and the Bad Seeds: God will remain "In the House" for the foreseeable future.

Posted by: neill on March 10, 2010 at 12:49 PM | PERMALINK

The generic ballot poll doesn't mean anything...unless the Republicans are ahead...

Daryl - You're actually wrong about that. Most of these polls have been showing slight leads for Dems, which we were told is a bad thing because they tend to skew Democrat and for incumbents, so a 1-2 point lead by Dems is actually a 3-4 point victory for Republicans on election day.

A thorough analysis of this showed that this meant we were going to lose an epic number of seats in November, because we only had a 1-2 point lead. And no, I'm not kidding. And for as statistically sound as I think that analysis was, I really think the reality was completely absurd, but that was the basis for our generic poll worries lately.

So for generic polls not to count, they have to show a significant Dem lead. Otherwise, they spell doom and gloom in November, even if we're ahead.

Posted by: Doctor Biobrain on March 10, 2010 at 1:18 PM | PERMALINK

[* In Michigan, Connie Saltonstall, a former teacher and county commissioner, announced yesterday she will take on Rep. Bart Stupak in a Democratic primary. The election will be in early August. (thanks to reader K.B.)]

I heard about this one yesterday on Balloon Juice. It's a promising beginning, but the only reason I've seen her give so far is Stupak's anti-health-reform, anti-abortion nonsense. That's an important issue, to be sure, but where does she stand on everything else? Does she have a website yet?

Posted by: Shade Tail on March 10, 2010 at 1:19 PM | PERMALINK

If Rubio wins in November, I want to cut Florida loose from the US mainland and set it on a collision course with Cuba.

My profound apologies-in-advance to Cuba, by the way, but a Cuban prison cell for Rubio and his ilk would truly represent a cruel twist of irony that I could really believe in....

Posted by: S. Waybright on March 10, 2010 at 1:27 PM | PERMALINK
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