If conservadems flip from no to yes based on better polling they will look more hypocritical than they do now, which is an accomplishment. It is good news for undecideds, though and vindication for those dems that supported it when it was (theoretically) unpopular (most individual provisions always had majority support).

I don't support it and I'm the only person who counts.

Douchebags.

I think the numbers are changing because the left is reconciling itself to the bill. The disapproval numbers were going up this winter because a lot of people didn't think the bill goes far enough. After all, the conservatives were already against the bill since the summer or earlier.

As Dems accept that this bill is a net positive and it serves as a baseline to further a progressive health care system, approval rates have increased.

I dunno, somebody needs to do a serious study on the impartiality of polls. Seems to me that loaded questions abound. Maybe one explanation is that people who really wanted the public option/single payer system were against any plan that didn't have it. Over time, they realized that their opposition was being included with the right-wing noise machine opposition and thus the MSM were screaming that the Dems plan DID NOT HAVE POPULAR SUPPORT. They have since figured out that distortion and now are simply polling 'yes' for any reform.

"I don't support it and I'm the only person who counts.

Douchebags."

having acquired my first cyber stalker I'll pause to appreciate the warm glow. It means I've pissed off at least one conservadem enough for them to go ballistic.

Good times.

"they could start pushing the idea that the tide is turning, momentum is starting to build, and it's time to start pushing a "comeback" narrative."

The GOP reads the same polls and thus, the 'advice' they have been generously giving the Dems all week.

I dunno, somebody needs to do a serious study on the impartiality of polls. Seems to me that loaded questions abound.

Remove outliers Rasmusses and Fox from the poll averages, and you'll see a story somewhat different from the msm narrative.

I think an issue driving this is that the two parties have flipped their focuses on issues of policy and procedure. Through the summer and fall, the GOP hammered the bills on policy grounds, even if falsely, staking their opposition to (fake) items in the bills. Meanwhile the Dems were all about the sausage making. Since the SOTU, the Dems, with Obama in the lead, have been making the substantive case for reform and doing it with gusto. And the GOP? They're obsessed with reconciliation, amendments and other procedural flim-flam. Hence the shift? Sounds good to me.

Those reconciled lefties might want to think again. Marcia Angell talks to Bill Moyers on the subject of the health care insurance bill:

http://www.pbs.org/moyers/journal/03052010/watch3.html

I'd add another guess as to why polls are moving. It is becoming clearer and clearer to people other than political junkies that the choice is between this bill now or no bill for years.

Recall the roughly 10% of the population which opposed the bills in congress because they weren't liberal enough or didn't go far enough or whatever. That group is roughly down to Dennis Kucinich, Jane Hamsher and, maybe, Marcy Wheeler (OK I exagerate but scroll up and look at the poll of moveon members).

Similarly (not identically) the prospect of losing a roll call vote concentrates the mind wonderfully. People who considered the bill not good enough will have noticed that they are not pleased by the prospect that it might be voted down.

What jolted the polls was the anounced premium increases. Dumbest move EVAR.

Couple this with the story at the wonkroom at Thinkprogress that says the Stupak 12 is down to maybe the Stupak 4.

Throw in the more liberal Dems resigning themselves to this bill.

Plus the rise in premiums from the insurance companies.

And for good measure, top it off with the ridiculous over the top behavior from the repubs.

I'm not surprised that the momentum is swinging to pass the bill.

I only hope it will be enough.

The smile on Pelosi's face these days speaks the obvious momentum that is there.