March 18, 2010
CBO DELIVERS LONG-AWAITED SCORE.... No more excuses. This week, a variety of wavering House Democrats that they wouldn't make up their minds on health care reform until they got the final score on the package from the Congressional Budget Office.
It took longer than expected, but the CBO has weighed in. Democrats looking for an encouraging score should be thrilled.
A Democratic source provides TPM with the CBO's final numbers on the health care reform bill -- the composite analysis of the Senate health care bill as amended by a soon-to-be-released reconciliation bill, which makes a number of amendments. The findings, as expected, keep the bill in line with the Senate bill's stand alone score:
The bill would reduce the deficit by $130 billion in the first ten years, and potentially by $1.2 trillion in the second ten years (though CBO always warns that projections into the second decade are extremely unpredictable).
The legislation is fully paid for, reduces the deficit in this decade, and even more in the next decade. It will bring coverage to 32 million Americans -- slightly better than the earlier estimate -- and extend Medicare solvency by at least 9 years while closing the prescription drug "donut hole."
Generally, when a report like this comes out, both parties find specific points to suggest that the score helps their side, not the other. But a report like this one should prove exceedingly difficult for Republicans to spin. If I had to guess, the GOP will talk up the overall price tag -- it's a 10-year, $940 billion package -- because it slightly exceeds the $900 billion ceiling originally talked about.
But for anyone serious about the substance, condemning health care reform over a $4 billion-a-year difference is pretty silly.
By any reasonable measure, this is a very strong CBO score, which should push some on-the-fence Democrats off the fence and into the "yes" column. No more "wait and see"; no more excuses. This is a reform package that works, and does exactly what these Democratic holdouts say they want.
And with this, the clock starts on the final vote. If the leadership can get 216 votes together, House members will decide the fate of health care reform on Sunday morning -- 72 hours from now.
—Steve Benen 9:45 AM
Permalink
| Trackbacks
| Comments (19)
Just faxed my Blue Dog--Jim Matheson--and told him to do the right thing and support this bill. After all the damage he's done siding with the Previous Administration it's the least he can do. Now we'll see. . .
Posted by: Michigoose on March 18, 2010 at 9:58 AM | PERMALINK
ptdb
Posted by: neill on March 18, 2010 at 10:01 AM | PERMALINK
No more excuses is right. And if they do have excuses by all means, put them out there, put on the White House website or something. You are a representative are you not? Then REPRESENT.
Let the camera-hogs of Stupak and Kucinich be your guide.
Posted by: DeepTruths on March 18, 2010 at 10:02 AM | PERMALINK
After Kucinich and a couple of Stupak's friends have switched their votes, and with this great news from CBO, the Democratic caucus has absolutely no excuse for failing to Pass This Damn Bill.
I'm hoping that Anh Cao votes for it again, too. I kinda like that guy.
Posted by: Kris on March 18, 2010 at 10:04 AM | PERMALINK
At last. We're on the final lap.
Cue massive wingnut whining.
Posted by: JPS on March 18, 2010 at 10:05 AM | PERMALINK
My representative — Bob Goodlatte — is not the most reprehensible Republican out there. But, he is flatly against meaningful healthcare regulation of any kind.
When I called his office yesterday to voice my wish that he vote for the bill, the woman on the phone sounded legitimately shocked and asked me why I would want him to do that.
When I gave my many reasons, she just said, "Huh. Well, I'll be sure and tell him."
Sure you will, Agnes. Sure you will.
Posted by: chrenson on March 18, 2010 at 10:08 AM | PERMALINK
But a report like this one should prove exceedingly difficult for Republicans to spin...
But for anyone serious about the substance...
By any reasonable measure...
Really Steve, where have you been the last year?
Posted by: martin on March 18, 2010 at 10:09 AM | PERMALINK
But I saw a teabagger sign that totally destroys the CBO reasoning!
Posted by: norbizness on March 18, 2010 at 10:10 AM | PERMALINK
"My representative — Bob Goodlatte — is not the most reprehensible Republican out there. But, he is flatly against meaningful healthcare regulation of any kind."
Goodlatte is my congresscritter too. It never occurred to me to call his office, i figured him to be a lost cause. I was thinking about calling Boucher and Perrillo to offer *support* in their re-elections if they vote for the bill.
Posted by: els on March 18, 2010 at 10:19 AM | PERMALINK
Unless the Senate parliamentarian refuses to certify minor parts of the reconciliation bill.
Posted by: Christopher on March 18, 2010 at 10:20 AM | PERMALINK
"But for anyone serious about the substance, condemning health care reform over a $4 billion-a-year difference is pretty silly..."
That's true Steve, but the GOP will scream that the bill is even more costly than first predicted, and the media will dutifully give us headlines that read: "CBO says bill will cost 40B more than expected."
Posted by: Simon on March 18, 2010 at 10:28 AM | PERMALINK
Impossible for Republicans to spin?
Not if they just make shit up.
"Obama took another $40 billion of your money and bribed the CBO to get a good score!"
Maybe not that blatant, but they WILL attack the CBO.
Posted by: Newton Whale on March 18, 2010 at 10:31 AM | PERMALINK
I rarely hear it said, but isn't the price tag of health care less than the price tag of the Iraq War (or it may have been the combined wars number that i saw). Shouldn't this be an obvious point that if we were willing to spend so much money to keep Iraqis safe, should we ill Americans be an even higher priority.
Posted by: Razdoctor on March 18, 2010 at 10:35 AM | PERMALINK
I rarely hear it said, but isn't the price tag of health care less than the price tag of the Iraq War (or it may have been the combined wars number that i saw). Shouldn't this be an obvious point that if we were willing to spend so much money to keep Iraqis safe, should we ill Americans be an even higher priority.
Posted by: Razdoctor on March 18, 2010 at 10:41 AM | PERMALINK
Current (10:43 Eastern) Headlines
CNN.com - Health care bill will cost $940 billion
MSNBC.com - $940 billion is 10 year cost of health overhaul
ABCnews.com - No headline or story
CBSnew.com - Health care bill will cost $940B over 10 years
The wierdest (most unexpected) is:
FoxNews.com - Health care bill confirms deficit reductions
Maybe ABC and Fox have not received their rethug talking points memos yet!
Posted by: SadOldVet on March 18, 2010 at 10:43 AM | PERMALINK
Quick question as I debate wingnut friends. When they say it is "fully paid for" what do they mean? How is it fully paid for exactly? Does this mean that it does not add to the national debt at all?
Posted by: Palooza on March 18, 2010 at 10:59 AM | PERMALINK
"Does this mean that it does not add to the national debt at all?" ------- Yes
"How is it fully paid for exactly?" ------ a combination of taxes (eg: on the wealthiest, on cadillac health plans,etc), and spending cuts (eg: medicare)
Posted by: JPS on March 18, 2010 at 11:08 AM | PERMALINK
The legislation is fully paid for, reduces the deficit in this decade
Goody! Then the Republicans will stop claiming the bill adds to the deficit, right? Right...?
If only we could count on the so-called "liberal media" not to treat objectively false Republcian claims as truth.
Posted by: Gregory on March 18, 2010 at 11:10 AM | PERMALINK
SadOldVet, sadly, nails it. The so-called "liberal media" will likely report the bottom line and omit the context of the cost savings.
Feh.
Posted by: Gregory on March 18, 2010 at 11:13 AM | PERMALINK