Editore"s Note
Tilting at Windmills

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April 30, 2010

FIRST QUARTER GDP GROWTH: 3.2%.... From Fall 2008 through Summer 2009, the nation's gross domestic product retreated. The four consecutive negative quarters was the longest since the government began keeping track six decades ago.

We now have three consecutive quarters of positive growth. It's not nearly strong enough growth to constitute a robust economy, but it's enough to look like an economic recovery.

The United States economy continued to expand in the first quarter, but economists cautioned that the pace of growth is still not nearly fast enough to recover ground lost during the recession.

National output grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.2 percent last quarter, the Commerce Department reported Friday, after growth of 5.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 and 2.2 percent in the third quarter.

The steady growth has quelled fears that the downturn is not quite over.

While the first quarter of 2010 wasn't nearly as strong as the fourth quarter of 2009, this doesn't come as much of a surprise -- the 5.6% growth was fueled by an "inventory bounce" that wouldn't be repeated.

Consumer spending helped drive the first quarter numbers, with the biggest increase in three years.

And with that, here's another home-made chart, showing GDP numbers by quarter since the Great Recession began in late 2007.

gdpq110.png

Steve Benen 9:15 AM Permalink | Trackbacks | Comments (11)

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Comments

At least it doesn't look much like a bikini.

Posted by: Zandru on April 30, 2010 at 9:15 AM | PERMALINK

good stats and a nice chart (esp. for home-made), which the repubicans will routinely ignore.

Posted by: mellowjohn on April 30, 2010 at 9:16 AM | PERMALINK

We can't kick back and sing "Happy Days" just yet. The jobs numbers are still terrible. Foreclosures are through the roof. This recovery still doesn't feel like much. Given the meltdown in Greece that threatens Europe even the current recovery is in jeopardy. I still haven't seen anything that remotely looks like an industrial policy.

Posted by: Ron Byers on April 30, 2010 at 9:18 AM | PERMALINK

So what do the GDP numbers look like when you remove the financial services industry?

Posted by: Walker on April 30, 2010 at 9:27 AM | PERMALINK

At least it doesn't look much like a bikini.
Posted by: Zandru

At least it doesn't look like some sort of non-synaptic Glenn Beck chalkboard gibberish. My 12-year-old son can understand this chart.

Huzzah!!!

Posted by: S. Waybright on April 30, 2010 at 9:28 AM | PERMALINK

But the growth in growth slowed in the last quarter! The blue bar for the last quarter is shorter than the blue bar for the previous quarter! This is OBVIOUSLY due to the passage of health care reform, which is a job killer and disincentivizes people to work because they pre-figure the future tax increases Obama will imposes as he socializes the economy.

Obviously, GREAT NEWS for McCain!

Steve

Posted by: Eeyore on April 30, 2010 at 9:47 AM | PERMALINK

Growth rates should not be represented as a bar chart.

Posted by: DG on April 30, 2010 at 11:15 AM | PERMALINK

Why not color this red and blue like your other? Similar pattern, similar message here.

Posted by: Who? on April 30, 2010 at 12:49 PM | PERMALINK

Exactly - color the Bush quarters with red, and color Q1 09 with purple...

Posted by: Ohioan on April 30, 2010 at 12:52 PM | PERMALINK

steve,

before even reading these comments, i took your chart and colored it.

Posted by: skippy on April 30, 2010 at 12:59 PM | PERMALINK

"But the growth in growth slowed in the last quarter! The blue bar for the last quarter is shorter than the blue bar for the previous quarter! This is OBVIOUSLY due to the passage of health care reform"

Or because the stimulus package funds are running out.

Posted by: Forrest on April 30, 2010 at 5:35 PM | PERMALINK




 

 

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