September 8, 2010
OBAMA TO STICK TO HIS GUNS ON BUSH-ERA TAX RATES.... The question has been lingering for weeks: would President Obama cave and keep Bush-era tax rates for the wealthiest Americans at current levels? It's congressional Republicans' top priority, and plenty of Democrats on the Hill are hedging.
Today, the president intends to settle the dispute. No, he isn't going to cave.
President Obama on Wednesday will make clear that he opposes any compromise that would extend the Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthy beyond this year, officials said, adding a populist twist to an election-season economic package that is otherwise designed to entice support from big businesses and their Republican allies.
Mr. Obama's opposition to allowing the high-end tax cuts to remain in place for even another year or two would be the signal many Congressional Democrats have been awaiting as they prepare for a showdown with Republicans on the issue and ends speculation that the White House might be open to an extension. Democrats say only the president can rally wavering lawmakers who, amid the party's weakened poll numbers, feel increasingly vulnerable to Republican attacks if they let the top rates lapse at the end of this year as scheduled.
Good for him. The White House plan will be identical to the one he promised to pursue during the campaign -- rates for households making less than $250,000 a year (98% of the country) would stay at the lower rate, while the top 2% would go back to the Clinton-era rates.
I don't doubt that Republicans will be apoplectic -- fighting for tax breaks for the wealthy is just part of their DNA -- but they should keep a few things in mind. The first is that the Republican approach isn't exactly popular -- the latest Newsweek poll found only 38% of the country wants to extend all of the Bush-era tax rates. A recent CBS News poll put the figure even lower, at 36%.
Second, remember that Obama is basically just following the plan as set by Republicans themselves. When Bush and the congressional GOP passed these cuts, Republicans set them to expire at the end of 2010. The president will go along with keeping the lower rates on the middle class, but in light of deficit concerns, can't justify the lower rates for the rich.
Third, if Republicans were serious about their own fiscal priorities, they'd try to find a way to pay for the $680 billion cost of keeping these breaks for the wealthy. So far, they've refused to even try.
Fourth, the number one talking point today will be that this tax policy will hurt small businesses. It's not true.
As for the bigger picture, I'm glad to see a more assertive president stepping up on this. Obama's prepared to let Republicans fight for the wealthy with tax cuts the country can't afford, while he makes his case for the middle class.
It's good policy and good politics.
—Steve Benen 8:35 AM
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Steve writes:"Republicans set them to expire at the end of 2010. "
And all we hear, 24/7, is that OBAMA is going to raise your taxes!
But then- see previous comments- who owns the media? ? ?
Posted by: DAY on September 8, 2010 at 8:47 AM | PERMALINK
I've never understood how this issue was even in doubt. The tax cuts were scheduled to expire by the repugs themselves, no action was required, in fact, it would take contentious legislation to extend them. All Obama has to do is declare that he will allow the scheduled expiration to happen, that he will veto any extension, then propose to legislation to restore the cuts to the lower 98% and let the repugs campaign against that.
Posted by: BillFromPA on September 8, 2010 at 8:49 AM | PERMALINK
Obama's finally waking up!
Is this the famed "Rope a Dope" strategy that won him the Democratic nomination?
I know the Republicans are all dopes, but is there enough time left to rope them into shooting themselves in the foot enough to lose, or minimize gains, in November?
God, I hope so...
Posted by: c u n d gulag on September 8, 2010 at 8:50 AM | PERMALINK
Real leadership for Obama. Good for him indeed!
Can anyone explain Orszag's position yesterday in the Times? I couldn't get his point why the tax cuts would be good for another two years.
Posted by: Bob M on September 8, 2010 at 8:51 AM | PERMALINK
We keep hearing in the media how vulnerable Democrats are when it comes to this issue of allowing the Bush tax cuts to expire. When will a reporter ask the man in the street the following:
Would you like to see the richest 2%, those making a net income of more than $250,000 annually, pay more taxes to help reduce our deficit?
What are the chances the reporter will meet and interview anyone on the street making such a large income? Once the results are in, I wonder how "vulnerable" those Democratic candidates would be! -Kevo
Posted by: kevo on September 8, 2010 at 8:53 AM | PERMALINK
This tax policy will not hurt small businesses, it will make rich people more cautious about buying a second Mercedes.
The key point is to educate the voters (is this possible?) that if nothing is done, the tax cuts expire. Doing nothing (see Obama's judge nominations) is the Republican way of life.
Posted by: Mudge on September 8, 2010 at 8:56 AM | PERMALINK
Enthusiasm returning....
Posted by: the seal on September 8, 2010 at 8:57 AM | PERMALINK
LOL -- ya gotta love it when somebody who is ostensibly knowledgeable about politics brags about missing something obvious:
"...remember that Obama is basically just following the plan as set by Republicans themselves...."
Um, and why is this a GOOD thing?
"...When Bush and the congressional GOP passed these cuts, Republicans set them to expire at the end of 2010."
Did it never occur to you that this was so they would be a live issue in an election year? One set up by Republicans, to create advantages for... Republicans?
LOL -- man, you're priceless.
One of the great political mistakes of all time was the creation of automatic Cost of Living Increases. It used to be that Congress had to vote to raise benefits on a wide range of programs, which was always this amazing political theater -- in which a large number of Democrats would demonstrate their value to constituents, who would in turn re-elect 'em; and a handful of Republicans would fight, and lose -- and get re-elected because they had tried so hard to stave off fiscal folly. (It all depends on the district.)
But once COLAs were made automatic, nobody got credit for doing what was going to happen anyway.
The expiration date on the tax cuts was always intended to stage a fight in an election year. The signs aren't particularly good (note Orszag) that following the Republican script on this one is a shrewd move.
Catch on, willya?
Posted by: theAmericanist on September 8, 2010 at 9:07 AM | PERMALINK
The key point is to educate the voters (is this possible?) that if nothing is done, the tax cuts expire. Doing nothing (see Obama's judge nominations) is the Republican way of life.
Best line of the day.
Posted by: SWENXOF on September 8, 2010 at 9:09 AM | PERMALINK
There's a simple ad for (almost) every republican who was in office back then: why are they complaining now about increasing people's taxes when that's what they voted to do?
Posted by: paul on September 8, 2010 at 9:09 AM | PERMALINK
The single best illustration of the difference between Obama's tax cut proposal and the Republican plan has to be Ezra Klein's Washington Post tax cut graph showing just how absurd the comparison is. If you haven't seen it before please check it out, save it to your computer and share it with those still clamoring to throw money at the rich - who we bailed out at our expense.
Posted by: Kiweagle on September 8, 2010 at 9:15 AM | PERMALINK
Bully for him. Bully!! And he should start to speak out on healthcare too. The benefits to the middle class. J.Boner said the healthcare would mean Armageddon! So play the tape, and then ask with his wry smile, "How has Armageddon been for you? How has it changed your life now that the world has ended? Has the way you've gone about your day significantly changed since the end of society as you knew it? If they will even lie to you about something as important as taking care of your health, then how are you going to trust them with your retirement (social security) and other major issues in your life?" C'mon Obama, you're getting your mojo back. Keep it up.
Posted by: In what respect, Charlie? on September 8, 2010 at 9:17 AM | PERMALINK
I would also remind people that the correct response to the statement "Tax Cuts pay for themselves" is: "If that were true, then the Republicans wouldn't have had to place a 10-year expiration date on the tax cuts in order to get them passed via reconciliation, which you have to do when a proposing something that is going to add to the deficit".
Posted by: Kiweagle on September 8, 2010 at 9:19 AM | PERMALINK
It goes without saying that the mass of talking heads on TV and the OpEd pages, and the mass of people interviewing them, will be people whose taxes will be going up. Pointing out that fact generally, and personally, will be called class warfare. It is not. It is reciprocal class warfare
Posted by: Steve Paradis on September 8, 2010 at 9:23 AM | PERMALINK
@theAmericanist
While I too think this was a staged 'chess move' by Cons, it will backfire. Why? Because all you have to do is point out that we've been under Bush tax cuts for ten years now, and we've had the worst job creation ever. Tax cuts on the wealthy aren't working to improve the economy. That policy over the decade has proven to be a failure. Wealth has stagnated at the top, trickle down doesn't work, thus wealth needs to be siphoned down. The economy if faltering because money isn't being cycled.
Posted by: jwk on September 8, 2010 at 9:24 AM | PERMALINK
Whether we win or lose the upcoming elections, Obama cannot and must not back down on this single issue.
Instead, the Bush tax cuts should be renamed the "Bush Tax Swindle" or "Bush Tax Cheat" or "Bush Tax Scam" or "Bush Tax Hoax!" Simple charts comparing what average Americans got from the "tax cuts" to what the rich people got should be ubiquitous.
The scheduled end of the Bush Tax Swindle therefore should be referred to as "Tax Equality" or "Tax Justice" or "Tax Honesty" or "Tax Honor." If the Republicans can play the branding game, we need to do it too.
We need to create ads depicting rich people in wealthy surroundings with a voiceover saying, "Before you vote this November, ask each of your millionaire friends a simple question: 'How have you spent your $8 million in tax cuts over the last ten years? And why didn't you use it to fix the economy or hire more people or curb the deficit?' And then, this time, vote for Tax Justice. You've earned it."
Posted by: chrenson on September 8, 2010 at 9:25 AM | PERMALINK
By the way, when I say "...$8 million in tax cuts over the last ten years..." I know this is not a real figure. My point is that the tax cuts for rich folks means they have an extra amount of money that the rest of us can't possibly imagine spending. Were anyone actually planning to make the ad I suggested, I recommend using real numbers.
Just sayin', in case anyone wants to get all literal on my ass...
Posted by: chrenson on September 8, 2010 at 9:31 AM | PERMALINK
@the americanist:
I believe the expiration date was put in, because that was the only way they could get the tax cuts passed by congress.
Posted by: DAY on September 8, 2010 at 9:34 AM | PERMALINK
I agree--good for Obama to show some leadership. If he makes clear that he will vetoe any bill that extends Dumbya's tax cuts for the wealthy, then the debate shifts. I suspect that all of Dumbya's tax cuts will end up expiring, but that is not a bad thing. Now how about some leadership on social security? How about taking that off the Catfood Commission's table by indicating that he will vetoe any legislation that would reduce benefits, raise the retirement age, means test etc.? Finally, how about indicating that he will vetoe any legislation which tries to reign in the EPA's regulation of greenhouse gases as a pollutant unless it is part of comprehensive energy legislation? Lets see if we can make this leadership thing a trend.
Posted by: Terry on September 8, 2010 at 9:36 AM | PERMALINK
@Day-I agree. The Byrd rule is the reason.
Posted by: flyonthewall on September 8, 2010 at 9:49 AM | PERMALINK
Wanna bet ?
Obama will cave to the Goopers
He's a WEAKLING
Haven't you noticed ?
Posted by: friscoSF on September 8, 2010 at 11:13 AM | PERMALINK
I don't doubt that Republicans will be apoplectic -- fighting for tax breaks for the wealthy is just part of their DNA
Yeah, and if the Democrats stick to their guns and fail to hand the Reptiles a victory on this issue, it'll get Republicans in trouble with their base for a change.
Posted by: Gregory on September 8, 2010 at 11:59 AM | PERMALINK
If Obama did allow the tax cuts to be extended for a few years, Boner and the other GOP hacks would suddenly remember they are supposed to be fiscally conservatives.
There would be a rash of Republicans wondering out loud and without irony how the President intends to pay for them.
Posted by: Winkandanod on September 8, 2010 at 1:09 PM | PERMALINK
"No, he isn't going to cave." Can you seriously
believe this about the current President or majority
party in the Congress? Maybe he and they will or won't,
but what possible confidence could you have either way?
Posted by: AlaninWA on September 8, 2010 at 3:23 PM | PERMALINK