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June 07, 2012 1:57 PM Lunch Buffet

By Ed Kilgore

Even if you aren’t a Californian grabbing that last chance to consume foie gras, I hope you are having a good mid-day repast. Here are some quick side dishes:

* Nate Silver unveils 2012 presidential forecasting model, says odds of Obama win currently just over 60%. There are many useful words of explanation and qualification.

* Amidst all the post-Wisconsin GOP triumphalism, Qunnipiac shows Obama up by 5% in VA, a state Mitt must win. Lead down a bit from last Q-poll of Old Dominion in March.

* Krugman notes that Estonia—austerity fans’ favorite country—not exactly booming.

* Oops! Romney pollster’s presentation of Mitt’s path to 270 electoral votes adds up to: 260.

* Ollie North’s stirring Memorial Day column might not be, well, exactly original.

And in non-political news:

* The case for raising Facebook minimum age to 21. Now that would mobilize younger Americans!

I’m about to help with my stepfather’s funeral home “viewing and visitation,” so Ryan will be stepping in for the rest of the day. Tomorrow’s the actual funeral, so I may be scarce here, but I’ll be back soon. Thanks again for all the prayers and condolences.

Ed Kilgore is a contributing writer to the Washington Monthly. He is managing editor for The Democratic Strategist and a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute. Find him on Twitter: @ed_kilgore.

Comments

  • Daryl McCullough on June 07, 2012 2:16 PM:

    I don't think 12 year olds would have any more trouble pretending to be 21 than they do pretending to be 18.

  • j on June 07, 2012 2:19 PM:

    Have the election results from Wisconsin been verified?
    I know Brad Friedman seems to have some reservations and he is one of the best in the business.
    Also, surely we have some millionaires who are democrats, to help with the Obama fund raising.

  • T2 on June 07, 2012 2:23 PM:

    I'm generally in agreement with Nate Silver's analysis. However, unless I missed it, Silver does not factor in Romney's LDS/Mormon angle. The typical Mormon votes Republican, and Mormon's are heavily populated in the West/Northwest. They will ALL vote and all vote for Romney. States like Oregon that Silver mentions, and NV, could well swing to Romney on the strength of the LDS vote alone.

  • Barry on June 07, 2012 2:54 PM:

    Ed, my condolences to you and your family.

  • g on June 07, 2012 4:03 PM:

    * Ollie North’s stirring Memorial Day column might not be, well, exactly original.

    Well, at least he didn't lift recipes!

  • Keith G on June 07, 2012 6:56 PM:

    Tough times for you and your family. My thoughts are with you.

  • Anonymous on June 07, 2012 9:04 PM:

    States like Oregon that Silver mentions, and NV, could well swing to Romney on the strength of the LDS vote alone.

    I hardly think many Mormons voted for Obama in 2008; the presence of Romney on the ballot won't increase the Mormon vote enough to make a difference.

    An increase in the number of registered Latino voters, and in those actually voting...now there's something that could be significant.

  • millsapian87 on June 08, 2012 10:03 AM:

    > Ollie North’s stirring Memorial Day column might not be, well, exactly original.

    A perjurer *and* a plagiarist! Well, lying and thievery often go hand in hand.

  • Nathan on June 08, 2012 1:05 PM:

    The presentation adds up to 270 if you count Indiana for Romney, which everyone does. The post on OTB about it summed it up pretty well, that post is for political insiders, not school children.