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October 09, 2012 5:57 PM Day’s End and Night Watch

By Ed Kilgore

Just ran across a conservative blog that suggested of me that “Someone should crush this guy’s skull with one of Obama’s teleprompters.” So I went on his comment thread and politely asked him not to use this sort of rhetoric. I know I’m wasting my time, but sometimes unruly children need to be reminded when they’ve crossed big lines.

Anyway, here are some final items for the day:

* Amidst continued shrieking from all sides about the Romney Poll Surge, CNN/ORC supplies the data point that’s really been missing: a post-debate poll of Ohio showing Obama up by 4 among LVs and over 50%. Also out today, erratic robopollster ARG has Mitt up by one in OH.

* U.S. total indebtedness—public and private—hits six-year low.

* Maybe Republicans are snuggling back up to Todd Akin, but his October ad buys are puny compared to McCaskill’s.

* At Ten Miles Square, Seth Masket has fresh data on polarized economic perceptions of partisans.

* At College Guide, Daniel Luzer draws attention to financial damage being suffered by growing number of those using a federal program that subsidizes parental borrowing to cover their kids’ college expenses. So it’s getting harder for students to take Mitt’s advice.

And in non-political news:

* Calories counts soon to be displayed on machines dispensing soft drinks.

That’s enough jibber-jabber for me, today. Back in the morning, probably having to pour over more polls, while beginning psychological preparation for Biden-Ryan debate Thursday night, just in case it’s yet another “game-changer.”

Selah.

Ed Kilgore is a contributing writer to the Washington Monthly. He is managing editor for The Democratic Strategist and a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute. Find him on Twitter: @ed_kilgore.

Comments

  • Renai on October 09, 2012 6:41 PM:

    Sure, hurting the messenger is really going to make the truth go away...Pathetic.

    Stay safe, Ed.

  • max on October 09, 2012 6:56 PM:

    Just ran across a conservative blog that suggested of me that “Someone should crush this guy’s skull with one of Obama’s teleprompters.”

    Well, at least he wasn't promising to come to your house. Probably too fat to make the trip. ;)

    Amidst continued shrieking from all sides about the Romney Poll Surge, CNN/ORC supplies the data point that’s really been missing:

    All the national polls seem to have finally showed a shift for late last week with a bit of a tapering off. All the state polls are showing not much in the way of MittMo.

    Ya know, I think the debate, plus the meltdowns basically provided a number of hours of free advertising for Moderate Mitt in states that aren't seeing much in the way of advertising. In states where they are adverting, no traction.

    From the sound of it, I'm thinkin' some of our lower-information friends got a little confused and bought the whole 'lower taxes, increased spending and reduced deficit' line Mitt was peddling.

    max
    ['Now let's see what right-wing Jesus has in store for Joe. I'm thinking mixed messages will be arriving soon.']

  • bmoodie on October 09, 2012 7:14 PM:

    Ed - Love love love your stuff - but it's "pore over" polls, not "pour over." Keep up God's work!

  • IndyLinda on October 09, 2012 7:28 PM:

    Do not let anyone bash your head in if you can possibly help it! We need a bastion of sanity in these days of poll-induced media hyperventilation. If it weren't for you and Nate Silver, I don't know what I'd do.

  • danimal on October 09, 2012 8:04 PM:

    My off-the-wall theory about Mitt's big bounce: the GOP didn't really get a bounce from their convention due to poor messaging, Ryan's lies, Clint's empty chair and an inability to walk the tightrope between right-wing red mean and Massachusetts moderation. Then came the Dem convention and the Dems were suddenly enthused with a lead in the polls.

    The "feel" I get from the debate aftermath is very much like a convention bounce. The GOP is fired up and feeling good, the polls are moving their way and nothing's going to stop them now. But, as with almost all bounces, the press will move on, the momentum will be blunted and the polling will revert back to where the fundamentals of the race suggest they should be.

    Stay safe, Ed.

  • Joe Friday on October 09, 2012 8:57 PM:

    "Amidst continued shrieking from all sides about the Romney Poll Surge, CNN/ORC supplies the data point that's really been missing: a post-debate poll of Ohio showing Obama up by 4 among LVs and over 50%."

    Can everybody stop hyperventilating now ?

    The only thing that changed with the national polling is failed methodology.

    Garbage in. Garbage out.

  • James E. Powell on October 09, 2012 9:39 PM:

    @Joe Friday - Just the facts, Joe. (Sorry, had to.) What changed was the narrative of the election. That's bad. We have now had nearly a week of "Obama is looooosing!" from all corners of the political press/media.

    Democrats are countering with facts & figures, but the remaining persuadable voters are not persuadable by facts & figures. They want drama.

  • cwolf on October 09, 2012 10:00 PM:

    If you have a spare 15 minutes,,,
    This is awesome:
    Aussie Prime Minister Julia Gillard: is a badassI
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0LFKwfvvNY

  • CharlieM on October 10, 2012 6:45 AM:

    It's positive feedback Ed. When someone publicly proclaims you deserve to have your skull altered, you know you're having an effect.

  • 14All on October 10, 2012 7:44 AM:

    Now *that's* how you win an argument--by killing the person who disagrees with you! It will convince everyone that your interpretation of events is correct, and their is not.

    Idiots.

  • Joe Friday on October 10, 2012 12:18 PM:

    James,

    "What changed was the narrative of the election."

    You don't think that was going to intentionally happen one way or another ?

    The MSM desperately needs a racehorse story. I merely referenced the national polling.

  • James E. Powell on October 10, 2012 12:21 PM:

    Joe Friday,

    You are probably right. Which raises a question. If the corporate press/media was going to generate a "Romney Resurgent" story anyway, is it better for Obama if it is all based on his debate performance rather than an issue or a distracting event?