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October 29, 2012 6:16 PM Day’s End and Night Watch

By Ed Kilgore

Sandy approaching landfall. Praying for all you folk in her path.

Here, for those of you able to pay attention, or seeking distraction, or out of harm’s way, are some final items for this strange and ominous day:

* Nasty attacks on Nate Silver are both outrage and tribute.

* Get ready for more BLS Truther action: agency struggling to get October jobs report done on time.

* At WaPo, Jonathan Bernstein summarizes evidence of impact on national elections of natural disasters as minimal.

* At Ten Miles Square, Colin Woodward provides update on Maine Senate race that casts major shadow on battle for control of upper chamber.

* At College Guide, Daniel Luzer looks at Rick Scott administration’s mulling of higher tuitions for Florida students wanting liberal arts degrees.

I’ll be watching Sandy tonight, but not as closely as our East Coast friends. Please stay home and don’t underestimate the power of this crazy weather.

Selah.

Ed Kilgore is a contributing writer to the Washington Monthly. He is managing editor for The Democratic Strategist and a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute. Find him on Twitter: @ed_kilgore.

Comments

  • bigtuna on October 29, 2012 6:40 PM:

    I am going to make a wild guess and figure that most people who bash Nate Silver refuse to understand or acknowledge the 49 winner take all mini elections, and the 2 proportional elections, that actually constitute the so called general election for president, and even more important, the media wags and pundits do not know the first thing about statistics and probability.

    Yes, the coffee drinking NPR listening libs of Madison, SFO,etc., like Nate Silver because many of them actually have an education, and know some things about math and stats. If you want to bash meta analyses, bash the absurdly brute force, and statistically incorrent, analyses of real clear politics; the misinformation of any poll done by Rasmussen; the lack of spanish speaking polls; the lack of analyses of the issue of households with no landlines; etc. If it comes down to rigorous probability modeling, which what Nate Silver does [NOT prediction] - I will take Silver over David Brooks. Of course, that would be true about most any subject and David Brooks.

    or, bash the fact that 95% of MSM political coverage does not bother to inform the publich about where the candidates actually stand, and what the implications of those stands are.

  • jjm on October 29, 2012 7:03 PM:

    bigtuna on October 29, 2012 6:40 PM: they are bashing Nate Silver because he IS a respected voice and therefore he speaks a truth they refuse to hear or even let anyone else hear. (The vicious totalitarianism of the 'right' is true to historical form here.) A 'neutral' objective voice is the LAST thing those on the right can permit.

    But there is very thinly disguised anti-semitism in this attack on Silver as 'effeminate' and unmanly. It's utterly disgusting

  • Quaker in a Basement on October 29, 2012 7:13 PM:

    The folks who discount Silver's analysis as lacking "manliness" have apparently never bothered to watch Idiocracy.

  • Karen on October 29, 2012 7:30 PM:

    I read that a number of polls have Romney up in Ohio. Is this true? I am suddenly really terrified about this election.

  • SYSPROG on October 29, 2012 7:45 PM:

    They are bashing the statistician. What's next? Science? Oh wait...this would be from the guys that are constantly telling us about 'Mitt-mentum' right?

  • mudwall jackson on October 29, 2012 8:38 PM:

    * Get ready for more BLS Truther action: agency struggling to get October jobs report done on time.

    yep. sandy is an attempt by the corrupt obama administration to cover up the true state of the job market until after the election but thank god jack welch knows the truth. he's got hidden camera pics of barack himself slipping mother nature a few bucks ...

  • mudwall jackson on October 29, 2012 8:41 PM:

    On MSNBC's "Morning Joe" today, Joe Scarborough took a more direct shot, effectively calling Silver an ideologue and "a joke."

    speaking of jokes ...

  • jnkekoa on October 29, 2012 10:48 PM:

    Are they bashing Nate Silver because they have never heard of Professor Sam Wang?

    To BigTuna-you should read Prof Wang's (Princetonelectionconsortium.edu) article on last Friday, regarding David Brooks' analysis of the polling data--priceless!

    And to Karen, head on over to princeton to allay your fears about "Mitmentum" and the state of the race. (Oh, and I thought I heard that Obama lead in Ohio increased at least in some polls today)

  • James E. Powell on October 30, 2012 12:14 AM:

    or, bash the fact that 95% of MSM political coverage does not bother to inform the public about where the candidates actually stand, and what the implications of those stands are.

    Is there any evidence that the public wants to know where the candidates actually stand or what the implications of those stands are?

    I haven't seen any evidence of that.

    The people who want to know where the candidates stand, and what the implications of those stands are, can and do learn that information.

  • cwolf on October 30, 2012 2:10 AM:

    Sandy approaching landfall. Praying for all you folk in her path.

    You can Pray all you want - but when I'm in the way of a hurricane I Prepare.
    One who is properly prepared has no need for useless prayer.

  • cwolf on October 30, 2012 4:09 AM:

    Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) dodged a question about Romney’s debunked Jeep claims and instead attacked the Obama administration for issuing regulations that are harming workers at American Motors Corporation

    How does this elected congress critter find her ass when it needs wiping?

  • IDTT on October 30, 2012 8:06 AM:

    I take the Nate Silver bashing as a good sign. Remember when you give republicans bad news, they want to kill you so if they're showing their fangs, that's just the hurt talking.