Political Animal


October 26, 2012 1:46 PM Lunch Buffet

By Ed Kilgore

Not trying to rub it in to East Coasters who are staring at Sandy’s progress, but it’s a really beautiful day on the Central Coast. Almost worth the cost-of-living differential.

Here’s what I’ve got in the way of mid-day nourishment:

* TNR’s Noam Scheiber argues persuasively that Team Mitt’s spin on polls far less consequential than lies on policy.

* Bad day for Obama at the old Gallup Tracking corral: Job approval ration down to 48/47; Mitt back up to five-point lead among LVs; candidates tied among RVs.

* Another peak inside the Obama GOTV Machine, this one by New York Times’ Jim Rutenberg. Not real informative, truth be told, but that’s probably not the reporter’s fault.

* Berlusconi sentenced to four years in slammer for tax fraud.

* Without mentioning Romney, Jeep denies report (which Romney repeated in Ohio) that company is moving jobs from U.S. to China.

And in non-political news:

* More scary stuff about Sandy, including snow storms in VA, PA and OH. Now looks to be 5-7 day “weather event.”

Back in a bit after I get some pre-weekend chores done.

Ed Kilgore is a contributing writer to the Washington Monthly. He is managing editor for The Democratic Strategist and a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute. Find him on Twitter: @ed_kilgore.


  • T2 on October 26, 2012 2:09 PM:

    I was "treated" to a Romney speech live on MSNBC today. Man, it was lie after lie. Many of which have been debunked or PolitFax'd completely....you know that he knows that what he is saying is a lie. I don't have time to list them all but included things like "Obamacare will make your healthcare costs go up over $2000. And "Obama is cutting your Medicare payments by $600 million dollars"... I couldn't see the crowd since there was no crowd shot...but the response was pretty tepid except for one guy yelling "yeah" after each lie. Mitt looked crazed, possessed.

  • max on October 26, 2012 2:23 PM:

    Bad day for Obama at the old Gallup Tracking corral: Job approval ration down to 48/47; Mitt back up to five-point lead among LVs; candidates tied among RVs.

    Did you see the article Gallup posted about the LVs and the electorate composition?

    "2012 Electorate Looks Like 2008"

    They're expecting the sex ratio to continue shifting towards men. (White men?)

    They're expecting fall offs in voters in all age groups, except the 50-64 age group.

    They expect regional turnout to stay almost the same, down in the West up in the East and Midwest.

    Their education turnout levels are doing something strange.

    They expect white turnout to remain the same, black turnout to fall, hispanic turnout to revise very slightly.

    And they expect Democrats and Lean Democrats to turnout at lower rates than 2004, Republicans at slightly lower rates than 2004 and they expect 'Lean Republican' to turnout at rates higher than 2004.

    Roughly speaking they expect, 50-64 white guys (aka the pundit and R blogger demo) to turn out big time and they expect fewer of everybody else, apparently including little old white ladies.

    Somehow this is compatible with state polling, a D advantage in the Senate and so on.

    ['I can see Mitt Romney having a three point lead if turnout looks like that.']

  • cwolf on October 26, 2012 3:31 PM:

    Coming next week - On an East Coast near you,,,
    All the candidates will be blaming their opponents for Sandy and the Power Outages.