Political Animal


November 06, 2012 8:24 PM Election Results Live-Blog IV: Here Comes the Big Wave

By Ed Kilgore

* CNN’s Candy Crowley reports from Romney HQ in Boston: they’re playing jazz, not looking too happy. Candy says everybody understands Mitt’s got to win in nearly every close state.

* None of the top-of-the-hour presidential projections from CNN are any sort of surprise. Not willing to call the 2d CD of Maine yet; a small shred of hope for Mitt there.

* Adjusted exits from Florida gives Obama a 1% advantage. He’s up 2% in NH exits.

* And here’s the biggie: exits give Obama a 52/47 advantage in Pennsylvania, though no call yet. Mitt’s invasion looking like Lee’s: close, but no cigar. Weigel tweet: “Only 4 years til Republicans pretend they can win Pennsylvania again.”

* Mitt unsurprisingly up nationally in popular vote by 3%, and it will likely stay that way for a good while as southern states check in.

* Mitt telling reporters he’s proud no “infighting in his campaign,” unlike others. Comparison to McCain/Palin?

* Nobody on the tube is talking about it, but Bill Nelson is crushing Connie Mack (56/42 at present) in a Senate race that Republicans were bullish about early this year.

* Initial indication of early voting from Cuyahoga County shows Obama beating two-to-one margin he needed. So far Mitt not running much ahead of McCain in Cleveland suburbs.

* Georgia called for Romney. Someday my home state will turn back around, but not now. Mitt’s running a couple points ahead of McCain, disguising increasing non-white vote.

* Initial returns in Ohio Senate race—presumably showing early votes—show Sherrod Brown beating Josh Mandel about 3-2. Again, this was a race Republicans thought they might win at one point.

* National Review’s Ramesh Ponnuru: “Sharp negative turn in the mood of conservatives on twitter.”

* Wave of Senate projections, including Angus King (no surprise) and the aforementioned Bill Nelson.

Ed Kilgore is a contributing writer to the Washington Monthly. He is managing editor for The Democratic Strategist and a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute. Find him on Twitter: @ed_kilgore.


  • max on November 06, 2012 8:29 PM:

    Mitt telling reporters he’s proud no “infighting in his campaign,” unlike others.

    Huh? What happened to those stories on Politico about people backstabbing Mitt's main strategist?

    ['Keep up the good work Ed! We'll get Georgia someday!']

  • Ashbee on November 06, 2012 8:40 PM:

    Good job Ed! Excellent insight!!

  • kas on November 06, 2012 8:43 PM:

    stephanopoulos et al. saying N VA is going surprisingly for Romney. bad for Obama. thoughts?

  • Joe Friday on November 06, 2012 8:44 PM:


    Chuck Todd hinting that they're seeing numbers from Florida showing an Obama win. If Florida gets called for Obama, all the networks can pack-up and go home.

  • SBcardinal on November 06, 2012 8:48 PM:

    Too anxious to comment thoughtfully, but wanted to thank you Ed for all your efforts.

  • punaise on November 06, 2012 8:56 PM:

    glad to see Linda McMahon KO'd in CT.

  • castanea on November 06, 2012 9:03 PM:

    I would not trust anything that Chuck Todd says.

  • AndThenThere'sThat on November 06, 2012 9:22 PM:

    early votes—show Sherrod Brown beating Josh Mandel about 3-2

    I hope that holds. Mandel is ridiculous.