Political Animal

Blog

May 03, 2013 3:37 PM Don’t Let Obama Stop Immigration Reform!

By Ed Kilgore

Marco Rubio has a big op-ed in the Wall Street Journal today explaining to conservatives why they should support immigration reform, and WaPo’s Greg Sargent has a persuasive take on it:

So how can Republicans who want immigration reform get conservatives to accept it, given that Obama also wants it?
Republicans pushing for reform have come up with a strategic answer to that question, one that isn’t really acknowledged openly. They are subtly making the case to their base that a defeat for immigration reform is actually a hidden victory for Obama, and that passing the Senate compromise is actually worse for the President than the alternative, i.e. doing nothing.
In this sense, the immigration reform debate is perhaps the ultimate test of what Obama referred to as the need to create a “permission structure” — that is, a way for conservatives to accept something Obama wants, too. The message — which is carefully couched - is that, yes, Obama wants immigration reform, but conservatives should accept the Gang of Eight compromise because the alternative is actually better for the President.

The basic idea here is that the status quo with its alleged weak border enforcement is as bad as or worse than legalizing the undocumented workers already here. There’s even a hint in Rubio’s op-ed that absent reform legislation, the radicals in the administration will find other, more devious ways, to legalize undocumented folk, even as they are inviting more to come in.

Perhaps understanding that this argument isn’t exactly open-and-shut, Rubio also invites conservatives to “toughen” the border enforcement language in the Gang of Eight bill—as he’s been doing in interviews for several days. I guess ideally he’d like Obama to play his part by yelling and screaming about any modifications before eventually caving in, because he’s so weak, you know.

Greg notices something else interesting about Rubio’s pitch: it doesn’t contain the usual political arguments that are actually the motive for virtually all the Republican interest in immigration reform:

There’s a key nuance here. As I understand the thinking, GOP base voters are turned off by the political argument that we must reform immigration because if we don’t, Obama will be able to screw Republicans over politically with Latinos. The reason the political argument doesn’t work is partly because many GOP base voters are persuaded that immigration reform will create a whole lot of Democratic voters — in purely political terms, rank-and-file members of the GOP base believe immigration reform is a net win for Democrats no matter how you slice it.

I’d add to that observation the equally important fact that a lot of Tea types are turned off by electoral arguments generally: they don’t want to hear about how the Republican Party might wrangle a few more Latino voters via a betrayal of principle—they want to pursue their ideological tenets to the ends of the earth. There’s just not a lot of openness to strategic or tactical thinking here; it’s fight-fight-fight, based to some degree on the iron conviction that all the strategery of the Republican Establishment of the past hasn’t worked while howling at the moon worked just fine in 2010.

In any event, it’s a tangled web ol’ Marco seems to be weaving, and if Greg and I can see through it, I’m reasonably sure a lot of his intended audience can see through it, too.

Ed Kilgore is a contributing writer to the Washington Monthly. He is managing editor for The Democratic Strategist and a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute. Find him on Twitter: @ed_kilgore.

Comments

  • Bort on May 03, 2013 3:45 PM:

    Does anyone seriously believe that these teabaggers would trust latinos to vote for Republicans if they did pass it? I seriously doubt it. These are the Great Brown Other. The moochers, that breed like rabbits so they can collect more welfare and bring their cousins into the country. Most of these serious wingnuts will never be on board with this.

  • c u n d gulag on May 03, 2013 3:54 PM:

    "So how can Republicans who want immigration reform get conservatives to accept it, given that Obama also wants it?"

    Boy, talk about your lack of respect for the man, and the office!

    President Obama's too much of a gentleman, but if he wasn't, he should answer, "I don't know, RUBIO, how?"

    I don't remember any Democratic politicians, when writing Op-eds, call the previous President, Bush, or W.
    From what I remember, I can't say that I remember a comparable statement for print, from a Democrat.

  • boatboy_srq on May 03, 2013 4:09 PM:

    In other news, Rube-io enters 11-dimensional chess tournament, and knocks over his bishop on sitting down to play, but makes an otherwise decent opening move with Pawn to Queen's Pawn 1/8/5.

  • Christiaan Hofman on May 03, 2013 4:59 PM:

    Indeed, the TPers only want to fight. They don't care about elections. Because, as we have learned this weak in other news, if they don't win, they intend to simply take the win through revolution. They've been stacking up on guns for this. Very frightening when a sizable part of the population doesn't believe in democracy.