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September 11, 2013 1:25 PM De Blasio’s Broad Base

By Ed Kilgore

As noted earlier, we probably won’t know for a few days whether Bill de Blasio has won the Democratic nomination for mayor of New York or will face Bill Thompson in a runoff he is very likely to win. But looking at the New York Timesexit poll, you gotta say that the broad base de Blasio established in this contest was pretty impressive, and those fretting he’s some sort of throwback to “too liberal” Democratic candidates in New York should take a closer look.

It’s hard to find a demographic in which de Blasio didn’t win a plurality. He tied Thompson (who is African-American) among black voters, and lost to John Liu (who is Asian-American) among nonwhite voters who are not black or Hispanic. He narrowly lost to Thompson (35/32) among self-identified “moderates,” though he trounced Christine Quinn in this category, supposedly her strength. He lost even more narrowly to Thompson among those rating “crime” as their top concern, and those favoring NYPD’s stop-and-frisk policy. Other than that, he pretty much swept the city, winning all five boroughs, every age, income, religious and educational-achievement group. He did nearly as well among those who gave Bloomberg a favorable job approval rating as among though who did not. If this guy has a political weak spot at present, it’s hard to find. And in a city with a massive Democratic registration advantage, that should probably be enough to make him mayor.

Ed Kilgore is a contributing writer to the Washington Monthly. He is managing editor for The Democratic Strategist and a senior fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute. Find him on Twitter: @ed_kilgore.

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