why do Americans hate America?

posting the polls three times over wont make them more accurate. More nails to bite.

I still think there's a good chance in TN.

Liebramn becomes the new SecDef.

50-50!

Pretty sweet. If accurate.

The reporting here and at TNR is a little breathless even though people are saying "grain of salt" and all that.

Basically, the exit polls two years ago said Kerry was whupping up, and they turned out to be wrong. This suggests there may be some systematic pro-Dem bias to exit polls (for example, maybe people vote Republican but then feel guilty that they did so, so they misreport their vote).

Exit polls need to come with bigger disclaimers than they're coming with.

Is that "Dem lead" in RI 53-46 Lamont-Lieberman?

Even though Pederson ran a pretty good campaign in AZ, he had a very difficult job trying to beat Kyle.

My feeling is Pederson did not bring out the anti-war commercials soon enough. He should have made Iraq and Kyle's support for Bush's War his number one issue.

This suggests there may be some systematic pro-Dem bias to exit polls

Or, alternatively, systematically anti-Dem bias to the systems and processes that produced the official tallies.

Lieberman wouldn't leave the Senate - 6 year term, option of running for president as indy, fawned over in close to even Senate - for the loser position as Rumsfeld's successor, which will be at most a 2 year job

"Is that "Dem lead" in RI 53-46 Lamont-Lieberman?"

Hope not since neither is running in RI.

Only if Harold Ford could beat the racist Bob Corky. It looks pretty certain that Little Ricky has lost to Casey, Jr.! Hey Ricky - don't let the door hit you in the rear end!

Leiberman is running in CT. I think it's Whitehouse-Chafee in RI.

Good riddence to Chafee anyways.

TNR is reporting Lamont ahead of Lieberman.

When will we see the Lamont/Liarman exit polls?

Chris,

Can you change your name from "California" back to "cmdicely"?

Serious? That's awesome, if the CT results hold up.

Ruck,

Absentee ballots, not counted in exit polls, will push Joe Lieberman over the top.

Ignore the fake Chuck at 6:50pm.

Maybe, but I was just answering the man's question.

The lead was posted on TNR an hour or so ago, and it had Lamont ahead by about 3 points. I haven't seen anything else on it since.

My initial reaction is that it looks like the fix is in. I don't recall the early returns from 2002, but 2000 and 2004 showed early Dem leads, which set up the storyline as a dramatic come-from-behind win for the GOP. Let's hope my tinfoil hat isn't calibrated correctly this time around.

I haven't left Arizona during the entire race.

Peder who? I don't watch TV Jim, and you never ran anywhere else. I can't recall a single ad of yours on aaphx.

Literally had no idea of what you even looked like. Today I saw your face on the azcentral website -- I swear, at first I thought I was looking at Gerald Ford.

Next time, please don't assume you don't need the help of the people.

Why is Washington Monthly running so slowly? Is it because of all these minute-by-minute blog posts at SHOWDOWN '06? Seems silly to me like STORMWATCH for the first drop of the season.

I would guess WM is running slowly b/c with the first exit poll results, everyone is sending this link to everyone and his brother.

Let's hope in a few hours we'll be able to go from "grain. salt." to "tequila. lime. salt. fiesta"! Go dems go!

Why is Washington Monthly running so slowly?
Posted by: Chuck on November 7, 2006 at 7:12 PM

Maybe it can't keep up with all your posts, son. Your incessant and juvenile monopolization of WM bandwidth is rather ugly. And I'm wearing out my fucking mousewheel scrolling past your immature blather. Go take a nap, son. Preferably a dirt nap.

Ooops, the above two from "California" were from me. Didn't change the name back from a joke over on the main site.

Leiberman is running in CT

Duh. My brain is fried today.

Why is Washington Monthly running so slowly? Is it because of all these minute-by-minute blog posts at SHOWDOWN '06? Seems silly to me like STORMWATCH for the first drop of the season.

Perhaps your incessant insertion of this same exact comment on every post has something to do with it.

Sweet.

The idiot deWine is out as is Santorum as per MSNBC.

My sister and brother-in-law live in Arizona. For Jon Kyl to even have to face a serious challenge for his Senate seat shows how much the GOP has slumped this year.

And, where ARE CT numbers? What's Lieberman/Lamont shaping up as?

With only 3% reporting it's Lamont 41%- Lieberman 48%.

In answer to 'mister pedantic': "why do Americans hate America?"

Since Republicans do not count Dems as 'real' Americans, I must presuppose that such a question pivots around the notion that Republicans hate themselves. Why do Republicans hate themselves? Because, well,.. Republicans are hateful.

After all, Republicans endorse:
- torture;
- suspension of habeas corpus;
- war on science;
- dissolution of separation of church and state;
- an illegal and unjust war in Iraq.

And Republicans oppose:
- holding the President accountable for having lied to the American people about WMD;
- impeaching the President for willful failure to uphold the Constitution of the United Sates;
- bringing the President to justice for high treason in his complicity together with his Dick and his father, his Floridian brother, a cousin, and with Mr. Silverstein, and others, in the 9-11 attacks on the WTC and the subsequent demolitions of WTC's towers 1 & 2 and building seven causing the mass murder of almost three thousand innocent human beings...

...surely, you get the picture.

Frankly, if I were a Republican, I'd hate myself, too.

The people who developed exit polls refined their science until they were very accurate. They were able to adjust for all manner of things like unreporting by some groups. Then recent elections the polls were found to be very wrong in key areas with republican control of the election process. The US (yes Bush administration) used exit polls paid for by the US to declare a recent election in the Ukraine a fraud. If we used the same criteria here that we used in the Ukraine Bush would not be president. I suspect corporate media is keeping the results from us to avoid drawing attention to fraud.