LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY 6:34 PM (exit polls)

Polls closed at 6pm in Kentucky, and there's lots of Dem optimism here in Louisville (KY3) as exit polling shows challenger John Yarmuth (D) with a 51-47 lead over Rep. Anne Northup (R) in exit polling with 2% refusing to say. That mirrors the last round of independent polling.

A few weeks ago, NRCC chairman Tom Reynolds told reporters that he expected Northup to win -- but that he would be in for a long night if she lost.

KY3 was not among the toss-ups until last week. Could this be a harbinger of national trends?

Mark Nickolas
The Bluegrass Report