NOT SO FAST...Could corruption be 2006's version of "values"?
We all remember how in 2004, the immediate post-election consensus was that "moral values" issues were the key to Bush's win. But it quickly emerged that a poorly-worded exit poll quesiton had probably exaggerated the actual influence of those issues. As time went on, the values explanation was replaced by the (probably correct) view that concerns over national security were more important.
This year, a CNN exit poll showed that voters named "corruption" as their top voting issue. But at an event I just attended, sponsored by the Campaign for America's Future, Democratic uber-pollster Stan Greenberg challenged that notion. According to his polling, Iraq was far, far more important than corruption -- or any other issue. Indeed, only 28% of voters thought there were real differences betweeen their two candidates on the issue of "special interests" (Admittedly, "special interests" and corruption aren't exactly the same thing, but you get the idea.)
Don't get me wrong: Like Nick, I'd love to see Democrats make lobbying and ethics reform a priority. In fact, I'm on record arguing that doing so is crucial to sustaining a long-term majority. But the comforting conclusion that this election was about Abramoff and DeLay, rather than Iraq and Bush, may not stand up to scrutiny.
—Zachary Roth 5:05 PM
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