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Entries tagged predictions

August 28, 2013 1:00 PM People Don’t Fear Climate Change Enough

With respect to the science of climate change, many experts regard the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change as the world’s authoritative institution. A draft summary of its forthcoming report was leaked last week. It describes the panel’s growing confidence that...

By Cass Sunstein

August 09, 2013 8:04 AM Rick Santorum, Still Not Going Away

Byron York had an column on Rick Santorum earlier in the week, featuring an interview, and asserting that "Santorum will again be underestimated" as a presidential candidate in 2016. Now, for one thing, he repeats the "runner-up" nonsense. But we...

By Jonathan Bernstein

April 02, 2013 9:59 AM "Next in Line" Doesn't Mean Anything in Presidential Politics

I like some of David Frum's advise to Democrats about 2016 and dislike some of it, but I'm afraid I'll mostly have to nitpick his premise. Yeah, it's the old next-in-line fallacy: Hillary Clinton came second in the nomination fight...

By Jonathan Bernstein

February 12, 2013 11:37 AM Chris Christie’s Got “It”

Clara Bow was Hollywood’s original starlet with “It”, that undefinable quality that made people immediately like her. Politicians who lack “it” (e.g., Mitt Romney) have a hard time getting elected, no matter how much money they spend and how much...

By Keith Humphreys

December 28, 2012 10:50 AM Predictions

Dave Weigel has a post up detailing the predictions he got wrong this year. It's admirable...not so much because he's taking responsibility, but because of the effort required. Re-reading my own stuff? No thanks. Now, I do try to keep...

By Jonathan Bernstein