Tag Results

Entries tagged predictions

April 02, 2013 9:59 AM "Next in Line" Doesn't Mean Anything in Presidential Politics

I like some of David Frum's advise to Democrats about 2016 and dislike some of it, but I'm afraid I'll mostly have to nitpick his premise. Yeah, it's the old next-in-line fallacy: Hillary Clinton came second in the nomination fight...

By Jonathan Bernstein

February 12, 2013 11:37 AM Chris Christie’s Got “It”

Clara Bow was Hollywood’s original starlet with “It”, that undefinable quality that made people immediately like her. Politicians who lack “it” (e.g., Mitt Romney) have a hard time getting elected, no matter how much money they spend and how much...

By Keith Humphreys

December 28, 2012 10:50 AM Predictions

Dave Weigel has a post up detailing the predictions he got wrong this year. It's admirable...not so much because he's taking responsibility, but because of the effort required. Re-reading my own stuff? No thanks. Now, I do try to keep...

By Jonathan Bernstein

September 04, 2012 10:11 AM Elsewhere, and Looking Back

At Plum Line, I noted that Romney has set a rhetorical trap for Obama by both insisting that the most important question was whether people are better off now than they were four years ago...and by accusing Obama of a...

By Jonathan Bernstein